Friday, 27 March 2026
No more jumps at this meeting today.
Punty's Punts
Race type: Maiden, 1400m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace with Dennyson likely rolling forward, but Walking Street gets the softer run and should be chiming in late
Punty read: This is a proper "who wants to be a hero?" maiden. Dennyson should make it honest up front, which helps the stronger finishers, but the one I want is Walking Street - the market's leaning that way for a reason and the form says he's the one with the class edge. Khaleesi's Dream is the obvious danger and will be there when the whips are out, while Bassein from barrier 1 can get the cosy run and is the sneaky smoky if the leaders overdo it. Symphony Queen can run on into the placings, but she's more the bloke who arrives after the party's finished than the one starting it.
Top 3 + Roughie ($25.00 pool)
1. Walking Street (No.3) — $2.30 / $1.30 🏆 4TH
Bet $17.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$17.00
Prob 37.0% | Place: 66.5% | Value: 1.05x
Why He maps off the speed, the stable-jockey combo is doing the right things, and he's got the fitness edge to capitalise when the leaders start wobbling.
2. Khaleesi's Dream (No.5) — $2.27 / $1.30 🏆 2ND
Bet $8.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$4.80
Prob 30.8% | Place: 59.7% | Value: 0.87x
Why Obvious danger, but the price is skinny and the safest play is to let her do the talking by running into the money again.
3. Bassein (No.4) — $26.00 / $6.00 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 8.1% | Place: 18.6% | Value: 2.62x
Why Draws to get a dream run and the claim helps; if the race gets messy he's one of the few who can sneak into the finish without burning petrol.
Roughie: Symphony Queen (No.6) — $8.40 / $3.10 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 12.2% | Place: 27.5% | Value: 1.27x
Why Honest enough and not hopeless, but she needs the tempo to go her way and a bit of luck from back there.
Race type: Maiden, 1400m
Map & tempo: Slow pace, so Arianna's Gold gets the perfect on-pace setup and Team Heist is the one that can stalk and strike if the tempo stays dawdling
Punty read: This is a race where the map is doing a lot of the heavy lifting. Arianna's Gold looks the one they'll have to catch because she can sit there and control things, and on a Soft 5 that can be gold if the others are jogging. I'm A Machine is the one with the finishing effort to get into it, but the price is short enough to make you blink. Team Heist is the dangerous swooper/pressure horse - the kind that can make everyone else look ordinary if they hand him a soft first half. Climbeverymountain is the sort of horse that might run a place without ever feeling like the star of a Netflix doco.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Arianna's Gold (No.4) — $2.36 / $1.32 🏆 2ND
Bet $15.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 35.1% | Place: 62.8% | Value: 1.06x
Why She maps to sit right on the pace, has been building nicely, and this is the kind of race where the horse in the right spot can pinch a break.
2. I'm A Machine (No.1) — $2.46 / $1.35 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 23.3% | Place: 47.1% | Value: 0.73x
Why He'll be running on, but from the back in a soft-tempo maiden he needs the race to fall apart a bit too much for comfort.
3. Climbeverymountain (No.5) — $4.00 / $1.90 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.8% | Place: 31.9% | Value: 0.75x
Why Hasn't done enough to make you fall off the chair, and the soft tempo means he needs a touch of luck to get into the fight.
Roughie: Team Heist (No.7) — $11.00 / $3.90 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 17.8% | Place: 37.7% | Value: 2.50x
Why The overlay is screaming value, and if the race turns into a tactical crawl, he's the sort that can smother them late.
Race type: Maiden, 1200m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace with Mr Tod likely to roll, Knights Reign stalking, and Stratovision the one who can swoop if they overcook it
Punty read: This is a spicy little return for Knights Reign. Blinkers off again, a handy draw, and a setup that says he gets every chance to box seat and pounce. Favourite Deputy is the favourite for a reason, but he's a bit of a skinny little fella at the price and I don't want to be paying premium dollars for a horse that still has to prove it. Stratovision is the value mover - first-up and drawing well, he can sit off them and run over the top if the speed is honest. Heart Of Paris is the roughie with a path: drifter, but if the race turns into a war, he can run on into the minors.
Top 3 + Roughie ($25.00 pool)
1. Knights Reign (No.1) — $6.40 / $1.80 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $9.50 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$9.50
Prob 25.6% | Place: 65.3% | Value: 2.11x
Why Fresh enough, maps beautifully, and the stable-jockey combo is a live wire when they roll into these softish maiden sprints.
