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Thursday, 23 April 2026

Track Good 4
Weather Overcast
Punty at Narrogin
17.5% strike rate
11/63 winners
+4.4% ROI
across 3 meetings

Meeting Stats

Punty's Early Mail

For all of Punty's tips for Narrogin, head to https://punty.ai/tips/narrogin-2026-04-23

Rightio Loose Units, Narrogin's serving up a Good 3 with the rail true and a bit of sneaky weather drama hanging over it like a bloke in thongs at a black-tie do. On paper it looks fair enough, but that wind gusting around and the rain risk early means you don't want to get too cute assuming the track stays identical all day.

MEET SNAPSHOT

Track: Narrogin, 1100m to 1900m card
Rail: True
Official going: Good 3 (expected to play fair, with leaders and handy types getting every chance)
Weather: Partly cloudy, 17°C, humidity 58%, wind 13km/h WNW (watch for gusts and that early rain threat)
Early lane guess: Fair early, but watch for the on-pace runners to pinch it if the breeze and rail combine
Tempo profile: Two or three races should be genuinely run, the sprints look lively, and the staying races are more about who settles and who lasts the trip
Jockeys to follow:
Ms Holly Nottle — gets the key claim and is popping up on live chances that map well.
Brayden Gaerth — aboard a few runners with tactical upside and a couple of proper value pokes.
Jefferson Tsang — handy on the map, especially when the race shape gives him a fair lane to work with.
Stables to respect:
D R Pateman (2 runners) — has a couple of horses backing up with decent recent support and proper excuses last time.
J D Jachmann (3 runners) — brings multiple live chances, plus the market keeps circling his runners like sharks.
Ms S L Miller (2 runners) — has a live one in Race 1 and a dangerous sprint type in the opener.

Punty's take: This is the kind of Narrogin card where the form guide can look slick as a greased banana, then the track/map combo comes along and punts half the field into the bin. The sprints should be honest enough, but the real story is whether the leaders can keep rolling or whether the swoopers get a crack late. Race 4 and Race 5 are the proper gotchas - open sprints where one bad read and you're eating a sandwich of regret.

The middle and staying races are where I want to be a bit more surgical. You don't want to be throwing darts at every skinny fave just because it has a famous name on the tin. Some of these market leaders are short enough to make your eyebrows raise, especially with a few of them either drawing awkwardly or taking on map pressure. That's where the value lurks - in the horses that can camp handy, save ground, and actually get their chance instead of getting bailed up like extras in a zombie movie.

What it means for you: Keep your punts clean and don't go full festival-mode on the exotics. There are a few races here where the right horse can win simply because the map hands it a perfect ride, and there are a few others where the favourite looks like it's wearing a rucksack. I want you leaning on the horses with a genuine run of the race, especially the ones that can sit closer without burning petrol. Save the big fireworks for the quaddie lane - and only if you're happy to cop a bit of chaos.

PUNTY'S BIG 3 + MULTI

These are the three bets the day leans on.
1 - Artie's Eclipse (Race 2, No.7) — $5.25
Why Has the right sort of sprint map to be right there when the whips come out, and the market's given him a bit of daylight without running away from him.
2 - Fameux (Race 3, No.1) — $5.15
Why Draws to get the cosy run in a race where a few of the flashy names can overwork early and leave the door open late.
3 - Tosen Impact (Race 7, No.3) — $3.28
Why Slow tempo, handy map, and the kind of horse that can park up, switch off, and outsprint them when the sting goes out of it.
Multi (all three to win): $10 x ~88.56 = ~$885.58 collect

Race 1 - The Stayers' Slugfest

Race type: Maiden, 1900m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace - enough pressure to sort the wheat from the chaff, but not a tearaway war
Punty read: This is a proper honest maiden where a few of them have had more chances than a dodgy plumber, but the model is leaning to No.7 Pretey Royal because the back half of the race should give him every chance to wind up. No.3 Beyond The Limits and No.2 Infrastructure are right in the mix if the race gets run to suit, while No.1 Obscentino has the map to be on speed and keep kicking. No.10 Miss Jimmada is the roughie that can run into it if they overdo the tempo. The favourite No.3 looks a bit skinny for mine in a race where the line can come at you like a freight train.

