Wednesday, 10 June 2026
No more jumps at this meeting today.
Punty's Punts
Race type: TAB Mdn Hcp, 1150m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace with Royal Air Force and Power Hungry taking the lead role; the map says speed is honest but not suicidal.
Punty read: Zourrific heads the market, but he's short enough to make your eyes water and the value's elsewhere. Royal Air Force has the rail, the gear tweak, and Tommy Berry aboard - that can be the difference between "never went a yard" and "bolted in". Baltusrol and Short Sea both have enough about them to be dangerous, but with only five runners and two places paid, this is a race where you either trust the top one or keep your powder dry. Power Hungry has been crunched like a day-old sausage roll and I get why - but he's got a decent path if the leaders overdo it and he rolls across without burning fuel.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Royal Air Force (No.3) — $2.80 / $1.30 🏆 WINNER
Bet $15.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$27.00
Prob 33.9% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 1.14x
Why Barrier 1 is gold in a small-field dash, the gelding and bubble cheeker off is a proper reset, and Berry should be able to nurse him into the exact run he wants.
2. Zourrific (No.6) — $2.05 / $1.25 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 27.4% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.67x
Why The favourite's got the market but not the price tag I'd be keen to wear in a five-horse nibble; talented, yes, but not a bet I want to die on.
3. Baltusrol (No.4) — $7.00 / $2.40 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.6% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.22x
Why First start and a couple of gear additions can sharpen one up, but he's still more of a "watch the birdcage" job than a wallet-emptying play.
Roughie: Power Hungry (No.8) — $13.00 / $3.70 🏆 5TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.6% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.49x
Why Has been backed like somebody inside the shed knows something, and if he can keep rolling without getting crossed up, he can clatter into the placings.
Race type: TAB Mdn Hcp, 1150m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace with Celestial Charm likely controlling it; the on-speed bunch all want a piece, but the leader gets first crack.
Punty read: This is a classic "short enough to win, not short enough to be loved" race. Celestial Charm looks the one the market is building the form around, and fair enough - she maps beautifully and Tommy Berry can make it look easy if she jumps clean. Ready Forcocktails is the closest threat but the price is too tight for a saver; if she misses the kick again, she'll be asking for traffic at the wrong time. Artistic Lady is the sort of mare I can see running a nice race without fully pissing in your pocket - she'll be there late, but you don't want to be cracking the shits if she just rattles home for third. On Her Merits is a sneaky place player if the leaders start pinging into each other.
Top 3 + Roughie ($10.00 pool)
1. Celestial Charm (No.4) — $1.85 / $1.09 🏆 WINNER
Bet $4.50 Win — ✓ Won, net +$3.83
Prob 40.7% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 0.93x
Why She controls the tempo, she gets the map advantage, and she's the one most likely to make the others chase her tail from the front.
2. Ready Forcocktails (No.2) — $2.25 / $1.12 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 38.6% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 1.07x
Why Good horse, good rider, but that place return is skinny as hell - you're basically taking a beer coaster and calling it a bankroll.
3. Artistic Lady (No.6) — $12.00 / $2.05 🏆 4TH
Bet $5.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$5.50
Prob 6.9% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 1.03x
Why Better drawn run, a bit of class in the ride, and she can keep building late if the leaders go a touch too hard.
Roughie: Unjust (No.7) — $19.00 / $2.60 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 3.6% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.85x
Why Can sneak into the finish if the leaders start folding like cheap camping chairs, but the win case is thin and the price doesn't scream value.
Race type: DrinkWise Mdn Plate, 1400m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo, Konsa gets the gun run, and the race should be run at a proper tempo without turning into a crawl.
Punty read: Konsa is the bloke with the door key here - inside draw, Nash Rawiller, and a profile that says he'll be right in the van when it counts. Farset is the natural danger because he maps to get a lovely sit and has been begging for a bit of luck, but the old 0 from 5 in the win column tells you he's more a pest than a killer. Agraffe Rocket has been drifting like a shopping trolley in a cyclone, which is never ideal, but the race shape says he can still hang around if the tempo's genuine. Solid has a sniff of the placings from out wide if the race gets strung out like a Netflix season nobody asked for.
