Sunday, 10 May 2026
No more jumps at this meeting today.
Punty's Punts
Race type: Maiden, 1400m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo, but the map gives the runners on or near the pace every chance to control it
Punty read: This is a proper little learning race. The market's latched onto Royal Guardian, and while he isn't the obvious tearaway, the class edge and the market confidence say the stable thinks he's the one. Mad Spitfire has the winkers going on and can improve if he jumps cleanly, while Lanta from barrier 1 gets the perfect sit if he brings his best manners. Quiet Goddess can run on if the pace is honest enough, but she needs the breaks to go her way.
Top 3 + Roughie ($13.00 pool)
1. Royal Guardian (No.7) — $1.67 / $1.10 🏆 WINNER
Bet $13.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$6.50
Prob 34.0% | Place: 50.9% | Value: 0.82x
Why The stable's clearly happy to press on and the money says he's the one to beat; if he travels up to them without wasting petrol, he should be finishing over the top of these.
2. Mad Spitfire (No.1) — $3.08 / $1.37 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 18.8% | Place: 39.6% | Value: 0.94x
Why A real chance — but at $1.37 the place he's not a saver, he's a punt, and that's not a price I insure at. Watching, not betting.
3. Lanta (No.2) — $12.25 / $2.15 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.4% | Place: 32.6% | Value: 1.08x
Why Barrier 1 gives him a cosy lane and he can absolutely pinch a bit of ground if he doesn't decide to play wake-the-dead at the gates again.
Roughie: Quiet Goddess (No.6) — $12.50 / $2.10 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.8% | Place: 27.9% | Value: 1.19x
Why If she gets clear air instead of being bailed up again, she can run on late and nick a cheque in a finish where a few of these are still figuring themselves out.
Race type: Maiden, 1200m
Map & tempo: Slow tempo, so position matters and the leaders won't be in a hurry
Punty read: This is the kind of race where the dawdle can turn into a dartboard. Deeply Rooted has had some support and the market's trying to make him happen, but a crawl can make life tricky for the backmarkers if they get out-mapped. Joyhouse Rock from barrier 1 is the obvious fence horse, Mojo Mio is right there if the race turns into a sit-and-sprint, and Prince Of Bondi is the old rough nugget who can bob up if they actually run this properly.
Top 3 + Roughie ($11.00 pool)
1. Deeply Rooted (No.4) — $3.30 / $1.40 🏆 WINNER
Bet $6.50 Win — ✓ Won, net +$15.60
Prob 20.7% | Place: 40.5% | Value: 0.84x
Why He's the one the market has wanted, and if they run at a half-decent clip he can stalk them and get the last crack at it.
2. Joyhouse Rock (No.9) — $4.55 / $1.75 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $4.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$4.50
Prob 14.6% | Place: 31.5% | Value: 0.92x
Why Barrier 1 in a slow maiden is never a bad place to be; if he jumps well, he'll get every chance to cling on and make a nuisance of himself.
3. Mojo Mio (No.6) — $3.90 / $1.60 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.3% | Place: 31.0% | Value: 0.91x
Why He's got the right sort of tactical map for this sort of race, but the sting out of the tempo is the worry - he needs things to line up perfectly.
Roughie: Prince Of Bondi (No.1) — $15.25 / $3.50 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.6% | Place: 24.1% | Value: 1.02x
Why If they overcook the early pace or the leaders jam up on each other, he can slide through from the good draw and surprise a few mugs.
Race type: Handicap, 1400m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo with a bunch of runners that all think they're a chance
Punty read: Proper open race, this one. Jayashree is the deserving pick on the numbers, but there's no superstar here and the whole thing could turn into a slog where one little map move makes the difference. Spangledstar has enough consistency to be in the mix, Whatyoutalkinbout gets a decent roll if the race doesn't turn into a stop-start mess, and Buon Amici has the sort of profile that can land a cheeky blow if they overdo it early.
Top 3 + Roughie ($18.50 pool)
1. Jayashree (No.3) — $2.41 / $1.25 🏆 WINNER
Bet $9.50 Win — ✓ Won, net +$9.50
Prob 13.8% | Place: 26.2% | Value: 0.38x
Why Honest old type who keeps turning up, and in a race with no bully, she gets her chance to grind them into the ground.
2. Spangledstar (No.5) — $4.90 / $1.70 🏆 2ND
Bet $9.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$6.30
Prob 11.6% | Place: 22.7% | Value: 0.65x
Why The map says he can sit close enough without doing any donkey work, which is exactly the sort of setup you want in a messy handicap.
3. Whatyoutalkinbout (No.4) — $7.55 / $2.20 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.0% | Place: 21.7% | Value: 0.95x
Why He's a live player if the pace is truly even, but he can't afford to get flushed wide and lose the plot early.
Roughie: Alotofbanter (No.6) — $36.50 / $5.00 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.3% | Place: 20.9% | Value: 3.88x
Why If the race turns into a burn-up and a few of the key chances get caught flat-footed, this bloke can swoop late and turn the place into chaos.
