Monday, 27 April 2026
No more jumps at this meeting today.
Punty's Punts
Race type: C3 Handicap, 1400m
Map & tempo: Slow tempo, with Gondrinkin the one the map likes and Artistry In Motion likely to be parked a bit closer than she'd want
Punty read: This is a weird little opener where the race shape says "don't overrate the leaders" but the market's still shoved Artistry In Motion in front of the queue. Jazalot has the sort of form that says she's not just here for the postcard, and if Lucy Fiore can get her rolling at the right time, she'll be the one finishing hard when the others start looking around for the 600m sign. Zorbrist is the honest grinder who never gives you a heart attack, Playing Quest has the right profile to hit the line if they go too soft early, and Gondrinkin is the roughie that only sneaks into the movie if the pace absolutely melts down.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Jazalot (No.4) — $5.50 / $2.05 🏆 2ND
Bet $15.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 32.4% | Place: 23.1% | Value: 2.19x
Why The drift doesn't scare me - she's rolling through the grades nicely, and this looks like a race where a patient ride and a late crack can do the business.
2. Artistry In Motion (No.1) — $1.95 / $1.22 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 29.5% | Place: 21.8% | Value: 0.71x
Why She maps close and gets the right run if she behaves, but the price is skinny enough to make you swallow hard.
3. Zorbrist (No.3) — $3.30 / $1.37 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 21.3% | Place: 16.9% | Value: 0.87x
Why Rock-solid type that keeps hanging around the finish, but he's more "fill a slot" than "blow the doors off".
Roughie: Gondrinkin (No.7) — $126.00 / $3.70 🏆 5TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 2.4% | Place: 2.2% | Value: 3.79x
Why If the race gets turned into a snooze-fest and he somehow lobs on the speed, he can clunk into the exotics at a stupid price.
Race type: Maiden, 1600m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo with Divine Currency and Gold Enigma the obvious pace nudgers
Punty read: This is a proper old-school maiden where you need a horse that can handle the trip, the map, and the mental load. Arizona Sky is the one I keep coming back to because the backmarker profile works if the speed gets honest, and there are enough horses here who've been flirting with the finish without actually getting the job done. King Of The Town has been backed like the trainer's hiding the family silver, Midnight Star is the classier shortie but not exactly a gift from the punting gods, and Mr Frodo is the one who can sneak into the frame if the race falls apart late.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Arizona Sky (No.3) — $4.20 / $1.40 🏆 3RD
Bet $15.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 20.7% | Place: 38.7% | Value: 0.82x
Why She's the one with the strongest finishing profile, and if they overdo it up front she'll be the filly picking them off.
2. King Of The Town (No.4) — $3.00 / $1.30 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 20.5% | Place: 37.5% | Value: 0.79x
Why The money's talking and the form's okay, but he's got to actually put it together now instead of just threatening to.
3. Midnight Star (No.6) — $2.70 / $1.25 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.8% | Place: 34.8% | Value: 0.80x
Why Pike aboard is always a nudge, but the price is short enough that you're paying for the reputation more than the gift.
Roughie: Mr Frodo (No.1) — $20.00 / $3.70 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.6% | Place: 25.5% | Value: 1.50x
Why If he can hold a spot and not get bullied back in the field, he's the sort of horse that can nick a placing when the fancy ones don't fire.
Race type: Maiden, 1300m
Map & tempo: Genuine speed, with Universal Talk likely to roll along and Photosynthesis not far off it
Punty read: This one looks set up for a race shape that can turn into a bit of a brawl. Universal Talk wants to control things, but the value move is Boutique Belle sitting just off the speed and getting the first serious crack at them when it matters. Valanne Dawn has had excuses and the market's noticed, Photosynthesis has gear changes that say the stable is having a red-hot go, and the roughie brigade is mostly praying for a miracle and a soft lead from the gods.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Boutique Belle (No.10) — $1.80 / $1.20 🏆 3RD
Bet $15.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 28.9% | Place: 48.6% | Value: 0.77x
Why Pike's got a decent enough gate, the race has a shape that suits her, and she just looks the proper class runner in a race full of blokes still trying to find their socks.
