Saturday, 28 March 2026
No more jumps at this meeting today.
Punty's Punts
Race type: Bm76, 1600m
Map & tempo: Slow tempo; Bootlegger gets the softest run of the main hopes while Flying Brant might have to do the donkey work up front
Punty read: This is the sort of mile where patience matters more than bravado. Bootlegger is the one with the cleanest story - second-up, proven over the trip, and not asking for a brawl. Flying Brant is the obvious speed angle and if he gets a cheap time on the bunny he can pinch it, but if they crawl early the swooper gets every chance to land. Matahga is the smoky - the excuses are legit, the market's been sniffing, and if he jumps cleaner than last time he can bob up without warning like a horror film sequel nobody asked for.
Top 3 + Roughie ($20.00 pool)
1. Bootlegger (No.1) — $1.98 / $1.33 🏆 3RD
Bet $12.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$12.00
Prob 46.6% | Place: 76.4% | Value: 1.07x
Why Second-up specialist, has the map to park in the right spot, and this looks a lot more his go than the last prep's rusty runs.
2. Flying Brant (No.5) — $7.75 / $3.25 🏆 2ND
Bet $4.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$4.00
Prob 28.2% | Place: 62.3% | Value: 2.54x
Why If he rolls along and steals a breather, he can get brave late and make the favourite earn every inch.
3. Matahga (No.2) — $3.35 / $1.78 🏆 4TH
Bet $4.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$4.00
Prob 17.7% | Place: 42.3% | Value: 0.69x
Why Last couple had genuine excuses, and the market has already nudged the ticket. If he gets the right run, he can turn the tables in a hurry.
Roughie: Mostly For Show (No.3) — $4.35 / $2.12 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 7.5% | Place: 19.1% | Value: 0.38x
Why Needs the race to become a crawl and then a dash; otherwise he's just surfing the wake.
Race type: Bm82, 1600m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo; Star Sirius and A Samurai Mind get the nice tow, while Brown Nose Day Gal can stalk them into it
Punty read: This is the race where the market's doing that old "favourite versus value" tango. A Samurai Mind has the profile and the fresh support, but Star Sirius is the nasty little value poke - maps to sit midfield, gets in with a proper chance, and the last run said he's looking for the mile like a bloke hunting the pub after a long week. Brown Nose Day Gal is the stable mare who keeps getting better; if the speed is honest, she's right in the picture. Oxford Blue is the roughie with the winkers-off/off-the-front-plates angle - the sort of gear change that makes you sit up a bit.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Star Sirius (No.4) — $6.35 / $2.70 🏆 4TH
Bet $15.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 28.1% | Place: 52.7% | Value: 2.18x
Why Finished like a train last start and the jump to the mile suits him down to the ground.
2. A Samurai Mind (No.1) — $2.53 / $1.37 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 24.9% | Place: 48.3% | Value: 0.77x
Why The form is rock solid and the map is tidy, but he's short enough that Punty's not keen to get sucked into the favourite tax.
3. Brown Nose Day Gal (No.6) — $4.60 / $2.25 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 18.2% | Place: 37.1% | Value: 1.02x
Why Honest as the day is long and the light weight helps, but the setup is more placey than punchy.
Roughie: Oxford Blue (No.7) — $19.25 / $5.00 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 8.0% | Place: 17.3% | Value: 1.87x
Why Gear tweak and a friendly map can drag him into the frame if the race gets messy.
Race type: Mdn Plate, 1200m
Map & tempo: Genuine speed; Whiskey Tumbler likely rolls, Golden Cloud and Machinegun Mike can sit in the slipstream
Punty read: This is your classic maiden speed squabble where one horse gets brave and the rest try not to look like they'd rather be anywhere else. Golden Cloud is the class horse on exposed form, but at the odds he's not exactly carrying a charity donation - he has to justify the price. Whiskey Tumbler is the danger because the race shape suits him and the gear tweaks say the stable's having a proper crack. Harrino and Machinegun Mike are the two that can lob into the placings if the leaders turn it into a war of attrition. Tiptop Tori is the horse the market keeps whispering about; if the fresh-up run was just one of those messy ones, she can blow the doors off at a price.
