Friday, 26 June 2026
No more jumps at this meeting today.
Punty's Punts
Race type: Maiden, 1400m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace, with Divil A Bit and Ablesheeba handy enough to keep October Manifesto honest from the carpark
Punty read: This is a nice little opener but it's not a sit-down Sunday roast - it's more like a pub counter meal with a few moving parts. October Manifesto is the horse the market has latched onto, but barrier 13 means he doesn't get to loaf around like he's the only horse in town. Divil A Bit has the lovely gate and the right map, Ablesheeba keeps turning up and looks the sort that can run a bold race if he gets the right trail, and Mr Racing is the smoky with the money behind him even if the form doesn't scream. If the favourite gets cover, he should be hard to knock over; if he gets dragged wide, the race becomes a lot more interesting than the price suggests.
Top 3 + Roughie ($20.50 pool)
1. October Manifesto (No.7) — $1.46 / $1.09 🏆 WINNER
Bet $6.50 Win — ✓ Won, net +$4.55
Prob 47.9% | Place: 95.0% | Value: 1.14x
Why The map gives him a proper shot to settle and finish over the top, and the stable's got him ticking over nicely enough to be the one they all have to run down.
2. Ablesheeba (No.5) — $5.15 / $1.37 🏆 3RD
Bet $10.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$3.70
Prob 18.8% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 1.12x
Why Honest type who's been thereabouts, and from a handy midfield spot he can lob into the race and keep grinding when a few of the flashier types start looking like they've had enough.
3. Divil A Bit (No.3) — $8.00 / $1.90 🏆 2ND
Bet $4.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$3.60
Prob 17.1% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 1.33x
Why Good gate, on-speed map, and the sort of run where he can punch through and make life awkward for the favourite if he gets rolling early.
Roughie: Mr Racing (No.6) — $23.50 / $3.20 🏆 8TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.2% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.94x
Why The money's been poking at him, but he'll need everything to fall his way from that alley and he's still got a bit to prove before I'm throwing chips at him.
Race type: Maiden, 1100m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace, with Our Girl Scarlett likely to roll forward and the inside trio looking for the softest run
Punty read: This is a proper speed burn, and in these 1100m jobs you can't be doing interpretive dance at the back - you need to be in the picture early. Our Girl Scarlett has the map to boss the race, but she'll have a bit of work to do from barrier 12, so the inside brigade are not just sitting there for decoration. All Banged Up has been backed like the punters found a winning lotto ticket, Mishani Prince has the first-up look and the right gate, and Listing Capital has the sort of market move that makes you sit up and listen. Pippie Pomar is the rougher one who's still good enough to get into the finish if the leaders go too hard.
Top 3 + Roughie ($17.50 pool)
1. Our Girl Scarlett (No.9) — $2.43 / $1.25 🏆 WINNER
Bet $6.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$13.80
Prob 28.5% | Place: 95.0% | Value: 1.06x
Why She's the class of the speed map and the horse they all have to cut out if they want to win, even from the sticky draw.
2. All Banged Up (No.1) — $5.40 / $1.65 🏆 3RD
Bet $8.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$12.00
Prob 17.2% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 1.03x
Why Heavy money, nice gate, and he's drawn to get the perfect run while others are burning fuel like they're in Mad Max.
3. Mishani Prince (No.4) — $6.80 / $2.15 🏆 2ND
Bet $3.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$4.02
Prob 15.2% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 1.06x
Why First-up type with the right gate and enough ability to sit in the sweet spot while the leaders overdo it.
Roughie: Pippie Pomar (No.14) — $10.25 / $2.60 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.2% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 1.33x
Why If the speed gets silly and she gets one clean crack at them late, she's the one who can blow a few quinellas up.
Race type: Class 1, 2450m
Map & tempo: Slow pace, which means position early matters - no one wants to be back in the car park burning petrol like a getaway driver
Punty read: This is a proper crawl-and-sprint staying race, and those are the ones that can make smart punters look brilliant or bloody hopeless. She Can Soar is the class horse and the one with the best overall setup, while Pending List is the obvious danger if he gets the right ride and doesn't get too far out of his ground. Smelter has been backed and can run into the frame if the race becomes a test of stamina rather than pace, and Montevecchio is the one you don't want to totally ignore because he can sneak into it if the others go to sleep. It's not a race to get greedy in - if you're playing it, be disciplined.
