Saturday, 06 June 2026
No more jumps at this meeting today.
Punty's Punts
Race type: Open, 1100m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace, with Divine Dot rolling forward and Vega Vixen right in the firing line; Profumo and Resonant can get a slice if the leaders go too hard
Punty read: This is a proper little speed puzzle to kick us off. Vega Vixen has the class look and the stable support, but Divine Dot isn't here to donate the lead and the two of them could make this a pressure cooker. If they cut at each other too early, Resonant is the sort who can swoop late and make a race of it, while Aethera is the sort of longshot you only keep on the radar for a wild place hole-in-one if the map completely unravels.
Top 3 + Roughie ($20.00 pool)
1. Vega Vixen (No.3) — $2.63 / $1.32 🏆 3RD
Bet $15.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 34.4% | Place: 46.2% | Value: 1.03x
Why She's the filly with the bit of authority about her - won on debut, has the right sort of natural speed, and the market's already had a proper look at her. If she lands in a stalking spot, she'll be hard to hold out.
2. Divine Dot (No.1) — $3.00 / $1.37 🏆 5TH
Bet $5.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$5.00
Prob 29.0% | Place: 56.8% | Value: 0.99x
Why Honest little speed machine who keeps turning up and doing the job, but the map isn't a picnic with a few of these wanting to roll. Still a serious player if he controls the tempo.
3. Profumo (No.5) — $4.60 / $2.00 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 16.8% | Place: 28.2% | Value: 0.88x
Why First-time gear on top of a strong market push says the stable has given him a proper tune-up, but he's still got to prove it under race pressure.
Roughie: Aethera (No.6) — $27.50 / $6.00 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.6% | Place: 27.8% | Value: 1.43x
Why If the speed tears away and she gets the right run through the line, she's the sort that can flash into the frame at a ridiculous price and wreck a few multis for sport.
Race type: Benchmark 78, 1600m
Map & tempo: Genuine tempo with a few on-speed types stretched across the track; Madiyya and the closers get the perfect sort of set-up if the leaders overdo it
Punty read: Madiyya has been hammered in the market and you can see why - she's the class horse in the race and the shape looks perfect for her to swamp them late. Mometz is the sneaky one if you want a rough edge, because the last run had excuses written all over it and the map says he can be a late threat if they carve up early. A Samurai Mind and Fearless Freddy are the types that can run into the placings if the pressure's real, but this one feels like the market has found the right mare.
Top 3 + Roughie ($13.00 pool)
1. Madiyya (No.13) — $3.95 / $1.70 🏆 2ND
Bet $13.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$13.00
Prob 25.4% | Place: 38.6% | Value: 1.25x
Why Big market move, classy profile, and she settles back in a race that should set up perfectly for a strong finish. Looks the one they all have to get past.
2. Mometz (No.9) — $9.05 / $3.10 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.7% | Place: 21.9% | Value: 1.33x
Why Held up last start and gets a much more attractive map here. If the race gets messy, he'll be the one rattling home through the middle.
3. Walking Painting (No.2) — $16.75 / $4.40 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 5.2% | Place: 31.0% | Value: 1.08x
Why Can roll along and has shown he can take a position, but the heavy track and weight rise make him more of a grinder than a killer.
Roughie: A Samurai Mind (No.3) — $21.50 / $5.00 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.4% | Place: 33.2% | Value: 1.19x
Why Stable change and a bit of market love says he isn't here to make up the numbers, but he'll need the race to run true and a bit of luck from the map.
Race type: Open, 1600m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo with Flying Done likely to get every chance on the speed, while Bel Mezyaan and Miss Revealing can swoop late if the leaders don't pinch it
Punty read: Flying Done is the right sort of horse for a Flemington mile on a testing surface - he can get into the race without being burnt up, and the straight gives him every chance to keep finding. Miss Revealing is the smokey that could turn this into a bit of a soap opera if she gets clear air, and Bel Mezyaan will be running on like a closing credits montage if the front end goes too hard. Our Chief is the cheap-and-cheerful roughie: map, wet ground, and a bit of luck are his entire life story, but sometimes that's enough.
