Friday, 20 March 2026
No more jumps at this meeting today.
Punty's Punts
Race type: CLASS 3, 1500m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo; Bonnie Murringo and Sweet Treats should be handy, with Ghost Walker and New Pharoah stalking the speed.
Punty read: This is a nice little C3 where the front end isn't going berserk, so the horses with a clean run and a bit of soft-track nous look the ones to beat. Bonnie Murringo has got the best map of the lot and the stable's clearly had a nibble, while Ghost Walker and New Pharoah both look like they're ready to pounce if the pace doesn't turn into a dawdle. Doc March is the one who can blow the race apart late if they overdo it, but he'll need a genuine crack-up in front. Feels like a race where the winner can sit in the first four and not spend too much petrol.
Top 3 + Roughie ($24.50 pool)
1. Bonnie Murringo (No.5) — $3.00 / $1.35 🏆 3RD
Bet $10.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$3.15
Prob 24.7% | Place: 64.3% | Value: 0.89x
Why Maps like a dream, has the right profile for the Soft 6, and the stable's been backing its judgement with cash. The one they'll have to run down.
2. Ghost Walker (No.2) — $6.50 / $1.40 🏆 6TH
Bet $7.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$7.50
Prob 19.5% | Place: 55.4% | Value: 1.51x
Why Firming nicely and the map says he'll get the run of the race. Good honest type who's been around the mark and gets every chance here.
3. New Pharoah (No.1) — $7.75 / $1.20 🏆 WINNER
Bet $6.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$9.10
Prob 16.0% | Place: 48.1% | Value: 1.48x
Why Blinkers off again and the stable's clearly trying to settle him down; if he jumps cleanly and gets a soft sit from barrier 1, he's right in the mix.
Roughie: Doc March (No.7) — $15.25 / $3.40 🏆 5TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 12.4% | Place: 39.3% | Value: 2.05x
Why The map says he'll be running on when others are gasping. If the speed isn't strong enough, he's the one who can storm into the placings late.
Race type: BENCHMARK 66, 2400m
Map & tempo: Slow tempo; Untethered and King Edward are disadvantaged on the map, so the race could turn tactical in a hurry.
Punty read: The 2400m lets every mug with a staying hope feel like a champ, but the map tells the real story - this can turn into a sit-and-sprint job if they crawl early. Untethered has the engine and the stable form, even from out in the car park, while Think I Do is the sort of honest operator who keeps showing up and won't get lost in the shuffle. Lightning Flash is the one who can pinch a slice if the race never truly breaks open. Kodiak Bear is the roughie with a path, especially if they go muddling around and the riders start looking at each other like it's a scene from The Sopranos.
Top 3 + Roughie ($25.00 pool)
1. Untethered (No.4) — $5.10 / $2.10 🏆 2ND
Bet $12.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$10.80
Prob 21.4% | Place: 57.7% | Value: 1.33x
Why The best horse in the race if they get rolling late, and the trainer-jockey combo is firing well enough to trust. Slight map knock, but the class is there.
2. Think I Do (No.7) — $3.40 / $1.10 🏆 3RD
Bet $7.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$2.25
Prob 19.6% | Place: 54.3% | Value: 0.81x
Why Honest as the day is long and maps to land in the first batch. Doesn't have to improve much to be right in the finish.
3. Lightning Flash (No.9) — $7.05 / $1.90 🏆 WINNER
Bet $5.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$8.25
Prob 15.3% | Place: 45.5% | Value: 1.32x
Why The money's come for him for a reason - he can drop in, settle, and get the right trip if the front bunch don't turn it into a crawl-fest.
Roughie: Kodiak Bear (No.5) — $12.00 / $3.80 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 12.2% | Place: 38.0% | Value: 1.79x
Why Blinkers/tongue-tie combo says they're looking to sharpen him up. If the race turns into a slog and he gets a run at them, he can nick the minors.
Race type: CLASS 2, 1000m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace with Justenuffsplash leading; the speed horses are going to have to earn their dinner.
Punty read: This is the kind of 1000m race that can be over before some of them have found their coffee. Tallingas Immortal has the right blend of form and position, Sizzleist is the obvious shorty but not exactly a free kick, and Hello Romeo gets the map to be a proper menace if the race settles. The roughies are interesting because the tempo is hot - if they overcook the front end, a horse like I'm Airborne can fly home like Maverick in the final scene of Top Gun. You want a horse that can either hold a spot or finish with a lick.