Top 3 + Roughie ($20.00 pool)
1. Golden Cloud (No.5) — $2.75 / $1.25 🏆 3RD
Bet $11.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$6.90
Prob 24.0% | Place: 62.8% | Value: 0.86x
Why The best exposed form in the race, but Punty's protecting the wallet rather than getting all hero-ball with the win ticket.
2. Whiskey Tumbler (No.7) — $2.80 / $1.30 🏆 5TH
Bet $8.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$8.50
Prob 21.6% | Place: 58.9% | Value: 0.79x
Why First time gear changes and a race shape that should let him stalk and pounce like he's in a Michael Mann flick.
3. Harrino (No.1) — $14.10 / $3.40 🏆 6TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.8% | Place: 34.9% | Value: 1.99x
Why Quietly okay run last time and if the speed gets silly he can be the one chewing through the line.
Roughie: Machinegun Mike (No.2) — $12.50 / $3.20 🏆 8TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.0% | Place: 40.8% | Value: 2.13x
Why The form line isn't flashy, but he's the sort who can pop up if the race collapses into a messy little brawl.
Race type: Bm72, 1050m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo; La Roux and Blethyn can press forward while the roughies launch late
Punty read: Here's the proper bastard of the card. The favourite has been hammered in the market, but signature scent is exactly the kind of horse you can get peeled off the podium if the pressure goes on early and the rail horse starts whingeing. La Roux is the one Punty wants on top - nice gate, strong first-up profile, and a run style that fits the tempo. Blethyn's the value safety net, sitting midfield with enough class to be dangerous. Common Interest is the sneaky one; the market's bailed on him, but those gear changes and the map mean he can bob up in the finish like a dodgy phone at the bottom of the couch. Virtual Illusion is the roughie with the real upside if the speed melts.
Top 3 + Roughie ($25.00 pool)
1. La Roux (No.6) — $12.50 / $3.20 🏆 9TH
Bet $13.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$13.00
Prob 16.7% | Place: 47.5% | Value: 2.61x
Why Stays fresh, maps well, and the race shape gives him every chance to stalk and strike.
2. Blethyn (No.2) — $8.50 / $2.50 🏆 7TH
Bet $12.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$12.00
Prob 14.2% | Place: 41.9% | Value: 1.51x
Why Has the right midfield sit and the last-start run was better than the margin suggests.
3. Common Interest (No.10) — $28.00 / $5.00 🏆 6TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.0% | Place: 28.5% | Value: 3.14x
Why Big odds because the punters have gone cold, but the horse is far more live than the market thinks if he gets a clean crack.
Roughie: Virtual Illusion (No.5) — $12.00 / $3.20 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 20.9% | Place: 55.6% | Value: 3.14x
Why Has the upside to swoop right over them if the speed turns into a roast.
Race type: Open, 1050m
Map & tempo: Genuine tempo; Never Ordinary leads, Verzain and Almost An Angel track the right run
Punty read: Never Ordinary is the obvious anchor - the bloke on the bunny, with the rail and the map all playing his tune. But the roughie in this race isn't some sneaky 80-to-1 lunatic; it's Verzain, who has the right profile, the right jockey, and the right sort of price to make your ears prick up. Almost An Angel is the grinder who can get a lovely cart into it and keep finding. Signed By A Kiss is the outsider with a bit of market sniff, and if this turns into a burn-up he can thunder into the minors.
Top 3 + Roughie ($19.50 pool)
1. Never Ordinary (No.1) — $1.54 / $1.10 🏆 WINNER
Bet $9.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$0.38
Prob 27.8% | Place: 68.5% | Value: 0.54x
Why Maps to lead, has the class edge, and if they let him coast he's the one they all have to reel in.
2. Verzain (No.5) — $7.60 / $2.10 🏆 2ND
Bet $7.00 Each Way ($3.50W + $3.50P) — Cashed, net -$0.70
Prob 19.8% | Place: 56.0% | Value: 1.91x
Why Fresh enough to be dangerous, the map's sweet, and the price says the market's not fully on the right page.
