Sunday, 12 April 2026
No more jumps at this meeting today.
Punty's Punts
Race type: Maiden, 1000m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace; Tara's Crown is the one likely to roll along, with Sneaky Pee Cee and Brutal To The Max advantaged by the tempo
Punty read: This is a straight-up speed test for babies, and the ones that can jump, find a slot and keep humming are the ones that live. Sweet Farnan has the race shape to be the obvious one, but the market's already shoved in his direction and the real play is that he's still the horse they all need to beat. Tara's Crown could get the cheap lead from barrier 1 and make a nuisance of himself, while Sneaky Pee Cee is the sort of runner who can camp off them and keep hitting the line when the front-runners start coughing up their breakfast. Angel Please and Hampton Style have drifted enough to make you raise an eyebrow, but the one with the gate and the map is the one that can turn this into a proper sting operation.
Top 3 + Roughie ($25.00 pool)
1. Sweet Farnan (No.9) — $2.00 / $1.12 🏆 2ND
Bet $10.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$1.05
Prob 33.5% | Place: 77.2% | Value: 0.87x
Why He maps to stalk the speed and he's the horse they all have to worry about late, even if the price says the crowd's already done the homework for you.
2. Sneaky Pee Cee (No.1) — $3.17 / $1.25 🏆 WINNER
Bet $8.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$2.55
Prob 25.3% | Place: 69.7% | Value: 1.02x
Why Honest type, right map, and if the pace gets honest he can be the one punching through when the others are gasping.
3. Tara's Crown (No.5) — $12.25 / $2.25 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $6.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$6.00
Prob 13.6% | Place: 46.8% | Value: 1.03x
Why Barrier 1, speed on, and if he gets a soft time in front he could pinch this like a bloke nicking chips off your plate.
Roughie: Reds Express (No.8) — $23.00 / $3.30 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 7.4% | Place: 27.8% | Value: 1.36x
Why Tongue tie goes on, the money's come for him, and if he settles in the right spot he can outrun his market tag, but this is more sneaky place material than a proper punt.
Race type: Class 1, 1800m
Map & tempo: Slow pace; that usually turns this into a crawl-and-sprint job, which is a nightmare if you're stuck near the tail with no turn of foot
Punty read: This one's a proper patience race. Anladio's the one with the big drift hanging off his tail like a wet towel, but the map and the class profile still say he's the one with the biggest ceiling if he gets a clean ride. Timeless Grace gets the right kind of setup for a sit-and-sprint job, while Without Fail is the sort of favourite you either trust or you leave alone, because there isn't much room for half-measures in a NTD field. Sheer Terra is the smoky at the proper price if you want to swing at something stupid, but the real read is that this might be decided by who gets first crack at the straight.
Top 3 + Roughie ($25.00 pool)
1. Anladio (No.2) — $7.60 / $2.35 🏆 WINNER
Bet $8.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$83.20
Prob 35.3% | Place: 65.1% | Value: 2.92x
Why Big drift or not, he's got the profile to be the class horse in a crawl race, and if the tempo is as soft as expected he'll get his chance to swan dive late.
2. Timeless Grace (No.9) — $3.15 / $1.32 🏆 2ND
Bet $17.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$1.70
Prob 29.2% | Place: 57.8% | Value: 1.00x
Why Maps to sit off the speed and gets every chance to grind into it when the sprint goes on from the 600.
3. Without Fail (No.8) — $2.02 / $1.25 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 23.9% | Place: 49.6% | Value: 0.53x
Why Market's not lying here, but the price is skinny and the race shape doesn't scream for a mad win bet.
Roughie: Sheer Terra (No.11) — $35.50 / $5.50 🏆 5TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 5.4% | Place: 12.6% | Value: 2.09x
Why Can lob over the top if they crawl and it turns into a sprint from the 600, but you don't want to be paying for the privilege.
Race type: Maiden, 1400m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace; Kirwans Bridge, Reef Road and Bomerton are the ones with the map juice, while the outside drawers still need things to fall their way
Punty read: This is one of those races where the draw sheet looks like it was assembled by a drunk seagull. Makhachev has the right on-pace setup and the gear tweak says the stable is trying to sharpen him up, while Time For Snow is the horse that can sit there and keep grinding if the leaders get sloppy. Tassy Fox has the blowtorch form line and enough closing grunt to be dangerous if the race turns into a mess, but the market still seems to be treating him like a bloke who forgot his wallet. Kirwans Bridge and Reef Road both have those "if he gets luck, he's right in it" profiles, which is exactly the sort of race that makes punters stare at the ceiling and mumble about barriers.
Top 3 + Roughie ($12.00 pool)
1. Makhachev (No.6) — $2.95 / $1.35 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $6.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$6.50
Prob 26.0% | Place: 63.1% | Value: 0.87x
Why The map suits, the freshen-up angle is tidy, and he looks the one with the best chance of getting first run on the others.
