Tuesday, 05 May 2026
No more jumps at this meeting today.
Punty's Punts
Race type: Maiden, 1007m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace, with Kissavos, Sunstaz and Probing all handy enough to ensure this isn't a sit-and-sprint lottery
Punty read: Kissavos is the obvious boss of the race, and the market agrees - but he's not a gift, he's just the horse that looks most likely to get the job done. Sunstaz is the one I'd watch if you're looking for the swooping threat, but the blinkers off and the map say he may be left with too much to do. Ms Wicked Showgirl is sneaky enough to run a drum if she gets the right cart into it, while Nulkaba Star is the roughie who could hang around for a cheque if the leaders overdo things.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Kissavos (No.4) — $1.48 / $1.04 🏆 WINNER
Bet $15.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$4.50
Prob 35.3% | Place: 24.3% | Value: 0.92x
Why He's the one with the pattern, the position and the market confidence. The bloke they all have to catch.
2. Sunstaz (No.5) — $5.90 / $1.37 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 16.7% | Place: 17.2% | Value: 1.11x
Why A real chance — but at $1.37 the place he's not a saver, he's a punt, and that's not a price I insure at. Watching, not betting.
3. Ms Wicked Showgirl (No.9) — $9.45 / $1.95 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.7% | Place: 14.9% | Value: 1.58x
Why Has been nibbling around and the money is sniffing, but she still needs the right run from barrier 3 to turn that into a proper result.
Roughie: Nulkaba Star (No.10) — $11.25 / $2.15 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 12.8% | Place: 14.1% | Value: 1.04x
Why If the leaders get into a wrestle and the race turns into a scrap, he's the sort that can clatter into the finish and blow up the exotics.
Race type: Maiden Plate, 1262m
Map & tempo: Slow pace, and that means Koritsi and Wootton Please are the main map shapes to beat
Punty read: This is one of those ugly little maidens where the first horse to blink might lose the race. Koritsi is the one the form guide and the map both like, but she's got no margin for mucking around. Been There has had the money and the gear changes say the yard is trying to get a spark out of him, while Frogmore is the quiet one from barrier 1 who can sit in the sweet spot and keep peeling away. Dellucy is the sneaky each-way type if the race turns into a late-lane grind.
Top 3 + Roughie ($13.00 pool)
1. Koritsi (No.7) — $2.12 / $1.17 🏆 WINNER
Bet $13.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$13.00
Prob 28.8% | Place: 0.0% | Value: 0.88x
Why Best map in the race and enough ticker to take advantage if they crawl early. She's the one they'll be leaning on.
2. Wootton Please (No.11) — $2.98 / $1.25 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 17.7% | Place: 0.0% | Value: 0.81x
Why A real chance — but at $1.25 the place he's not a saver, he's a punt, and that's not a price I insure at. Watching, not betting.
3. Been There (No.2) — $6.95 / $1.85 🏆 8TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.7% | Place: 0.0% | Value: 1.29x
Why The gear changes and market support are real enough, but he still has to convert that into a clean first-up performance.
Roughie: Frogmore (No.6) — $10.00 / $2.25 🏆 6TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.0% | Place: 0.0% | Value: 1.03x
Why Barrier 1 in a crawl can be a dream if the gaps appear. He's the sort that can slip into the play if the favourites get themselves in a tangle.
Race type: Maiden Plate, 1262m
Map & tempo: Slow pace, with Seven Wonders and Colorado Tycoon the ones advantaged if they can control or stalk the tempo
Punty read: Yesspecially is the short-price anchor and the market has basically slapped a giant neon sign on him. If he jumps and settles, he's right in the game. Seven Wonders is the one I want with a bit of running room late - William A Stanley can give him the perfect cold-blooded ride - and Bonjour Bill is the sort of rough opener who can bob up if the pace goes nowhere and the blinkers help him switch on. Torpedo Tube is the smoky for the quinella types if the race gets messy.
Top 3 + Roughie ($10.00 pool)
1. Yesspecially (No.10) — $1.65 / $1.13 🏆 WINNER
Bet $4.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$3.20
Prob 35.2% | Place: 0.0% | Value: 0.74x
Why The stable has pulled the right strings with the gear, the market has firmed him hard, and he's the horse they've come for.
2. Seven Wonders (No.9) — $4.95 / $1.55 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $6.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$6.00
Prob 19.1% | Place: 0.0% | Value: 0.76x
Why He looks the right horse to be powering late if the front pair don't go mad. Nice fit for the map, nice fit for the race shape.
3. Bonjour Bill (No.1) — $11.25 / $2.50 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.0% | Place: 0.0% | Value: 1.14x
Why Blinkers first time is the obvious kick in the backside, but the drift says the market wants proof before it goes all-in.
Roughie: Saturn Rising (No.8) — $13.25 / $3.20 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 8.1% | Place: 0.0% | Value: 0.95x
Why He can get into the right slot, but the big drift is the market tapping him on the shoulder and saying "show me".