Race type: Class 5, 1200m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo, but the handy runners have the tactical edge
Punty read: This is a lovely little benchmark heat where the Fernie runners are all over it. Lavish Charm has the prime draw and the class profile, Stylin' has been absolutely trucking along and knows where the line is, and Dreamers Never Die returns with a respectable first-up profile if the stable has him ready to lob. Gibraltar Gold is the roughie who makes the most sense if the market's reading the script right, because the money's already started to sniff around him.
Top 3 + Roughie ($10.50 pool)
1. Lavish Charm (No.1) — $2.38 / $1.15 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $10.50 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$10.50
Prob 17.9% | Place: 37.5% | Value: 0.48x
Why Better than your average honest mare - she maps well, runs this track beautifully, and should land in the perfect lane to do the job.
2. Stylin' (No.7) — $2.88 / $1.22 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 16.9% | Place: 35.9% | Value: 0.55x
Why A real chance — but at $1.22 the place he's not a saver, he's a punt, and that's not a price I insure at. Watching, not betting.
3. Dreamers Never Die (No.2) — $6.50 / $1.55 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.6% | Place: 32.2% | Value: 1.07x
Why First-up horse with enough ability to run a cheeky race if the stable's got him tuned, but the query is whether he can sprint with them off the freshen.
Roughie: Gibraltar Gold (No.3) — $14.00 / $2.45 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.9% | Place: 30.9% | Value: 2.19x
Why He's the one at a price who makes sense - the market's had a nibble, he's got the form line, and if he gets a soft run, he can absolutely make them sweat.
Race type: Handicap, 1200m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace - this one should be run properly and that helps the tactical types
Punty read: This is the race where the cash has started moving and the shape is a bit of a circus. Slippery Fish has been loved in the market and the blinkers go on, which is usually the stable saying 'righto, mate, time to behave'. I'm Genevieve gets a nice enough map and can sit handy without causing a scene, Ideally is the class-ish runner but needs things to go his way, and the roughie Serviceman is the sort who can bob up at a monster price if the speed turns nasty and a few of the fancies wilt.
Top 3 + Roughie ($16.50 pool)
1. Slippery Fish (No.5) — $3.45 / $1.40 🏆 WINNER
Bet $7.50 Win — ✓ Won, net +$20.25
Prob 11.3% | Place: 21.4% | Value: 0.46x
Why Massive market push and the blinkers go on - that's the stable waving the flag and saying they expect an upgrade.
2. I'm Genevieve (No.6) — $4.10 / $1.55 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $9.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$9.00
Prob 10.9% | Place: 20.7% | Value: 0.52x
Why Maps to get a lovely run on the speed and the freshen-up with the new gear gives her a fair kick in the pants.
3. Ideally (No.1) — $5.20 / $1.70 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.5% | Place: 20.1% | Value: 0.64x
Why Good enough horse, but he needs the race to unfold like a movie script where everything lands perfectly.
Roughie: Serviceman (No.11) — $40.50 / $6.00 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 8.3% | Place: 18.1% | Value: 3.95x
Why If the hot tempo really melts the front runners and the price horses overcook it early, this bloke can thunder home and make a mess of the finish.
Race type: Handicap, 1200m
Map & tempo: Hot tempo - this should be a proper burner
Punty read: This is the race where the leaders may go at it like they're auditioning for Mad Max. Just Famous is the shorty and the one they all have to run down, but Prawns Eleven can sit handy enough to stay in the fight, Close At Hand is the sort who can be right there if the pace is honest, and Twist Of Gold is the sneaky old swooper if the front end turns into a demolition derby.
Top 3 + Roughie ($16.50 pool)
1. Just Famous (No.4) — $1.52 / $1.10 🏆 2ND
Bet $7.50 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$7.50
Prob 16.2% | Place: 33.0% | Value: 0.31x
Why The hot tempo should drag the race back to him and he gets the perfect chance to smoke them late.
2. Prawns Eleven (No.1) — $5.95 / $1.50 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $9.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$9.00
Prob 11.6% | Place: 25.3% | Value: 0.86x
Why He's been around the money, the track suits, and if he bounces back from the drift and gets a soft sit, he's right in the mix.
3. Close At Hand (No.2) — $9.10 / $2.10 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.0% | Place: 24.1% | Value: 1.24x
Why Good map horse in a race that should set up for him, but he still needs the right cart into it when they start gasping.
Roughie: Twist Of Gold (No.10) — $11.00 / $2.35 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.4% | Place: 23.1% | Value: 1.43x
Why If they scorch the turf and the leaders come apart at the seams, he's the one swooping like a bloke in the last ten metres of a 400m after six beers.
Race type: Handicap, 1612m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace, and there's enough early zip to make this a proper tactical battle
Punty read: This is a filthy little closer. Just Sublime has been backed like the shed's on fire and the money says the stable's got a positive line on him, Monty Zoomer controls a chunk of the map and can make them work, Military Action has the backmarker profile to launch late, and Abbou is the roughie that can make life miserable for anyone who starts celebrating too early.