Top 3 + Roughie ($13.00 pool)
1. Flying Done (No.1) — $4.05 / $1.60 🏆 5TH
Bet $13.00 Each Way ($6.50W + $6.50P) — ✗ Lost, net -$13.00
Prob 20.7% | Place: 56.0% | Value: 1.00x
Why Gets the right run on the speed, has been a warrior at the trip, and the straight should let him keep grinding when the others start to feel the pinch.
2. Miss Revealing (No.13) — $7.35 / $2.45 🏆 8TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.0% | Place: 28.1% | Value: 1.23x
Why The market drift is the sort of thing that gets a punter's eyebrows up, but the run last time had excuses and the finish can be lethal if the gaps appear.
3. Bel Mezyaan (No.3) — $7.35 / $2.40 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 12.4% | Place: 31.8% | Value: 1.09x
Why Honest old closer who just keeps hitting the line; if the tempo lifts even a touch, he's the bloke sneaking into the photo like he's late to his own wedding.
Roughie: Our Chief (No.5) — $17.25 / $4.00 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 5.5% | Place: 33.7% | Value: 1.12x
Why Bumped and hampered last time, now gets a better chance to roll forward and hang around for a slice if the top few get too greedy early.
Race type: Open, 1200m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace with Snallygaster likely to roll, Wise Inlaw landing in the right sort of stalking lane, and Barari the little rail-hugger who can pinch a run
Punty read: High On The Hill gets the nod because the map is clean enough and the wet-track profile is good enough to trust him over the others. Wise Inlaw is the dangerous one for the exacta and place line, because he can sit off the speed and his form reads like a bloke who's been knocking on the door without quite getting the key. Brave Design is the price horse with a path to the frame if the market's right and the race gets messy, while Snallygaster is one of those on-speed types that can either make the race or be the first bloke through the pearly gates when the pressure goes on.
Top 3 + Roughie ($20.00 pool)
1. High On The Hill (No.5) — $3.78 / $1.55 🏆 5TH
Bet $11.50 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$11.50
Prob 26.1% | Place: 43.6% | Value: 1.16x
Why Handles the wet, has the right sort of map, and gets the sort of race where a smart sit can turn into a winning finish pretty quickly.
2. Wise Inlaw (No.3) — $4.00 / $1.50 🏆 2ND
Bet $8.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$4.25
Prob 21.5% | Place: 33.7% | Value: 1.02x
Why Consistent as any bastard on the card, and the straight can help him reel in a few in the last 100m if he gets the split at the right time.
3. Brave Design (No.4) — $26.00 / $5.50 🏆 6TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 3.9% | Place: 37.2% | Value: 1.19x
Why Better than his last run suggests and the market has given him a little wink, but he still needs the race to fall in his lap.
Roughie: Snallygaster (No.6) — $10.25 / $2.90 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.2% | Place: 40.8% | Value: 1.23x
Why The speed map says he can play a role if he gets loose, but this looks like a race where the closers have the last laugh if the leaders overdo it.
Race type: Benchmark 84, 1400m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo, with First Chorus and Duchess Zou in the front half and a few closers like Stylish and Miss Aria waiting for the straight to sort itself out
Punty read: First Chorus looks like the sort of horse you build a card around on a wet Flemington day - he maps beautifully, handles the conditions, and keeps getting the sort of support that says the stable is serious. Duchess Zou is the obvious danger and should be right there again, while Stylish is the each-way sort who can run into the minors if the tempo is honest and the wet track doesn't turn her into a drama queen. Khadime is the one the figures keep whispering about, and if you want a sneaky place-type rabbit out of the hat, Miss Aria is the one who could clunk into the frame if the race gets the right shape.