3. Almost An Angel (No.2) — $5.75 / $1.55 🏆 3RD
Bet $3.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$0.30
Prob 14.3% | Place: 44.5% | Value: 1.05x
Why That last run had excuses and the drop back to the right trip can put her right in the mix.
Roughie: Signed By A Kiss (No.12) — $16.50 / $3.30 🏆 6TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 8.2% | Place: 27.9% | Value: 1.73x
Why If the speed gets hot and the wide gate doesn't murder him, he can clatter into the frame.
Race type: Bm70, 1100m
Map & tempo: Genuine tempo; Zanthron should burn forward while Enuff Seduction can swoop if the pressure is honest
Punty read: This one is a proper speed map battle. Enuff Seduction comes in fit, flying, and with the kind of prep that makes you sit up straight; the market's been all over it for good reason. Angel Torque is the steady hand, a horse that should get a neat run and keep the pressure on. Zanthron is the leader and can be dangerous if he gets into a rhythm, but his recent profile says he can be vulnerable if the race turns into a last-furlong scrap. Clarence is the roughie for the blown-out each-way punters; he's got the right price and enough tactical speed to stalk the right lane.
Top 3 + Roughie ($25.00 pool)
1. Enuff Seduction (No.1) — $5.75 / $2.15 🏆 11TH
Bet $15.50 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$15.50
Prob 19.5% | Place: 53.1% | Value: 1.45x
Why Comes in firing, fits the trip, and the map says he gets the last crack at them.
2. Angel Torque (No.3) — $4.75 / $1.95 🏆 2ND
Bet $6.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$7.15
Prob 17.5% | Place: 49.1% | Value: 1.07x
Why Honest, tough, and maps perfectly to stalk the speed without doing the donkey work.
3. Zanthron (No.4) — $6.50 / $2.25 🏆 7TH
Bet $3.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$3.00
Prob 14.7% | Place: 43.0% | Value: 1.24x
Why The one with the engine to take them along, and if he gets a cheap enough time in front he'll take some pegging back.
Roughie: Alaa Plenty (No.7) — $19.50 / $4.60 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 7.7% | Place: 24.8% | Value: 1.94x
Why If the leaders go too hard and the race turns into a brawl, he can be the outsider flashing home.
Race type: Handicap, 1522m
Map & tempo: Genuine tempo; Vaniteux and Chillcuz should get the nice runs while Talisay sits on the edge of the action
Punty read: This is the sort of race where you can talk yourself into six runners and still feel like you've missed the point. Vaniteux is the best value on the card in this lane - the map is okay, the form is okay, and the price is plenty okay. Chillcuz is the horse Punty wants next because he keeps turning up and the tempo suits him; he can sit midfield and still surge into the finish. Talisay is a fair horse but the price tells you he's more of a place play than a win toss. Extra Hot is the roughie with a real puncher's chance if the race gets cooked and the pace figures out it's been conned.
Top 3 + Roughie ($25.00 pool)
1. Vaniteux (No.8) — $9.25 / $2.80 🏆 2ND
Bet $13.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$17.55
Prob 17.2% | Place: 48.0% | Value: 2.06x
Why Has the right blend of form, map and market respect to land right in the firing line.
2. Chillcuz (No.9) — $7.00 / $2.40 🏆 8TH
Bet $11.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$11.50
Prob 15.1% | Place: 43.6% | Value: 1.37x
Why The race shape suits and the form line says he keeps getting the job done without much fuss.
3. Talisay (No.5) — $8.70 / $2.80 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.5% | Place: 32.4% | Value: 1.19x
Why Good enough to be thereabouts, but Punty's not keen to pay full freight for the win.
Roughie: Extra Hot (No.10) — $14.00 / $4.00 🏆 9TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.8% | Place: 45.1% | Value: 2.87x
Why If they overcook it early, this backmarker can absolutely steam through the lot of them.
