Wednesday, 18 March 2026
No more jumps at this meeting today.
Punty's Punts
Race type: Bm66, 1500m
Map & tempo: Slow tempo. No mad pressure, so the runners that can sit handy without spending a penny get the candy.
Punty read: Small field, only two places paid, and that's where punters get trapped trying to be too clever. No.2 Loud Charlie gets back to the Heath after that slow-start Flemington horror show and should land much closer in a race without much fuel. No.4 Light Moves is the sneaky one to park in the right spot and keep punching, while No.7 Savitri is honest enough but probably has less wriggle room than the market suggests. This feels like one of those races where the winner gets the right sit and everyone else tells hard-luck stories over a schooner.
Top 3 + Roughie ($25.00 pool)
1. Loud Charlie (No.2) — $2.70 / $1.37 🏆 3RD
Bet $17.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$17.00
Prob 33.4% | Place: 60.0% | Value: 1.06x
Why Forgive the slow start last time. Back to a track and trip he already handles, and Zahra should have him stalking instead of chasing.
2. Light Moves (No.4) — $5.50 / $2.35 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $8.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$8.00
Prob 46.2% | Place: 43.4% | Value: 1.44x
Why Lightly raced with upside, maps beautifully in a slow one, and this looks the sort of race where she gets first crack at them.
3. Savitri (No.7) — $3.10 / $1.55 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 43.5% | Place: 45.6% | Value: 0.89x
Why Honest filly and easy to include, but in a six-horse race with only two places paid she's a bit skinny for mine.
Roughie: Siriusly Hot (No.3) — $11.00 / $4.33 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 7.1% | Place: 15.8% | Value: 0.92x
Why If they overthink it and the gaps appear, Williams can launch late, but the map still asks a fair bit.
Race type: Bm66, 1500m
Map & tempo: Genuine tempo. Delivering rolls, but the pressure should set it up for the stalkers.
Punty read: This is a proper handicap scrap. No.1 Delivering will go forward but the map says he could be vulnerable late if they don't hand him a picnic. No.3 Rock Them Jools is the forgive horse after the slow-start traffic nonsense and gets the right rider for a bounce-back. No.5 All Business is the safe old pub meal - not the hottest item on the menu, but usually turns up when ordered. No.4 Straand Deal is the fresh danger if the stable has him wound up.
Top 3 + Roughie ($25.00 pool)
1. Rock Them Jools (No.3) — $7.00 / $2.15 🏆 4TH
Bet $15.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 22.4% | Place: 56.0% | Value: 1.90x
Why Forgive the last run completely. Damian Lane takes over, the map suits, and if he jumps cleanly he'll be in the finish for sure.
2. All Business (No.5) — $4.20 / $1.60 🏆 2ND
Bet $10.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$5.00
Prob 58.8% | Place: 57.5% | Value: 1.18x
Why Strong enough at the trip and should get a kind sit. Feels like the reliable place anchor while others sort themselves out.
3. Grand Omaha (No.8) — $4.20 / $1.60 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 46.3% | Place: 47.9% | Value: 0.93x
Why Market's found him, but the map isn't doing him many favours and that tempers the excitement.
Roughie: Straand Deal (No.4) — $8.00 / $2.35 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.3% | Place: 43.5% | Value: 1.38x
Why Fresh horse with upside, Zahra aboard, and if he handles the sharpness he can absolutely make a mess of them.
Race type: Bm66, 1200m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo. Handy enough for the classy ones, but not suicidal.
Punty read: No.1 Oliveanotherday is the obvious horse and could absolutely just sit there and outclass them, but $1.40 is the sort of price that makes me reach for a stiff drink. No.6 Immerse is the interesting one - fresh, stack of gear changes, and the stable can have them humming off a break. No.7 Alzaro has had no luck at key moments and can improve if he ever gets clear air, while No.2 Dream Enuff is the smoky with upside after scoring on debut. If the favourite wins, nobody should be shocked. If he gets cluttered up, this gets spicy quick.
Top 3 + Roughie ($20.00 pool)
1. Oliveanotherday (No.1) — $1.40 / $1.05 🏆 WINNER
Bet $14.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$4.20
Prob 32.7% | Place: 76.8% | Value: 0.57x
Why Impressive horse, good setup, and probably the winner if he reproduces that return run. Just not a price that buys you much peace.
2. Immerse (No.6) — $10.00 / $2.10 🏆 7TH
Bet $6.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$6.00
Prob 48.1% | Place: 46.7% | Value: 1.27x
Why Fresh runner with a truckload of gear tinkering, and if the stable's found the key he'll be charging into the first three.