Top 3 + Roughie ($18.00 pool)
1. First Chorus (No.4) — $3.08 / $1.32 SCR
Bet $10.50 Win — ✗ Lost, net +$0.00
Prob 26.5% | Place: 46.7% | Value: 0.95x
Why Wet-track warrior, good map, and the stable's clearly happy to roll the dice here. If he controls the race, the others are chasing shadows.
2. Duchess Zou (No.2) — $3.17 / $1.32 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 25.2% | Place: 51.1% | Value: 0.93x
Why Tough mare who loves digging in when the ground's ugly, and she's drawn to get a perfect run without wasting petrol.
3. Stylish (No.3) — $9.25 / $2.35 🏆 2ND
Bet $7.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$10.12
Prob 8.9% | Place: 38.7% | Value: 0.96x
Why Market has had a proper sniff and the fresh-up profile says she can find the line if the race is run at the right clip.
Roughie: Miss Aria (No.1) — $10.50 / $2.45 🏆 5TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 8.8% | Place: 39.8% | Value: 1.07x
Why Held up last time and drawn to get a cleaner passage, so she's the sort of mare that can sneak into the finish if they go a touch too hard up front.
Race type: Benchmark 84, 1400m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo with enough pace on to give the closers a chance; Spione and Elouyou can stalk, while He'll Rip and No Drama are the ones the market's been poking at
Punty read: This one has the look of a race where the map will matter more than the tote noise. Spione is the play because he gets the right shape and can finish over the top, while Elouyou is the obvious short-priced battler but the value isn't on his side. It's A Knockout has a gear tweak and some support, but the place number is where the real argument is, and Windstorm is the roughie who could get into the frame if the leaders cook themselves. If you've ever watched The Matrix and wished the slo-mo lasted longer, that's this race: everything happens late.
Top 3 + Roughie ($13.00 pool)
1. Spione (No.9) — $4.30 / $1.75 🏆 4TH
Bet $13.00 Each Way ($6.50W + $6.50P) — ✗ Lost, net -$13.00
Prob 18.1% | Place: 36.5% | Value: 0.95x
Why Backmarker with a map that should let him swoop, and the conditions should give him a proper chance to rattle home.
2. Elouyou (No.4) — $3.92 / $1.70 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 17.1% | Place: 33.6% | Value: 0.82x
Why Solid enough in the run, but the price says the market's already done the work and then some.
3. It's A Knockout (No.5) — $9.30 / $2.80 🏆 5TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.3% | Place: 37.0% | Value: 1.17x
Why Gear changes can wake these types up, and he does have a chance if the race turns into a grind rather than a dash.
Roughie: Windstorm (No.1) — $19.50 / $4.60 🏆 10TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.3% | Place: 31.9% | Value: 1.02x
Why He'll be the one coming from nowhere late if the tempo sharpens, but he needs the race to collapse in his lap.
Race type: Benchmark 100, 2000m
Map & tempo: Slow pace, with the backmarkers and stalkers trying to turn a dawdle into a sprint home; Shockletz and Zahrann are the ones the market's backing to find the right spot
Punty read: This is the proper head-scratcher on the card. Slow tempo means you usually want to be on the right side of positioning, but the race also has enough class for the better horses to still bob up if they get the right path. Shockletz has enough class to be the one to beat, Zahrann is the honest type with a huge enough record to respect, and Bold Soul is the one that keeps popping up as a value runner if you're looking for a late swooper with a wet-track backbone. Kingofwallstreet is the lunatic roughie - long spell, huge price, and the sort of profile that either makes you look like a genius or a bloke who mistook a horoscope for form.
Top 3 + Roughie ($10.50 pool)
1. Shockletz (No.10) — $4.20 / $1.85 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $10.50 Each Way ($5.25W + $5.25P) — ✗ Lost, net -$10.50
Prob 17.1% | Place: 29.6% | Value: 0.88x
Why The class runner in the scrum, and if the speed doesn't turn into a snooze-fest he'll be the one with the turn of foot to finish them off.
2. Zahrann (No.2) — $5.15 / $1.95 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.2% | Place: 28.3% | Value: 0.90x
Why Honest as they come and proven at the trip; if he lands in the right spot, he can be right in the photo.
