For all of Punty's tips for Pinjarra Scarpside, head to https://punty.ai/tips/pinjarra-scarpside-2026-06-24

Rightio Loose Units, Pinjarra's turning up as a Good 4 with the rail out 7m and a bit of a breeze trying to nick the show. This is the sort of card where position matters, the fence won't hand out freebies, and a few of the shorties are going to need the right run rather than just the right postcode.

MEET SNAPSHOT

Track: Pinjarra Scarpside, 1200m-1600m card
Rail: +7m entire
Official going: Good 4 (expected to play fair, but not like a leader-free charity gig)
Weather: Sunny, 12C, humidity 78%, gusts to 27.8km/h, feels like 8.4C (watch for the breeze making swoopers work)
Early lane guess: Middle lanes and tactical speed look the best place to be
Tempo profile: A mixed bag - a few dawdles in the maidens, proper tempo in the sprints, and the 1200m/1300m races should sort the men from the mugs
Jockeys to follow:
William Pike - still the bloke you want when the money starts speaking and the map looks half sensible
Clint Johnston-Porter - gets the right spots in messy races and can turn a fair draw into a winning one
Jarrad Noske - plenty of live rides across the card and usually doesn't muck around when there's a decent run to be had
Stables to respect:
D T McAuliffe (6 runners) - a stack of live chances and a few of them have the market sniffing around
G & A Williams (3 runners) - the big-boy yard with a couple of proper day winners on deck
N D Parnham (4 runners) - honest team, and the ones that map right can punch above their price

Punty's take:

Pinjarra on a Good 4 with the rail out 7m is not the place to be sleeping at the wheel. The short-course races later in the day are the real bar fights - if you're cuddling the fence and you don't have tactical speed, you can get buried like an extra in The Sopranos. The maidens are a bit more forgiving on paper, but even there the horse that settles a pair off the speed and gets the right crack at them will be the one doing the talking at the business end.

The market's already had a few goes at the board. Miss Finkmeyer, Bannered, Mantua, Ton Of Grunt, Sisu Spirit - the cash has been moving, and when Pinjarra punters start leaning in, it's usually for a reason. But not every drifter is dead meat. Some of them are just getting treated like a used ute on a wet day. You still need to ask whether the map, the ride and the track suit before you follow the smoke.

This is a meeting where the sane play is to anchor around a few solid types and then let the quaddie legs breathe where they have to. The best story on the day is simple: Partay, Miss Santa Corrs and Mighty Hosanna look like the spine of the card, and the rest is about not getting cute when the race shape is already yelling at you.

What it means for you:

Don't go full loose unit and try to back half the card because you "like the vibes". This is a day for proper discipline. Where the horse has the map, the class and the right rider, lean in. Where the price has been smashed and the run style looks ordinary for the shape, let someone else do the donating.

Use the good gates and forward maps as your friend, especially in the 1200m and 1300m races. In those lanes, leaders and on-pacers can make the backmarkers look like they're running in thongs. The maidens are where you can be a bit cheeky with place or each-way plays if the race shape gives you a sniff. The quaddie? Early one is the better hunting ground. The main quaddie and Big 6 are more "for the thrill and a prayer" than "bank the mortgage" territory.

PUNTY'S BIG 3 + MULTI

1 - Miss Santa Corrs (Race 1, No.8) - $2.45
Why She's the one with the cleanest profile in the opener - consistent, fit and maps well enough to get the last crack at them when the push comes on.

2 - Partay (Race 2, No.5) - $1.90
Why The slow tempo shouldn't spook him, Pike can take control of the race shape, and the stable has parked this one in the right spot.

3 - Mighty Hosanna (Race 7, No.2) - $3.70
Why He's the class horse of the later sprint and if the map gives him a sniff, he'll be very hard to knock off.

Multi (all three to win): $10 x ~17.22 = ~$172.20 collect

Race 1 - The Maiden Grinder

Race type: Maiden, 1600m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo; Lucky Moon gives a bit of shape, but this is more about who lands in the right spot than who gets to feel clever
Punty read: Miss Santa Corrs is the anchor and rightly so - she brings the cleanest run of form and doesn't need the race to fall apart. Olaf The Snowman draws barrier 1 and should get every chance to lob into the right spot, while Vexatious Rose is the one who can be bailed up and still come with a late punch. Flavoursome is the roughie with a bit of spice if the pace gets muddled and the leaders start looking for the exit like they're late for the pub.