Top 3 + Roughie ($10.00 pool)
1. Konsa (No.6) — $1.80 / $1.15 🏆 WINNER
Bet $4.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$3.20
Prob 37.8% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 1.25x
Why He gets the right run, the right jockey, and enough early position to avoid getting bailed up in the straight.
2. Farset (No.4) — $6.00 / $1.80 🏆 5TH
Bet $3.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$3.50
Prob 13.8% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.94x
Why He's been knocking on the door and the map keeps giving him a chance to sit there like an annoying fly at a barbecue.
3. Clanwilliam (No.2) — $15.00 / $3.10 🏆 3RD
Bet $2.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$5.25
Prob 6.6% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.56x
Why Not flashy, but he's the sort that can clunk into a place if the front half of the race gets wobbly and the leaders forget to kick.
Roughie: Artgirl (No.9) — $9.50 / $2.30 🏆 8TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.2% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.06x
Why The drift is ugly, but if she settles and gets the right drag into it, she's the sneaky one who can punch through late.
Race type: Cactus Imaging (Bm64), 1000m
Map & tempo: Hot pace, with Lull, Charlina, Silencio Porfavor and Jarrito all wanting the front like it's a race to the buffet.
Punty read: This is the first proper chaos leg and I bloody love it. Jarrito has been smashed in the market, but with a hot tempo and a softish deck, that price doesn't look like free money to me - he can win, sure, but he's not the sort I want to be hanging my whole afternoon on. Lull gets the nod because he's got the map, the right rider, and enough class to sit handy and get first crack when the front runners start blowing steam. Charlina is as honest as they come and will be there poking around the finish, while Hinzel is the fresh face with upside and the right sort of settle if Nash can slot in. Silencio Porfavor has drifted like a busted dinghy, but if the leaders go hard enough, she can still run into the placings.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Lull (No.2) — $5.50 / $1.85 🏆 2ND
Bet $11.00 Each Way ($5.50W + $5.50P) — ✓ Won, net +$2.75
Prob 17.6% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.18x
Why Tommy Berry knows how to sit just off a hot speed and this one has the class to pounce if the leaders go to war too early.
2. Charlina (No.3) — $4.60 / $1.65 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 17.6% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.99x
Why Honest mare, maps well enough, but at that price she's more the "don't miss the lift" horse than the one I want to buy a round for.
3. Hinzel (No.6) — $4.60 / $1.65 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $4.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$4.00
Prob 17.6% | Place: 66.7% | Value: 0.99x
Why Unbeaten and lightly raced - exactly the sort that can ambush an open sprint if the older legs get tired in the last 100m.
Roughie: Silencio Porfavor (No.4) — $11.00 / $2.80 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.2% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.36x
Why Big drift is the red flag, but the draw is nice and the map says she'll get every chance if they all overcook it out front.
Race type: Catanach's Jewellers (Bm72), 1400m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo with Deep Pleasure and Virgil's Gift likely rolling forward; this one should be tactical but not a crawl.
Punty read: This is the race where the market's having a bit of a yarn with itself. Sapphire Rose has been firming hard and I can see why - decent profile, handy run expected, and Ashley Morgan can land her where she wants - but the inside pair and the map still make this a fight, not a procession. Concordia Wind is the model's top play because barrier 2 and a midfield sit can be a lovely setup if the pace doesn't turn into a pudding. Deep Pleasure has the right credentials to be in the finish, though the drift tells you someone's not exactly doing backflips. Cherish Me is the grindy one, and Thames is the drifter with a bit of class but too many things needing to go right. This is one where you'll either get the winner in the place pool or you'll be sitting there with a cold beer and a very educated swear.
Top 3 + Roughie ($11.00 pool)
1. Concordia Wind (No.6) — $5.00 / $1.80 🏆 4TH
Bet $7.00 Each Way ($3.50W + $3.50P) — ✗ Lost, net -$7.00
Prob 16.1% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 0.99x
Why Barrier 2, handy enough map, and Nash can keep him out of trouble while the others sort themselves out.