Top 3 + Roughie ($10.00 pool)
1. Just Sublime (No.10) — $4.95 / $1.85 🏆 3RD
Bet $4.50 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$4.50
Prob 9.8% | Place: 17.4% | Value: 0.60x
Why Massive market shove and the map isn't bad if they burn each other up - he's the one looming as they start to cough.
2. Monty Zoomer (No.3) — $4.65 / $1.75 🏆 WINNER
Bet $5.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$4.95
Prob 9.7% | Place: 17.3% | Value: 0.56x
Why Controls the speed from the front end and can make the rest of them chase with no freebies.
3. Military Action (No.5) — $4.60 / $1.90 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.6% | Place: 17.2% | Value: 0.55x
Why Needs the tempo to be truly savage so he can lob late and pick off the tired ones.
Roughie: Abbou (No.4) — $24.50 / $5.00 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 7.8% | Place: 15.8% | Value: 2.39x
Why If the leaders knock seven shades of shit out of each other, this bloke is the one who can sneak into the photo and spoil the party.
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 1,7,2,3 / 5,6,1,3,4 / 4,1,2,10,5 / 7,8,9,4 (400 combos x $0.20 = $80.00) -- 20% flexi
The day's multi leans on three win legs across the card.
1 - Royal Guardian (Race 1, No.7)✓ Won — $1.67
2 - Lavish Charm (Race 4, No.1) — $2.38
3 - Just Famous (Race 6, No.4)✗ — $1.52
Meeting Stats
Selections
Punty's Early Mail
Rightio Loose Units, Kalgoorlie's serving up a Good 4 with the rail out 3m and a bit of ENE breeze stirring the tin roof. It looks like one of those days where being handy matters, but you don't need to be glued to the fence like a cheap prick - just don't want to be giving away a picnic at the back. There's enough speed in the middle of the card to keep the old place honest, but the real story is which stables have turned up with something fit enough to ping fresh and which ones are just hoping the market's gone soft.
The opener, the sprints, and the last two races are where this meeting can turn into a proper bar fight. Race 2 looks like a crawl, Race 6 looks hot enough to fry an egg on the bonnet, and Race 7 is a sneaky little knife fight with money flying at Just Sublime and a few others wanting the last say. P J Fernie's got runners all over the shop, the market's already taken a liking to a few of the obvious ones, and there are enough drifters around to remind you this isn't a day for blind heroics.
MEET SNAPSHOT
Track: Kalgoorlie, 1100m-1612m card
Rail: +3m entire
Official going: Good 4 (expected to play fair-to-on-pace)
Weather: Sunny, 20°C, humidity 43%, wind 9km/h ENE (watch for a bit of late kick in the straight if they overdo it early)
Early lane guess: Slight on-speed lean; handy runs with cover should be gold
Tempo profile: Mixed bag - a couple of crawl-and-sprint maidens, but Race 6 and Race 7 should be properly run
Jockeys to follow:
Ms Holly Nottle(a0/50kg) - gets the luxury of the claim on a stack of handy rides and she can make a race look a lot easier when the speed map lines up.
Austin Galati - keeps getting the right sort of sits and has the sort of hands that matter when the tempo is wonky.
Jefferson Tsang(a2/51kg) - light weight, patient ride, and plenty of his mounts are mapped to lob into the right spot.
Stables to respect:
P J Fernie (16 runners) - has live chances in basically every race and a heap of them are sitting in the right part of the map.
David A Smith (7 runners) - a couple of the day's better value plays are in this camp and the yard isn't afraid to attack fresh.
Brock Lewthwaite (4 runners) - not just filling the bins; there are a few real players here, especially if the race shape gets a bit messy.
Punty's take: This is a meeting where the map does half the talking. In the maidens, you want the ones that can hold a spot and not get bailed up like they're in traffic on the Kwinana. In the handicaps, especially Races 4 to 7, the market has already had a sniff of a few key runners, but there's still a couple of smoky lanes where a roughie can absolutely mug the place if the speed gets silly.
Kalgoorlie on a Good 4 usually rewards horses that can settle within striking distance and keep galloping. If you're back there on the fence, you're not dead, but if you're spotting the leaders half the straight it's time to start looking for excuses and blaming the steward's room. The smart play is to keep the shorties honest, respect the live drifters, and let the race shape do the heavy lifting instead of punting like you're trying to rescue the pub TAB after lunch.
What it means for you: I'm leaning on the horses that map to either lead or sit in the first wave, because that's the easiest way to survive a Kalgoorlie card like this. You don't want to be a mug punter chasing every roughie from the car park - the day has a few skinny anchors, but the value lives in the races where the market's split and the map gives you options.
The plan is simple: trust the model's main anchors in the straight-up races, then get brave only where the tempo is cooked or the price is a proper insult. Races 3, 5 and 7 are the ones that can bite you if you get greedy. Races 1, 4 and 6 give you your cleaner path to the till. Keep the quaddie ticket wide enough to survive the chaos, but don't go full mushroom farmer and try to cover the whole paddock.