Sunday, 07 June 2026
No more jumps at this meeting today.
Punty's Punts
Race type: Maiden, 1380m
Map & tempo: Slow tempo, true rail, and the tailwind straight gives the swoopers a late sniff if the leaders overdo the jog.
Punty read: This is a proper "who wants it least" maiden, but Wounded Eagle looks the cleanest horse in the book. Timely Needs is the honest type who can sit in the right spot and keep finding, while Da Silver Flash has had some market love and could lob handy if the race turns tactical. Nicalbi is the sneaky one if the slow tempo turns into a sit-sprint and the claim helps him hold a position.
Top 3 + Roughie ($20.50 pool)
1. Wounded Eagle (No.8) — $3.09 / $1.37 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $10.50 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$10.50
Prob 27.9% | Place: 67.0% | Value: 0.81x
Why Has the best overall profile in the race and gets a track shape that should let him wind up late without burning too much petrol.
2. Timely Needs (No.7) — $4.08 / $1.65 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $10.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$10.00
Prob 21.7% | Place: 56.2% | Value: 1.07x
Why Honest sort who keeps putting himself in the picture; the soft track and tactical map make him a very live place play.
3. Da Silver Flash (No.10) — $4.65 / $1.80 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.9% | Place: 29.3% | Value: 0.77x
Why Firmed in the market and can sit on speed, but he still needs everything to fall his way to be winning one of these.
Roughie: Nicalbi (No.5) — $10.30 / $3.10 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.6% | Place: 28.3% | Value: 1.20x
Why If the claim gets him into the race and the pace stays dawdling, he's the sort who can hang around for a slice.
Race type: Maiden, 1100m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace, plenty of speed to sort them out, and the tailwind straight could help something finishing over the top late.
Punty read: This one has chaos written all over it. Geegees Mercedes is the obvious anchor because he maps to make his own luck, but Ballerini is the sort of short-priced car-park job that can make punters pull their hair out. Vabuiagi is the one I trust most to sit in the race and keep going, while the heavily backed Sunrise At Kirra is the kind of horse you watch like a hawk rather than get wed to at the price.
Top 3 + Roughie ($22.00 pool)
1. Geegees Mercedes (No.10) — $2.77 / $1.40 🏆 WINNER
Bet $10.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$28.00
Prob 22.7% | Place: 43.9% | Value: 0.64x
Why He looks the speed and the class of the race, and if he gets across without burning too much fuel, the others are chasing shadows.
2. Ballerini (No.7) — $3.42 / $1.55 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $7.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$7.00
Prob 15.5% | Place: 32.3% | Value: 0.66x
Why Short enough to respect, but that gate makes him work; the place play is the safer angle if he finds the right lane.
3. Vabuiagi (No.14) — $8.60 / $3.00 🏆 3RD
Bet $5.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$23.50
Prob 9.8% | Place: 30.6% | Value: 1.24x
Why Has the map to get a cart into the race and has been handy in the betting, which usually means someone likes what they see.
Roughie: Sunrise At Kirra (No.11) — $28.50 / $6.00 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 2.1% | Place: 18.9% | Value: 1.03x
Why He has been crunched in the market and could outrun his price if the speed collapses, but this is more "watch the parade" than "get the wallet out".
Race type: Benchmark 68, 2100m
Map & tempo: Slow tempo, soft track, and the real race starts when they straighten for home and the jockeys decide who blinks first.
Punty read: This is a proper staying puzzle. Florence Glass gets the rail and the right sort of ground-saving run, Native Clan and Happy Clan are the reliable types who keep grinding, and Goddess Of Rock is the one who can swoop if they let the tempo turn into a dawdle. It feels like a race where patience beats panic every single time.
Top 3 + Roughie ($11.00 pool)
1. Florence Glass (No.2) — $3.62 / $1.45 🏆 4TH
Bet $4.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$4.00
Prob 22.1% | Place: 53.5% | Value: 1.05x
Why Has the form, the track record and the sort of run that can save every inch; if they don't gift the leaders too much rope, she's right there.
2. Native Clan (No.5) — $4.20 / $1.65 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $4.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$4.50
Prob 16.8% | Place: 43.7% | Value: 0.95x
Why Honest grinder who keeps turning up, and this shape of race should let him stay in the fight all the way to the post.