Race type: Class 1, 2018m
Map & tempo: Slow pace, with a proper bunching effect and the backmarkers needing the race to loosen up late
Punty read: This is where the quaddie starts to get cheeky. On Any Tuesday is the only one in the first layer that really makes you sit up, and even then he's not exactly a moral - just the one with the best map for a race like this. Simply Gold is the favourite, but at that price I'm not keen to go hammer-and-tongs in a race where the heavy track and slow tempo can turn a short-priced horse into a hostage. Farraige is the roughie with the wet-weather profile, while Thinkin' Bo You and Legs Power are the ones who can come rolling late if the race falls apart.
Top 3 + Roughie ($10.50 pool)
1. On Any Tuesday (No.9) — $5.50 / $1.45 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $10.50 Each Way ($5.25W + $5.25P) — ✗ Lost, net -$10.50
Prob 19.3% | Place: 31.0% | Value: 1.24x
Why The map is kind to him and this is exactly the sort of race where a horse with a decent position can bully the late stages.
2. Simply Gold (No.11) — $1.65 / $1.10 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 18.9% | Place: 30.6% | Value: 0.36x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Master Of War (No.7) — $5.25 / $1.45 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 17.8% | Place: 29.3% | Value: 1.09x
Why Honest enough and the rail draw helps, but if the race turns into a crawl he can get boxed into the wrong part of the movie.
Roughie: Farraige (No.2) — $30.00 / $4.00 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.5% | Place: 20.7% | Value: 4.00x
Why Heavy-track filth and a decent map can turn him into a monster if the old hands up front go too hard too early.
Race type: Benchmark 66, 1614m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace, with Off The Scale, Contaldo and Ken'ker the likely on-speed cast members
Punty read: This is a proper wet-track handicap where the leaders can get exposed if they burn too much petrol. Off The Scale is the one with the best blend of map and recent form, and I'm happy to lean his way despite the market not turning it into a party. Amarone is the classy sort sitting there with the right profile, but the price is a bit skinny for the job. Talana and Oakfield Peewee are the value plays if you want to play the race rather than fall in love with the favourite. Thebes has had the money too, but he's not my lane from the data.
Top 3 + Roughie ($10.50 pool)
1. Off The Scale (No.1) — $5.60 / $2.10 🏆 4TH
Bet $10.50 Each Way ($5.25W + $5.25P) — ✗ Lost, net -$10.50
Prob 16.4% | Place: 26.8% | Value: 1.11x
Why On-pace, handles a grind, and maps to get every chance if the speed isn't a complete backyard scuffle.
2. Amarone (No.4) — $4.65 / $1.80 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.5% | Place: 25.6% | Value: 0.87x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Talana (No.2) — $8.45 / $2.50 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.2% | Place: 22.5% | Value: 1.35x
Why The wet track is her friend and the market has already had a nibble, but the race shape needs to open up for her to fully cash in.
Roughie: Oakfield Peewee (No.5) — $14.50 / $3.30 🏆 11TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 8.7% | Place: 15.8% | Value: 1.53x
Why If the speed gets brutal and the leaders fold like a cheap deck chair, he's the one who can come over the top and spoil the picnic.
Race type: Benchmark 58, 1312m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace, with Wilderness Star likely leading and Nikody's Binks the map horse getting the perfect run
Punty read: This is the race where the map actually matters more than the romance. Silver Tempest is the one we're backing with a bit of confidence because the race gives him enough rope to be dangerous, and the rider/trainer numbers are handy enough to keep the faith. Whiskers is the juicy value and the sort of horse that can absolutely motor home if the early pace cooks the leaders. Sunday is the other one that can stalk and strike, but from the inside he's got to make sure he doesn't get buried behind the wrong wall of horses. Nikody's Binks has been hammered in the market and I can see why - he maps to get every chance.
Top 3 + Roughie ($13.00 pool)
1. Silver Tempest (No.1) — $5.15 / $2.00 🏆 WINNER
Bet $13.00 Each Way ($6.50W + $6.50P) — ✓ Won, net +$55.25
Prob 14.1% | Place: 35.7% | Value: 0.97x
Why He's got a neat enough profile for a genuine-pace race and the wet deck shouldn't knock him off his game.
2. Whiskers (No.11) — $15.25 / $4.20 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.1% | Place: 35.6% | Value: 2.88x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Sunday (No.8) — $11.00 / $3.50 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 12.1% | Place: 31.4% | Value: 1.78x
Why On pace enough to be dangerous if he controls the right rhythm, but the price says he has to do it the hard way.
Roughie: Nikody's Binks (No.9) — $9.60 / $3.30 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 7.7% | Place: 21.2% | Value: 0.99x
Why He's the pace horse with the support, but the race could turn into a grind and that's where the late swoopers start licking their lips.