3. Alzaro (No.7) — $8.50 / $1.90 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 41.5% | Place: 41.9% | Value: 0.99x
Why Better than the bare form in spots, but he still needs the race to open up at the right time.
Roughie: Dream Enuff (No.2) — $17.00 / $2.70 🏆 8TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 17.0% | Place: 56.0% | Value: 3.57x
Why Debut winners can jump a level fast, and if the favourite is just a touch flat second-up, this one can ambush them.
Race type: Mdn Plate, 1200m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo. A few want to be handy, but nobody looks likely to rip it apart.
Punty read: Ah yes, a maiden with a favourite who's allergic to winning and a $201.00 old battler the model keeps whispering about like it's seen a ghost. No.2 Nar Nar Goon resumes with jumpout juice and looks the right fresh horse. No.5 Ten Warriors is the professional placegetter - always there, always brave, still somehow still a maiden. No.9 Santana has upside, No.6 Big Kapow has raw talent, and then there's No.1 Midnight Loot, who is either a complete hallucination or the funniest place result of the month. This race is basically a Tarantino script: messy, stylish, and somebody weird ends up on screen late.
Top 3 + Roughie ($20.00 pool)
1. Nar Nar Goon (No.2) — $4.20 / $1.50 🏆 8TH
Bet $14.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$14.00
Prob 20.2% | Place: 40.5% | Value: 1.02x
Why Resumes, won jumpouts, and this looks a lovely fresh setup for a horse that can camp just behind the speed and let rip.
2. Ten Warriors (No.5) — $3.10 / $1.35 🏆 WINNER
Bet $6.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$1.20
Prob 47.4% | Place: 60.0% | Value: 0.80x
Why Maiden status is annoying, but he keeps lobbing in the finish and this isn't exactly Winx we're dealing with.
3. Midnight Loot (No.1) — $201.00 / $18.00 🏆 11TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 37.5% | Place: 31.5% | Value: 8.46x
Why Pure chaos grenade. If he somehow holds a spot and keeps finding, the place tote might need counselling.
Roughie: Big Kapow (No.6) — $17.00 / $3.70 🏆 6TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 2.5% | Place: 8.9% | Value: 0.51x
Why Debut second was tidy, and natural improvement puts him right in the picture in a very wobbly maiden.
Race type: Bm70, 1800m
Map & tempo: Slow tempo. Position matters more than heroics.
Punty read: This is the sort of 1800m race where the winner is usually the horse who lands in the right lap rather than the one who makes the biggest run. No.1 Curse It is progressive, maps well enough if he can slot in from wider out, and gets in with a nice featherweight. No.12 Aura is the sneaky place angle because she can travel and keep grinding. No.11 Hallowed Halls has had excuses and gate 1 helps, while No.7 Sotomayor is the value roughie if he gets the right cart into it. Good little race, but don't be fooled - tempo will decide who gets the pearly gates and who gets stiffed.
Top 3 + Roughie ($25.00 pool)
1. Curse It (No.1) — $3.90 / $1.45 🏆 2ND
Bet $16.50 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$16.50
Prob 25.1% | Place: 63.1% | Value: 1.20x
Why Progressive, loves the ground, and the claim makes him a proper chance if he gets a smother from the gate.
2. Aura (No.12) — $10.00 / $2.70 🏆 3RD
Bet $8.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$14.45
Prob 45.2% | Place: 41.3% | Value: 1.53x
Why Strong enough at the trip and gets a race where the place angle is much safer than trying to nail the nose.
3. Hallowed Halls (No.11) — $4.80 / $1.75 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 44.5% | Place: 45.4% | Value: 0.98x
Why Draw helps, excuses stack up, but the price is about right rather than juicy.
Roughie: Sotomayor (No.7) — $8.50 / $2.40 🏆 6TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 16.4% | Place: 48.7% | Value: 1.71x
Why Honest bastard who keeps turning up, and if the speed is muddling he can be the one charging through the smoke.
Race type: Bm66, 1200m
Map & tempo: Genuine tempo. Mr Blunt leads, but he'll have to earn it.
Punty read: No.4 Mr Blunt is unbeaten and clearly has talent, but this is his first proper little street fight on turf and the map doesn't hand him a hammock. That's why No.12 Bohemian Angel is so appealing as the place runner - she'll stalk, relax, and be humming when some of these are feeling the pinch. No.10 Sparkling Luck is another that can camp handy and give cheek, while No.8 Street Conqueror is the roughie who always seems to be around when the race falls apart. This is not a race to go full chest-beating on the short one.