3. Happy Clan (No.1) — $4.65 / $1.75 🏆 3RD
Bet $2.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$1.88
Prob 16.9% | Place: 44.0% | Value: 1.05x
Why Hard fit, consistent, and a nice type to have parked on the rail while the others burn wind chasing position.
Roughie: Tideford (No.6) — $10.40 / $3.10 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 8.5% | Place: 24.3% | Value: 1.19x
Why If the pace gets messy and he gets dragged into the race late, he's the kind of sneaky menace who can gobble up a cheque.
Race type: Benchmark 76, 1380m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo with a few handy types, and the tailwind straight means the late run is live if the leaders aren't allowed to loaf.
Punty read: Sh'bourne Midnight is the class horse here and maps well enough to make his own luck. Zewinna is the value player who can absolutely ambush this if the race opens up, and Hurricane Ketut is the honest chaser who will be there to be shot at. Romary is the roughie you'd want to include if you're throwing a dart at the barrel, because this tempo can fall apart and leave the door open.
Top 3 + Roughie ($17.50 pool)
1. Sh'bourne Midnight (No.1) — $3.85 / $1.37 🏆 2ND
Bet $14.00 Each Way ($7.00W + $7.00P) — Cashed, net -$2.10
Prob 25.3% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 1.27x
Why Honest, hard fit and has the right sort of Hobart profile; if he gets a cosy run, he'll be right in the finish and probably fighting like a bastard.
2. Hurricane Ketut (No.7) — $4.08 / $1.45 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.5% | Place: 43.4% | Value: 0.84x
Why Consistent type but the price is doing the talking; can run well without me needing to chain myself to him.
3. Zewinna (No.4) — $6.25 / $2.05 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $3.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$3.50
Prob 15.6% | Place: 43.8% | Value: 1.31x
Why The value runner in the race, and if the pace is even slightly messy, she's the sort that can sweep into the frame late.
Roughie: Romary (No.3) — $20.25 / $4.20 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.3% | Place: 46.5% | Value: 1.07x
Why If they burn a bit of petrol up front and this turns into a late-speed contest, she's the one that can blow up the numbers.
Race type: Benchmark 68, 1200m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace, lots of pressure, and this has the look of a race where the right horse can be sitting on the right hindquarters at the turn.
Punty read: This is the race that'll chew through a few tickets. Restricted Access is the horse with the best setup to make a mess of the favourite brigade, Zuni is the one the market likes but I'm not rushing to dive in, and Furneaux is the honest type who'll keep trying without necessarily giving you the sort of edge you need to go feral. Fighting Floyd is the deep roughie if the speed goes turbo and the backmarkers get a late toe-hold.
Top 3 + Roughie ($10.50 pool)
1. Restricted Access (No.4) — $7.70 / $2.70 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $10.50 Each Way ($5.25W + $5.25P) — ✗ Lost, net -$10.50
Prob 12.2% | Place: 31.2% | Value: 1.36x
Why Fresh, readied and built for a race like this; if he gets a sensible run from the wide draw, he can absolutely make the right kind of noise.
2. Zuni (No.11) — $5.60 / $2.25 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 12.7% | Place: 32.4% | Value: 0.96x
Why Honest enough and maps okay, but at the price he's got to prove it before I start throwing the chips.
3. Furneaux (No.2) — $7.60 / $2.70 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.9% | Place: 30.6% | Value: 1.24x
Why Tough little customer and he does his best work when the race turns into a scrap, but the place profile isn't quite juicy enough for me to get greedy.
Roughie: Fighting Floyd (No.3) — $19.50 / $4.80 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.3% | Place: 20.0% | Value: 1.15x
Why If they go lickety-split early and he gets the right cart into it, he can be the bloke storming home while everyone else is gasping like the end of The Sopranos.
Race type: Class 1, 1200m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo with a bit of speed on, and the wide draws need luck while the on-pace types try to boss the race.
Punty read: Lawrenny Boys is the clear anchor but he's going to have to do some work from the wide draw, which is why this race isn't a free hit. Turbo Chook is the fitter, steadier type who can stalk and strike, while Accusaient has been well supported and looks the sort to run a very bold race if the market money is on the money. Sh' Bourne Angel is the one I'd keep in the back pocket for later, because there is a sneaky "better for the run" feel to him.
