Sunday, 28 June 2026
No more jumps at this meeting today.
Punty's Punts
Race type: A Plus Events Hire Mdn, MAIDEN, 1200m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace; on-pacers Dust Aside and Ole Grande look like they'll get first dibs on the rhythm
Punty read: This is the "don't overthink it, just watch who lands in the right spot" maiden. Dust Aside is the on-pacer that should get a dream run through the middle stages, she doesn't have to win by miracle, just by doing what her map promises. Ole Grande is the value angle: she's got that early engine and the gear tweak suggests intent. Bondi Queen is short enough that she's dangerous for exacta/quinella purposes but doesn't have to be the winner for your money to still be healthy.
Top 3 + Roughie ($22.50 pool)
1. Dust Aside (No.4) — $3.70 / $1.60 🏆 WINNER
Bet $17.00 Each Way ($8.50W + $8.50P) — ✓ Won, net +$32.30
Prob 18.1% | Place: 66.7% | Value: 0.60x
Why On pace with a race-shape that gives her every chance to keep finding when others are forced to check and re-balance.
2. Bondi Queen (No.12) — $3.45 / $1.50 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 17.5% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 0.80x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Ole Grande (No.3) — $6.50 / $2.30 🏆 7TH
Bet $5.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$5.50
Prob 16.0% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.28x
Why Tongue tie first time and she's built for this pace setup, if she gets even a sniff of room, she can hit the frame hard.
Roughie: Areduet (No.5) — $18.50 / $4.80 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 3.6% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.53x
Why Needs the speed to collapse and her to swoop into a place-paying lane without getting trapped in traffic.
Race type: Seven West Media (Bm50+), 1100m
Map & tempo: Hot pace; leaders are in a fight for control
Punty read: This is a straight-up sprint handicap where the first 300m can basically write the story. Beyond The Wall has the map for the lead and should get every opportunity to set the tempo before the pack comes calling. Delicate Ruler is the classy "watch me" favourite, but you don't want to be too conservative when the race is already hot, sometimes it just comes down to who gets the front cleanly and keeps being brave.
Top 3 + Roughie ($19.00 pool)
1. Beyond The Wall (No.2) — $5.50 / $2.10 🏆 10TH
Bet $14.50 Each Way ($7.25W + $7.25P) — ✗ Lost, net -$14.50
Prob 17.3% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 1.25x
Why Real leader; in a hot 1100 it's a gift to have a horse that can hold the line without getting swamped.
2. Delicate Ruler (No.1) — $4.40 / $1.75 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.3% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 0.89x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Solar System (No.8) — $4.00 / $1.75 🏆 8TH
Bet $4.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$4.50
Prob 15.3% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 0.80x
Why If the leaders scrum and soften, she's right in the zone to pick up the pieces and keep running.
Roughie: Outlaw Music (No.9) — $11.00 / $3.30 🏆 9TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.3% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 1.34x
Why Big chance comes from the tempo doing what tempo does, setting up a late run for something that can keep improving.
Race type: MMM Southern Cross Austereo (Bm50+), 1780m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace; pace advantage belongs to Magnaburma, but the race's danger is who gets positioned
Punty read: Middle-distance on synthetic: you need to be efficient, not frantic. Do It Right looks like the on-pacer with the right sort of "I can keep going" engine, perfect for a race where others are either too far back or forced to chase early. Lautre is the value on place because her profile suggests she can be doing something late rather than folding into the scenery. Around The Buoy is the other one: if she transitions smoothly from midfield, she can absolutely be there when the race tilts.
Top 3 + Roughie ($16.00 pool)
1. Do It Right (No.7) — $4.40 / $1.80 🏆 2ND
Bet $10.00 Each Way ($5.00W + $5.00P) — Cashed, net -$1.00
Prob 14.9% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.88x
Why On pace and should get a genuine tempo to run at, exactly how you want to be on this kind of day.
2. Lautre (No.1) — $7.00 / $2.20 🏆 5TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.1% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.23x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Around The Buoy (No.2) — $8.80 / $3.00 🏆 8TH
Bet $6.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$6.00
Prob 10.7% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.26x
Why Not every run needs to be a hero effort, if the pace steadies, she's set to cash late.
Roughie: Fortune's Luck (No.9) — $9.80 / $3.20 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.0% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 1.18x
Why Her path is a clean midfield trip with the right amount of pace collapse late.