Top 3 + Roughie ($19.50 pool)

1. Miss Santa Corrs (No.8) - $2.45 / $1.32
Bet $7.50 Win, return $18.38
Prob 31.7% | Place: 95.0% | Value: 1.00x
Why She's the one they all have to run down and, in a maiden like this, the reliable type with the best map gets first crack at the cash.

2. Olaf The Snowman (No.3) - $3.50 / $1.55
Bet $7.00 Place, return $10.85
Prob 19.1% | Place: 66.7% | Value: 1.02x
Why Barrier 1 is a gift if the rider gets him rolling early enough, and he's the sort that keeps finding the line even when the race gets a bit ugly.

3. Vexatious Rose (No.9) - $3.70 / $1.65
Bet $5.00 Place, return $8.25
Prob 19.1% | Place: 95.0% | Value: 0.98x
Why She's the honest swooper in the lane and if they overdo it up front, she'll be the one hitting the line like she means it.

Roughie: Flavoursome (No.10) - $23.00 / $4.80
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.0% | Place: 35.0% | Value: 1.31x
Why Needs the speed to collapse, but if they go hard enough and the inside gets messy, he's the sort that can clatter home and ruin a few trifectas.

Race 2 - The Slow Burn

Race type: Maiden, 1400m
Map & tempo: Slow tempo; that means the horse with the best turn of foot and the right ride can pinch the whole thing
Punty read: This one's got "don't get too smart" written all over it. Partay is the obvious one but he's also the right one - the map is soft, Pike is on, and the stable's got him in the right gear. American Image and White Hot are the ones you want plugging away for the minors if the race turns into a sit-and-sprint, while Rocking In Vegas is the roughie who can get into the frame if the tempo turns into a funeral march and the leaders forget they have to actually race.

Top 3 + Roughie ($16.50 pool)

1. Partay (No.5) - $1.90 / $1.22
Bet $6.00 Win, return $11.40
Prob 33.6% | Place: 95.0% | Value: 0.90x
Why Pike can sit where he likes, the race looks honest enough for class to matter, and he's got the right combination of map and stable intent.

2. American Image (No.11) - $4.00 / $1.70
Bet $6.50 Place, return $11.05
Prob 16.4% | Place: 66.7% | Value: 1.15x
Why The debut run said enough to keep him in the mix, and if the leaders dawdle, the right late run can get him right into the money.

3. White Hot (No.9) - $8.50 / $2.60
Bet $4.00 Place, return $10.40
Prob 11.8% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 0.89x
Why He'll be doing his best work late and this tempo gives him a proper chance to lob into the finish without doing all the donkey work.

Roughie: Rocking In Vegas (No.1) - $16.00 / $3.80
Bet Tracked
Prob 3.6% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.82x
Why Needs a gentle enough run and a bit of luck from the back, but if the race turns into a crawl he can sneak into the frame like a sneaky villain in a heist movie.

Race 3 - The Speed Chess

Race type: Handicap, 1400m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace; Pure Silver wants to roll, and the pressure should be real enough to give the backmarkers a chance if they time it right
Punty read: Enchanted Hour is the one with the freshest winning profile, but this race is a proper map puzzle. Esta Mirando has Pike and plenty of ability, though the price is too skinny to go hammer and tongs. Sassy Snippet is the pressure horse who can sit on the speed and make the others earn it, while Hard Solo is the roughie for the ones who like a late swoop when the front end has been turned into mush.

Top 3 + Roughie ($22.00 pool)

1. Enchanted Hour (No.9) - $4.20 / $1.70
Bet $17.50 Each Way ($8.75W + $8.75P), return $36.75 (wins) / $14.88 (places)
Prob 20.1% | Place: 95.0% | Value: 1.12x
Why One start, one win, and the race shape should let him get the perfect stalking run rather than being asked to do too much too soon.

2. Esta Mirando (No.2) - $3.80 / $1.55
Bet Tracked
Prob 18.6% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 0.93x
Why He's the obvious danger with Pike up, but the market has done the hard work and we're not paying the tax for the privilege.