2. Favourite Deputy (No.2) — $2.26 / $1.22 🏆 4TH
Bet $9.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$9.00
Prob 19.4% | Place: 55.0% | Value: 0.56x
Why The obvious one to be in the finish, but the price is doing all the heavy lifting; safest route is to use him for the place rather than cough up for the win.
3. Stratovision (No.10) — $6.95 / $2.15 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $6.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$6.50
Prob 15.3% | Place: 46.4% | Value: 1.37x
Why Gets back, but the map gives him a genuine shot to wind up late and the market has absolutely overreacted to the debut line.
Roughie: Heart Of Paris (No.6) — $23.00 / $4.40 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.1% | Place: 33.1% | Value: 3.00x
Why Needs the race to collapse in front of him, but if the speed gets ugly he's the sort that can lob into fourth and spit in the face of the favourite cartel.
Race type: Class 1, 1200m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace with Vortistar and a few others rolling; Just Plain Nuts gets the prime map and can make them chase
Punty read: This is the race where the fave is probably a shade too short and the value is sitting a couple of lanes out wider. Just Plain Nuts gets the pace boost and a nice tactical setup, which is a sweet spot on this track. In Your Dreams is the horse the market likes, but from a punting point of view he's unders and has to do the work from a map that isn't quite as friendly as it looks. Vortistar is the honest old grinder who can keep finding if they don't go mad early. Highland Duel is the roughie from out wide - not the most glamorous bloke in the room, but if the race is run in the wrong order for the favourite, he can sneak into the frame.
Top 3 + Roughie ($25.00 pool)
1. Just Plain Nuts (No.3) — $7.50 / $2.50 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $12.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$12.00
Prob 18.0% | Place: 49.6% | Value: 1.78x
Why Speed map sweetener, good early zip, and this is exactly the sort of setup where a handy runner can pinch it and leave the fanciers staring at their tickets.
2. In Your Dreams (No.2) — $3.20 / $1.40 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $9.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$9.00
Prob 17.5% | Place: 48.8% | Value: 0.74x
Why The one everyone can see, but I'm treating him as a place job because the price is tight and the race shape isn't the cleanest.
3. Vortistar (No.6) — $8.50 / $2.60 🏆 2ND
Bet $4.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$12.40
Prob 12.0% | Place: 36.1% | Value: 1.34x
Why Tracks the speed, stays honest, and on a day like this that's half the battle - keep him in the quaddy mix.
Roughie: Highland Duel (No.1) — $10.50 / $3.40 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.0% | Place: 31.0% | Value: 1.38x
Why Wideish draw and a bit of work to do, but if the speed gets spicy enough he can be the one storming home like Aragorn at Helm's Deep.
Race type: Class 3, 1200m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace, Novalargo likely controlling it, with Simply Deep and Ngapali Beach stalking the right lanes
Punty read: This is the day-spine race. Novalargo has been hammered in betting and you can see why - he's got the map, the fitness, the right stable confidence, and enough pace to make this his race to lose. Simply Deep is the saver type who can sit off the leader and get the last crack at them. Ngapali Beach is the honest grinder in the middle - not flashy, but always around the money when the race is run at a sensible gallop. Esprit Diva is the roughie who could pinch a cheque if the speed gets hot enough and the favourite does just enough, not too much.
Top 3 + Roughie ($25.00 pool)
1. Novalargo (No.2) — $4.20 / $2.05 🏆 2ND
Bet $18.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$18.00
Prob 32.0% | Place: 57.2% | Value: 1.70x
Why Heavily backed, maps to lead, and the second-up profile says the stable has him humming right when it matters.
2. Simply Deep (No.3) — $8.00 / $3.20 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $7.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$7.00
Prob 19.1% | Place: 38.7% | Value: 1.94x
Why Gets the right sit behind the speed and looks the one most likely to run over the top if Novalargo doesn't run them into the turf.
3. Ngapali Beach (No.4) — $8.20 / $3.30 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.0% | Place: 29.3% | Value: 1.45x
Why Tough and consistent, but the playbook says he's more of a quaddy glue horse than a win bet here.
Roughie: Esprit Diva (No.7) — $18.00 / $5.50 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.5% | Place: 28.4% | Value: 3.08x
Why Needs a bit to go wrong in front of her, but if the pace gets serious she's the one that can nick a slice late.
