Wednesday, 10 June 2026
No more jumps at this meeting today.
Punty's Punts
Race type: Maiden, 1700m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo, with Royal Maximus and Pari Moi likely to roll forward and make the race more of a grind than a sit-and-sprint.
Punty read: Colizzi has the right sort of profile for this: drawn to save ground, handles the trip, and the market's been willing to shorten him. Urban Creed has been backed like a horse the stable expects to win soon enough, but he's still got to prove it on this bog. Tagalaon is the sneaky one for the place line - maps up nicely and looks the sort that won't stop trying when the pressure comes on. Boy From Oz is the roughie if the leaders go too hard and the whole thing turns into a late survival contest.
Top 3 + Roughie ($11.00 pool)
1. Colizzi (No.3) — $3.55 / $1.37 🏆 WINNER
Bet $8.00 Each Way ($4.00W + $4.00P) — ✓ Won, net +$12.20
Prob 23.8% | Place: 66.7% | Value: 0.84x
Why Drawn to do no extra work, fitter for those last few runs, and the little bit of money support says the right people are happy enough.
2. Urban Creed (No.10) — $3.47 / $1.35 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 17.0% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 0.75x
Why Has been nudged in the market and the stable clearly isn't mucking around, but from the middle he's still got to earn the chocolates.
3. Tagalaon (No.9) — $6.50 / $1.95 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $3.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$3.00
Prob 15.0% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 1.20x
Why The grinder's angle here, should lob in the run, stay out of trouble, and be doing his best work late when the others start paddling.
Roughie: Boy From Oz (No.2) — $19.25 / $3.90 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 3.7% | Place: 30.8% | Value: 1.00x
Why He'll need the speed to collapse, but if the leaders cut at each other and he gets a crack late, he can clunk into the finish.
Race type: Maiden, 1400m
Map & tempo: Genuine tempo with Jenni Poppins likely to control it, while the likes of Tisseyre and Expanding Power sit close enough to make it honest.
Punty read: This one looks like a pretty standard maiden until you start reading the wet track and barrier lines. Jenni Poppins is the obvious chance, but she isn't a free hit from that alley and the market doesn't exactly have her on a long leash. Tisseyre has been the one getting cash and with the right run she can keep the favourite honest. Expanding Power is the type who can sit there, slurp up the ground, and be there when the real race starts. Sky Deel is the mad little drift that still has enough place credentials to make a nuisance of herself if she turns up fit enough first-up.
Top 3 + Roughie ($16.50 pool)
1. Jenni Poppins (No.10) — $3.12 / $1.35 🏆 2ND
Bet $13.50 Each Way ($6.75W + $6.75P) — Cashed, net -$4.39
Prob 17.3% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 0.95x
Why She maps to be in the right half of the race and has the class edge if the wet ground doesn't blunt her too much.
2. Tisseyre (No.12) — $4.25 / $1.65 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 16.7% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 0.75x
Why The money's come for her, and you can see why, stable intent, soft enough draw to get cover, and enough consistency to keep the lid on things.
3. Expanding Power (No.8) — $4.55 / $1.70 🏆 4TH
Bet $3.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$3.00
Prob 14.8% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.25x
Why Fits the race shape, should sit handy without burning petrol, and the wet ground won't be the first thing that scares him.
Roughie: Sky Deel (No.5) — $11.50 / $3.20 🏆 8TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.9% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.39x
Why First-up with the blinkers back on and a bit of market drift, but if she's ready to lob, she's a place sneaky rather than a proper shove.
Race type: Handicap, 1400m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo, with Wonboyn likely to sit in the first wave and a few of the others wanting no part of a brutal burn-up.
Punty read: Wonboyn is the horse the race has to beat, simple as that. The form says he's in the right lane, the map says he gets the right kind of run, and the market's trimmed him accordingly. Off Their Perch is the dour type who can hang around for a slice if the right gaps appear. On The Loose is the honest galloper who'll keep finding, and in a race like this that's not nothing. Censori is the roughie because the market's been sniffing around and the 2kg swing in the weights gives him a little something extra to chew on.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Wonboyn (No.2) — $2.53 / $1.40 🏆 4TH
Bet $15.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 23.5% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 0.76x
Why Gets a clean tactical setup, has the right form line, and looks the kind of horse who can keep rolling when the others start feeling the pinch.