Race type: Open, 1200m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo; Shadhavar and Arkansaw Kid map well, but Chicago Storm is the spicy roughie if the race opens up
Punty read: Here's where the market and the map are in a proper wrestle. Shadhavar is the horse to beat - the price has collapsed, the form is right, and he has the quickest turn of foot in the race. Arkansaw Kid is the danger if the fresh-up run flatters him; the barrier helps and he'll be hard to run past if he gets into his groove. Thunder Shoc is the classic quaddie spoiler - not sexy, but honest and right there if the leaders all look at each other. Chicago Storm is the rogue; the money's been there, the form line says he can win, and the only question is whether he gets the run to match the confidence.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Shadhavar (No.8) — $2.48 / $1.37 🏆 WINNER
Bet $15.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$18.00
Prob 26.2% | Place: 49.7% | Value: 0.78x
Why Has the best sprint in the race and the setup to use it if the speed gets hot enough.
2. Arkansaw Kid (No.1) — $2.90 / $1.40 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 20.3% | Place: 40.6% | Value: 0.70x
Why Fresh and back to his pet trip, but Punty's not paying the skinny price with the map only doing half the work.
3. Thunder Shoc (No.9) — $8.25 / $3.30 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.3% | Place: 27.9% | Value: 1.31x
Why If the top pair get into a stoush, he's the one with the late punch to annoy everybody.
Roughie: Chicago Storm (No.2) — $9.90 / $4.20 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 24.4% | Place: 47.1% | Value: 2.90x
Why The market's been sniffing, and if he gets the right tow into the race he's a live knockout blow.
Race type: Open, 1600m
Map & tempo: Slow tempo; Dirty Old Town should have the nicest run, with Silvasista and Kakadu Sunset stalking
Punty read: Slow tempo and a big field is where punters start chewing fingernails and blaming the rail. Dirty Old Town is the most solid of the lot - maps nicely, handles the trip, and should be right there when it matters. Silvasista has the short price and the stable polish, but the market's leaning a bit too hard for Punty's liking. Kakadu Sunset is the one with the sneaky upside: gear change, better map than the price suggests, and enough finishing punch to land in the money. Stung is the one who could absolutely ruin the party if the race turns into a tactical crawl and they stack them up like tinned sardines.
Top 3 + Roughie ($20.00 pool)
1. Dirty Old Town (No.3) — $6.50 / $2.45 🏆 6TH
Bet $14.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$14.00
Prob 15.5% | Place: 43.0% | Value: 1.30x
Why Honest, consistent, and the map says he'll get every chance to stalk and pounce.
2. Silvasista (No.6) — $3.75 / $1.70 🏆 13TH
Bet $6.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$6.00
Prob 15.2% | Place: 42.3% | Value: 0.73x
Why The fit horse in the race, but Punty's taking the safer money because the price has already been chewed on.
3. Kakadu Sunset (No.7) — $11.00 / $3.40 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.9% | Place: 32.4% | Value: 1.54x
Why If they go loafing early and then sprint home, he can slingshot into the finish like a Marvel villain.
Roughie: Sicilian Princess (No.9) — $19.00 / $5.50 🏆 8TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 8.2% | Place: 25.1% | Value: 1.99x
Why Big drifter, but if the race turns into a tactical mess she can still rattle home and make the shape look silly.
Race type: Bm64, 1200m
Map & tempo: Genuine tempo; Synchro should attack early, Dobbinair gets the ideal stalking role, and Casino Showgirl can sit in the sweet spot
Punty read: The card ends with another one that'll have the pub split down the middle. Dobbinair is the one with the cleanest profile - strong enough, light enough, and gets the sort of setup where he can just sit there and build. Synchro is the speed horse and if he gets his own way in front he'll be a bastard to run down. Casino Showgirl is a sneaky little livewire; the form's honest and the run style means she's not asking for a miracle. Falanghina is the roughie with some zip, and if the pressure goes on he's the sort that can lob in the exotics while everybody's arguing over the favourite.
Top 3 + Roughie ($20.00 pool)
1. Dobbinair (No.1) — $5.30 / $2.25 🏆 6TH
Bet $9.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$9.00
Prob 16.4% | Place: 44.9% | Value: 1.09x
Why Gets the right run from the right sort of alley and can stalk the speed without doing extra work.
2. Synchro (No.3) — $8.80 / $3.10 🏆 5TH
Bet $7.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$7.50
Prob 14.2% | Place: 40.1% | Value: 1.56x
Why The leader in a genuine speed race; if he gets control, he can be bloody hard to catch.