Race type: Class 1, 1400m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace with Who's In Dev controlling the map, Windara Wolf pressing, and Woolclasser ready to pounce if the leaders give any slack
Punty read: This is the sort of race that can look simple and then mug you at the top of the straight. Who's In Dev gets the perfect leader's lane and should get every chance to stack them up. Windara Wolf is the interesting roughie - plenty of pace, plenty of upside, but the weights are asking a question and that's why he's not getting the full fat endorsement. Woolclasser is the place play, the kind of horse that can sit there with a clear run and run a race. Ilovethistown is short enough in the market to respect, but the numbers say he's a bit skinny for win punting.
Top 3 + Roughie ($25.00 pool)
1. Who's In Dev (No.6) — $3.20 / $1.32 🏆 WINNER
Bet $16.50 Win — ✓ Won, net +$44.55
Prob 24.7% | Place: 64.2% | Value: 1.05x
Why Looks the controlling speed and gets the race run exactly how he wants it if nobody gets cute.
2. Woolclasser (No.3) — $8.30 / $2.35 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $8.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$8.50
Prob 16.1% | Place: 48.3% | Value: 1.77x
Why Rock-hard fit, honest enough, and if he gets the right cart into it he's the one who can nick a placing out of this.
3. Ilovethistown (No.4) — $2.70 / $1.25 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.3% | Place: 46.4% | Value: 0.55x
Why Short, sharp and dangerous, but not enough juice in the place numbers to have me diving in blind.
Roughie: Windara Wolf (No.2) — $12.50 / $3.20 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 17.1% | Place: 50.4% | Value: 2.82x
Why If he gets across and dictates, he'll make the race look ugly - but the weight setup is the bit that stops me going all-in.
Race type: BM68, 2000m
Map & tempo: Slow tempo, so Spring Bean should enjoy the sit and the chance to sprint off it late
Punty read: This is where the card gets a bit more tactical and a bit more dangerous. Spring Bean looks the right horse because she can settle, travel, and then turn it into a sit-and-sprint contest where class often beats brute force. Night Invader is the obvious threat but he's too short to get me excited; if the race becomes a muddle, he's still one you need in the mix. Always A Winner is the value roughie with a legit late path if they go too soft early and the race turns into a dash from the half mile. Tideford is the honest stayer who keeps turning up, but he probably needs the right shape to go from "nice run" to "winner".
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Spring Bean (No.1) — $4.80 / $2.25 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $15.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 28.5% | Place: 53.1% | Value: 1.71x
Why Strong track record, ideal map, and the kind of horse that can sit the trip and then put the cue in the rack on the others.
2. Night Invader (No.2) — $2.88 / $1.55 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 24.4% | Place: 47.2% | Value: 0.88x
Why The class horse on paper, but at the price I want a bit more than "should run well" before I back him like he's a bank account.
3. Tideford (No.6) — $5.00 / $2.25 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.4% | Place: 28.2% | Value: 0.83x
Why Honest enough and won't disgrace himself, but he's more a supporting actor than the bloke stealing the show.
Roughie: Always A Winner (No.3) — $12.00 / $4.60 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 16.8% | Place: 34.6% | Value: 2.51x
Why If they crawl early and sprint late, he's the one who can surge into the frame and ruin the favourite's day.
Race type: BM68, 1400m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace, Make A Decision gets the sweet pace advantage and should have the last crack at them
Punty read: This is the late-card banker for the serious punter. Make A Decision is the one the market has latched onto, and he's got the right setup to justify the move - gets back enough to get cover, but not so far back that he needs the race to fall apart. Sister Royal is a solid place type who will take his spot and keep finding. Turk Boy is the smoky if the on-speed brigade stack them up and overcook it, while Romary is the roughie with proper upside if the fresh-up run brings improvement. Hartman is the short price horse to beat, but the numbers say he's more likely to get the market's affection than the full payout.
Top 3 + Roughie ($25.00 pool)
1. Make A Decision (No.2) — $5.00 / $2.15 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $13.50 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$13.50
Prob 36.1% | Place: 63.4% | Value: 2.26x
Why Firming in the market, maps to the right lane, and this is the sort of setup where a strong finisher can mow them down late.
2. Sister Royal (No.5) — $4.20 / $2.05 🏆 3RD
Bet $11.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$18.40
Prob 20.9% | Place: 43.0% | Value: 1.10x
Why Honest, durable, and good enough to keep the ticket alive even if the race turns into a bit of a bar fight.
