Tuesday, 23 June 2026
No more jumps at this meeting today.
Punty's Punts
Race type: Maiden, 1600m
Map & tempo: Slow tempo, with Blue Typhoon and Angel's Gathering likely doing their work late while West Forty Seventh has the market buzz and a touch of zip in the map
Punty read: This looks like a proper patience race. Blue Typhoon is the one the model likes best, but from that sort of setup he still needs the breaks to fall right - if the speed crawls, the backmarkers can get bailed up like extras in a zombie movie. Angel's Gathering keeps trying and isn't a shock to see him knock on the door again, while West Forty Seventh has been crunched in the market and the winkers go on, so there is at least a bit of intent there. But the roughie value is thin, and if you're playing this leg, you're really just hoping the heavy ground doesn't turn it into a lottery.
Top 3 + Roughie ($10.00 pool)
1. Blue Typhoon (No.8) — $2.84 / $1.32 🏆 WINNER
Bet $5.50 Win — ✓ Won, net +$13.75
Prob 24.6% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 0.73x
Why Best horse in the race on paper, but he's drawn out in the car park and will need the tempo to be honest enough to let his finish count.
2. Angel's Gathering (No.1) — $3.95 / $1.45 🏆 2ND
Bet $4.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$4.50
Prob 17.6% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.72x
Why Keeps finding the line and this Heavy 9 mile should suit a bloke who just keeps turning up and doing his best work late.
3. West Forty Seventh (No.7) — $5.15 / $1.90 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 17.5% | Place: 33.9% | Value: 1.17x
Why The market has shoved him in and the winkers go on, so there's obvious intent, but the map still says he needs a fair bit of luck.
Roughie: Eagle Moon (No.4) — $11.75 / $3.10 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 5.0% | Place: 25.5% | Value: 0.84x
Why Could pinch a soft run near the speed, but this looks more like a place-theory than a proper winning setup.
Race type: Maiden, 1200m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace with Reign Capital and Who's Who likely landing handy, while Tuxedo Miss and Street Smart Boy can stalk the speed and pounce late
Punty read: This is the sort of 1200m maiden where the market starts yelling at you before the barriers even open. Reign Capital has been smashed and you can see why - the debut had enough merit, and with Brad Rawiller aboard he gets every chance to go one better. Who's Who is a freshen-up horse with the gear changes screaming "we're having a proper crack", and Tuxedo Miss has enough consistency to hang around the finish. Bidu has also been firming, but from that sort of draw and with the map not exactly gifting him a free ride, I'd want no part of a skinny bet.
Top 3 + Roughie ($17.00 pool)
1. Reign Capital (No.4) — $2.58 / $1.35 🏆 2ND
Bet $7.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$7.00
Prob 28.5% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 1.04x
Why Heavily backed, fitter for debut, and the stable-jockey combo is right in the sweet spot for a race like this.
2. Who's Who (No.6) — $4.15 / $1.70 🏆 13TH
Bet $6.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$6.00
Prob 16.7% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.94x
Why The ear muffs and winkers go on and the market has noticed - that's the sort of gear move that says they want a sharper effort.
3. Tuxedo Miss (No.13) — $6.45 / $2.30 🏆 WINNER
Bet $4.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$5.20
Prob 15.2% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 0.84x
Why Wide-ish gate but a live chance to be running on when the frontrunners start looking for oxygen.
Roughie: Bidu (No.9) — $27.00 / $6.00 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 1.8% | Place: 25.5% | Value: 0.57x
Why Blinkers go on and there has been money, but this bloke still needs the race to fall apart a bit to be a real threat.
Race type: Maiden, 1000m
Map & tempo: Hot speed - Estate Agent, Mowbray and Divine Bellini will roll forward, with Signed For the class horse and Cabaret Queen the best of the stalkers
Punty read: This is a proper tempo race, which in a Heavy 9 1000m maiden can get ugly in a hurry. Signed For is the one they all have to beat - the market has crunched him, the tongue tie goes on, and the jumpout/trial chatter says he's ready to cash in. Divine Bellini has the right sort of profile to sit handy and keep whacking away, while Cabaret Queen is a gritty one who keeps finding a way into the money. Mowbray's got fresh legs and a bit of upside, but he's more the roughie than the answer.
Top 3 + Roughie ($17.00 pool)
1. Signed For (No.3) — $2.30 / $1.25 🏆 6TH
Bet $5.50 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$5.50
Prob 29.7% | Place: 95.0% | Value: 0.84x
Why He looks the best horse in the race, has been crunched like a horse they mean to win with, and the new gear says they want a sharper, cleaner performance.
