Wednesday, 13 May 2026
No more jumps at this meeting today.
Punty's Punts
Race type: Handicap, 1200m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace, with Yandy Blue and Sassy Snippet showing the way, but the shape actually hands a few handy lanes to Morf, Brave Dragon and Wild Things
Punty read: This is a proper splitter - a race where the map says one thing, the market says another, and the form line is standing in the corner pretending it doesn't know the answer. Morf is the fresh horse and gets the right kind of run if they don't stack it up too hard, while Wild Things has the sort of profile you can talk yourself into if you're already three beers deep. Brave Dragon has been smoked out to a big price and that's usually not a coincidence, but he's got enough map upside to be a pest if the leaders get into a wrestle. Sassy Snippet is the favourite, but the price has the stink of a horse that could just as easily get stitched up as smash them.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Morf (No.5) — $10.00 / $2.50 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $15.00 Each Way ($7.50W + $7.50P) — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 15.6% | Place: 39.0% | Value: 1.89x
Why Fresh horse with the right sort of map in a race where the leaders aren't exactly gifted free parking.
2. Wild Things (No.6) — $5.00 / $1.70 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.2% | Place: 38.3% | Value: 0.92x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Brave Dragon (No.1) — $18.00 / $3.60 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.2% | Place: 38.2% | Value: 3.30x
Why Big drifter, but if the speed melts and he sneaks a soft trail, he can lob into the finish like a bloke who turned up late but still wants his cut.
Roughie: Dominant Force (No.8) — $16.00 / $3.50 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.2% | Place: 29.8% | Value: 2.16x
Why Needs the race to collapse a bit, but if the leaders cut each other's throats he'll be the one chiming in late.
Race type: Maiden, 1200m
Map & tempo: Slow pace, with She's A Splinter getting the best of the map and a few of the more fancied types needing luck from wider-ish alley setups
Punty read: Slow maidens are a trap for young players - everyone thinks they've found a future star, then the race unfolds like a dodgy episode of The Sopranos where nobody knows who the boss is. She's A Splinter has the run the race should hand her, and if Pike can sit just off the speed she'll be right in the frame. Is This Thing On is the map horse, but the price is tight enough to make you sweat and the shape isn't screaming that he should be shorter than the others. Untamed Stare is the one if they crawl and then sprint - the kind of horse that can turn the lights out on a dozen punters if the leaders go to sleep.
Top 3 + Roughie ($12.00 pool)
1. She's A Splinter (No.6) — $4.80 / $1.65 🏆 WINNER
Bet $12.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$49.20
Prob 21.4% | Place: 51.5% | Value: 0.80x
Why Best of the map, right jockey, and the last run said there was plenty left in the tank if she gets her chance.
2. Is This Thing On (No.8) — $3.60 / $1.37 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 21.3% | Place: 51.4% | Value: 0.77x
Why A real chance — but at $1.37 the place he's not a saver, he's a punt, and that's not a price I insure at. Watching, not betting.
3. Untamed Stare (No.7) — $3.70 / $1.40 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 17.9% | Place: 45.8% | Value: 0.82x
Why Can close if they overdo it early, but the setup asks him to do a fair bit of work.
Roughie: Spirit Of Dan (No.5) — $13.00 / $3.10 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 7.0% | Place: 21.0% | Value: 1.18x
Why Wide gate is a nuisance, but if they run along and he gets the right ride, he can swoop into the placings late.
Race type: Maiden, 1200m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace, and with My Danny Boy likely to roll forward, this becomes a map-and-class battle rather than a lottery
Punty read: Here's your anchor. My Danny Boy looks the right sort of favourite: genuine race shape, natural speed, and the sort of market respect that usually means the stable expects him to do the job. Bookends is the sneaky one if you want a bit of cover - the market has let him drift but the gear changes say they're trying to wake him up. Jazz Me Baby and Salve Regina are the ones that can make a mess of the exotics if the race gets strung out and the leaders get tired. If My Danny Boy gets across and eyeballs them, it's a bit Tom Cruise in Top Gun - the others are just trying to keep up with the noise.
Top 3 + Roughie ($12.00 pool)
1. My Danny Boy (No.5) — $1.62 / $1.13 🏆 WINNER
Bet $12.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$8.40
Prob 29.0% | Place: 73.1% | Value: 0.92x
Why Clear pick of the race - maps to control it and the others will need to find a better gear.