2. Off Their Perch (No.11) — $4.50 / $2.15 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 16.8% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.96x
Why Backmarker with a sniff if they overcook it up front, but he needs the gaps to fall his way like a heist movie with a lucky getaway car.
3. On The Loose (No.6) — $4.95 / $2.35 🏆 6TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 16.7% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.05x
Why Honest, fit, and should be chipping in late, but the race shape means he needs a bit to go his way.
Roughie: Censori (No.9) — $9.40 / $3.90 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.8% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.41x
Why The class drop and weight swing give him a live path if the favourites don't separate early enough.
Race type: Maiden, 1200m
Map & tempo: Slow tempo, which makes the first turn and the first move a big deal; the bloke that lands handy can nick it.
Punty read: Thinkyahot looks the right sort of anchor here - sits handy, knows how to race, and in a race with a bog-standard crawl he can box-seat and pounce. Eeny Meeny has the gear changes and the right jockey to be dangerous, but first-up in the slop is never a free dinner. Bellabama is the horse I'd want in the place line - fit enough, handy enough, and the market's left a bit on the table. Queens Of Vino is the smoky roughie if she handles the return and the yard has the screws tightened, because the place profile is a lot better than the win price suggests.
Top 3 + Roughie ($23.50 pool)
1. Thinkyahot (No.6) — $3.53 / $1.45 🏆 3RD
Bet $19.50 Each Way ($9.75W + $9.75P) — Cashed, net -$5.36
Prob 23.5% | Place: 66.7% | Value: 0.79x
Why Maps to get a pretty sweet run in a race where the leaders won't be able to string them out like a track sprint.
2. Eeny Meeny (No.3) — $3.15 / $1.37 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 16.8% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 0.74x
Why First-up gear changes tell you they're trying to light a fire, but she's got to handle the wet and the tempo to be a real threat.
3. Bellabama (No.8) — $6.90 / $2.25 🏆 4TH
Bet $4.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$4.00
Prob 14.8% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 1.54x
Why The place line is where the money is - racing well enough, can sit where the race unfolds, and has the right sort of profile for this slog.
Roughie: Queens Of Vino (No.13) — $24.00 / $5.00 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 1.8% | Place: 35.0% | Value: 0.35x
Why If the return to the races wakes her up and the wet doesn't ruin the party, she can run into the frame at a monster price.
Race type: Handicap, 1000m
Map & tempo: Hot tempo, with Nordic Strike, Winchester and Dismantle all wanting to be prominent; blink and you'll miss the first 400.
Punty read: This is a proper drag race. Mad About Magnus from barrier 1 gets the dream job, and if he holds that on-pace position he'll be right in the furniture when the others start coughing. Hollywoodboulevard is the one to follow if you like a horse with a sharp second-up profile and the right sort of tactical map. Nordic Strike has the right speed to stay in the picture, and the fresh gear says the yard wants a sharper version than last time in. Winchester is the roughie but the drift and the wide draw say the market isn't exactly bursting to follow the old fella to war.
Top 3 + Roughie ($19.50 pool)
1. Mad About Magnus (No.8) — $4.05 / $1.60 🏆 WINNER
Bet $12.50 Each Way ($6.25W + $6.25P) — ✓ Won, net +$25.00
Prob 15.7% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 0.81x
Why Drawn to do the least amount of work in a race where saving energy could be worth its weight in gold.
2. Hollywoodboulevard (No.1) — $5.95 / $2.05 🏆 6TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.7% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 1.11x
Why Fresh enough, talented enough, and the map says he can sit in the right part of the race without doing a Chariots of Fire impression.
3. Nordic Strike (No.2) — $5.95 / $2.05 🏆 2ND
Bet $7.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$7.70
Prob 13.9% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.05x
Why Handles the heat, brings the right sort of speed, and the new gear could sharpen him up just enough to stick around.
Roughie: Winchester (No.4) — $16.00 / $3.40 🏆 9TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 3.5% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.72x
Why He can run a race if he settles and the old engine still fires, but that drift says the punters aren't fully sold.
Race type: BM66, 1400m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo, with Capricorn Star and Princess Mess likely to be the ones who get first use of the gloves.