2. Valanne Dawn (No.8) — $10.00 / $2.45 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 16.0% | Place: 32.3% | Value: 0.98x
Why She's been making excuses for a while, but the money keeps coming and that tells you someone fancies the rebound.
3. Universal Talk (No.1) — $6.50 / $1.95 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.0% | Place: 29.9% | Value: 0.93x
Why Leader's race, winkers off, and if he gets the cheap seat in front he can hang on longer than a lot of them expect.
Roughie: Artie's Affair (No.5) — $26.00 / $4.20 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.7% | Place: 11.2% | Value: 1.56x
Why First look in the visors can spark a first-starter, but he'd want to improve sharply to make a dent in this lot.
Race type: Maiden, 1300m
Map & tempo: Slow tempo, with Cousin Mortimer and Quiet Goddess the most likely to get the favours
Punty read: This is the race where the map can absolutely mug the market. Valid Point is the short one and the one the punters have latched onto, but a slow tempo means he can't afford to be asleep at the wheel. Cousin Mortimer has had enough goes to be dangerous if the leaders hold a straight line, Unimando gets blinkers and a bit of a tactical boost, and Sister Mary can run on if the brakes go on early. This is not the race to fall in love with a flashy price - it's the race to survive.
Top 3 + Roughie ($12.00 pool)
1. Valid Point (No.2) — $3.20 / $1.40 🏆 4TH
Bet $12.00 Each Way ($6.00W + $6.00P) — ✗ Lost, net -$12.00
Prob 18.7% | Place: 35.0% | Value: 0.77x
Why He maps well enough from the alley and gets every chance to make the market look smart.
2. Land Of Nod (No.5) — $3.20 / $1.40 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 16.6% | Place: 32.7% | Value: 0.69x
Why Backmarker with a decent turn of foot, but in a slow-run maiden he can get stitched up if the tempo is pedestrian.
3. Unimando (No.4) — $7.00 / $2.30 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.6% | Place: 29.4% | Value: 0.71x
Why Blinkers first time is the play, and if they inject a bit more intent he can absolutely lob into the finish.
Roughie: Sister Mary (No.11) — $11.00 / $3.30 🏆 5TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 12.0% | Place: 24.9% | Value: 0.85x
Why If they go mad up front or get their wires crossed, she's the type that can pick up the pieces late.
Race type: Maiden, 1300m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo, with Yankee Ace, Cangrande and Miss Graphene all sitting in the lane that can control things
Punty read: Special Counsel is the one I want on top, even though the map isn't handing him the race on a plate. That's because the speed up front should give the backmarkers and closers something to run at, and this is the exact sort of setup where a horse with a proper late kick can make the leaders look silly in the last 100. Godless Storm is the place horse of the day for a reason - he can sit up and hit the line - while Lord Momo and Yankee Ace are the types that can hang around in the picture if the speed isn't too hot. Big Mare is the roughie with the market smoke, and when the stable's having a push like that, you don't ignore it completely.
Top 3 + Roughie ($20.00 pool)
1. Special Counsel (No.6) — $2.40 / $1.30 🏆 4TH
Bet $11.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$11.00
Prob 23.5% | Place: 46.7% | Value: 0.74x
Why Ear muffs first time, strong closing profile, and the race shape should give him the perfect tow into it.
2. Godless Storm (No.2) — $7.50 / $2.35 🏆 WINNER
Bet $9.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$6.30
Prob 19.5% | Place: 41.4% | Value: 0.83x
Why This bloke is the one most likely to be finishing in the right rhythm when the leaders start coughing.
3. Lord Momo (No.4) — $5.00 / $1.90 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.9% | Place: 28.5% | Value: 0.81x
Why Gets the good gate and should get a sweet enough run, but he's more an exacta/payout spoiler than a betting anchor.
Roughie: Yankee Ace (No.1) — $13.00 / $3.40 🏆 8TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.3% | Place: 25.2% | Value: 1.03x
Why If he gets the right trail from barrier 4 and the leaders don't overcook it, he can hang around longer than his odds suggest.