2. Bookends (No.14) — $9.00 / $2.40 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.2% | Place: 37.5% | Value: 1.00x
Why A real chance — but at $2.40 the place he's not a saver, he's a punt, and that's not a price I insure at. Watching, not betting.
3. Jazz Me Baby (No.13) — $7.00 / $2.15 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.7% | Place: 36.2% | Value: 1.05x
Why Needs a little help up front, but if they overcook the tempo he's the one that can run over the top.
Roughie: Salve Regina (No.11) — $17.00 / $3.60 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 6.9% | Place: 24.6% | Value: 1.62x
Why The kind of roughie that sneaks into the picture if the speed gets honest and the front runners start looking at each other like they owe rent.
Race type: Maiden, 1200m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace with a few on-pacers, and the best runs should land around the middle of the track with clean air
Punty read: This is a messy little maiden where the map matters more than the nameplate. Perfectly Proper looks the one with the best blend of fitness and position, and the race shape should let her settle into a sweet enough lane to produce. Diamond Warrior has the sort of profile that makes you think "he should place" and then the race goes and does something stupid, which is exactly why you've got to keep him in the discussion. Leg Godt is short enough to annoy you and good enough to be dangerous, while Shezaseer is the roughie with a sniff if he can hold a spot and avoid being bailed up. Think of this one like a dodgy group chat - plenty of noise, not all of it useful.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Perfectly Proper (No.10) — $6.00 / $2.20 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $15.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 21.3% | Place: 61.1% | Value: 0.84x
Why Best chance to land handy, and if she gets that clean run she's the one they all need to chase.
2. Diamond Warrior (No.3) — $3.30 / $1.45 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 17.1% | Place: 52.4% | Value: 0.87x
Why A real chance — but at $1.45 the place he's not a saver, he's a punt, and that's not a price I insure at. Watching, not betting.
3. Leg Godt (No.14) — $3.90 / $1.60 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.2% | Place: 43.2% | Value: 0.78x
Why A bit of market love, but not enough to get me throwing the wallet at it.
Roughie: Shezaseer (No.8) — $12.00 / $3.40 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 7.1% | Place: 25.1% | Value: 0.96x
Why If the map gets a bit ugly and the leaders knock the stuffing out of each other, he's the smoky that can suddenly look like he belongs.
Race type: Maiden, 1500m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace, and the middle trip should bring the finishers into it - this is more about rhythm than raw speed
Punty read: Arizona Sky is the obvious beast in the race, but the draw is awkward enough to make you keep a hand on the wallet. Lord Momo and Universal Talk are the ones I want around the place line - they both map like they can get a decent steer and keep grinding when others stop. Valid Point is the roughie you don't want to ignore if the leaders go too hard early; he's not the prettiest horse in the yard but he's got enough shape to annoy the favourites. This is a race where the class horse should probably win, but "probably" is not a word that gets rich punters very excited.
Top 3 + Roughie ($20.00 pool)
1. Arizona Sky (No.6) — $1.80 / $1.17 🏆 WINNER
Bet $8.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$6.40
Prob 34.3% | Place: 95.0% | Value: 0.87x
Why Best horse in the race, even if the barrier's a prick - if Pike gets him into the right lane, they won't hold him out for long.
2. Lord Momo (No.1) — $4.50 / $1.50 🏆 2ND
Bet $7.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$6.00
Prob 14.5% | Place: 57.3% | Value: 1.09x
Why Nice draw, suitable trip, and enough honesty to keep churning while the others are looking for oxygen.
3. Universal Talk (No.7) — $11.00 / $2.60 🏆 3RD
Bet $4.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$4.50
Prob 10.7% | Place: 45.0% | Value: 1.18x
Why Will get every chance to roll along and can pinch a slice if the race turns into a staying contest before the sprint home.
Roughie: Valid Point (No.3) — $18.00 / $3.60 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 6.0% | Place: 26.8% | Value: 1.29x
Why Needs the leaders to overcook it, but if they do he can be the late commuter that turns up after everyone else has checked out.