Punty read: Capricorn Star is the one with the right mix of market support and wet-track credentials, and that matters a hell of a lot in this sort of grinder. Princess Mess is the class horse of the race and maps beautifully, but the price is short enough to make your eyes water. Proven Soul is the strong place play because he can sit where he wants and keep grinding. Honey Maker is the one for a cheeky run at the fringe if the leaders go too hard and start paddling turning for home. This is the sort of race that turns good punters into philosophers.
Top 3 + Roughie ($22.00 pool)
1. Capricorn Star (No.1) — $5.40 / $1.85 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $17.00 Each Way ($8.50W + $8.50P) — ✗ Lost, net -$17.00
Prob 16.7% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 1.16x
Why The wet form and the market money line up nicely, and from the right part of the map he gets every chance to boss the race.
2. Princess Mess (No.5) — $2.53 / $1.25 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 16.7% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 0.54x
Why The talent is there, no doubt, but at that price you're not getting rich unless everything goes your way.
3. Proven Soul (No.8) — $4.90 / $1.75 🏆 2ND
Bet $5.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$6.00
Prob 16.7% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.05x
Why Honest, fit, and should get the sort of run where he can keep coming when others are already sounding like they're breathing through a straw.
Roughie: Honey Maker (No.6) — $23.00 / $4.80 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 3.8% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.13x
Why Can run into the money if the race gets ugly and the big guns drag each other into the mud.
Race type: BM66, 1400m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo, with Stay Silent, Thinxzo and Verona Rupes all giving this race shape and a bit of stink.
Punty read: Stay Silent is the natural front-of-mind horse because he's the one they can let bowl along and make everyone else do the chasing. Thinxzo is the one I'd want if I was trying to find value - the map suits, the market's been saluting, and the old boy's got the right sort of closing kick to make a mess of the finish. Verona Rupes is the sleeper with the gear change and the fresh market confidence; if the blinkers-off move relaxes him, he can absolutely bob up. Keep Thinking is the roughie who'll need everything to go right, but if they go too hard, he can gobble up late ground like a hungry bloke at a footy club raffle.
Top 3 + Roughie ($18.00 pool)
1. Stay Silent (No.1) — $4.90 / $1.65 🏆 2ND
Bet $11.50 Each Way ($5.75W + $5.75P) — Cashed, net -$2.01
Prob 16.4% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 0.98x
Why Drops in class, maps to get a lovely stalking run, and the stable isn't here for a picnic.
2. Thinxzo (No.5) — $6.85 / $2.10 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.8% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.32x
Why The market has got behind him for good reason - he's fit, honest, and the kind of horse who keeps coming when the pressure's on.
3. Verona Rupes (No.10) — $8.50 / $2.40 🏆 9TH
Bet $6.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$6.50
Prob 9.5% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.98x
Why Blinkers off can settle him down, and if he relaxes early, he could be the one steaming home over the top of them.
Roughie: Keep Thinking (No.12) — $24.25 / $5.00 🏆 10TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 3.4% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.01x
Why Needs the race to fall apart a bit, but if it turns into a late drag race, he'll be one of the better swoopers.
Race type: BM62, 1700m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo, with She Nailed It advantaged up on speed and Harbour Town lurking as the class act.
Punty read: Harbour Town is the obvious centrepiece - short for a reason, honest as the day is long, and the map says he gets every chance to prove it. Sabeeria has the blinkers on first time and that's the sort of tweak that can turn a decent run into a winning one if the rider can keep him from overcooking. Compressing is the real value horse for mine; barrier 1 on a Heavy 8 is the sort of thing that can make a horse look a length better than the market thinks. Grand Sage is the roughie and has the right sort of race shape to sneak into the story if they overdo it up front.
Top 3 + Roughie ($17.00 pool)
1. Harbour Town (No.2) — $2.45 / $1.25 🏆 WINNER
Bet $5.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$11.00
Prob 29.8% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 0.96x
Why Clear class horse, fits the map, and he looks the one most likely to keep the wheels turning when the pressure comes.
2. Sabeeria (No.11) — $4.55 / $1.70 🏆 2ND
Bet $6.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$5.40
Prob 13.7% | Place: 39.9% | Value: 0.82x
Why Blinkers first time is the sort of move that can sharpen one up quick smart, and if he jumps clean he can be in the right part of the race.