Top 3 + Roughie ($12.00 pool)

1. Pretey Royal (No.7) — $5.05 / $1.90
Prob 17.8% | Place: 36.3% | Value: 0.97x
Bet $12.00 Each Way ($6.00W + $6.00P), return $30.30 (wins) / $11.40 (places)
Why Needs a fair tempo and a bit of luck early, but this is the sort of race where the runners-on can come into it late if the leaders get chewing the clock too hard.
2. Beyond The Limits (No.3) — $3.65 / $1.37
Prob 15.4% | Place: 32.6% | Value: 0.99x
Bet No Bet
Why Legitmate bounce-back chance if the interference last start is forgiven, but the place line is too tight to get me steaming in.
3. Infrastructure (No.2) — $7.05 / $2.35
Prob 14.3% | Place: 30.7% | Value: 0.93x
Bet No Bet
Why Has the right sort of engine to be there late, but in this company I want the place ticket to do more talking before I get involved.
Roughie: Miss Jimmada (No.10) — $12.75 / $3.60
Prob 11.6% | Place: 25.9% | Value: 0.94x
Bet No Bet
Why If they make it a slog and the swoopers are flying, she's one of the few that can come over the top and nick a cheque.

Degenerate Exotic of the Race

Quinella Box: 7, 3, 2 — $15
Why Tight little top trio with a few ways this can play out if the tempo is solid. Box it and let the race sort itself out.

Race 2 - The Baby Sprinters

Race type: Maiden, 1190m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace - there'll be no hiding place if they go too hard early
Punty read: I like the shape of this one for No.7 Artie's Eclipse, even with the outside-ish alley, because the speed map says he can park up and still be in the conversation when it counts. No.1 I'm A Soulman has been backed and should be right there, while No.10 Royal Talk and No.6 Areduet are the ones who can bob up if the favourite gets the slightest wobble. No.3 Foxy Rascal is the smoky - massive drift, sure, but if the market's overreacted and the rail run appears, he can snag a slice. This is a proper junior race where one bad start can turn your ticket into a napkin.

Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)

1. Artie's Eclipse (No.7) — $5.25 / $1.70
Prob 23.7% | Place: 42.7% | Value: 0.84x
Bet $15.00 Win, return $78.75
Why Maps to press on and control his own patch of turf, and the market drift hasn't scared me off because the race still reads like a decent setup.
2. I'm A Soulman (No.1) — $2.325 / $1.25
Prob 22.9% | Place: 41.9% | Value: 0.87x
Bet No Bet
Why The support is obvious and the sprint map suits, but he's short enough already without me forcing it.
3. Royal Talk (No.10) — $5.75 / $1.85
Prob 11.6% | Place: 25.4% | Value: 0.84x
Bet No Bet
Why If the pace is hot and the track's playing fair, he can clatter home late, but the numbers say let someone else be the hero.
Roughie: Areduet (No.6) — $10.00 / $2.70
Prob 10.2% | Place: 22.8% | Value: 1.52x
Bet No Bet
Why Big drift, yes, but the excuse last time is legit and if the pace is honest enough he can be the one rattling home when the leaders are gasping.

Degenerate Exotic of the Race

Quinella Box: 7, 1, 10 — $15
Why The race has enough speed and enough uncertainty to keep the box alive. If the map gets a bit lippy, one of these three should be in the money.

Race 3 - The Highway Handicap

Race type: Handicap, 1190m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace - a proper battle on the front end
Punty read: This is the race where the favourite No.7 Four Seas is short enough to make you itchy, but I still prefer the map and the value around No.1 Fameux and No.4 Via Monte. No.4 has copped monster support and that sort of move at a sprint like this usually means someone upstairs has seen the movie before. No.3 Three Grand is the classy enough type if the blinkers sharpen him up, while No.6 Send It Son is another who can stalk the speed and get the last crack at them. No.1 Fameux from barrier 1 gets the kind of trip that can make a punter look like a genius or an idiot, and today I'm tipping the first version.

Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)

1. Fameux (No.1) — $5.15 / $1.75
Prob 21.4% | Place: 40.3% | Value: 1.39x
Bet $15.00 Win, return $77.25
Why The inside draw is gold in a race like this, and if he gets the sit behind the speed he's got the right map to stalk and pounce.
2. Via Monte (No.4) — $13.25 / $3.30
Prob 17.8% | Place: 35.6% | Value: 2.97x
Bet No Bet
Why Huge market push says the stable means business, and if that money's genuine he's the sort to get the last shot at them.
3. Three Grand (No.3) — $3.53 / $1.37
Prob 17.4% | Place: 34.9% | Value: 0.77x
Bet No Bet
Why Blinkers could sharpen the old fella up, but he's not giving me enough place comfort at the price.
Roughie: I'm That Girl (No.8) — $18.25 / $4.20
Prob 3.0% | Place: 7.2% | Value: 0.68x
Bet No Bet
Why She's the sort that needs a race meltdown and a bit of divine intervention, so she's a map-based bolt from the blue.

Degenerate Exotic of the Race

Quinella Box: 1, 4, 3 — $15
Why Tight top trio in a race with a few credible outcomes. Box it and pray the speed map does the rest.