Top 3 + Roughie ($25.00 pool)
1. Mr Blunt (No.4) — $2.20 / $1.22 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $16.50 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$16.50
Prob 29.8% | Place: 75.0% | Value: 0.81x
Why Unbeaten, talented, and if he controls it he can keep the streak alive. Just not exactly stealing at the price.
2. Bohemian Angel (No.12) — $7.50 / $2.10 🏆 2ND
Bet $8.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$4.25
Prob 56.1% | Place: 52.8% | Value: 1.48x
Why This setup screams stalker. If the leader feels any pressure at all, she's the one I want steaming into the frame.
3. Sparkling Luck (No.10) — $5.50 / $1.65 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 51.7% | Place: 51.1% | Value: 1.07x
Why Strong profile and good camp, but the better edges are elsewhere.
Roughie: Street Conqueror (No.8) — $15.00 / $3.10 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 7.7% | Place: 27.3% | Value: 1.42x
Why Keeps racing well enough to blow into the top three if the speed pressure cooks the obvious ones.
Race type: Bm70, 1000m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo. Plenty of horses want a spot, not many want to give one away.
Punty read: Watch-only race and rightly so - this thing has chaos written all over it in thick permanent marker. No.5 Normandy Lass resumes with a nice profile, but barrier 11 in a 1000m dash is hardly a warm hug. No.2 Jennyanydots gets the race shape to suit and was held up last start, so she makes plenty of appeal as the safer play. No.12 Mrs Iglesia is short enough and good enough, but backmarkers in these little Heath sprints can age you in real time. No.3 Egerton with blinkers first time is the blow-up horse if he sharpens.
Top 3 + Roughie ($12.00 pool)
1. Normandy Lass (No.5) — $5.50 / $1.95 🏆 3RD
Bet $8.50 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$8.50
Prob 20.0% | Place: 53.0% | Value: 1.34x
Why Fresh mare with class, and if Moloney can slide across without burning the wheels off, she's right there.
2. Jennyanydots (No.2) — $4.80 / $1.75 🏆 WINNER
Bet $3.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$2.80
Prob 51.9% | Place: 51.4% | Value: 1.13x
Why Held up last time, maps better here, and the place line looks the grown-up play in a messy little sprint.
3. Mrs Iglesia (No.12) — $2.90 / $1.37 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 46.3% | Place: 52.1% | Value: 0.79x
Why Can absolutely win, but from back there over 1000m you're trusting everything to go right.
Roughie: Egerton (No.3) — $9.00 / $2.50 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 12.8% | Place: 39.5% | Value: 1.40x
Why Blinkers go on, he gets weight relief, and if he jumps cleaner this gets very interesting very fast.
Race type: Bm70, 1000m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo. Excess and Regeneration go forward, but they are not getting a free Sunday stroll.
Punty read: This is the race I want to be finishing the day on. No.3 Along The River gets the stalking map from barrier 3 and that is exactly the setup I want with leaders that could soften each other. No.1 Martial Music has been backed like the pub knows something and gets the inside draw to save every blade of grass. No.2 Excess is honest, No.11 Viasain is the roughie with a proper chance if the gaps come, and No.9 Regeneration looks a touch vulnerable for a horse likely to be used up early. This is speed versus smother, and I want the smother.
Top 3 + Roughie ($25.00 pool)
1. Along The River (No.3) — $6.50 / $2.70 🏆 2ND
Bet $15.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 24.9% | Place: 43.1% | Value: 1.96x
Why Perfect stalking draw, loves the trip, and looks the one to blouse the leaders when they start reaching for air.
2. Martial Music (No.1) — $3.50 / $1.75 🏆 6TH
Bet $10.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$10.00
Prob 45.7% | Place: 45.4% | Value: 1.06x
Why Backed in, drawn soft, and can save every inch before taking the inside split when the whips are cracking.
3. Excess (No.2) — $6.00 / $2.50 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 27.5% | Place: 27.6% | Value: 0.91x
Why Tough and genuine, but the map says he could be doing a bit too much donkey work.
Roughie: Viasain (No.11) — $9.50 / $3.60 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.9% | Place: 28.7% | Value: 1.60x
Why If they overdo it up front, he's the swooper who can launch into the minors and scare the lot of them.
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 2,4,7 / 3,5,4,8 / 1,2,6 / 2,5,1,9 (144 combos x $0.24 = $35.00) -- 24% flexi
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 1,7,12 / 4,12,10,8 / 5,2,3,7 / 3,1,11 (144 combos x $0.24 = $35.00) -- 24% flexi
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 1,2 / 2,5 / 1,7 / 4,12 / 5,2,12 / 3,1 (96 combos x $0.42 = $40.32) -- 42% flexi
The day's multi leans on three win legs across the card.