3. Turk Boy (No.3) — $12.00 / $4.00 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 12.9% | Place: 28.0% | Value: 1.93x
Why The pace map suits him if they soften each other up, and he can definitely make life awkward for the more obvious ones.
Roughie: Romary (No.1) — $17.00 / $4.00 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.7% | Place: 31.6% | Value: 3.12x
Why Fresh-up profile and track record say don't ignore him; if he pops out of the box ready to roll, he can absolutely pinch a run.
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 3,5,6 / 4,1,7 / 1,2,10,6 / 3,2,6,1 (144 combos x $0.12 = $18.00) -- 12% flexi
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 2,3,5 / 6,2,3,4 / 1,2,3 / 2,5,4 (108 combos x $0.09 = $10.00) -- 9% flexi
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 1 / 3 / 2 / 6 / 1 / 2 (1 combos x $2.00 = $2.00) -- 200% flexi
The day's multi leans on three win legs across the card.
1 - Novalargo (Race 5, No.2)✗ — $4.20
2 - Who's In Dev (Race 6, No.6)✓ Won — $3.20
3 - Make A Decision (Race 8, No.2) — $5.00
Meeting Stats
Selections
Punty's Early Mail
Rightio Loose Units, Launceston's served up a Soft 5 with the rail out 7m and a bit of a cheeky southerly-style sting in the air, so this isn't one of those "park the bus and pray" meetings. You want horses that can travel, quicken, and keep finding when the pressure goes on. Early on it should be tactical, but by the time the day warms up, the ones that can settle handy and finish the job are the ones that'll be cashing tickets.
MEET SNAPSHOT
Track: Launceston, 1200m-2400m card
Rail: +7m Entire
Official going: Soft 5 (expected to play fair-to-on-pace, with the best lane likely middle to slightly off the fence)
Weather: Cloudy, 15°C, humidity 38%, wind 22km/h WSW (watch for gusts and a bit of edge in the home straight)
Early lane guess: Middle lanes with cover; leaders can stick if they control tempo, but don't sleep on swoopers in the longer races
Tempo profile: Plenty of genuine pace early, but the sprints should still reward horses with tactical speed and a proper turn of foot
Jockeys to follow:
Ms Codi Jordan, keeps landing on the right map horses and has a stack of live rides where the tempo should suit
Jabez Johnstone, the claim is handy and he's getting onto a few light-weight chances that can park in the first half dozen
Ms Erica Byrne Burke, plenty of key rides across the card, and she's on a few runners that map to be in the firing line
Stables to respect:
Adam Trinder (5 runners), has multiple runners with form, track credentials and market respect; never far away on these cards
G J Stevenson (4 runners), has horses ready to roll, and he's got live chances in both the sprints and the staying stuff
Sarah Cotton (3 runners), a few handy types here, and the stable's got runners that can settle and finish
Punty's take: This looks like a meeting where fitness and map matter more than shiny reputations. The Soft 5 isn't a bog, but it is enough to make the wide swoopers work for it if the pace isn't honest. That means the on-pacers with a bit of class edge - your Novalargos, Make A Decisions and a couple of the sturdy old warhorses - get first crack at the loot. It's not a day to get cute backing something that needs six things to happen and a miracle from Thor.
The other angle is the market has already shown its hand in a few spots. Novalargo has been punted like it owes someone money, Make A Decision has firmed, and Team Heist is the sneaky one with the big overlay if the race shape turns to mush. Meanwhile a few drifters are waving a red flag like a bloke at a pub yelling "last drinks" - you can still run a drum through the smoke, but don't go in blind.
What it means for you: The playbook is pretty clear: keep your powder dry in the races where the map is messy, and be more aggressive where the leader or on-pacer has a clean runway. In the sprints, don't overthink it - if a horse can settle in the first four and has a wet-enough profile, it's live. In the staying races, late strength matters more than looking flash at the 800m, so lean into horses that can grind and still produce. That's where the real dividends will come from while everyone else is chasing favourites like they're the last schooner in the fridge.
This is also a meeting to respect the place punter's life choices. A few of the top picks are a touch skinny, and the back-end of the card has some proper landmines. So don't be a hero in the wrong races; keep the win bets for the ones with a shape advantage, and let the exotics do the heavy lifting when the field gets sketchy. If you're going to play the quaddie, do it with a spine and not a shopping trolley full of nonsense.