Race 4 - The Speed Trap

Race type: Handicap, 1100m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace - the sort of sprint where position is everything
Punty read: This is the smoke-and-mirrors race of the day. No.2 Good Vibes is favourite but looks vulnerable from the alley and the map says he might be doing more work than a bloke moving house on a Sunday. I want to be on No.7 Diamond Light, even with the drift, because the model says he can jump, roll, and make them chase. No.3 Adrett has the class to matter if the noseband sparks him up, while No.5 Torqued Up is the kind of roughie that can absolutely break your heart or your wallet depending on which version turns up. No.1 First Law and No.4 Lady Negroni are the sneaky ones who can keep themselves in the frame if the leaders overcook it.

Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)

1. Diamond Light (No.7) — $13.25 / $3.30
Prob 17.6% | Place: 34.2% | Value: 2.95x
Bet $15.00 Place, return $49.50
Why Drift aside, the map still says he can control the race or sit in the first wave and get his chance.
2. Adrett (No.3) — $4.10 / $1.37
Prob 17.1% | Place: 33.5% | Value: 0.89x
Bet No Bet
Why The gear tweak is worth respecting, but he's got to be sharper than last time to justify a serious ticket.
3. Torqued Up (No.5) — $18.75 / $3.80
Prob 16.5% | Place: 32.7% | Value: 3.92x
Bet No Bet
Why Massive roughie profile if the race blows up, but he's not the sort I want to overbet in a sprint scramble.
Roughie: First Law (No.1) — $16.25 / $3.50
Prob 11.1% | Place: 23.8% | Value: 2.29x
Bet No Bet
Why Held up last time and can bounce if the inside run opens up at the right moment.

Degenerate Exotic of the Race

Trifecta Standout: 7, 3 / 7, 3, 5, 1 / 7, 3, 5, 1, 4 — $15
Why This is a proper chaos sprint, so I want the shortlist but I also want enough cover to survive a blow-up finish.

Race 5 - The Pressure Cooker

Race type: Class 5, 1190m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace - and the lead isn't getting a freebie
Punty read: This is a filthy little betting race. No.6 Imapagethree Girl has the map and the form line to make a serious fist of it, even if the drift says the market's had a sniff and isn't fully sold. No.9 Kamakazi Shooter is the roughie with the right sort of late run if the speed cuts each other's throats, while No.7 Zouboltz is always a chance to lob somewhere handy and keep grinding. No.1 Cruise To Victory has the right excuse and can bounce first-up, but I don't want to die wondering on him at this price. No.2 Too Much Talk gets the bar plates and should be respected, yet the favourite profile still looks a touch too hot for comfort.

Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)

1. Imapagethree Girl (No.6) — $7.60 / $2.25
Prob 18.8% | Place: 35.7% | Value: 1.82x
Bet $15.00 Each Way ($7.50W + $7.50P), return $57.00 (wins) / $16.88 (places)
Why Maps beautifully enough to sit in the first wave, and if the tempo gets hot she can still land the right run.
2. Kamakazi Shooter (No.9) — $14.25 / $3.30
Prob 16.3% | Place: 32.2% | Value: 2.96x
Bet No Bet
Why Big mover, genuine excuse last time, and if the race gets messy he's the one who can swoop late like Batman on a deadline.
3. Zouboltz (No.7) — $5.25 / $1.65
Prob 15.5% | Place: 30.9% | Value: 1.03x
Bet No Bet
Why Handy enough in the run and honest as a dog on a sausage, but I want a cleaner place line before I get brave.
Roughie: Cruise To Victory (No.1) — $10.30 / $2.60
Prob 12.7% | Place: 26.3% | Value: 1.66x
Bet No Bet
Why First-up, excuse noted, and if he lands the right spot he can absolutely outrun that price.

Degenerate Exotic of the Race

Quinella Box: 6, 9, 7 — $15
Why This is the sort of race where the pace can go full Thunderdome. Box the trio and let them sort out the bloodbath.

Race 6 - The Middle-Distance Grunt

Race type: Handicap, 1720m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace - tactical, but not a sit-and-sprint
Punty read: This is a good old-fashioned Narrogin grinder where No.2 Rock Of Kaha gets the nod from me because he maps neatly and can forgive that last run with the held-up excuse. No.6 No Second Thoughts and No.7 Norma Stars are the value types - both have enough in their profiles to knock over a race like this if the tempo works and the gaps appear. No.3 Anna's Boy is the classier sort in the market but the price says the bookies are expecting him to do the heavy lifting, and I'm not keen on taking short enough quotes in a race where position and patience matter. No.9 Lead By Example is the kind of one that can hang around for a place if the race becomes a war of attrition.

Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)

1. Rock Of Kaha (No.2) — $9.35 / $3.00
Prob 15.6% | Place: 30.2% | Value: 1.95x
Bet $15.00 Place, return $45.00
Why Good gate, suitable trip, and the sort of setup where he can settle into the race and finish over the top of them.
2. No Second Thoughts (No.6) — $17.75 / $4.40
Prob 13.8% | Place: 27.5% | Value: 3.27x
Bet No Bet
Why Bounced around in the finish last time and if the race turns into a slog he can absolutely be the one doing the mowing.
3. Norma Stars (No.7) — $12.50 / $3.50
Prob 12.7% | Place: 25.7% | Value: 2.12x
Bet No Bet
Why Needs things to fall her way, but the excuse line says there's a bounce-back hiding in there somewhere.
Roughie: Who Told Kayla (No.4) — $13.75 / $3.70
Prob 4.7% | Place: 11.0% | Value: 0.85x
Bet No Bet
Why Better than last start suggests, but this looks more like a minor money run than a knockout blow.

Degenerate Exotic of the Race

Quinella Box: 2, 6, 7 — $15
Why This is the race where the box makes sense - enough doubts, enough ways for one of the value runners to crash the party.

Race 7 - The Slow-Burn Stoush

Race type: Handicap, 1900m
Map & tempo: Slow pace - tactical as hell, and that usually helps the horses up near the paint
Punty read: This is the race where the pace can turn into a chess match, and I want No.3 Tosen Impact sitting in the right chair when the music stops. No.1 Magic Mikey is the obvious danger because he's rock-solid at the trip and can handle the grind, while No.11 King Of Cordoba is the big price roughie who can run into the frame if they hand him the right lane. No.2 Pecos is another one that can bob up if the tempo gets silly, and No.7 Lakeview Lightning isn't the worst either with the market starting to sniff around. No.4 Lien Hyphen could easily be the one that gets the cushy sit and turns the screws late if the race becomes a crawl-and-sprint affair.

Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)

1. Tosen Impact (No.3) — $3.28 / $1.35
Prob 20.7% | Place: 41.3% | Value: 0.87x
Bet $15.00 Win, return $49.13
Why Slow tempo is his friend, and from the map he should get the sort of run that keeps him out of trouble and in the fight.
2. Magic Mikey (No.1) — $5.45 / $1.90
Prob 17.6% | Place: 36.8% | Value: 1.24x
Bet No Bet
Why Honest as they come, right at the trip, and the inside draw means he'll be right there when the whips start flailing.
3. King Of Cordoba (No.11) — $22.00 / $4.80
Prob 13.0% | Place: 29.2% | Value: 3.69x
Bet No Bet
Why The map gives him a puncher's chance if they dawdle early and sprint late.
Roughie: Pecos (No.2) — $13.00 / $3.30
Prob 12.6% | Place: 28.5% | Value: 2.11x
Bet No Bet
Why If he gets a soft enough time in front of him, he's the sneaky one who can stick his nose in the photo.

Degenerate Exotic of the Race

Trifecta Standout: 3, 1 / 3, 1, 11, 2 / 3, 1, 11, 2, 7 — $15
Why Slow pace races are a bastard for certainty, so I want the standout anchored and a few late-runners underneath to catch the shape if it gets weird.

SEQUENCE LANES

QUADDIE (Races 4-7)

Smart: 7, 3, 5, 2 / 6, 9, 7, 8 / 2, 6, 7, 3, 9 / 3, 1, 11, 2 (320 combos x $0.12 = $40) — 12% flexi
This is a full-blown chaos ticket: four open legs and only one real anchor vibe in the whole thing. Big payout if it lands, but you are basically asking the racing gods for a favour and a hug.

NUGGETS FROM THE TRACK

1 - Rail True, but the breeze still matters
On a Good 3 with gusts around, the horses that can hold a handy spot without overworking are the sweet spot. Watch the sprints - the ones trying to come from another postcode may be in trouble.

2 - Market support is strongest when it matches the map
Via Monte, Diamond Light and Imapagethree Girl all have proper reasons behind the money, not just random smoke. When the market and the speed map line up, that's when you want to listen.

3 - Narrogin can turn tactical in the last two races
Race 7 is the classic slow-pace sting. If you back a backmarker there and it doesn't get help, you're basically asking it to fly like a Star Wars speeder in peak-hour traffic.

THE DEGEN DEN

Narrogin's got enough moving parts today to make a bloke's head wobble, so don't force the issue where the price doesn't match the risk. Back the horses with the map, respect the market moves that make sense, and let the chaos races pay for the beers. Gamble Responsibly.

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