Top 3 + Roughie ($25.00 pool)
1. Tallingas Immortal (No.3) — $3.80 / $1.65 🏆 4TH
Bet $18.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$18.00
Prob 21.0% | Place: 56.7% | Value: 1.00x
Why Stable's happy, the map's fine, and he looks the one best placed to survive the hot tempo and still kick on late.
2. Sizzleist (No.6) — $2.66 / $1.37 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 19.6% | Place: 54.2% | Value: 0.66x
Why Clearly the horse to beat on raw ability, but the price is short enough that you're doing the heavy lifting for the bookie. Good enough, but not enough sting in it for me.
3. Hello Romeo (No.1) — $4.80 / $1.75 🏆 WINNER
Bet $7.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$2.80
Prob 15.7% | Place: 46.1% | Value: 0.95x
Why Better run than the plain form reads, and from a decent draw he can box seat and cling on when the petrol light flashes.
Roughie: Ride The River (No.2) — $5.15 / $1.55 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.2% | Place: 40.4% | Value: 0.89x
Why He'll get a cosy run and could absolutely hang around the placings if the speed doesn't melt him. Handy map, but just not enough edge to throw extra coin at him.
Race type: MAIDEN, 1175m
Map & tempo: Genuine tempo; Triumvirate looks the early leader, with Jasira and Borjnord right in the firing line.
Punty read: Maidens are where dreams go to get absolutely mugged, and this one has enough early interest to make it a proper scramble. Borjnord has the goods and the market knows it, Jasira is the gear-change filly who could jump out and make a liar of everyone, and Make Mine Moet is the sneaky one with a map to stalk the action. Sacred Inferno is the roughie because sometimes these maidens are won by the one who just keeps grinding while the others are busy posing like they're on Love Island.
Top 3 + Roughie ($20.00 pool)
1. Borjnord (No.2) — $2.44 / $1.37 🏆 WINNER
Bet $11.50 Win — ✓ Won, net +$13.80
Prob 27.0% | Place: 66.6% | Value: 0.81x
Why Already knocking on the door, has the right sort of finish to capitalise, and the money's kept coming for good reason.
2. Jasira (No.10) — $7.00 / $1.70 🏆 2ND
Bet $5.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$6.05
Prob 18.2% | Place: 52.3% | Value: 1.58x
Why Blinkers and tongue tie first time - that's the kind of gear tweak that screams "we're having a serious crack". Fits the race and the map.
3. Make Mine Moet (No.11) — $6.80 / $5.20 🏆 4TH
Bet $3.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$3.00
Prob 12.2% | Place: 38.6% | Value: 1.03x
Why Not much experience, but the race doesn't look deep and he can park close enough to get every possible chance.
Roughie: Sacred Inferno (No.4) — $19.25 / $3.50 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.8% | Place: 37.5% | Value: 2.81x
Why This bloke's had a few goes without winning, but he's been knocking on the door and can storm home if the leaders go at each other too hard.
Race type: BENCHMARK 58, 1175m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo, but there's a stack of on-pace types; it's a bit of a tug-of-war for the front.
Punty read: This is a bloody messy sprint. Blue Monday is the class horse on the profile, but the map isn't a picnic and the race has enough pace pressure to make the whole thing vulnerable to a late swooper. Fourthtimelucky gets a nice enough setup and looks the sort to keep grinding, while Sargeant Stan has been backed like somebody knows the good oil. Rosie's Prophecy is the roughie because this is the kind of race where one more crack of the whip and a bit of luck can turn a $18 nag into a nuisance.
Top 3 + Roughie ($19.50 pool)
1. Blue Monday (No.10) — $4.90 / $1.95 🏆 WINNER
Bet $12.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$48.00
Prob 15.5% | Place: 42.7% | Value: 0.94x
Why Short enough because the talent's there, and if he gets the right tow into the race he'll be bloody hard to hold out.
2. Fourthtimelucky (No.6) — $7.75 / $2.40 🏆 3RD
Bet $5.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$4.00
Prob 13.5% | Place: 38.1% | Value: 1.28x
Why Shaping as one of the smarter bets in the race - good enough to be in the finish if the tempo gets honest and the leaders get tangled.
3. Sargeant Stan (No.4) — $6.25 / $1.70 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $2.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$2.50
Prob 12.5% | Place: 35.9% | Value: 0.96x
Why Backed up hard in the market and maps well enough to be right in the firing line throughout.
Roughie: Rosie's Prophecy (No.11) — $18.00 / $5.00 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.0% | Place: 27.2% | Value: 2.00x
Why She's the type who can lob into the first four if the front pack gets itchy and the race opens up late.