2. Divine Bellini (No.8) — $4.45 / $1.55 🏆 2ND
Bet $8.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$6.80
Prob 17.9% | Place: 95.0% | Value: 0.67x
Why Maps to sit in the right part of the race and should get every chance to keep grinding when the speed comes back to them.
3. Cabaret Queen (No.7) — $5.95 / $1.95 🏆 7TH
Bet $3.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$3.00
Prob 15.8% | Place: 66.7% | Value: 1.00x
Why She'll be there when others are gasping - honest, tough, and the sort you want when the race turns into a scrap.
Roughie: Mowbray (No.2) — $17.50 / $3.80 SCR
Bet Tracked
Prob 3.7% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.56x
Why Fresh horse with a bit of upside, but the pressure on this map means he needs to be a fair bit better than the market thinks.
Race type: Maiden, 2100m
Map & tempo: Slow tempo, but there are enough genuine finishers - Spicy Apple, Crush Puppy, The Victorious and Untethered Soul are the ones with the map and class combo to matter
Punty read: This is the race where the wet ground starts demanding a receipt. Spicy Apple is short enough to make you squint, but he has the profile of the right horse in the right race if the stamina test turns into a tactical crawl. Crush Puppy keeps knocking on the door and The Victorious is the one the market has really come for - blinkers off, money in, and a map that should let him have every chance. Untethered Soul is the sneaky one if they dawdle and then sprint off the front, because he has enough turn of foot to pick up the scraps.
Top 3 + Roughie ($18.00 pool)
1. Spicy Apple (No.5) — $2.25 / $1.30 🏆 2ND
Bet $8.50 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$8.50
Prob 24.5% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 1.00x
Why The one they all have to run down if he handles the grind; he gets the right sort of soft-map setup to control the race.
2. Crush Puppy (No.7) — $4.30 / $1.75 🏆 5TH
Bet $7.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$7.00
Prob 16.4% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.03x
Why Keeps getting into the right spots and the money has been reasonably solid - that's enough to keep him in the frame.
3. The Victorious (No.6) — $9.35 / $2.80 🏆 3RD
Bet $2.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$4.50
Prob 12.6% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.54x
Why The market has hoisted him in, the blinkers come off, and he looks the one that can lob into a stalking run and finish over the top if the tempo stings late.
Roughie: Her Legacy (No.8) — $11.90 / $3.60 🏆 10TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 5.3% | Place: 35.0% | Value: 0.86x
Why Has a sneaky place profile and the market has had a nibble, but she's still more of a late-money place player than a win horse.
Race type: BM56, 2100m
Map & tempo: Slow tempo, with Timeonlees likely controlling things from somewhere handy and Verifier, Luckyheleft and Hard To Go Wrong all poised to slot in and make their runs
Punty read: This is the kind of staying BM56 where the horse with the best rhythm usually wins the argument. Timeonlees has the map, the form, and the market shove - the trifecta of not mucking around. Verifier is the one who looks like he can keep grinding and be there when the sprint goes on, while Luckyheleft has the edge on the value sheet if you want a place horse with a path to the placings. Hard To Go Wrong is the sneaky blowout runner if the race turns into a dogfight and the on-pacers start folding like camp chairs.
Top 3 + Roughie ($17.50 pool)
1. Timeonlees (No.8) — $2.33 / $1.25 🏆 WINNER
Bet $6.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$12.60
Prob 32.6% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.99x
Why Gets the perfect run pattern, has been solid all prep, and the market has already done the heavy lifting for us.
2. Verifier (No.6) — $3.60 / $1.35 🏆 2ND
Bet $6.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$3.25
Prob 14.0% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.66x
Why Honest old warhorse type who should be there to be collected when the race turns into a slog.
3. Luckyheleft (No.2) — $8.80 / $2.45 🏆 7TH
Bet $5.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$5.00
Prob 11.4% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.31x
Why If he gets any sort of economical trip, he can bob up into the exotics at a number worth having.
Roughie: Hard To Go Wrong (No.3) — $11.75 / $3.10 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.6% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.47x
Why The wet ground and the long trip keep him relevant, and if the race turns into a proper war, he'll be charging late.
Race type: BM56, 1400m
Map & tempo: Genuine speed with Russian Roni likely rolling on the front and The Bantam, Under The Hat and Brassi Road getting the sweet run if they can keep their feet
Punty read: This is a proper wet-track handicap - no one gets to loaf around and admire the scenery. Russian Roni looks the one to run down if he can stack them up from the front, but the one Punty wants in the lane is Cooranga, who has the map to sit back and launch if the speed cooks the leaders. Royal Inference is the classy one but the price is skinny enough to make your eyes water, while Full Commitment is the sort who can absolutely go around a place if the race shape gifts him a cushy spot. This is one of those legs where the favourite can be right and still not be your best betting proposition.