Top 3 + Roughie ($9.50 pool)
1. Lawrenny Boys (No.3) — $2.69 / $1.35 🏆 3RD
Bet $6.50 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$6.50
Prob 19.3% | Place: 43.2% | Value: 0.70x
Why Tough, fit and rolling in the right sort of form; if he crosses and controls, the others are in a world of bother.
2. Accusaient (No.15) — $7.60 / $2.60 🏆 9TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 12.4% | Place: 29.7% | Value: 1.28x
Why The market has been sniffing around him and you can see why, he has the profile to sit a touch off the speed and finish strongly.
3. Turbo Chook (No.1) — $6.70 / $2.35 🏆 5TH
Bet $3.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$3.00
Prob 12.7% | Place: 42.2% | Value: 1.15x
Why Gets back, relaxes, and finishes properly; that's the kind of horse you want on a day where the straight can give you one last breath.
Roughie: Windara Wolf (No.6) — $11.25 / $3.50 🏆 10TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 8.2% | Place: 29.3% | Value: 1.24x
Why Honest on-pace type that can hang on for a placing if the wider runners do too much work.
Race type: Benchmark 60, 1600m
Map & tempo: Slow tempo, and that's where the clever riders start playing chess while the rest are still trying to find the board.
Punty read: Quafftide is the class runner, but he's short enough that the map better not betray him. Azonto is the one I really like to hit the line if the race becomes a sprint off a pedestrian tempo, while Just A Needs is the honest sort who should get a lovely enough run to be in the photo. Stardarmus is the roughie if you want a dirty little price in a race where the backmarkers can suddenly start looking like geniuses at the 200.
Top 3 + Roughie ($18.50 pool)
1. Quafftide (No.2) — $2.54 / $1.30 🏆 WINNER
Bet $9.50 Win — ✓ Won, net +$18.05
Prob 20.8% | Place: 40.8% | Value: 0.69x
Why Best horse in the race on paper, but he has to do it from a map that doesn't hand him anything for free.
2. Azonto (No.3) — $5.35 / $2.05 🏆 2ND
Bet $9.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$9.45
Prob 15.4% | Place: 32.0% | Value: 1.11x
Why Has been hitting the line better and the rise to the mile looks right up his alley if they go dawdling early.
3. Just A Needs (No.1) — $8.25 / $2.50 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.9% | Place: 30.7% | Value: 1.09x
Why Genuine, hard fit and gets every chance on the map, but at the price I want a bit more certainty before I start throwing bouquets.
Roughie: Stardarmus (No.5) — $12.00 / $3.40 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 6.2% | Place: 28.6% | Value: 1.01x
Why If they crawl early and he gets the right cart into it, he can swing into the frame like a bloke walking into the final scene of Gladiator.
Race type: Benchmark 60, 1000m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo with genuine speed lanes, and the tailwind straight means anything with a finishing burst is in the game if it isn't too far back.
Punty read: Fluffy's Girl is the one I've got on top because she has the map and enough class to be in the fight, but the race is messy enough that Tassie Power and Miss Keeds are more about getting the right run than the right price. No Access is the map horse in the race, while Volkanovski is the one I want on side if the market heat is telling the truth. April's Dance is the first-up wildcard, interesting, not irresistible.
Top 3 + Roughie ($10.50 pool)
1. Fluffy's Girl (No.4) — $3.90 / $1.65 🏆 2ND
Bet $10.50 Each Way ($5.25W + $5.25P) — ✓ Won, net +$1.05
Prob 18.4% | Place: 48.2% | Value: 0.95x
Why Should get every chance to sit on or near the speed, and in a sprint like this that's half the battle won.
2. Tassie Power (No.3) — $5.05 / $2.05 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 16.8% | Place: 44.7% | Value: 1.13x
Why Has been thereabouts and can absolutely run a cheeky race if the pace makes the front-runners pay late.
3. Miss Keeds (No.2) — $3.53 / $1.45 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 18.9% | Place: 49.2% | Value: 0.88x
Why Honest enough, but at the money she looks a touch cramped and I don't want to be mug-puntering the short one.