3. Compressing (No.4) — $9.10 / $2.45 🏆 10TH
Bet $6.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$6.00
Prob 11.1% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.34x
Why Barrier 1 on a wet track is gold dust if the horse handles it, and he's the one I want rolling into the finish at a price.
Roughie: Grand Sage (No.15) — $16.00 / $3.80 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.7% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.99x
Why If they string out and the front half gets stitched up, he can lob into the frame late, but he's not the sort you want to chase too hard.
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 10,3,9 / 10,12,8,7 / 2,11,6 / 3,6,8,11 (144 combos x $0.24 = $35.00) -- 24% flexi
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 8,1,2,10 / 5,1,8,3 / 1,5,10,11 / 2,9,11,4 (256 combos x $0.25 = $65.00) -- 25% flexi
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 2 / 6 / 8 / 1 / 1 / 2 (1 combos x $2.00 = $2.00) -- 200% flexi
The day's multi leans on three win legs across the card.
1 - Wonboyn (Race 3, No.2)✗ — $2.53
2 - Thinkyahot (Race 4, No.6)✗ — $3.53
3 - Harbour Town (Race 8, No.2)✓ Won — $2.45
Meeting Stats
Selections
Punty's Early Mail
Rightio Loose Units, Sale's a proper slogger today: Heavy 8, true rail, showers hanging around like a bad ex, and a bunch of these mares and geldings will be looking for the exit sign before the bend if they get trapped doing work early.
MEET SNAPSHOT
Track: Sale, 1000m-1700m card
Rail: True Entire Circuit
Official going: Heavy 8 (expected to play like a hard grind where position and wet-dog stamina matter)
Weather: Showers, 16°C, humidity 80%, wind 20km/h N, gusts 25.9km/h, rain risk around the key times
Early lane guess: Inside to middle looks the place to be early, but if the fence chops up late, the swoopers get their shot
Tempo profile: A mix of hot 1000m speed, a few true-on pace maps, and a couple of races where the leaders might get handed the keys and pinch it
Jockeys to follow:
Craig Williams, still the bloke you want when the map is neat and the market is telling a story
Jye McNeil, dangerous when the wet track turns into a staying test and the tempo gets honest
Damien Thornton, if he lands on the right on-speed type, he can make them look second-rate
Stables to respect:
Patrick Payne (3 runners), a few fit wet-track types and enough intent to make life interesting
Ben, Will & Jd Hayes (3 runners), always worth a look when they bring a horse back or find the right race
Gavin Bedggood (3 runners), has a couple of these fit enough to punch through the muck
Punty's take:
This card's got two faces, mate. The sprint races are going to reward horses that can ping, hold a spot, and keep running when the ground gets like porridge. The 1700m and BM races are where the real grubby stuff happens: not a day for pretty-types who need perfect footing and a movie soundtrack. It's more "Gladiator" than "My Fair Lady".
The market's already sniffing around a few of them too, Colizzi, Tisseyre, Capricorn Star, Thinxzo, Verona Rupes, Harbour Town, and that usually means someone, somewhere, has seen them do the right thing. But don't just blindly follow the cash like a mug at the poker table. A Heavy 8 at Sale can turn your fancy into a boat anchor if the map's wrong.
There are a couple of races where the favourite looks the goods, but there are also plenty where the best move is to take the place or sit on your hands and let the race come to you. That's the game today: respect the wet, respect the map, and don't go trying to win every race like you're auditioning for Wolf of Wall Street.
What it means for you:
This is a place-bet sort of afternoon, with your best value often coming from horses that can stalk, grind, and get into the work late. The sprints lean more to leaders and low draws, but once you get out to the middle-distance races, you want proven wet-ground operators and horses that won't go to water if the speed gets fiddly.
If you're looking to have a proper crack, the best spine is a short-priced anchor in the right races and a bit of cover in the chaos legs. Don't get sucked into the roughies at silly numbers just because they sound romantic. A wet Sale roughie is like a side hustle in a heist film: looks exciting until the wheels fall off.
Where I'd be aggressive is the races where the map and market agree, and where the horse has already shown it can handle the muck. Where I'd protect is the open maidens and the 1000m dash, those can go feral in a heartbeat.