3. Casino Showgirl (No.14) — $8.50 / $3.00 🏆 12TH
Bet $3.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$3.50
Prob 12.7% | Place: 36.8% | Value: 1.36x
Why Honest mare, good map, and she's the one that can peel off the right trail if the speed is hot.
Roughie: Falanghina (No.8) — $20.00 / $5.00 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 6.8% | Place: 21.3% | Value: 1.70x
Why If the tempo gets fierce and the race opens up, he can be the late slicer that blows up the trifecta spots.
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 1,5,2 / 4,1,6 / 5,7,2,1 / 5,6,2,10 (144 combos x $0.12 = $18.00) -- 12% flexi
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 8,10,9,5 / 8,2,1 / 3,6,7,9 / 1,3,14,8 (192 combos x $0.21 = $40.00) -- 21% flexi
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 1 / 1 / 8 / 8 / 3 / 1 (1 combos x $2.00 = $2.00) -- 200% flexi
The day's multi leans on three win legs across the card.
1 - Bootlegger (Race 1, No.1)✗ — $1.98
2 - Never Ordinary (Race 5, No.1)✓ Won — $1.54
3 - Shadhavar (Race 8, No.8)✓ Won — $2.48
Meeting Stats
Selections
Punty's Early Mail
Rightio Loose Units, Morphettville's cooking with a Good 4, the rail's out +6m, and there's a little tailwind up the straight to give the swoopers a sniff late. It looks like one of those days where the front-runners don't get it all their own way, but if you get trapped snagging too far back you'll be doing the Nick Cage in Con Air, chasing the plane while everyone else is already home.
MEET SNAPSHOT
Track: Morphettville, 1050m-1600m card
Rail: +6m Entire
Official going: Good 4 (expected to play fair with a slight lean to runners who can sustain a long sprint)
Weather: Cloudy, 17°C, humidity 70%, wind 11km/h SE (watch for a bit of help to closers late)
Early lane guess: Middle-to-off-the-fence looks the spot; leaders can still roll, but the tailwind keeps the backmarkers in the game
Tempo profile: A proper mixed bag - a few sit-and-kick races early, then the back-half turns into chaos city with several open legs and genuine speed matches
Jockeys to follow:
Ms Rochelle Milnes, keeps landing in the right spot and gets plenty of good maps today
Luke Currie, polished hoops on the short-course types and should get a few chances to pinch one
Jason Holder, when he maps one sweet, he can look like he's driving a Ferrari in a derby paddock
Stables to respect:
D Clarken & O Macgillivray (4 runners), have a couple of live ones and know how to place them at Morphettville
R & C Jolly (6 runners), they've got numbers across the card and a stack of chances in the tricky races
P Stokes (8 runners), deep team, plenty of runners, and a few of them look ready to lob at the right time
Punty's take: This meeting's got that classic Morphettville split personality. The opening couple can be run on paper, but once you get into the mid-card and the big handicaps, it's all about who maps clean, who gets the right tow into it, and who can actually handle a proper pressure ride. Race 4, Race 7, Race 9 and Race 10 are the sort of races that can shred a quaddie faster than a shark through a pool noodle.
The tailwind up the straight is the sneaky little bastard here. It won't turn the backmarkers into Superman, but it does mean you don't want to be writing off horses that can lengthen late. That's why the likes of Flying Brant, Star Sirius, Virtual Illusion and a few of the bigger finishers are very much in the frame if the speed goes hard enough and the leaders start feeling the pinch.
What it means for you: Be firm early where the maps are clear, and don't go full mug-punter in the chaos races. The money should be concentrated on the horses with a tidy pattern, decent stability support and a map that doesn't require a miracle. When the race is open, protect yourself with the wider combinations; when it's a banker, trust the horse that's already telling you the story.
The place market is your friend today. In the tighter calls, Punty's not here to burn your wallet on heroic win bets if the horse is going to run on late and grab a slice. There are also a few races where the market's trying to talk you into a favourite that's shorter than a mullet at a job interview - if the price is tight and the map isn't perfect, look for the value around it.