Race type: BENCHMARK 74, 1400m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo; Beyond Question and Spread The Love are the pace hunters, with Jaegers and Party Boss tracking them.
Punty read: This is the meeting's proper betting race. Beyond Question has the perfect mix of form, map and stable confidence, Spread The Love has been charged at in the market and looks like the one that can make them pay if he gets the right run, and Jaegers is the logical danger with the map to sit just off the speed. Party Boss and Demi God are the kind of horses that can splice into exotics if the leaders start feeling the pinch. The whole race has a nice "who gets the last crack at them" vibe.
Top 3 + Roughie ($25.00 pool)
1. Beyond Question (No.1) — $4.50 / $1.80 🏆 WINNER
Bet $17.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$73.10
Prob 21.6% | Place: 57.8% | Value: 1.25x
Why The map suits, the form says he's ready, and the stable's got the horse humming. Looks the one they all have to reel in.
2. Jaegers (No.4) — $4.00 / $1.70 🏆 2ND
Bet $8.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$5.60
Prob 16.3% | Place: 47.5% | Value: 0.84x
Why Firmed right up and has the kind of on-pace profile that can make life miserable for the rest if he gets control.
3. Party Boss (No.9) — $10.25 / $3.00 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.0% | Place: 31.9% | Value: 1.31x
Why Genuine midfield map and the right sort of profile to clatter into the placings if the speed horses overcook it.
Roughie: Spread The Love (No.10) — $9.80 / $2.90 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 17.6% | Place: 50.3% | Value: 2.20x
Why The market's had a proper sniff and it's easy to see why - this bloke is the pace horse that can keep rolling if the others let him dictate.
Race type: LISTED, 2000m
Map & tempo: Genuine tempo with Bear On The Loose likely setting the tone; the race has enough pace to keep the finish honest.
Punty read: This is the one that'll have everybody yelling at the screen like it's the last scene of Gladiator. Bear On The Loose looks the class act and the map horse, but there are a few who can make a nuisance of themselves - Redstone Well has the right sort of on-pace setup, Nellie Leylax is the sneaky runner on the rise, and Casino Seventeen is the one that can improve sharply if the race gets ugly late. This is not a race for blokes who like certainty; it's a race for sickos who enjoy a proper scrap.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Bear On The Loose (No.5) — $2.15 / $1.30 🏆 4TH
Bet $15.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 19.4% | Place: 50.9% | Value: 0.54x
Why Best horse in the race and the map horse to boot. If he gets the right ride, he looks the one everyone else is chasing.
2. Nellie Leylax (No.3) — $20.00 / $2.50 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.1% | Place: 33.1% | Value: 2.87x
Why Gets in with a genuine case if they overdo it up front; the kind of runner who can flash into the money at a fat price.
3. Casino Seventeen (No.1) — $14.60 / $1.90 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.1% | Place: 33.0% | Value: 2.09x
Why Drifted a touch, but the ability's there and the run pattern says he can improve sharply if the tempo is truly on.
Roughie: Redstone Well (No.7) — $19.50 / $2.50 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.4% | Place: 33.8% | Value: 2.87x
Why He'll be in the firing line for a long way and can absolutely nick a slice if the leaders start feeling the pinch.
Race type: OPEN, 900m
Map & tempo: Hot tempo; Ticklebelly, Condor, One Hard Lady, Brenlyn's Legacy and Major Time will have it humming from the jump.
Punty read: This is a proper burner. The sort of race where the first 200m feels like a fire alarm and the last 100m looks like a group of horses running on borrowed legs. One Hard Lady is the speed queen, Ticklebelly is right there with the map, and Iron Will is the one who can sit off them and punch through if the leaders go too hard. Brenlyn's Legacy is the roughie with upside - a bit of market interest, a nice setup, and the kind of profile that can run a cheeky race if the front line turns into a car crash.
Top 3 + Roughie ($20.00 pool)
1. One Hard Lady (No.8) — $2.70 / $1.40 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 20.1% | Place: 53.7% | Value: 0.68x
Why She can absolutely bulldoze them if she's left alone, but from a betting point of view she's short enough to make you earn your lunch.
2. Ticklebelly (No.2) — $7.00 / $2.50 🏆 5TH
Bet $13.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$13.00
Prob 14.0% | Place: 41.0% | Value: 1.23x
Why Gets the right map in a hot-speed race and has been backed like the stable expects a big show. The one to have on-side.