Roughie: April's Dance (No.11) — $18.00 / $4.40 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.5% | Place: 28.3% | Value: 1.10x
Why First-up off a spell is the wild card; if she comes back buzzing and gets the right tuck into the race, she can rattle home better than the market expects.
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 8,7,10,5 / 10,7,14,4 / 2,1,5,6 / 1,4,7,3 (256 combos x $0.20 = $50.00) -- 20% flexi
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 4,2,11,3 / 1,3,15,6 / 3,2,1,5 / 4,2,3,6 (256 combos x $0.31 = $80.00) -- 31% flexi
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 2 / 1 / 4 / 3 / 2 / 4 (1 combos x $2.00 = $2.00) -- 200% flexi
The day's multi leans on three win legs across the card.
1 - Wounded Eagle (Race 1, No.8) — $3.09
2 - Geegees Mercedes (Race 2, No.10)✓ Won — $2.77
3 - Florence Glass (Race 3, No.2)✗ — $3.62
Meeting Stats
Selections
Punty's Early Mail
Rightio Loose Units, Hobart's serving up a Soft 5 with the rail true, a bit of wind in the gums, and just enough tailwind up the straight to give the swoopers a sniff without turning it into a full-blown washing machine. This card looks like a proper mixed grill: a couple of clean maps, a few ugly maids, and enough chaos in the middle grades to make a bookie sweat through his shirt.
MEET SNAPSHOT
Track: Hobart, 1000m-2100m card
Rail: True
Official going: Soft 5 (expected to play fair early, then give the late closers a helping hand up the straight)
Weather: Becoming windy, partly cloudy, 14°C, humidity 57% (watch for gusts and a late lane advantage straightening)
Early lane guess: On-pace and handy runners can get control, but the tailwind straight gives the backmarkers a proper crack late
Tempo profile: A couple of crawl-and-sprint affairs, a few genuine speed tests, and the middle distances look more tactical than brutal
Jockeys to follow:
Ms Hayley McCarthy, keeps getting on the right sort of map horses and knows how to nurse a soft lead or stalk from the right spot.
Ms Kirra-Lee Lane, handy claim, plenty of live rides, and she can turn a wide gate into a sneaky result when the race shape suits.
Anthony Darmanin, on a heap of key chances and keeps ending up on the horses that can settle handy and finish the job.
Stables to respect:
J L Keys, a stack of runners across the card and several that are either in form or map to get every possible favour.
J K Blacker, has plenty of live hopes and a few are absolutely in the right races, in the right shape, at the right time.
S Gandy, sending out speed, pressure and a couple of real threats; if they get the map right, they can land one.
Punty's take:
Hobart on a Soft 5 with a bit of tailwind is like a mate bringing a chainsaw to a feather fight, it changes the rhythm. The sprint races won't all be about who jumps best; they'll be about who gets cover, who gets to relax, and who hasn't cooked their wheels by the 300. That means the clean map horses deserve respect, but the good backmarkers aren't dead either, they're getting a little late slingshot if the leaders roll along.
The other thing this card screams is that the market isn't always telling the whole story. There's a stack of shorties that look under the odds, a few drifters that are worth a side-eye, and a couple of honest grinders who just keep turning up like a bloke in a blue singlet at Bunnings on Saturday morning. Horses like Wounded Eagle, Geegees Mercedes and Florence Glass look the sort you can build around; after that, it's more about not being a mug and trying to catch every shiny thing in the sunshine.
What it means for you:
This is a day to play a bit smarter, not louder. The Big 3 spine looks solid enough to anchor a multi, but once you get into the open races, keep the boots on the ground and lean into place and each-way where the map gives you a fair crack. That tailwind straight means a horse can look beat, then suddenly storm home like Rocky climbing those stairs, so don't get too precious about being on the front end of the parade if the late run is the right run.
If you're having a shot at the quaddie or Big 6, treat it like entertainment with a chance of a payday, not a second mortgage on the ute. The best lanes are the races where there is some shape and a horse with a proper map edge, Race 1, Race 2 and Race 3 can be used to set the day up, while Race 5, Race 7 and Race 8 are the classic "don't get cute, just survive" jobs. Keep an eye on the drifters too: sometimes they're just getting steamed up by the crowd, sometimes they're telling you the story before the stewards do.