Race type: C1 Handicap, 1200m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo, with Ellovaman, Backchatting, Dominant Force and Gokana all in the early mix
Punty read: Toronado Rocket is the one the market has tried to shove down our throats, but the value picture is a bit muddier than that. He's got the gate and enough early dash to be in the race, yet the better betting angles are in the chasing pack - Backchatting, Snip Of Romance and Knockonheavensdoor can all lob into it if the pressure is honest. Brave Dragon and Barney Rommel are the sort that can nick a drum if the race turns sloppy, but the place to be is with the horse that gets the right sit and the right crack late. This has got "one good ride can make you look like a genius" written all over it.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Toronado Rocket (No.1) — $2.35 / $1.25 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $15.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 20.2% | Place: 37.4% | Value: 0.61x
Why He gets the soft map from barrier 1 and the stable has clearly come to play, even if the price is a touch on the skinny side.
2. Backchatting (No.7) — $20.00 / $4.00 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.3% | Place: 29.0% | Value: 3.69x
Why If they roll along, he'll be the one climbing over the top like the Terminator in the third act.
3. Snip Of Romance (No.10) — $12.00 / $3.10 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.8% | Place: 28.1% | Value: 2.13x
Why The speed profile and the form line say he's capable, but he needs the race to fall apart a touch.
Roughie: Knockonheavensdoor (No.5) — $29.00 / $4.80 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 8.4% | Place: 18.6% | Value: 3.16x
Why The move in the market says someone is having a look, and if the leaders overcook it he can absolutely sneak into the exotics.
Race type: C1 Handicap, 1500m
Map & tempo: Slow tempo, with Icandoit Onmyown the lone obvious pace helper
Punty read: Effortlessly is the obvious one the market loves, and fair enough - he's the horse they all have to beat. But in a race like this, the value usually hides in the runners who can settle just off the speed and get the first crack when the field bunches up. Bondi Star and Kat Five both look like they can find the finish if the race goes to plan, and Alabrae is the roughie who could make the whole thing look stupid if the tempo turns into a crawl and the favourite gets trapped behind a wall. This is the sort of race where one bad ride looks like a disaster movie.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Effortlessly (No.7) — $2.35 / $1.25 🏆 2ND
Bet $15.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 23.5% | Place: 43.0% | Value: 0.71x
Why He maps okay, he's in form, and he's the one most likely to get the perfect look at them at the right time.
2. Bondi Star (No.6) — $5.50 / $1.75 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 18.8% | Place: 33.7% | Value: 1.33x
Why The map suits him enough to be dangerous, especially if the race becomes a tactical crawl.
3. Kat Five (No.8) — $8.00 / $2.20 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.8% | Place: 36.5% | Value: 1.63x
Why First-time pads and a decent enough profile - he's the one that can lob into the finish if the speed is left on the lounge-room floor.
Roughie: Alabrae (No.4) — $17.00 / $3.40 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.3% | Place: 23.2% | Value: 2.27x
Why Big value on paper and a rider who knows the track, but the trainer stats say he needs everything to fall his way.
Race type: C3 Handicap, 1400m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace, with Pony Up likely to lead and Time Connection getting a lovely run in the race shape
Punty read: Astro World is the class runner and the one the market's latched onto, but the map isn't exactly rolling out the red carpet. Pony Up wants to roll, Just Gifted is one of the pace players, and Time Connection is the sneaky one who gets the shape to be a pain in the arse late. Housewife is the roughie with the drift and that usually makes me twitchy, while Ayumi is the big-price sucker punch if the race turns into a speed burn. This is one of those races where the right horse can look brilliant and the wrong horse can look cooked even if both ran fine.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Astro World (No.6) — $2.75 / $1.32 🏆 2ND
Bet $15.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 18.3% | Place: 37.0% | Value: 0.65x
Why Class edge, form edge, and the market's been right to keep it honest - but he still has to overcome a map that's not doing him any favours.
2. Pony Up (No.2) — $5.50 / $2.00 🏆 5TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 18.3% | Place: 30.0% | Value: 1.30x
Why He can lead or sit handy, and if the race turns into a tactical stoush he's right in the firing line.
3. Time Connection (No.9) — $13.00 / $3.50 🏆 10TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.0% | Place: 31.0% | Value: 2.35x
Why The map is built to give him a comfy enough run, and if the speed gets hot he can absolutely stalk and strike.