2. Time For Snow (No.8) — $4.65 / $1.70 🏆 2ND
Bet $5.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$5.50
Prob 17.0% | Place: 47.9% | Value: 0.94x
Why Has the fitness edge and enough tactical speed to stay in the fight when the race starts to sort itself out.
3. Tassy Fox (No.10) — $9.75 / $2.80 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.7% | Place: 31.2% | Value: 1.40x
Why If the speed rolls and the big finishers come slicing down the outside, he's got the turn of foot to make a mess of the dividend.
Roughie: Kirwans Bridge (No.1) — $9.90 / $2.80 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.5% | Place: 32.9% | Value: 0.95x
Why The form says he can run well enough, but the alley and the shape make him more of a "nearly horse" than a must-have weapon.
Race type: Maiden, 1180m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace; Bomen Babe, Broken Image and Stumblin' In have the pace map edge, while Fire Chat is the one the race could leave behind early
Punty read: Here's a little sprint snarl-fest. Bomen Babe has the map in his pocket but comes up from a tricky alley, so the big question is whether he can cross without burning too much petrol. Hold This and Sacred Inferno are the obvious danger types if they get the right trail, and Choc Chip is the horse the model keeps circling because he draws a kinder story than most and has the sort of finish you want when the pressure goes up. Inspiritu is the first-timer with the gear switch that can wake one up, while Broken Image has enough value baked in to make you squint twice at the prices and wonder if the public's gone a bit too sniffy.
Top 3 + Roughie ($25.00 pool)
1. Bomen Babe (No.8) — $5.10 / $1.95 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $12.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$12.50
Prob 22.3% | Place: 58.6% | Value: 0.93x
Why Gets the right map and if he crosses early enough he'll be hard to drag back, despite the outside gate making life awkward.
2. Hold This (No.1) — $4.65 / $1.75 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $8.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$8.50
Prob 17.0% | Place: 47.0% | Value: 0.93x
Why Honest old thing with the right run to sit just off the speed and keep finding.
3. Choc Chip (No.7) — $4.10 / $1.60 🏆 4TH
Bet $4.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$4.00
Prob 14.5% | Place: 41.6% | Value: 1.05x
Why Short enough in the market but the alley and the map give him a clean enough sniff to go very close.
Roughie: Broken Image (No.12) — $25.50 / $5.50 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 5.1% | Place: 17.3% | Value: 1.25x
Why The drift is ugly, but if he gets a midfield tow and finds the line, he can spice up the finish at a price.
Race type: Class 1, 1000m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace; Rocket Rudee, Ta La Masca and Tea Or Coffee look the best placed to be handy, with Texas Open and Jackets against the pattern
Punty read: This is the sort of race where one bad jump can ruin your day and one good one can make you look like a genius. Doubtfree is the one I want on the map because barrier 1 in a 1000m dash is a gift from the racing gods if he uses it properly, and the market shift says people have had a sniff. Minks Written is the one the stable's clearly had a crack with, while Travelon Dory is the value runner that can sit on the right back and pounce if the fav goes a bit too hard early. Rocket Rudee is the roughie you can make a case for if he bounces back from the last-start muck-up, but this race is more about clean execution than looking for a miracle.
Top 3 + Roughie ($25.00 pool)
1. Doubtfree (No.9) — $6.95 / $2.00 🏆 9TH
Bet $9.50 Each Way ($4.75W + $4.75P) — ✗ Lost, net -$9.50
Prob 22.1% | Place: 59.7% | Value: 2.01x
Why Barrier 1, a handy map and a horse the market's happy to keep firming up with for good reason.
2. Minks Written (No.6) — $3.05 / $1.25 🏆 2ND
Bet $11.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$4.60
Prob 21.1% | Place: 58.2% | Value: 0.84x
Why The stable's had a bit of a poke and he's got the right blend of form and soft-ground ability to go well.
3. Travelon Dory (No.4) — $11.75 / $2.70 🏆 5TH
Bet $4.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$4.00
Prob 13.7% | Place: 42.4% | Value: 2.10x
Why Maps to stalk, handles the conditions, and if the leaders get caught dancing too close to the fire he can finish over the top.
Roughie: Rocket Rudee (No.1) — $10.40 / $2.40 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.5% | Place: 36.6% | Value: 1.63x
Why Better than the last run says, but he's still the one needing the race to unfold like a cheap thriller before he can cash in.