Race type: Kimberley Security Systems (Bm58+), 1615m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace; not a sit-and-watch race
Punty read: This is where you want a horse that can either control or sit close enough to not lose the battle of positioning. Lucky Landing is the on-pacer that can get into a rhythm early, exactly the kind that holds together when the field stretches. Zorbrist is backmarker-ish on the speed map, so she's more about finding the seam and not being snagged early. Beats Of War looks like the one who can be around enough early to give you a shot at a forward finish, especially if the pace stays honest.
Top 3 + Roughie ($16.00 pool)
1. Lucky Landing (No.4) — $5.00 / $1.95 🏆 5TH
Bet $9.50 Each Way ($4.75W + $4.75P) — ✗ Lost, net -$9.50
Prob 16.2% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.10x
Why You want her close to the speed, this race shape suits a forward, balanced run.
2. Zorbrist (No.5) — $3.30 / $1.45 🏆 6TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.3% | Place: 46.3% | Value: 0.64x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Spice Is Right (No.2) — $17.50 / $4.40 🏆 3RD
Bet $6.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$42.25
Prob 3.5% | Place: 60.0% | Value: 0.84x
Why If the honest tempo takes its toll, she can swoop into a place with a decent shake.
Roughie: Capricorn Man (No.3) — $24.00 / $5.00 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 3.4% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 1.10x
Why Needs timing, get held up slightly in the early stages, then find room late.
Race type: Tassal Hcp (C2), 1435m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace, with clear on-pacer pressure
Punty read: This one screams "don't sit too far back unless you're built to fly late." The Top Bar's the on-pacer that should get every opportunity to put herself in the race early and keep kicking through. Leaving Las Vegas is the type to keep honest if she's handled cleanly, more about where she is in the run than her name floating around. Sempre is the cheap-and-cheerful place hope, but the model's backing The Top Bar to be the main problem for everyone.
Top 3 + Roughie ($17.50 pool)
1. The Top Bar (No.2) — $3.20 / $1.40 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $13.50 Each Way ($6.75W + $6.75P) — ✗ Lost, net -$13.50
Prob 17.5% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.75x
Why On pace, matches the tempo, and should get the perfect "run the race, don't chase the race" scenario.
2. Leaving Las Vegas (No.1) — $5.50 / $2.15 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.5% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 1.13x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Sempre (No.3) — $3.30 / $1.40 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $4.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$4.00
Prob 15.5% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.68x
Why If the front doesn't sprint away, she's there to nibble the minor money.
Roughie: Demetrious (No.6) — $12.00 / $3.40 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 12.1% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.85x
Why Needs a pace fade and a clean run into the gaps late, then he can absolutely pop a place.
Race type: Lift And Rig (Bm70+), 1435m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace; staying balanced is everything
Punty read: This is a weird one where the "right" horse isn't necessarily the fanciest, it's the one that can keep its run without getting parked. Musgrave is the model anchor: it's the kind of rider-and-run style that keeps being in the right spot at the right time. Border Force and Housewife are the other supporting acts, both capable of snatching a place if the race turns into a positional slugfest. Why Me is your chaos edge at odds, but it's not the priority.
Top 3 + Roughie ($17.50 pool)
1. Musgrave (No.10) — $3.90 / $1.72 🏆 7TH
Bet $13.50 Each Way ($6.75W + $6.75P) — ✗ Lost, net -$13.50
Prob 16.6% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.87x
Why Balanced mid-race chances and should be there to pick up the tempo when it matters.
2. Border Force (No.6) — $5.00 / $2.00 🏆 12TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.6% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 0.98x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Housewife (No.12) — $4.40 / $1.80 🏆 WINNER
Bet $4.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$4.00
Prob 14.6% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 0.86x
Why If the race doesn't sprint apart, she's the type to be grabbing late and holding the line.
Roughie: Why Me (No.11) — $18.50 / $4.80 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.9% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.22x
Why Needs a sharp tempo swing and a clean late run into the finish circuit.
Race type: Tradelink (Bm58+), 1200m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace; it's a proper 1200 where positioning pays tax
Punty read: Rommel's Goddess is the one with that "if you let me sit, I'll take it" vibe, forward enough to pressure, but not so far out of her comfort zone that she burns early. Close Talker is the danger who could be sneaky if the race keeps moving and the gaps show. Hewilldous is the value place type: she's the one you want arriving on the outside while everyone's still arguing near the line.