Top 3 + Roughie ($20.00 pool)
1. She Can Soar (No.8) — $2.27 / $1.37 🏆 3RD
Bet $15.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 31.3% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.91x
Why The best class horse in the race, and if the race pans out even vaguely normally she'll be the one with the strongest turn of foot at the business end.
2. Pending List (No.2) — $2.97 / $1.55 🏆 WINNER
Bet $5.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$8.50
Prob 25.3% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.96x
Why He's the obvious query horse - if the ride is cheeky enough and the pace stays muddling, he'll be in the finish; but he isn't the one I want to lean on.
3. Smelter (No.3) — $6.35 / $2.80 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.5% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.09x
Why The market's had a sniff and the horse has enough staying chops to matter if this turns into a test from the top of the straight.
Roughie: Montevecchio (No.1) — $9.25 / $3.60 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.8% | Place: 34.5% | Value: 1.39x
Why If they crawl early and the race falls into his lap, he's got the profile to run over the top late, but he's not the one I'd be burning money on.
Race type: Class 2, 1650m
Map & tempo: Slow pace, with Golden Mikki and Sarah's Sonnets the horses most likely to get the run of the race
Punty read: This is the kind of race where the form guide looks neat until the map rips it in half. Golden Mikki has been firmed and gets the shape of the race to suit, Hard As Brok is the grinder with blinkers back on, and Carnegie Hill is the obvious one from the inside but he's going to have to cope with being the horse everyone knows about. Sarah's Sonnets has been moving the right way and is the one who could make a total fool of a few more highly rated types if the race turns into a sit-and-sprint. The key here is not to fall in love with the short one just because it looks tidy on paper.
Top 3 + Roughie ($17.00 pool)
1. Golden Mikki (No.2) — $3.77 / $1.37 🏆 6TH
Bet $7.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$7.00
Prob 28.9% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.37x
Why Perfectly poised to get the right run, and the market support says the stable is happy to lob in with a genuine go.
2. Hard As Brok (No.4) — $5.15 / $1.55 🏆 2ND
Bet $10.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$8.00
Prob 17.5% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 1.13x
Why The bloke who'll keep finding the line, and with blinkers back on he's got the sort of setup that can make the leaders sweat.
3. Carnegie Hill (No.1) — $2.12 / $1.22 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 17.4% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.46x
Why He'll be in the right spot early, but the price says you don't need to be diving in unless you're a sucker for punishment.
Roughie: Sarah's Sonnets (No.7) — $11.50 / $2.40 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 16.2% | Place: 66.7% | Value: 2.33x
Why If the race turns into a tactical crawl and she gets the last shot, she's got the profile to gobble them up late.
Race type: Handicap, 1100m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace, with Decadad and Russian Pins likely to spear off and force the issue
Punty read: This is a full-blown 1100m bar fight. Yoweri has been crunched in the market and the draw is the only real headache, but if he finds a spot he's a massive player. Decadad loves the front and will try to make this a test from the jump, Do What I Say is the sort of honest type who can sit off them and rattle home, and Anabia with blinkers on is the little spanner in the works if they overcook the speed. Miss Zermatt's the fresh one with a nice first-up profile, so don't be shocked if she pops up and ruins a few straight multis.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.50 pool)
1. Yoweri (No.1) — $4.40 / $1.65 🏆 WINNER
Bet $10.00 Each Way ($5.00W + $5.00P) — ✓ Won, net +$29.00
Prob 17.4% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 0.95x
Why He maps well enough to get into the race and the stable means business, but the gate means he'll need a bit of luck early.
2. Decadad (No.2) — $4.50 / $1.70 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 17.4% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.97x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Do What I Say (No.9) — $4.95 / $1.80 🏆 5TH
Bet $5.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$5.50
Prob 17.4% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 1.07x
Why The map suits him to stalk and strike, and in a race where a few are going to cut each other's throats, that can be gold.
Roughie: Russian Pins (No.8) — $20.00 / $3.80 🏆 6TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 3.8% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 0.95x
Why If the leaders go full throttle and the race falls apart late, he's the one who can clunk into the placings, but that's a big if.