Race type: Class 2, 1400m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace; Cayman Island looks like the one they'll run at early, with Grenoble, Seasmoke and Ossified sitting in the sweet spot
Punty read: This is a classic "looks straightforward until the barriers open" race. Theo's Choice has been salted up by the market and the late money says the stable mean business, while Dolzino is the sort of horse who can keep going all day if he gets a civilised run. Treasure Hunter is the one the model likes as the value player, and Ossified is the proper roughie with enough staying-power to make a nuisance of himself if the pace cuts the field in half. Grenoble's drift is a red flag on the face of it, but if he's good enough to slot in and let the pressure come to him, he could still blow up the exotics.
Top 3 + Roughie ($25.00 pool)
1. Theo's Choice (No.10) — $4.30 / $1.70 🏆 9TH
Bet $11.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$11.00
Prob 21.2% | Place: 55.7% | Value: 1.16x
Why The money's coming, the race shape suits, and he's the one most likely to get the last crack at them.
2. Dolzino (No.1) — $3.95 / $1.65 🏆 6TH
Bet $9.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$9.00
Prob 16.8% | Place: 47.4% | Value: 0.85x
Why Honest as a hammer, comes up with the right map, and should be in the finish if he gets cover and not the car park.
3. Treasure Hunter (No.8) — $8.00 / $2.50 🏆 10TH
Bet $5.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$5.00
Prob 13.5% | Place: 40.0% | Value: 1.38x
Why The price is fair enough and the run-style suits a race where the leaders may go a touch too hard.
Roughie: Ossified (No.14) — $14.25 / $3.90 🏆 8TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.0% | Place: 33.7% | Value: 2.07x
Why If the front-runners start feeling the pinch, this is the kind of bastard who can keep finding while the others are tapping out.
Race type: Open Handicap, 1800m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace; Star Buyer, County Kilkenny, Future Fund, Samurai and Kodiak Bear are all in the danger zone for tempo
Punty read: This is the race where the spreadsheet starts smoking. Miss Stalwart has the soft-run profile and the sort of staying pattern that makes her the right anchor in an open handicap, while County Kilkenny is the value runner that keeps looking ready to pop if the race is run on speed. Belleistic Kids is the honest type who can keep you honest from barrier 1, and Quamby is the roughie who could blow the doors off if the race turns into a sit-and-sprint with a messy finish. Samurai and Star Buyer are the ones the market's had a nibble at, but the wider story is that this is one of those races where six horses can make a case and five of them will ruin your afternoon.
Top 3 + Roughie ($25.00 pool)
1. Miss Stalwart (No.9) — $6.20 / $2.10 🏆 2ND
Bet $13.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$18.90
Prob 19.7% | Place: 55.2% | Value: 1.53x
Why Gets the right pattern, maps cleanly enough, and looks the one best placed to land the first punch.
2. County Kilkenny (No.6) — $9.45 / $2.60 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $7.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$7.50
Prob 19.4% | Place: 54.2% | Value: 2.30x
Why The market's nibbled at him, and if the race falls into a genuine staying test he can be the one punching through late.
3. Belleistic Kids (No.1) — $4.65 / $1.75 🏆 4TH
Bet $4.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$4.00
Prob 16.5% | Place: 48.6% | Value: 0.96x
Why Barrier 1 keeps him in the conversation and he'll be right there if the tempo turns tactical rather than brutal.
Roughie: Quamby (No.11) — $18.50 / $4.20 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 8.8% | Place: 28.8% | Value: 2.33x
Why If they overdo it up front and the race turns into a late scramble, this bloke can run over the top like a pub tab punter on a final.
Race type: BM 66, 1180m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace; Atmospheric Rock, Clifton Springs, Rubi Air, Spirits Burn Deep and Jannik are all disadvantaged, so the map is begging for something to do a bit of work early
Punty read: Here's the one where a few punters will get seduced by the shiny favourite and then wonder why their ticket looks like a tax receipt. Jackpot Star is the obvious public horse, but the model likes Atmospheric Rock and Molteuno as the better shapes, with Clifton Springs the honest value runner who can sit close enough to have his chance. Soul Lady has been smashed in the market and can absolutely feature if the ride is smart, but the outside-ish maps on a few of these make this a race where the right run matters a hell of a lot more than the glossy form line. Rubi Air and Spirits Burn Deep are the ones who need the race to go their way, and if the wind gets annoying in the straight they'll be even more likely to leave their late charge a touch too late.
Top 3 + Roughie ($25.50 pool)
1. Atmospheric Rock (No.3) — $6.20 / $2.20 🏆 4TH
Bet $12.00 Each Way ($6.00W + $6.00P) — ✗ Lost, net -$12.00
Prob 22.3% | Place: 59.1% | Value: 1.77x
Why The map says he shouldn't be ignored, and if he can get a decent tow into it he's the sort who can finish like a train.
2. Molteuno (No.18) — $4.80 / $1.90 🏆 8TH
Bet $10.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$10.00
Prob 20.2% | Place: 55.5% | Value: 1.25x
Why Keeps getting stronger in the market and is the one that can sit handy enough to be a proper pain in the arse at the finish.
