Monday, 15 June 2026
No more jumps at this meeting today.
Punty's Punts
Race type: Maiden Plate, 1600m
Map & tempo: Slow tempo, and the backmarkers are the ones who'll need the race to fall in a heap
Punty read: This is a funny little maiden because the pace is crawling and that usually turns the race into a test of who can travel without doing anything stupid. Oakfield Nevada has been smashed in and that's enough to make me sit up, even if the map isn't screaming "free lunch". The stable clearly means business, and in a soft-track maiden you sometimes just want the one with the clearest intent rather than the prettiest form line.
Top 3 + Roughie ($20.00 pool)
1. Oakfield Nevada (No.7) — $2.48 / $1.37 🏆 3RD
Bet $15.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 24.9% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 0.74x
Why The market's already told its story here, and in a small maiden like this the horse with the strongest push and a workable enough run can just keep finding. She's the one they're taking seriously.
2. Memphis Blue (No.2) — $4.00 / $2.00 🏆 WINNER
Bet $5.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$5.00
Prob 17.8% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.97x
Why Blinkers on can sharpen him up, but the drift says the punters aren't fully sold and he's still got a few question marks to answer.
3. Northfire (No.3) — $6.40 / $2.50 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.7% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 0.95x
Why The winkers first time are the nudge, and he's not without hope, but this looks more like a place-in-the-frame type than a must-have bet.
Roughie: Pinero (No.8) — $10.50 / $3.70 🏆 5TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 7.1% | Place: 39.9% | Value: 0.89x
Why If the race turns into a sit-and-sprint and the leaders get wobbly, he's the sort who can swoop into the placings. Needs a bit of help, though.
Race type: Maiden Hcp, 1200m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo, with Haras and Ordinary Angel up on the speed and At Church parked awkwardly wide
Punty read: This is where the day starts getting serious. Haras has the market love, the map edge and the right kind of on-speed profile for a 1200m maiden on a soft surface. Ordinary Angel is the obvious danger from the better draw, but Haras just looks the one with the most ways to win. Insatiable's the sort of horse that can nick a place without being flashy, and the rough stuff behind them looks like a collection of maybes and prayers.
Top 3 + Roughie ($23.00 pool)
1. Haras (No.3) — $2.71 / $1.25 🏆 WINNER
Bet $18.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$30.78
Prob 43.5% | Place: 95.0% | Value: 1.40x
Why He's the one the market has latched onto for good reason, maps on the speed, gets the first crack at it, and looks the yard's proper go.
2. Ordinary Angel (No.2) — $2.76 / $1.25 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 20.2% | Place: 66.7% | Value: 1.07x
Why Honest enough and the inside draw helps, but in this shape he's more the one to make Haras work than the one to frighten the pants off him.
3. Insatiable (No.10) — $3.62 / $1.30 🏆 8TH
Bet $5.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$5.00
Prob 18.6% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 0.93x
Why Not the flashiest type in the field, but if the speed gets a bit warm, he's the kind of grinder who can hang around and nick a place late.
Roughie: Idol Bye (No.7) — $18.25 / $3.50 🏆 5TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 3.9% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 0.49x
Why If the race gets messy and they overcook it up front, he's the sort who can run on into the minor money. Needs the tempo to go pear-shaped.
Race type: Maiden Plate, 1000m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo, with Eezitosort and Rapid Ready expected to roll along
Punty read: The 1000m sprints can make grown men cry if you get the map wrong, and this one has a few horses who look like they need the race to be run like a bar fight. Supido Star is the classier one of the bunch, and while he's not the obvious pace horse, he's the type who can put himself into the finish if the leaders go harder than they should. The stable has kept the gear simple and that usually says they're trying to get the head straight rather than reinvent the wheel.
Top 3 + Roughie ($12.00 pool)
1. Supido Star (No.8) — $3.30 / $1.50 🏆 2ND
Bet $12.00 Each Way ($6.00W + $6.00P) — Cashed, net -$1.80
Prob 22.6% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 0.62x
Why He's the one with the best mix of ability and race presence, and if the speed is genuine enough, he gets every chance to finish over the top of them.
2. Scathingly (No.2) — $5.20 / $2.00 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 16.0% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 0.94x
Why The tongue tie coming off is interesting, and the inside gate helps, but he still needs a clean trip and a bit of luck to be a proper threat.
3. Tesorino (No.9) — $4.90 / $2.00 🏆 5TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.2% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.10x
Why There's enough last-start excuse to forgive the miss, but he's still got to prove he can put it all together when the pressure comes on.
Roughie: Sable Coat (No.11) — $9.00 / $2.90 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.6% | Place: 39.9% | Value: 1.35x
Why Could clunk into the exotics if the speed melts and the race falls apart, but he's not the kind of roughie you want to marry.