3. Bold Soul (No.5) — $11.50 / $3.60 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.2% | Place: 27.8% | Value: 1.44x
Why Wet ground and the longer trip won't bother him, and if the race is a slow-motion wrestle, he can clunk into a place without asking too many questions.
Roughie: Kingofwallstreet (No.14) — $31.50 / $6.00 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.8% | Place: 31.2% | Value: 1.85x
Why Long spell, huge price, and a rough path to victory - but if he's anywhere near tuned up, he can blow a hole in the finish and make grown men swear at the telly.
Race type: Open, 2000m
Map & tempo: Slow pace, and that makes Brave Danza and the stalkers dangerous while the backmarkers need the right lane and the right ride
Punty read: Brave Danza is the horse the market has latched onto, and for good reason - he's got the right mix of form, conditions, and enough versatility to cope with a messy race. Siriusly Hot is the one who can absolutely come over the top if they go too soft early, while Rockette and Azazel are the rough-arse wildcards you either love or hate depending on how much red wine you've had by race eight. This is a classic Flemington 2000m "who gets the nice run?" question - like a season of Succession, everyone's got a plan until the wind changes.
Top 3 + Roughie ($6.00 pool)
1. Brave Danza (No.2) — $5.60 / $2.00 🏆 2ND
Bet $6.00 Each Way ($3.00W + $3.00P) — ✓ Won, net +$2.40
Prob 14.3% | Place: 30.0% | Value: 0.99x
Why The market's already sniffed him out and he maps to get a fair crack at the race without spending petrol in the wrong place.
2. Siriusly Hot (No.3) — $8.60 / $3.00 🏆 11TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.0% | Place: 27.8% | Value: 1.18x
Why If they crawl early, this bloke can swoop like Batman off a rooftop; the straight gives him time to wind up.
3. Rockette (No.13) — $5.85 / $2.15 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.3% | Place: 25.0% | Value: 0.74x
Why Not the value, but the stable has found a few winners in these messy staying races and she can stick on if the pace is kinder than expected.
Roughie: Azazel (No.1) — $23.50 / $6.00 🏆 16TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.9% | Place: 39.6% | Value: 1.44x
Why Resuming, still learning, and wants the right trip, but the place profile says he could pop up if the race turns into a slog.
Race type: Benchmark 84, 1200m
Map & tempo: Hot pace with several leaders across the map; Markdel and Xarpo should get the ideal sort of stalking run while the front-runners are burning matches early
Punty read: This is the race where the speed map could turn the whole thing into a late sweep-fest. Markdel has been backed like a horse with a secret, Xarpo is the big map play, and Great Maximus is the sturdy grinder who can hang around if the leaders go at each other like a pair of drunks over the last schooner. El Soleado is the glorious roughie - resuming, huge price, but his place profile says he can absolutely hit the line if the straight tailwind and wet ground let him wind up. Katsu is the on-speed nuisance who could make the race messy, while Rosa Aotearoa and Celsius Star are the horses the market's been leaning into for good reason.
Top 3 + Roughie ($10.50 pool)
1. Markdel (No.11) — $5.30 / $2.00 🏆 2ND
Bet $10.50 Each Way ($5.25W + $5.25P) — Cashed, net +$0.00
Prob 17.8% | Place: 34.3% | Value: 1.16x
Why Huge market support, perfect map, and the sort of wet-track sprint profile that can make the last 200m a formality if he gets clear air.
2. Xarpo (No.14) — $5.95 / $2.20 🏆 6TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 16.7% | Place: 38.7% | Value: 1.22x
Why He'll sit back and come with one run, and the hot tempo is exactly the sort of setup that can make him dangerous late.
3. Midtown Boss (No.5) — $6.70 / $2.30 🏆 10TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.6% | Place: 39.6% | Value: 0.96x
Why Gear tweaks and a decent map keep him in the conversation, but he's more the sort to hover around the money than blow them away.