2. Deep Pleasure (No.4) — $5.00 / $1.75 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.6% | Place: 34.5% | Value: 0.96x
Why Honest enough, but the drift says you're not getting a gift and I don't want to be the bloke fronting up for the same horse twice.
3. Cherish Me (No.3) — $8.00 / $2.30 🏆 WINNER
Bet $4.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$5.60
Prob 11.6% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 1.14x
Why She gets a softer run than last time, the wet track isn't a problem, and she can keep chugging when the others have had enough.
Roughie: Thames (No.1) — $9.50 / $2.50 🏆 6TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.3% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.09x
Why Has the form to run a race, but the drift tells a story and the map isn't exactly gifting him the perfect ride.
Race type: Asahi Super Dry (Bm78), 2400m
Map & tempo: Hot tempo, lots of early pressure, and the backmarkers will be licking their lips if the leaders go off like a busted lawnmower.
Punty read: This is the race where the wheels can come off in a hurry. Hot pace at 2400m on a Soft 5 means the front half is probably doing too much work, and that's why Pinhole gets the nod even though he's not the sexy market horse. He's the one I want sitting midfield with a clean peel, while the front-runners burn their petrol tickets. Centenario and Cormac T both have the sort of profiles that can hover around the money without being the horse you mortgage the ute on. Bestower's the swooper who can come with a late rattle if the race collapses, but the model's kept the ticket tight for a reason - this is a proper leg-of-the-day demolition derby.
Top 3 + Roughie ($16.00 pool)
1. Pinhole (No.3) — $5.00 / $2.00 🏆 WINNER
Bet $9.50 Each Way ($4.75W + $4.75P) — ✓ Won, net +$23.75
Prob 13.0% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.79x
Why Barrier 2 and a midfield sit give him the perfect chance to stalk the speed and pounce once the leaders start coughing.
2. Centenario (No.4) — $9.00 / $2.80 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.0% | Place: 34.5% | Value: 1.43x
Why He can win if the race turns into a slog, but the price has gone the wrong way and I'm not keen on chasing drift in a staying war.
3. Cormac T (No.5) — $8.00 / $2.60 🏆 10TH
Bet $6.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$6.50
Prob 13.0% | Place: 46.3% | Value: 1.27x
Why Honest grinder, proven at the trip, and the race shape says he'll be one of the ones still climbing the hill when a few others are hanging off the bridle.
Roughie: Casual Connection (No.1) — $10.00 / $3.10 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 8.5% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.04x
Why Classy enough to be around the finish if the race turns into a slog, but the weight and tempo pressure make him more a place chance than a go-for-the-lungs win bet.
Race type: Hyland Race Colours (Bm72), 1400m
Map & tempo: Hot pace with Supermassive, Frontex and Rimbaud likely applying pressure; if they overdo it, the swoopers can absolutely come over the top.
Punty read: This is the feature-style mess where you want a horse with a proper class edge, and Supermassive is the one they've got to beat. But he's short enough to make you pause and reach for a beer before the multi ticket, because the pace map says the race can get spicy late. Barbray is the neat place horse from the inside draw, Rimbaud is the honest grinder with enough class to keep punching, and Existential Bob is the blowout that gets interesting only if the leaders go full Mad Max. Frontex is the old enough-and-better-than-his-price sort if you want to sniff around the exotics, but I'm not trying to get too clever here.
Top 3 + Roughie ($11.00 pool)
1. Supermassive (No.1) — $2.30 / $1.25 🏆 WINNER
Bet $4.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$8.00
Prob 31.5% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 0.89x
Why Class horse, maps to get the right run, and if he lands behind the speed without being bullied, he's the one they'll all be chasing.
2. Barbray (No.8) — $6.50 / $2.10 🏆 5TH
Bet $4.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$4.00
Prob 14.6% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.17x
Why Clean draw, soft enough tempo, and if the front end gets rolling he can slip into the frame without being asked for too much.