Race type: Class 5, 1400m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace, with Pareto and Matawai likely to sit close and make it a clean tactical affair
Punty read: Pareto is the horse the race hangs off, but the price is tight enough to make a grown man squint. He looks the right one, no doubt, but there isn't a lot of romance in backing a short one in a race where Matawai has already been specked and Vacillation can land in the right spot. Rubydoo is the sweeper that needs things to unfold, and if they do, he can be right in the thick of it. The market's been honest here - the smart money is all over the same handful - so the job is not to reinvent the wheel, just to find the value on the day.
Top 3 + Roughie ($18.50 pool)
1. Pareto (No.1) — $1.99 / $1.20 🏆 2ND
Bet $7.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$7.00
Prob 34.8% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 0.86x
Why The horse to beat on pure class and consistency, and he gets the sort of run that lets him keep the others honest all the way down the lane.
2. Rubydoo (No.7) — $4.45 / $1.37 🏆 3RD
Bet $8.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$4.80
Prob 17.0% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.93x
Why He'll be doing his best work late and the shape of the race gives him a genuine shot to pick off a few tired legs.
3. Vacillation (No.8) — $5.20 / $1.50 🏆 4TH
Bet $3.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$3.50
Prob 16.9% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 1.08x
Why The kind of horse who can sit in the right part of the map, get first crack at the chase, and make life awkward for the favourite.
Roughie: Powerful Eagle (No.4) — $18.25 / $3.20 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 3.8% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 0.86x
Why If the leaders slack off and he gets a soft enough passage, he can run into the minors, but he's not the one I'm wanting to die on.
Race type: Handicap, 1400m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace, with Youcompleteme likely to roll it along and the chase brigade sitting on his hammer
Punty read: This is a cracking race on paper because the map will decide the shape of the finish. Mister Selfie is the class runner but the price says he's not a free square, Difronzo has been backed and gets the sort of race where a midfield sit-and-surge can work, Keep It Loki is the honest one who can stalk and finish, and Supairo is the spicy roughie who'll be charging late if the front-end gets too hot. If Youcompleteme can drag them into a proper burn, the backmarkers and those with a touch of cover will have every chance to launch.
Top 3 + Roughie ($18.00 pool)
1. Mister Selfie (No.1) — $3.30 / $1.45 🏆 WINNER
Bet $11.50 Each Way ($5.75W + $5.75P) — ✓ Won, net +$15.81
Prob 16.6% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.69x
Why He's the class horse of the race and if the tempo turns honest, he's got the edge late even without being a lovely price.
2. Difronzo (No.3) — $6.95 / $2.25 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.6% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 1.28x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Keep It Loki (No.8) — $6.20 / $2.15 🏆 2ND
Bet $6.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$7.47
Prob 14.6% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.14x
Why Honest as a hound and usually gives you a proper run for your money if the race turns into a test rather than a dash.
Roughie: Supairo (No.9) — $11.25 / $3.00 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.9% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.68x
Why If they overdo it up front, he's the one who can swoop like Batman with a caffeine problem.
Race type: Handicap, 1400m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace, but this is the race where a dozen things can go wrong and usually do
Punty read: Welcome to the circus tent. In Great Spirit has been backed and looks the right horse, but the wide-ish nature of the race means no one is getting a charity ride. Privalova has drifted and that's a small red flag, Constant Cafe is the sneaky place play with a map that looks ordinary but a price that doesn't need much to hold up, and All Too Foxy is the one who can be right there if the race gets stitched up and the tempo goes bananas. Dare To Love and Port River Billie are the sort of horses who can sneak into the finish if the race melts into a late sprint.
Top 3 + Roughie ($22.50 pool)
1. In Great Spirit (No.2) — $5.70 / $2.15 🏆 4TH
Bet $14.50 Each Way ($7.25W + $7.25P) — ✗ Lost, net -$14.50
Prob 13.9% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 1.01x
Why The market's onside and the horse has the right sort of profile to be in the finish if he gets the run of it.
2. Privalova (No.3) — $5.30 / $2.15 SCR
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.9% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.94x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. All Too Foxy (No.11) — $14.00 / $3.70 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $8.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$8.00
Prob 4.7% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.84x
Why Wide draw, soft enough tempo, and a shape that lets her lob late and pick off tired ones.