3. Clifton Springs (No.5) — $10.40 / $3.20 🏆 2ND
Bet $3.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$8.05
Prob 16.7% | Place: 47.0% | Value: 2.23x
Why The last run and the market say he's live, and the map gives him a clear enough path to stick his nose in the frame.
Roughie: Ace Of Lace (No.12) — $22.00 / $4.80 🏆 9TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 7.9% | Place: 25.9% | Value: 2.13x
Why The price is big enough to make you itchy, and if the speed collapses he can lurk like a villain in the third act.
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 9,1,5,8 / 2,9,8 / 6,8,10,1,2 / 8,1,7,2,10,12 (360 combos x $0.06 = $20.00) -- 6% flexi
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 9,6,4,2,1 / 10,1,8,14,7 / 9,6,1,10 / 3,18,5,14,12,11 (600 combos x $0.11 = $65.00) -- 11% flexi
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 6 / 8 / 9 / 10 / 9 / 3 (1 combos x $2.00 = $2.00) -- 200% flexi
The day's multi leans on three win legs across the card.
1 - Sweet Farnan (Race 1, No.9)✗ — $2.00
2 - Anladio (Race 2, No.2)✓ Won — $7.60
3 - Theo's Choice (Race 6, No.10)✗ — $4.30
Meeting Stats
Selections
Punty's Early Mail
Rightio Loose Units, Gundagai's serving up a Soft 5 with the rail True, a stiff little breeze, and a card that looks fair on paper but could get bloody selective once the wind and pressure kick in.
MEET SNAPSHOT
Track: Gundagai, 1000m-1800m card
Rail: True
Official going: Soft 5 (expected to play honest, with cover and balance worth their weight in gold)
Weather: Cloudy, 14°C, humidity 53%, wind 31km/h WSW (watch for crosswind headaches and late lane quirks)
Early lane guess: Near-true early, but don't fall in love with the fence if it chops up
Tempo profile: The sprints have enough zip to matter, while the middle races look more tactical and reward horses that can settle and launch
Jockeys to follow:
Jean Van Overmeire, keeps popping up on the right runners and gets the sort of rides that can land in the first wave
Jason Lyon, all over a few live chances, and he's the kind of hoop who can steal a soft run when the map opens up
Blaike McDougall, keeps finding the right spots in races that are all about timing, not heroics
Stables to respect:
D A Williams (3 runners), has live darts in Race 1, Race 6 and Race 8, and the market's already sniffing around
Anthony Warren (4 runners), a proper hand in the day with multiple runners that map to be in the finish if the races fall their way
Michael Travers (6 runners), plenty of bullets in the chamber, and while not all of them are dangerous, a few are absolutely capable of ruining your lunch
Punty's take:
This meeting feels like a bloke who says he's bringing chips and turns up with three packets and a case of beer, a bit all over the shop, but there are a few genuine snacks in there if you know where to look. The Soft 5 and true rail mean the first thing I care about is whether a horse can get a clean run without being bailed up like a mug in a nightclub queue. In the baby races, the ones up on speed and the ones with tactical nous should get every chance. In the staying and handicap stuff later on, it's more about who can settle, conserve, and then peel out without having to do the whole Hollywood sprint from the car park.
The market has already had a decent sniff at a few of them, Sweet Farnan, Sacred Inferno, Minks Written, Theo's Choice, Jackpot Star and Molteuno have all been clipped up, but not every move is gospel. Some of these are smart support, some are just the public getting shiny-object syndrome. The drifters are interesting too: Anladio, Dolzino, Grenoble and a few others have been pushed out, which is exactly the sort of thing that can make a punter either look like a genius or a bloke who backed the wrong horse after one too many schooners. Race 7 is the proper bar fight of the card, and Race 8 is the sort of sprint where one clean jump can make you feel like you've cracked the Da Vinci Code.
What it means for you:
Don't be a hero in every race. This is a day to lean on the races where the map makes sense and the price isn't taking the piss. The place market looks the cleanest way to keep the old bankroll breathing, especially in the races where the model likes a horse but the market has gone a bit feral or the pace looks messy. That means you're backing horses that can sit handy, get cover, and hit the line without needing a miracle.
Where it gets juicy is the exotics. The pre-cooked ones are the only ones I'd even sniff at here, because the chaos races have enough moving parts to turn a neat plan into a full-blown pub story. Race 1, Race 4, Race 5, Race 6 and Race 8 all have a nice shape for box-style thinking around the model's top runners, while Race 7 is the one where you either go boxy or you go home. Early Quaddie is playable if you keep your head, but the main quaddie and Big 6 are more "have a squirt and pray" than "write your own ticket". No one needs that kind of emotional damage before lunch.