Race type: Benchmark 58, 1007m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace, with Dusan and Ensign Parker likely prominent and Picasso's Dream the one the market can't quite make up its mind about
Punty read: This is a classic Taree dash where the map is everything and the drift chart is trying to troll us. Dusan is the one I want on the numbers - he sits in the right spot, the form is honest, and the place play makes sense in a race where two places is the main prize. Picasso's Dream has the class profile to absolutely lob and mug them, but the drift is ugly enough to keep him in the "respect, don't marry" file. Ensign Parker is the solid anchor if you're looking to survive the leg, while Risk Assessment is the roughie the market keeps nudging but we don't need to blow the budget on.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Picasso's Dream (No.4) — $9.50 / $3.90 🏆 5TH
Bet $15.00 Each Way ($7.50W + $7.50P) — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 23.0% | Place: 25.8% | Value: 2.74x
Why He's the one with the best attacking profile, but the drift says the market wants you to prove it before you get too excited.
2. Dusan (No.3) — $5.10 / $2.35 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 20.7% | Place: 23.6% | Value: 1.32x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Ensign Parker (No.1) — $4.65 / $2.15 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 17.8% | Place: 20.8% | Value: 1.03x
Why Barrier 1 gives him every tactical chance to stick around, but this is one of those races where you don't need to overcook the ticket.
Roughie: Risk Assessment (No.14) — $13.50 / $5.00 🏆 6TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 3.9% | Place: 4.9% | Value: 0.65x
Why He's been backed and he's got the right sort of profile to annoy a few, but the race shape says he's more spoiler than safe bet.
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 9,11,7,2,3 / 1,4,2,8,3 / 1,11,8,4,7,9 / 4,3,1 (450 combos x $0.09 = $40.00) -- 9% flexi
The day's multi leans on three win legs across the card.
1 - Kissavos (Race 1, No.4)✓ Won — $1.48
2 - Koritsi (Race 2, No.7)✓ Won — $2.12
3 - Yesspecially (Race 3, No.10)✓ Won — $1.65
Meeting Stats
Selections
Punty's Early Mail
Rightio Loose Units, Taree's serving up a Heavy 8 with the rail out 3m and the weather looking like it can't decide whether to behave or spit on us, which means this card is basically racing with a wet tea towel over its head.
MEET SNAPSHOT
Track: Taree, 1007m-2018m card
Rail: +3m Entire
Official going: Heavy 8 (expected to play sticky early, with position and wet-footing mattering a hell of a lot)
Weather: Partly cloudy, 20C, humidity 61%, wind 14km/h southerly, gusts to 18.5km/h (watch for the 4am rain risk and any late chop-out)
Early lane guess: Fence and just off it should be fine early, but if the rain hangs around I'd be wary of getting trapped on a boggy strip all day
Tempo profile: Mostly moderate to slow on paper, with a couple of genuine-pressure races in the middle and the quaddie looking more like a survival test than a beauty pageant
Jockeys to follow:
Grady Spokes, gets a stack of live rides and suits the wet-day, map-the-race job.
William A Stanley, the sort of hoop who can sit quiet, save ground and time the squeeze on these tricky cards.
Ben Looker, lands on the sharpest first-up type of the day and knows how to nurse a leader or stalker through a wet slog.
Stables to respect:
Annabel & Rob Archibald (3 runners), a proper presence through the card, and their runners are finding the right sort of maps.
J A Sylvester (2 runners), both of theirs look playable if the pace/track story unfolds as expected.
Sally Taylor (3 runners), has a few live wires and the market's already poked its nose at the yard.
Punty's take:
This is one of those Taree meetings where the track's got a bit of a split personality. Early races want horses that jump, hold a spot and don't get buried in the muck. Later on, if the surface starts to tear up, the strong finishers and the proven wet trackers get their chance to come over the top like a late cameo in a footy final. A few of the market moves are absolutely legit - Kissavos, Koritsi, Yesspecially, Nikody's Binks - but there are also a couple of drifters that smell a bit like the punters have gone to lunch.
The main thing today is not to get romantic about backmarkers in the wrong race. Race 1 and Race 2 are proper map races, Race 3 is a short-course gear-change brawl, and then the quaddie kicks off with the sort of chaos that can have you yelling at the telly like you're watching the final act of Mad Max. Stick to the horses with wet form, clean maps and some trainer intent. The weather says hold your nerve, not your hopes.
What it means for you:
The first three races are the spine of the day. If you're playing a multi, keep it tight and don't start acting like a hero after one leg. The short-price anchors are there for a reason, even if a couple of them are unders from a pure betting angle - sometimes the job is just to get alive and move on.
From Race 4 onwards, it's all about protecting yourself. Race 4, Race 5 and Race 6 are proper banana peels, while Race 7 is the kind of little sprint where one bad step and the whole ticket's in the gutter. So: lean on the early certainty, respect the wet-track map, and don't get suckered into every drifter with a sad face and a bit of market smoke.