Race type: Handicap, 1600m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace, with Artistry In Motion and Prince Epaulette up near it, while the backmarkers will need the gaps to appear at the right time
Punty read: This is the race where the map and the gear change both lean the same way, which is exactly the sort of setup that saves punters from their own stupidity. Artistry In Motion looks set to get the dream run and the blinkers on can sharpen him up nicely. Howdy has been backed like the mailman's carrying a winning ticket, but the weight rise and the backmarker pattern make me happier taking the safer shape with him in the place lane. Jazalot is the honest grinder who keeps finding enough to stay in the picture, and Blue Lupin is the old "don't forget me" horse if the race turns into a 200m sprint home after a crawl.
Top 3 + Roughie ($23.50 pool)
1. Artistry In Motion (No.1) — $4.40 / $1.55 🏆 4TH
Bet $7.50 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$7.50
Prob 21.3% | Place: 63.4% | Value: 1.15x
Why Great map, gear switch, and a proper chance to dictate how this whole thing unfolds.
2. Howdy (No.2) — $4.80 / $1.70 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $8.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$8.50
Prob 16.7% | Place: 53.5% | Value: 0.98x
Why The market has had a good look, but he's better when he doesn't have to give away too much start - place is the sensible play.
3. Jazalot (No.4) — $7.00 / $2.20 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $7.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$7.50
Prob 16.0% | Place: 51.7% | Value: 1.37x
Why Rock-solid type who can stalk them and keep coming, and that's gold in a race where a few might want to loaf early.
Roughie: Ayumi (No.7) — $21.00 / $4.20 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 12.4% | Place: 42.2% | Value: 3.18x
Why If they roll along and the leaders start feeling the pinch, this is the one that can clatter through the line and spoil a few lunch orders.
Race type: Handicap, 1200m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace with a bunch of potential leaders, and that means a few of them could end up wrestling each other into the dirt
Punty read: This is the race that loves to ruin quaddies and wreck a perfectly good afternoon. Aardvark gets the cleanest kind of map among the top end and can absolutely put himself in the finish if the race doesn't turn into a demolition derby. Hurricane Harley has been the one the market keeps leaning toward and the form says he's a proper player, but the price is short enough that you don't need to go mad. Vomo Island and Saturday Sesh are both in the mix if the front half turns into a speed duel, while Tropicconi is the proper smoky - the kind of roughie that can make you look like a genius or a goose in one stride. This one's got proper "Game of Thrones with silks on" energy.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Aardvark (No.2) — $12.00 / $3.30 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $15.00 Each Way ($7.50W + $7.50P) — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 11.6% | Place: 36.6% | Value: 1.63x
Why Best map of the main players and the right kind of horse to suck up a good run if they go too hard in front.
2. Hurricane Harley (No.7) — $3.90 / $1.55 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.2% | Place: 35.5% | Value: 0.51x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Vomo Island (No.8) — $10.00 / $2.90 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.2% | Place: 32.7% | Value: 1.19x
Why If he gets the right steer and the leaders start to cough, he can absolutely pinch a slice late.
Roughie: Tropicconi (No.4) — $41.00 / $6.00 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.5% | Place: 31.0% | Value: 4.57x
Why The sort of price that looks hilarious until the speed melts and he comes steaming down the outside like he's late for a flight.
Race type: Handicap, 1400m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace, and with a few handy on-pacers and a couple of wide-draw headaches, this should reward the runners that can get cover early
Punty read: Prince Of Dala is the one with the biggest upside, but the draw is a proper bastard and he'll need some luck to use it. Lady Kiki is the interesting one - gear changes, some form on the board, and enough upside to make the market nervous if she gets the right sit. Dark Ambition is the one the bookies have marked up, but I'm not sold that he's the right one to be short enough. Bondi Lifesaver is the roughie who can absolutely spoil the party if the race opens up and he gets a crack at them late. Final race stuff - this is where people either save the day or throw their gloves at the TV.
Top 3 + Roughie ($13.00 pool)
1. Prince Of Dala (No.3) — $3.80 / $1.60 🏆 WINNER
Bet $13.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$36.40
Prob 19.2% | Place: 62.6% | Value: 0.86x
Why Clear class in the race, and if he gets a run from that awkward alley he'll be the one they'll all have to gun down.