Roughie: Ayumi (No.8) — $34.00 / $5.50 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 8.6% | Place: 18.8% | Value: 3.77x
Why If the pace gets hectic and the front runners turn into each other's worst enemy, this is the sort of horse that can blow up the exotics at a juicy quote.
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 4,1,3 / 3,4,6,9 / 10,8,1,12,7 / 2,5,4,11,1 (300 combos x $0.08 = $25.00) -- 8% flexi
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 6,2,4,3,1,12 / 1,7,10,3,2 / 7,6,8,2 / 6,2,9,7,5 (600 combos x $0.04 = $25.00) -- 4% flexi
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 10 / 2 / 6 / 1 / 7 / 6 (1 combos x $2.00 = $2.00) -- 200% flexi
The day's multi leans on three win legs across the card.
1 - Jazalot (Race 1, No.4)✗ — $5.50
2 - Boutique Belle (Race 3, No.10)✗ — $1.80
3 - Special Counsel (Race 5, No.6)✗ — $2.40
Meeting Stats
Selections
Punty's Early Mail
Rightio Loose Units, Pinjarra's serving up a Good 4 with the rail out 6m, a rain cloud hanging over the joint like a bad sequel, and a card where the map is half the battle and the market moves are doing plenty of talking. It's one of those days where the form guide looks tidy until the tempo blows the whole thing to bits, so if you're not reading pace and position, you're basically throwing darts blindfolded.
MEET SNAPSHOT
Track: Pinjarra Scarpside, 1400m card
Rail: +6m Entire
Official going: Good 4 (expected to play fair-to-on pace, with the inside/middle lanes getting first look early)
Weather: Rain, 16°C, humidity 92%, wind 20km/h S (watch for late surface softening and a bit of chop if the rain keeps belting down)
Early lane guess: Inside to middle is the first look, but if the rain bites through the card the swoopers will come into it late
Tempo profile: Mixed bag - a couple of crawl-and-sprint jobs, then genuine pace in the middle and late races, so map position will matter a hell of a lot
Jockeys to follow:
William Pike, when the map's messy, Pike usually finds the right spot and makes the hard one look simple
Chris Parnham, top operator in the tactical races; if there's a hole to be punched, he's the bloke to find it
Ms Holly Nottle(a1.5), the claim is handy on a day where a few soft leads could be nicked if the tempo goes to sleep
Stables to respect:
G & A Williams (4 runners), they've got multiple live chances and the market's kept sniffing around them all card
D & B Pearce (2 runners), always dangerous when the race shape suits, especially with the right rider aboard
Summer Dickson (4 runners), a stable with a few runners that have been backed like they mean business
Punty's take: This card feels like a bit of a Brad Pitt/Once Upon a Time in Hollywood type show - a few stars, a few extras, and a lot of horses trying to nick the scene with the right map. The rain isn't enough to scream heavy, but it is enough to make the track change character as the day goes on, so the fence won't be a place to blindly worship all day. In the short course stuff, early speed and the first two turns are going to matter plenty, but the middle distance races are where the clever rides and the kinder draws can make the difference between a collect and a tut into your beer.
The market's had a proper sniff at a few of them - Artistry In Motion, Valid Point, Special Counsel, Effortlessly and Astro World all have the look of horses the stable and the punters want to be on. But there are also a few drifters that deserve side-eye, because when the money walks away from a horse at Pinjarra, it's usually not because everyone got bored and went home early. This is a day to respect the horses that map well, finish their work, and don't need every friggin' thing to go right.
What it means for you: Don't try to get cute in every race. There are a couple of banker-ish anchors, a stack of races where the place bet is the sane man's play, and a few exotics that make sense if you keep the structure tight and don't go full mushroom. The early quaddie is more survival than swagger, the main quaddie is a proper headache, and the Big 6 is the sort of ticket you pull out if you've had three coffees and a bad idea.
The best angle today is to lean into horses with a map and a finish - not the ones that need a miracle, a bloke in a cape, and a divine intervention from the steward's room. If you want to have a real crack, keep the spine tight around the strongest reads, then use the degenerate exotics as the spice, not the main course. And for the love of all things form, don't chase the monster-priced roughie just because it looks sexy on the page.