Top 3 + Roughie ($13.00 pool)
1. Russian Roni (No.2) — $6.90 / $2.35 🏆 12TH
Bet $13.00 Each Way ($6.50W + $6.50P) — ✗ Lost, net -$13.00
Prob 13.8% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.23x
Why Back in grade, back in trip, and the genuine tempo should let him control the race for a long way.
2. Royal Inference (No.3) — $4.70 / $1.95 🏆 8TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.8% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.84x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Full Commitment (No.11) — $4.50 / $1.90 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.8% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.80x
Why In the right race shape he can be dangerous, but we're not paying to find out today.
Roughie: Cooranga (No.1) — $9.40 / $3.00 🏆 5TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.8% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.31x
Why The backmarker with the fitness and map to swoop if the leaders go too hard and melt in the last 200.
Race type: BM56, 1400m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace with Boulder Jack expected to roll forward; No Greater Vue, Colt Forty Five and Queen Of Cordoba all get decent chances to stalk the speed and strike
Punty read: No Greater Vue is the one they all have to hold out - the market has already backed him from a better price and the cross-over nose band says the stable is looking for a sharper version. Colt Forty Five looks the place horse with the right sort of heavy-track credentials, while Queen Of Cordoba is the proper value runner even though the model is a bit cooler than the crowd. Ancho is the roughie with the cleanest path if he gets a soft run and the pace breaks up, which is why he's the sort of horse you keep on the clipboard even if you don't fire straight away.
Top 3 + Roughie ($18.50 pool)
1. No Greater Vue (No.2) — $2.88 / $1.35 🏆 2ND
Bet $9.50 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$9.50
Prob 23.3% | Place: 25.5% | Value: 0.88x
Why Has the map and the market behind him, and with the gear tweak he looks primed to sit in the first wave and punch late.
2. Colt Forty Five (No.4) — $4.55 / $1.70 🏆 11TH
Bet $9.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$9.00
Prob 14.7% | Place: 25.5% | Value: 0.88x
Why Won nicely last time and the wet should keep him in the game even if the race gets messy.
3. Queen Of Cordoba (No.5) — $8.95 / $2.60 🏆 6TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.7% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.73x
Why Best value runner in the race, but she's still the sort who wants things to fall her way a bit.
Roughie: Ancho (No.1) — $11.25 / $3.20 🏆 8TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.4% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 2.13x
Why If he can get a cheap run and save ground, he's the one who can swoop into the minors at a decent number.
Race type: BM56, 1200m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo, with Finchaven, Blondie's Toronado and Reasonable Point all in the mix; Artful Lodger and Cortain are the ones to keep safe in the exotics if you want some cover
Punty read: This is the leg where the punters can get mugged if they chase the sexy price without respecting the map. Finchaven has the each-way appeal, Reasonable Point is the one that keeps popping up as a bit of a thief at the finish, and Cortain is the roughie with genuine upside if the wet track and first-time gear click. Blondie's Toronado has drifted like a boat with a hole in it, which is never the look you want, so that one goes on the watchlist rather than the hero board.
Top 3 + Roughie ($16.00 pool)
1. Finchaven (No.5) — $4.70 / $1.95 🏆 3RD
Bet $9.50 Each Way ($4.75W + $4.75P) — ✓ Won, net +$2.85
Prob 17.3% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.07x
Why Fresh enough, honest enough, and the map says he'll get his chance to lob into it without burning petrol.
2. Blondie's Toronado (No.8) — $3.88 / $1.65 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 17.2% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 0.88x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Reasonable Point (No.10) — $5.95 / $2.20 🏆 2ND
Bet $6.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$14.95
Prob 17.2% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 1.35x
Why This one looks made for a wet-track scrape and has the right sort of grinding style to be right there at the finish.
Roughie: Cortain (No.16) — $16.25 / $4.00 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 3.7% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.79x
Why First-time gear and a decent map could spark him up, but he's still more of a sneaky exotics horse than a proper stand-out.
Race type: BM56, 1000m
Map & tempo: Moderate speed with Raging Monkey and Adki likely pressing forward; Monix, Starmae and Sioux Warrior get the right sort of stalking run if they jump clean
Punty read: This is the kind of sprint where the barriers and the first 200m can ruin a week. Monix is the horse to beat, but he's out the gate like a crowbar in a storm and the price is tight enough to keep you honest. Starmae gets some gear changes and has the profile to bounce, while Shamateur has been backed and looks like the one with a nice enough setup to hit the line. Per Ivy is the roughie people will be tempted by, but the drift says the stable isn't banging the drum hard enough to make him a must.