2. Lady Kiki (No.11) — $10.00 / $3.20 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.4% | Place: 35.4% | Value: 1.11x
Why A real chance — but at $3.20 the place he's not a saver, he's a punt, and that's not a price I insure at. Watching, not betting.
3. Dark Ambition (No.2) — $3.60 / $1.55 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 8.5% | Place: 32.3% | Value: 0.36x
Why The one the market has latched onto, but the price says you're paying for the name, not the certainty.
Roughie: Bondi Lifesaver (No.7) — $13.00 / $3.70 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 8.5% | Place: 32.3% | Value: 1.30x
Why If the front half gets too busy and he gets the right drag into the race, he's the blowout runner that can ruin a few parlays.
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 5,6 / 6,8 / 5,14 / 10,3 (16 combos x $2.00 = $32.00) -- 200% flexi
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 6,1 / 1,4 / 2,7 / 3,11 (16 combos x $2.00 = $32.00) -- 200% flexi
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 5 / 10 / 6 / 1 / 2 / 3 (1 combos x $2.00 = $2.00) -- 200% flexi
The day's multi leans on three win legs across the card.
1 - My Danny Boy (Race 3, No.5)✓ Won — $1.62
2 - Arizona Sky (Race 5, No.6)✓ Won — $1.80
3 - Artistry In Motion (Race 6, No.1)✗ — $4.40
Meeting Stats
Selections
Punty's Early Mail
Rightio Loose Units, Pinjarra's serving up a dry Good 4 with the rail out 3m and the sort of card that starts sensible, then turns into a full-blown pub argument by Race 7. The market's already had a good sniff around a few of these, but there are drifters everywhere, a couple of steamers with proper intent, and enough maiden chaos to make your eyebrows fall off. This isn't a day for blind favourite worship - it's a day for map-reading, patience, and not acting like a mug with your first beer.
MEET SNAPSHOT
Track: Pinjarra, 1000m-1600m card
Rail: +3m Entire
Official going: Good 4 (expected to play fair with a slight on-pace lean)
Weather: Mostly sunny, 23°C, humidity 55%, wind 13km/h W (watch for late firmness and any breeze effect)
Early lane guess: Slight inside-to-middle advantage; handy runs should get their chance
Tempo profile: A mix of honest sprints and tactical crawls - the maidens can turn pear-shaped quickly, while the handicaps should reward horses with a bit of zip and a clean run
Jockeys to follow:
William Pike, if he lands cleanly, he can turn a fair horse into a winning one, and he's got a couple of big shots with proper intent
Jarrad Noske, very handy on the map horses, and he gets a nice enough steer on a few key runners today
Chris Parnham, when the run opens up, he's the bloke who makes the right call and doesn't panic like a bloke trying to reverse a caravan
Stables to respect:
N D Parnham (7 runners), plenty of darts in the board and a few of them have the market leaning their way
D L Morton (3 runners), not every one is a beauty, but the stable can still make a mess of a race if the map falls their way
B P Graham (4 runners), the barn has a couple of live ones, and if one of them gets the right sit it'll be hard to hold out
Punty's take: This meeting's got a bit of everything: a couple of proper anchors, a stack of races where the favourite is short enough to make you nervous, and a few roughies who've been absolutely punted out of the ring. Pinjarra on a Good 4 with the rail out can be fair, but if you're three-wide with no cover you may as well be at the back of the cue at Bunnings on a Saturday morning.
Race 1 and Race 7 are the chaos engines. Race 3, Race 5 and Race 6 are where the day can be built if the right horses turn up and do the professional job. The maidens are where the sneaky value lives - not because they're pretty, but because half the field is still learning how to gallop straight and the market's often overcooking the shiny short-priced types like it's a Marvel reboot nobody asked for.
What it means for you: Don't go trying to win the meeting in the first two races unless you've had a rough night and enjoy pain. This card is built for selective aggression: use the clear shapes where the map and class line up, then protect the ugly races with place play and a bit of caution. The best angles today are the horses that can land handy, get a clean passage, and keep rolling when the pressure goes on.
If you're looking for the day to pay, it's probably not in the "back everything short" strategy. The good money is in the races where the market is a bit too clever for its own good - especially when a horse has drifted but still maps sweet, or when a roughie has the right setup and the favourite looks like a steak knife in a gunfight. Use the anchors, respect the place lines, and don't get married to any one price.