3. Iron Will (No.5) — $6.65 / $2.80 🏆 11TH
Bet $7.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$7.00
Prob 12.2% | Place: 36.8% | Value: 1.02x
Why Blinkers again and a good stalking run looks on the cards. If the leaders melt, he's the one who can come through the wreckage.
Roughie: Brenlyn's Legacy (No.9) — $9.25 / $3.10 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.6% | Place: 44.7% | Value: 1.81x
Why Small field-ish speed scene, good setup, and enough class to get involved if the early burn is too savage.
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 5,2,1,7 / 4,7,9,5 / 3,6,1,2 / 2,10,11,4 (256 combos x $0.20 = $50.00) -- 20% flexi
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 10,6,4,11,2 / 1,10,4,9 / 5,7,3,1 / 8,9,2,5,7 (400 combos x $0.20 = $80.00) -- 20% flexi
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 3 / 2 / 10 / 1 / 5 / 8 (1 combos x $5.00 = $5.00) -- 500% flexi
The day's multi leans on three win legs across the card.
1 - Borjnord (Race 4, No.2)✓ Won — $2.44
2 - Beyond Question (Race 6, No.1)✓ Won — $4.50
3 - Bear On The Loose (Race 7, No.5)✗ — $2.15
Meeting Stats
Selections
Punty's Early Mail
Rightio Loose Units, Albury's serving up a Soft 6 with the rail true, a bit of warmth in the air, and just enough shower threat to keep everyone honest. This isn't one of those dainty picnic meetings where the best horse just strolls around and wins like it's a Netflix documentary - there are a few proper map fights here, a couple of sprint races that'll be run at Derby pace, and a feature race that looks like a pub brawl in silks.
MEET SNAPSHOT
Track: Albury, 900m-2400m card
Rail: True
Official going: Soft 6 (expected to play a touch on-speed early, but can still give swoopers their chance if the surface chops up)
Weather: Possible shower, 26°C, humidity 60%, wind 13km/h ENE (watch for late moisture and gusts)
Early lane guess: handy to on-pace early; fence should be fine if the track doesn't turn to soup
Tempo profile: a mixed bag - the sprints look hot, the middle races are tactical, and the staying stuff is where the maps get spicy
Jockeys to follow:
Tyler Schiller, gets the right horse into the right part of the race and doesn't panic when the pressure comes on.
Pierre Boudvillain, keeps landing on live chances and is riding with a bit of swagger.
Luke Currie, sharp in the features; if there's a sneaky tactical edge, he'll sniff it out.
Stables to respect:
Ben, Will & Jd Hayes (4 runners), got live hopes spread through the card and the market's sniffing around.
Danielle Seib (4 runners), plenty of runners with genuine claims, especially if the map falls their way.
Andrew Dale (3 runners), always dangerous when one of his rolls forward or gets the right setup.
Punty's take:
Albury on a Soft 6 with the rail true usually means you've got to be a bit flexible. Early on, the speed horses can be hard to get past, but once the track chops up, the swoopers get their chance to come out of the shadows like Batman after dark. The sprint races are going to be proper pressure cookers - Race 3 and Race 8 look like they could be run at alarm-clock speed - while the Guineas in Race 6 is the meeting's brain-teaser, with form, map and market all piled into the same trench.
The big angle today is that the market keeps gravitating to a few obvious names, but there are enough well-placed roughies and map horses to make life interesting. Race 4 is a maiden with enough first-starter chaos to make a grown man twitch, Race 5 looks like a bench-press contest where nobody wants to lead, and Race 7 is a Cup where half the field has a live argument and the other half are just there for the parade. If you're one of those legends who likes a tidy day, good luck - this card's got more moving parts than an F1 pit stop.
What it means for you:
Don't go in swinging at every shorty like you've just discovered leverage on a casino app. The smart play is to lean into the races with a clear map edge - Race 4, Race 6 and Race 8 are where the most trustworthy shapes live - and keep your powder dry in the messy middle where the value is hiding behind a few drifters and roughies. The sprints are all about who can absorb the pressure and still find another gear late.
Be aggressive where the leaders can control it, but don't be a mug and force a bet in every leg. Race 1 has a nice little cluster of form horses, Race 2 is a real "who gets the best run" stayers' puzzle, and Race 7 is the sort of race that can make you feel like a genius or a goose in the space of 30 seconds. Protect the exotics in the open races, keep the singles tight around the stronger maps, and let the roughies do the heavy lifting in the minors if the day goes the way the data says it can.