Top 3 + Roughie ($16.00 pool)
1. Monix (No.3) — $3.45 / $1.50 🏆 4TH
Bet $9.50 Each Way ($4.75W + $4.75P) — ✗ Lost, net -$9.50
Prob 17.5% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.80x
Why Honest, in form, and the straight 1000m should suit a horse who can lob in the first wave and keep going.
2. Starmae (No.5) — $4.90 / $2.00 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 17.5% | Place: 45.1% | Value: 1.13x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Shamateur (No.4) — $7.30 / $2.40 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $6.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$6.50
Prob 12.5% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 1.21x
Why Backed hard, maps okay, and if the leaders go at it like they owe each other money, he'll be one of the ones charging late.
Roughie: Per Ivy (No.1) — $13.50 / $3.80 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.9% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.88x
Why Can run a drum if he gets the right run, but the drift makes him more of a watch-and-wait type than a go-hard type.
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 4,6,13,14 / 3,8,7 / 5,7,6,8 / 8,6,2,3 (192 combos x $0.13 = $25.00) -- 13% flexi
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 2,3,11,1 / 2,4,5,1 / 5,10,8,9 / 3,5,4 (192 combos x $0.17 = $32.00) -- 17% flexi
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 5 / 8 / 2 / 2 / 5 / 3 (1 combos x $2.00 = $2.00) -- 200% flexi
The day's multi leans on three win legs across the card.
1 - Reign Capital (Race 2, No.4)✗ — $2.58
2 - Signed For (Race 3, No.3)✗ — $2.30
3 - Timeonlees (Race 5, No.8)✓ Won — $2.33
Meeting Stats
Selections
Punty's Early Mail
Rightio Loose Units, Echuca's serving up a Heavy 9 with the rail true, which basically means the inside path might be gold early before the track starts asking hard questions later in the day. There's a couple of short-price anchors lurking, but this isn't one of those meetings where you just lob in the favourite and go back to the bar like you've solved the puzzle in one go.
MEET SNAPSHOT
Track: Echuca, 1000-2100m card
Rail: True Entire Circuit
Official going: Heavy 9 (expected to play testing and tempo-sensitive)
Weather: Partly cloudy, 13C, humidity 64%, wind 11km/h N (watch for a little edge in the ground, but no apocalypse)
Early lane guess: Best going early to horses saving ground and settling handy; swoopers need luck and a tempo meltdown
Tempo profile: A mixed bag - a few crawl-and-sprint races, a few genuine bruisers, and the 1000m races where someone usually lights the fuse and ruins a few multis
Jockeys to follow:
Brad Rawiller, keeps popping up on the key runs in the harder races and knows how to nurse a horse through a wet-track scrap
Will Gordon, the go-to hoop when there is a bit of class or a lightness in the map to exploit
Ryan Hurdle, a stack of live rides across the card, especially the ones that want a bit of patience and a half-decent seat
Stables to respect:
Patrick Payne (3 runners), has a couple of live short-course and middle-distance types that map to get every chance
Olivia Osborne (3 runners), has a few runners that are being smashed in the market and look ready to fire on the Heavy
Ben Brisbourne (3 runners), doesn't mind a wet-track day when the money's talking and the map lines up
Punty's take: This is one of those Echuca cards where the book looks neat until the gates fly and the Heavy 9 starts chewing on it like a pit bull with a steak bone. The market has already had a sniff at a few of them - Signed For, Reign Capital, Timeonlees, Spicy Apple, Monix - but there are also a few drifters that scream "not today, mate" unless the race falls apart. That's the game here: don't get seduced by every shiny shorty; find the ones with the right map, the right ground, and the right trainer/jockey combo who can keep the wheels spinning when the track turns into soup.
The other thing with a True rail and wet ground is you don't want to be too cute at the back unless the speed is genuinely cooked. On-pace types and the horses that can hold a spot without burning fuel are the ones that usually get first crack. That doesn't mean the leaders are home and hosed - not on a track like this - but it does mean the swoopers need the race run their way. Think more Mad Max than ballet: if you're going to circle them, you'd better have something left in the tank.
What it means for you: The meeting shape screams "bank the right anchors and don't overcomplicate the chaos." Races 3 and 5 look like the cleaner lanes to lean on, while Races 2, 4, 6, 8 and 9 are the ones that can mug you if you get greedy. If you're building multis, don't try to be a hero in the ugly legs - cover them properly or keep your stake tight and let the better races do the heavy lifting. The best money today is in horses that handle wet ground, can settle in the first half of the field, and have a genuine reason for market support. That's where the smoke is. That's where the beer money lives.