3. Rimbaud (No.5) — $8.50 / $2.30 🏆 8TH
Bet $3.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$3.00
Prob 11.9% | Place: 39.9% | Value: 1.24x
Why Honest type who keeps showing up, and with the pace on he gets every chance to be rattling home when others are flat on their arse.
Roughie: Existential Bob (No.4) — $11.00 / $2.70 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.6% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.29x
Why Needs the race to melt in front of him, but if the leaders turn it into a brawl he can land a knockout punch late.
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 6,2,3,4 / 6,4,3,1 / 3,4,5,1 / 1,8,5,4 (256 combos x $0.25 = $65.00) -- 25% flexi
The day's multi leans on three win legs across the card.
1 - Royal Air Force (Race 1, No.3)✓ Won — $2.80
2 - Celestial Charm (Race 2, No.4)✓ Won — $1.85
3 - Konsa (Race 3, No.6)✓ Won — $1.80
Meeting Stats
Selections
Punty's Early Mail
Rightio Loose Units, Randwick-Kensington is serving up a Soft 5 with a sneaky shower threat, a true rail, and a proper N to NNW breeze up the straight - so the on-pace crew get first dibs while the swoopers need the race to fall in a heap like a bad sequel.
MEET SNAPSHOT
Track: Randwick-Kensington, 1150m to 2400m card
Rail: True
Official going: Soft 5 (expected to play speed-leaning and a bit kind to the fence early)
Weather: Shower or two, 21°C, humidity 55%, wind 16km/h N (watch for a bit of chop in the straight and late track change)
Early lane guess: Inside-to-middle lanes early, especially in the sprints; don't get brave too wide if the breeze starts biting
Tempo profile: Three sprint legs with a genuine burn, one or two proper chaos handicaps, and a staying race that looks like a war of attrition rather than a jog
Jockeys to follow:
Tommy Berry - keeps landing on the right horses in the right races, and on this card he's got a few where the map does half the job.
Nash Rawiller - when the tempo and barrier line up, he turns these Randwick miles into a clinic.
Rachel King - rides the value runners with ice in the veins; if the race turns tactical, she's the one sneaking into the frame.
Stables to respect:
C J Waller (6 runners) - has numbers everywhere and a few are getting proper market warmth.
G Waterhouse & A Bott (4 runners) - their pairings are well set for these conditions, especially when the map is soft and the leaders can dictate.
Annabel & Rob Archibald (3 runners) - quietly got a serious hand in the staying leg and a couple of midfielders that can pick up the pieces.
Punty's take: This meeting screams "don't get sucked into the shortest price just because it's the shortest price". Soft 5, true rail, and a headwind up the straight means horses on speed are the ones holding the steering wheel early, but if the leaders get greedy, the backmarkers can still belt home late like the final lap of the 2008 Grand Prix. Race 1 and Race 4 are the pure map races - the kind where barrier, tempo and a clean run matter more than the horse wearing the crown. Race 6 is the big bastard: hot tempo, 2400m, soft ground, and enough moving parts to make your head spin.
There are a few stable tells worth sniffing out too. C J Waller has a heap of runners and the market is prodding a couple of them, while G Waterhouse & A Bott and Nash Rawiller keep popping up in the legs where you want to be alive. Tommy Berry's the bloke I want on the speed horses, because when the rails are true and the wind's in your face, the first jockey to find a rhythm is usually the one collecting the cheques.
What it means for you: Keep your boots on the ground and your bets disciplined. The sprints are about position - if your horse is being buried at the rear in Race 1 or Race 4, you can nearly tear up the ticket before the turn. The staying race wants a proper grinder, not a flashy turn-of-foot merchant, and the quaddie is the sort of card where one unlucky check or one overcooked lead can toss the whole joint into the bin. That's why the place pools and each-way angles look the cleaner play today - preserve the bankroll, don't get heroic.
If you're playing aggressively, do it in the races where the map gives you a proper edge. If you're protecting, do it where the markets are lying to you or where the short price is doing too much heavy lifting. There's value about, but the trick is not behaving like a mug punter at closing time and spearing into every shiny favourite that flashes a bit of silk.