Top 3 + Roughie ($16.00 pool)
1. Rommel's Goddess (No.6) — $5.20 / $1.95 🏆 3RD
Bet $9.50 Each Way ($4.75W + $4.75P) — Cashed, net -$0.24
Prob 16.6% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.17x
Why On-pacer profile that suits the sprint tempo, she can do the work and still be brave late.
2. Close Talker (No.7) — $5.70 / $2.00 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.7% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.13x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Hewilldous (No.11) — $7.00 / $2.35 🏆 8TH
Bet $6.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$6.50
Prob 14.7% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.39x
Why Strong chance to sit in the finishing race and grab a place if the leaders get busy.
Roughie: King Cartel (No.1) — $11.50 / $3.50 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.1% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 1.41x
Why Needs luck in running and a pace scenario where front runners don't completely nail down the quinella.
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 5,4,8,6 / 1,3,2,6 / 10,6,12,9 / 6,7,11,1 (256 combos x $0.31 = $80.00) -- 31% flexi
The day's multi leans on three win legs across the card.
1 - Dust Aside (Race 1, No.4)✓ Won — $3.70
2 - Beyond The Wall (Race 2, No.2)✗ — $5.50
3 - The Top Bar (Race 5, No.2) — $3.20
Meeting Stats
Selections
Punty's Early Mail
Rightio Loose Units, Broome's got that "looks easy until it isn't" vibe, sunny on the surface, but the synthetic can absolutely spit you out like you forgot to tighten the lug nuts. We're going in with a spine, a couple of value winks, and one roughie that's basically a roulette wheel with a jockey.
MIGHTY MAP MENTALITY: this track is rewarding speed that can stay efficient. If you're stuck covering ground early, you're playing catch-up from a long way back, unless you're one of the few that can slice through and actually hit the line running.
MEET SNAPSHOT
Track: Synth, 1200-1600m card
Rail: True
Official going: None (expected to play Sprinty/All-weather fair)
Weather: Sunny, 26°C, watch for gusts (the kind that can make you hear the horses breathing)
Early lane guess: Middle-to-outside should be the sweet spot with enough lead chances
Tempo profile: Mostly moderate to genuine early speed, no one's getting to coast uncontested.
Jockeys to follow:
Ms J McLaughlin, tends to ride the speed clean and give them a real chance to hit the bridle
Ms J McLaughlin again (she's everywhere), you can't ignore a rider who keeps landing on the right side of the run
Alex Hearn, shows up when the race shape suits and the horse finally gets balanced
Stables to respect:
S & J Casey (7 runners), often turns up with well-prepped debutants/maidens and gets them in the right race rhythm
Roy Rogers (5 runners), their runners love this type of track profile and don't need everything to go their way
Anthony Barton (2 runners), when he's got one with a map, they generally show up with intent
Punty's take: Broome today is basically a card of "speed needs to be respected" races. A bunch of these fields are lining up with early pressure, and the synthetic means it's not like you can just loaf and wait for a soft finish. If you're not placed properly early, you'll feel it in the last 200, like someone's turned the treadmill up.
Race 1 sets the tone: it's a maiden where pace is advantaged and the market is trying to sort out who's actually got the run inside them, not just the fancy name. I'm most interested in Dust Aside and the way the race's early pressure looks structured for her to see daylight at the right time.
Then you've got the chaos handicap feel from Race 2 onwards, where the "obvious leader" can still win, but the value is often in the horse that can sit in behind and keep running when the first sprint leaders start negotiating reality.
PUNTY'S BIG 3 + MULTI
These are the three bets the day leans on.
1 - Dust Aside (Race 1, No.4), $3.70
Why Maps nicely to the on-pace pocket and you're buying into the kind of synthetic run style that actually holds together.
2 - Beyond The Wall (Race 2, No.2), $5.50
Why Real leader potential and the profile suits a "get control early, don't stop" blueprint on a sprint handicap day.
3 - The Top Bar (Race 5, No.2), $3.20
Why Market-approved speed in a race where the tempo helps the on-pacers do their job, clean run, punch through late.
Multi (all three to win): $10 × ~65.00 = ~650.00 collect