Roughie: El Soleado (No.1) — $27.00 / $5.00 🏆 11TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.6% | Place: 38.4% | Value: 1.54x
Why Resumes with a place profile that screams "don't ignore me", and if the leaders burn each other out, he can clunk into the frame at a monster price.
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 13,9,2 / 1,3,13,5,8 / 5,3,6,4 / 2,4,3,1 (240 combos x $0.15 = $35.00) -- 15% flexi
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 9,4,5,13 / 10,2,5,13 / 2,3,13,10 / 14,11,5,2 (256 combos x $0.31 = $80.00) -- 31% flexi
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 5 / 4 / 9 / 10 / 2 / 11 (1 combos x $2.00 = $2.00) -- 200% flexi
The day's multi leans on three win legs across the card.
1 - Vega Vixen (Race 1, No.3)✗ — $2.63
2 - Madiyya (Race 2, No.13)✗ — $3.95
3 - First Chorus (Race 5, No.4) — $3.08
Meeting Stats
Selections
Punty's Early Mail
Rightio Loose Units, Flemington's serving up a Heavy 8 with the rail out 8m, a bit of tailwind up the straight, and just enough moisture in the air to turn a few fancy pants favourites into mud-splattered regrets. This isn't a day for swaggering around like you're Brad Pitt in Ocean's Eleven - it's a day for proper map work, wet-track nous, and not getting spooked when the tote starts throwing chairs around.
MEET SNAPSHOT
Track: Flemington, 1100m-2000m card
Rail: Out 8m entire circuit
Official going: Heavy 8 (expected to play a bit testing, but not a complete bog if the wind keeps the straight honest)
Weather: Partly cloudy, 13C, humid, with moderate NNW wind and a tailwind up the straight (watch for closers getting a proper launch)
Early lane guess: Middle to off the fence in the straight; don't treat the paint like the only road to salvation
Tempo profile: Sprints look genuine to hot, the middles have a few speed duels, and the straight should give the swoopers their shot late
Jockeys to follow:
Jamie Mott, keeps landing on live mounts and knows how to nurse a wet-track straight like a bloke who's watched every replay since Black Caviar
Luke Cartwright, on a stack of runners with decent setups; if the maps hold, he could have a red-letter day
Damien Thornton, plenty of live rides and a few that map to get the right sort of run when the pressure comes on
Stables to respect:
D T O'Brien (5 runners), a proper day at the office with a few firmer market nudges and horses that handle this sort of grind
C Maher (5 runners), multiple live chances across the sprint and middle-distance races, and a couple of them map beautifully
Ben, Will & Jd Hayes (3 runners), always dangerous when the money lands and the race shape suits
Punty's take:
This is the kind of Flemington card that can make geniuses look like mugs and mugs look like geniuses. The first half has a few genuine speed battles, but the back end is where the wet-track grinders and the late swoopers get to have a proper crack. If the front-runners overcook it, the tailwind straight can make the last 200m feel like the end of Rocky IV.
The markets are already leaning into a few of the right stories - Vega Vixen and Divine Dot in the opener, Madiyya in the mile, First Chorus in the sprint, and Markdel late. But there are also a couple of filthy little price moves that scream "someone knows what they're doing" - and a couple of drifters that look like they've been left out in the rain with no coat. That's Flemington on Heavy 8 for you: brutal, beautiful, and just a bit feral.
What it means for you:
Play the horses that can either absorb pressure on-speed or get the right cart into the race. The short sprints are where map and barrier matter most, but once we get into the mile and beyond, the straight gives the closing types a voice. That's why the better bets today are the ones that can hold a spot, handle the slop, and still finish off like they've got a pulse.
Don't go wild on every roughie just because the day looks messy. There are a few proper value plays on the board, but the smart money is on being selective: build around the cleanest maps, respect the wet-track form, and don't be afraid to let a couple of shiny drifters go past without getting involved. The day can be won with a couple of solid anchors and a bit of discipline - not by having a dart at every goose on the card.