Race type: Benchmark 66, 2100m
Map & tempo: Genuine tempo, with Nature Boy rolling and the genuine closers getting their chance
Punty read: This is a proper staying test and the race shape says the ones who can settle, relax and finish are the ones you want to side with. Spenzalot gets the top billing because the race should be run to suit a horse who can build rather than burn, and Bellini Spritz is the obvious class horse who cops the wrong kind of map. Currumbin Alley is the honest type who'll be thereabouts if he gets the right run, while Rockbarton Icon is the sort of roughie that can sneak into the frame if the leaders turn it into a slog.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Spenzalot (No.3) — $4.15 / $1.55 🏆 WINNER
Bet $11.00 Each Way ($5.50W + $5.50P) — ✓ Won, net +$24.75
Prob 20.2% | Place: 46.3% | Value: 1.05x
Why Genuine tempo is his friend, and if the front few are cooking each other, he's the one who can come into it late and make the others pay.
2. Bellini Spritz (No.1) — $4.05 / $1.50 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 18.7% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 0.94x
Why The form is solid and the class is there, but the map is a bit ugly and he's got to do a bit more work than the winner.
3. Currumbin Alley (No.2) — $3.00 / $1.35 🏆 9TH
Bet $4.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$4.00
Prob 18.7% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.70x
Why Honest as the day is long and likely to run his race, but he's a little too short in the market for what the map is asking of him.
Roughie: Rockbarton Icon (No.5) — $10.25 / $2.80 🏆 10TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.2% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.30x
Why If this turns into a real grind and the better-fancied ones get stuck in traffic, he's the sort who can keep punching late and snag a slice.
Race type: Benchmark 58, 1400m
Map & tempo: Slow tempo, which means the map matters a hell of a lot more than normal
Punty read: This is one of those low-grade battles where half the field has had a market cuddle and the other half looks like it's only here because the feed bin was full. Set To Prophet gets the nod because he's got the early position and the money's come for him, but this is a race where the slightest hesitation can blow the whole thing apart. Brutal Elegance is the sneaky place angle, The Great Armada has some recent juice, and To Be Frank is the type who can bounce back if you forgive the last run excuses.
Top 3 + Roughie ($10.50 pool)
1. Set To Prophet (No.9) — $5.50 / $1.90 🏆 WINNER
Bet $7.00 Each Way ($3.50W + $3.50P) — ✓ Won, net +$26.25
Prob 13.1% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.89x
Why He's been backed like he can do the job, and from a handy enough spot in a slowly run benchmark, that's often half the battle.
2. Course Of Action (No.15) — $5.65 / $2.15 🏆 10TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.1% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.91x
Why He's the kind of horse who can run a nice race without winning one, but in this setup I'm not desperate to go back twice.
3. Brutal Elegance (No.11) — $11.75 / $3.40 🏆 11TH
Bet $3.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$3.50
Prob 8.6% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 1.24x
Why The tongue tie coming off is interesting, the price is juicy enough, and if the race turns into a messy little crawl, she can sneak into the money.
Roughie: The Great Armada (No.4) — $10.25 / $2.85 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.1% | Place: 39.9% | Value: 1.16x
Why There's enough market confidence to respect him, and if he gets the right run he can be there late, but I'm not dying on the hill.
Race type: Class 3, 1200m
Map & tempo: Genuine tempo, with Irish Jig out in front and Winged getting the race shape to suit
Punty read: This is the one that can blow the meeting open. Cheval Chic has had the gear strip-down, the market has shown its hand, and the map says he can sit handy without doing too much work early. Dub is the reliable type who can land somewhere useful, Denman Bandit has the sort of form that keeps you interested, and Quick Sharp is the dangerous one at a price if the speed turns into a demolition derby. The drifters in this race are waving the wrong sort of smoke.
Top 3 + Roughie ($10.50 pool)
1. Cheval Chic (No.2) — $6.75 / $2.30 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $10.50 Each Way ($5.25W + $5.25P) — ✗ Lost, net -$10.50
Prob 14.6% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.28x
Why The gear changes say they're trying to wake him up, and from a good enough spot he gets every chance to stalk the speed and launch.
2. Dub (No.3) — $5.25 / $2.00 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.6% | Place: 46.3% | Value: 0.99x
Why He's solid and maps okay, but I'd rather have him in the frame than burning extra stakes trying to cover every angle.
3. Denman Bandit (No.5) — $5.75 / $2.15 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.6% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.09x
Why Honest enough to keep around the mark, though the race shape and weight situation make him more a watch-list horse than a bet.
Roughie: Quick Sharp (No.10) — $9.40 / $3.30 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.6% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.42x
Why If they go too hard up front and the thing turns into a blowout late, he's the one that can clatter home and ruin a few exotics.
Race type: Benchmark 58, 1000m
Map & tempo: Genuine tempo, with Lyrical Beauty leading and Iknowyou in the sweet spot just behind
Punty read: The last is a proper little speed puzzle. Iknowyou has been backed from the clouds and the map says he should get the run to justify it, while Lyrical Beauty is the sort of fresh horse who can make a mess of the late finish if she finds the front and controls things. Solar Blast is the place chance that can keep turning the screws, and Pretty Cheeky is the roughie with enough juice to spike a result if the race gets a bit soft in the middle stages.