Roughie: Constant Cafe (No.1) — $12.00 / $3.40 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 5.6% | Place: 66.7% | Value: 0.86x
Why The draw isn't cute, but if the race gets messy and the leaders go too hard, he can hang around long enough to nick a slice.
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 7,5,3 / 9,11,1,4,14 / 8,2,3 / 2,4,1,7 (180 combos x $0.11 = $20.00) -- 11% flexi
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 1,9,2 / 1,8,2,7 / 1,3,8,9,10 / 2,3,1,18,9 (300 combos x $0.22 = $65.00) -- 22% flexi
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 8 / 2 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 2 (1 combos x $2.00 = $2.00) -- 200% flexi
The day's multi leans on three win legs across the card.
1 - October Manifesto (Race 1, No.7)✓ Won — $1.46
2 - Our Girl Scarlett (Race 2, No.9)✓ Won — $2.43
3 - She Can Soar (Race 3, No.8)✗ — $2.27
Meeting Stats
Selections
Punty's Early Mail
Rightio Loose Units, Beaudesert on a Soft 5 with showers sniffing around later is the sort of card that can turn into a proper grind-or-sprint trap, and with the rail out 3m the map is going to matter a hell of a lot more than the bloke at the bar pretending he "just has a feeling".
MEET SNAPSHOT
Track: Beaudesert, 1100m to 2450m card
Rail: 3m Entire
Official going: Soft 5 (expected to play a touch leader-friendly early, then more even if the rain lands)
Weather: Shower or two, 17°C, humidity 68%, wind 7km/h SSW (watch for late-track softening and a bit of lane change)
Early lane guess: Handy runners and the first wave off the rail should get every chance; if the shower turns up, expect the middle-to-wide lanes to wake up late
Tempo profile: A mixed bag - a couple of genuine roll-along sprints, a few tactical crawls, and one or two races where the last 300m will feel like the final act of a Marvel movie
Jockeys to follow:
Brandon Lerena - Keeps landing in the right spot on the map and has a stack of live rides across the card.
Ashley Butler - When he's on a horse with a sniff, he usually gives it a proper steer and not a dog's breakfast.
Jaden Lloyd - Quiet operator, good hands, and he can turn a midfield map into a winning one.
Stables to respect:
Donna Stanbridge (3 runners) - The Mishani trio are all showing up with intent and the money has noticed.
K M Schweida (3 runners) - Live chances spread through the card; if one of his mares gets the right trip, watch out.
Tony & Maddysen Sears (3 runners) - Multiple realistic chances, and a couple of them are arriving with the right fitness and map.
Punty's take: This is the kind of Beaudesert meeting where you don't want to be a hero in every race - you want to be selective and let the map do the heavy lifting. The early part of the day has a couple of proper banker vibes, but there are also a few races where the market has shorted horses just because they look like they should win, not because the job is actually done. That's where punters get stitched up like a cheap suit.
The Soft 5 should keep things honest, but not every race will be a slog. Race 2 and Race 5 look like genuine speed tests, Race 3 is the stayers' grind where patience pays, and Race 8 is the chaos tent - the sort of race where you can have three good ideas and still need a prayer. The rail at 3m means those handy types can get a nice tow, but if the track chops up or the showers hit harder, the swoopers will get their moment and the front-runners won't be able to coast like they're in the opening scene of Top Gun.
The meeting story is pretty clear: there are a few obvious names the market is leaning into, but the value is lurking in the races where tempo and position will sort the wheat from the chaff. October Manifesto, Our Girl Scarlett, She Can Soar and Pareto are the obvious line-through anchors, but a couple of the better plays today are the ones that can sit just off speed and pounce when the pressure goes on. That's the sort of card where the bloke with the right map can make a liar out of the bloke with the flash form line.
What it means for you: Don't go full mug-punter and try to catch every roughie with a wet sail. Build around the horses that either control their race or get the perfect stalking trip, then let the chaos races breathe a bit. Race 1, 4, 6 and 7 are the backbone types; Race 5 and Race 8 need more respect because the shape is messy and the market has already had a couple of hard looks.
If you're playing the day straight, keep your spine tight and your spare change for the races that actually offer a path to winning. The multi is live if the first three favourites behave, but the quaddie lanes are where you'll need to separate the real chances from the bookie bait. Don't get seduced by the flashy late money unless the map says yes as well. That way lies pain, and I've had enough of that for one lifetime.