1 - Loud Charlie (Race 1, No.2)✗ — $2.70
2 - Curse It (Race 5, No.1)✗ — $3.90
3 - Along The River (Race 8, No.3)✗ — $6.50
Meeting Stats
Selections
Punty's Early Mail
Rightio Chaos Merchants, Caulfield Heath has served up one of those sneaky little Wednesday cards where everything looks polite on paper until the headwind up the straight turns backmarkers into extras from The Walking Dead. Good 4, rail true, light west breeze, and a heap of slow-to-moderate maps early means if your hoop pinches a cheap sectional, the rest are chasing shadows and bad decisions.
MEET SNAPSHOT
Track: Caulfield Heath, 1000-1800m card
Rail: True Entire Circuit
Official going: Good 4 (expected to play fair early, but with a slight edge to on-pace and stalking runners)
Weather: Partly cloudy, 19C, light west wind (watch for the little headwind up the straight making life tougher for closers)
Early lane guess: Inside to middle lanes look the go, especially for runners landing handy without doing work
Tempo profile: Mixed card - a few dawdles early, then sharp little sprint contests late where map matters more than your ex's opinion
Jockeys to follow:
Mark Zahra, Lovely book and he lands on the sort that can park one off and pounce without burning petrol.
Damian Lane, Gets key rides on the classy stalkers and that's the exact profile I want on this deck.
John Allen, Handy on the Heath, and he's on a couple that look ready to stalk the speed and hit the line at the right time.
Stables to respect:
Lloyd Kennewell (4 runners), Loud Charlie, Straand Deal, Sparkling Luck and Tiz Worthy all look there to run races, not just soak up the sunshine.
A & S Freedman (3 runners), Brickendon, Bayou Music and Regeneration give them bullets across different race shapes.
Ben, Will & Jd Hayes (3 runners), All So Clear, Mrs Iglesia and Martial Music all have profiles that fit this meeting if the map falls their way.
Punty's take: This card screams "don't get cute with hopeless swoopers". The Heath can be kind enough, but with the rail true and that little breeze pinching them late, the runners that settle handy or just off the speed should get every chance to roll. Race 1 looks like a proper little chess match where No.2 Loud Charlie and No.4 Light Moves can camp close enough while others are waiting for runs that might never come. Then you hit Race 5 and Race 8, where No.1 Curse It and No.3 Along The River look like the sort of runners you build the day around if you're not here to light notes on fire.
The danger today is the shorties that look sexy in the book but have map wobbles. No.1 Oliveanotherday in Race 3 is obviously a horse, but $1.40 in a 1200m handicap is not exactly free money - that's the sort of ticket that has you muttering at a TV like Tony Soprano. Same vibe with No.12 Mrs Iglesia in Race 7 and No.9 Regeneration in Race 8; they can win, but they're not exactly strolling into an empty pub. If the pressure comes, they're vulnerable.
The fun stuff is in the middle shelves. No.3 Rock Them Jools in Race 2 is the forgive run horse. No.12 Aura in Race 5 is the sneaky place play that can make your afternoon less ugly. No.12 Bohemian Angel in Race 6 is the classic stalk-and-smother setup. And if you want pure degenerate cinema, Race 4 has the old roughie No.1 Midnight Loot lurking like a character actor who somehow steals the whole movie.
What it means for you: Play this card like a grown-up sicko: be aggressive with the good place angles and selective with the win bets. The best setup horses are the ones landing midfield-to-handy with cover, not the ones needing the Red Sea to part at the 200m. If you're backing deep closers all day, you may as well donate directly and save yourself the stress rash.
The early races are where you can keep it tidy. Race 1 is compact and logical. Race 2 is open enough for value but not full clown car stuff. Race 3 has a deserving favourite, but the better punting angle is around the place value on the right runner, not blindly diving into the $1.40. Race 4 is where you either keep the powder dry or embrace your inner ratbag and play the exacta like a lunatic with a calculator.
Later on, that's where the meeting gets more interesting. Race 5 and Race 6 are strong place-leverage races. Race 7 is a watch-your-wallet sprint where half the field has a case and the other half has a sob story. Race 8 is the best closer on the card for a proper value swing - the leaders are not getting it all their own way, and the right stalking runner can blouse them late. That's your game plan: stalkers, smothers, place angles, and don't fall in love with every favourite in a neat saddlecloth.