Top 3 + Roughie ($16.00 pool)
1. Iknowyou (No.7) — $4.30 / $1.75 🏆 WINNER
Bet $10.00 Each Way ($5.00W + $5.00P) — ✓ Won, net +$22.50
Prob 13.0% | Place: 33.9% | Value: 0.72x
Why He's the one the market has hammered, and from the right lane in a 1000m dash he can stalk and pounce without needing a miracle.
2. Lyrical Beauty (No.8) — $6.30 / $2.25 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.0% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.05x
Why Fresh horse, speed on tap, and if she finds a rhythm out front she can make the others chase shadows.
3. Solar Blast (No.4) — $8.55 / $2.80 🏆 3RD
Bet $6.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$13.20
Prob 10.5% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.16x
Why The honest place horse in a race that can get messy late, and from a reasonable draw he should be doing his best work on the line.
Roughie: Pretty Cheeky (No.6) — $9.30 / $3.00 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.0% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 1.31x
Why If the speed bunches up and the race opens late, he's the one that can pinch a cheeky slice of the pie.
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 1,2,3,5 / 9,15,4 / 3,2,5,10 / 8,4,6,7 (192 combos x $0.21 = $40.00) -- 21% flexi
The day's multi leans on three win legs across the card.
1 - Haras (Race 2, No.3)✓ Won — $2.71
2 - Spenzalot (Race 4, No.3)✓ Won — $4.15
3 - Cheval Chic (Race 6, No.2) — $6.75
Meeting Stats
Selections
Punty's Early Mail
Rightio Loose Units, Tamworth on a Soft 6 with the rail out a touch is one of those cards where the track can look fair on paper and still mug you if you get sucked into the wrong shape. The sprints are going to reward horses with clean runs and a bit of toe, while the middle trips look like they'll ask plenty of the ones trying to loop the field like they're in a Fast & Furious sequel.
MEET SNAPSHOT
Track: Tamworth, 1000m-2100m card
Rail: +3m 1000m-350m, True Remainder
Official going: Soft 6 (expected to play fair, with an on-speed lean in the shorter races)
Weather: Partly cloudy, 19C, humidity 58%, wind 14km/h ESE (watch for a late chop if that rain risk sneaks in)
Early lane guess: Middle lanes in the sprints look the sweet spot; in the staying races, you can still make ground if they don't crawl
Tempo profile: A few crawl-and-sprint affairs early, but Races 2, 4 and 6 should be run at a proper clip
Jockeys to follow:
Aaron Bullock, lands on plenty of the key rides and when the money's behind him, he usually doesn't muck around
Mikayla Weir, has Haras and Spenzalot in the book; if the map's decent, she's right in the thick of it
Jacob Stiff, gets a few handy rides in the late races and could be the bloke who knifes through on the right horse
Stables to respect:
S I Singleton (5 runners), Haras, Ordinary Angel, Spenzalot, Dub and Pretty Cheeky; that's a serious hand across the card
Brett & Georgie Cavanough (3 runners), Currumbin Alley, Insatiable and Iknowyou; plenty of punch if the race shape suits
P J Cunningham (4 runners), Bellini Spritz, Mammoth Mountain, Kate's Tiara and My Angel Shell; some genuine value hiding in there
Punty's take: Tamworth on Soft 6 is not the place to be precious. If you're back there loitering off them and hoping for miracles, you'll spend the afternoon doing your best impression of a bloke who missed the train. The pattern today screams map, manners and momentum. The sprints are going to punish the lazy ones, the middle-distance races will give the grinders a chance to muscle into it, and the quaddie is a proper little minefield because the last four legs are all live.
The market's already had a sniff at the obvious ones. Haras has been crunched in Race 2 like the bagman left the door open, Spenzalot has firmed enough to tell you the stable means business, and Cheval Chic has had the gear surgery that usually says "we're trying to wake this thing up". On the flip side, the drifters like Ruairi, Bill Peyto and Edge Of Reward are waving red flags big enough to park a bus on. Not every move is gospel, but when the market and the map agree, that's where the dollars usually live.
What it means for you: This is not the day to go full gallop into every favourite and hope for a hero. The better play is to lean on the horses that have the map, the stable intent and a clean enough path to be in the finish. Races 2, 4 and 6 are the anchor points. Race 7 is the messy one where you protect with a couple of useful types and don't get too romantic about roughies just because they're paying a lazy number.
I'd be more inclined to play the places and each ways in the races that look like they'll split up late, and keep the win bets for the ones with a proper edge in the run. In plain English: Haras looks the banker, Spenzalot is the quaddie swinger, Cheval Chic is the value anchor, and the rest of the card is about not doing your block in the chaos races. If the track plays the way it should, the on-speed crew gets first dibs and the swoopers need the race to be run upside down. That's the game.