3. Sassy Snippet (No.10) - $4.20 / $1.70
Bet $4.50 Place, return $7.65
Prob 16.4% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.91x
Why Tactical speed is his friend here and if he gets to dictate without burning the candle, he'll be right there at the death.

Roughie: Publicise (No.8) - $19.00 / $4.20
Bet Tracked
Prob 5.2% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 1.30x
Why The map is awkward and the drift isn't exactly a love letter, but if the tempo gets genuine and the leaders overcook it, he can charge into the trifecta like a bloke busting into the pokies room after a good lunch.

Race 4 - The 1200m Punch-Up

Race type: Handicap, 1200m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo; leaders Great Promise and Swansee should get their chance, but this is the sort of race where the first 200m can decide half the battle
Punty read: Pinjarra 1200m on a Good 4 is all about getting into the right lane early, and this one leans that way hard. Great Promise could absolutely pinch it if he controls the fence, Saigon Dancer looks the perfect stalker from barrier 10 if he slides in, and Miss Finkmeyer has had the market sniffing around for a reason. Pariah's Thanks is the honest type who can keep finding, while London's Rascal is the roughie because the map is ugly but the price reflects it.

Top 3 + Roughie ($16.00 pool)

1. Saigon Dancer (No.1) - $4.00 / $1.70
Bet $9.50 Each Way ($4.75W + $4.75P), return $19.00 (wins) / $8.07 (places)
Prob 18.2% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 0.98x
Why He maps to stalk the speed and if the leaders are working too hard, he'll be the one ready to pounce late.

2. Great Promise (No.2) - $4.80 / $1.95
Bet Tracked
Prob 18.2% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.18x
Why The inside gate is gold here and if he holds the front or the box seat, he becomes a proper nuisance to the rest.

3. Miss Finkmeyer (No.3) - $6.00 / $2.20
Bet $6.50 Place, return $14.30
Prob 16.1% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.30x
Why The market has already had a nibble and she's got the right setup to sit just off them and finish over the top if they overdo the early work.

Roughie: London's Rascal (No.5) - $26.00 / $5.00
Bet Tracked
Prob 3.6% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.26x
Why Needs the right run from the wing, but if he lands in the moving line and the speed weakens, he can clunk into the placings at a price that makes the bookies twitch.

Race 5 - The Punters' Picnic

Race type: Handicap, 1200m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo with Supido Express and Back To Bondi likely to ensure the pace is honest enough for the tactical horses to matter
Punty read: This is a proper 1200m day race. Dance On Son draws to do no work early, Friar's Legacy has the engine and the map to sit handy, and Supido Express is the kind of leader who can make life miserable if he gets an easy sectional. Brave Wasp and Bulletin Beau are around the edges, but the lane you want is the one that lets the on-pacers kick and keeps the backmarkers a length or two off the speed.

Top 3 + Roughie ($15.50 pool)

1. Dance On Son (No.8) - $3.20 / $1.55
Bet $11.00 Each Way ($5.50W + $5.50P), return $17.60 (wins) / $8.53 (places)
Prob 16.9% | Place: 66.7% | Value: 0.74x
Why Barrier 1 and a forward map is exactly what you want in a race like this - the hardest part will be not getting swamped late by a horse with the right run.

2. Friar's Legacy (No.1) - $8.00 / $2.70
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.9% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.63x
Why Honest as the day is long and the map says he'll be right in the firing line without having to do any fancy dancing.

3. Supido Express (No.2) - $9.50 / $3.10
Bet $4.50 Place, return $13.95
Prob 12.1% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.57x
Why The speed horse with the right sort of weight pull and enough class to hold on if the race doesn't turn into a speed war.

Roughie: Back To Bondi (No.3) - $15.00 / $4.00
Bet Tracked
Prob 3.8% | Place: 66.7% | Value: 0.77x
Why Gear tweaks can sharpen him up and if he gets the right soft trip, he can hang around long enough to annoy the fancies.

Race 6 - The Map Trap

Race type: Handicap, 1400m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo; Dominatus, Divine Inanna and Glanced should be prominent, while Moonwalk is the classy one trying to make a wide-ish run work
Punty read: Moonwalk is the best of the bunch on paper, but this race is all about whether the tempo gives him enough time to wind up from barrier 11. Dominatus and Glanced get the map to be right there and Ton Of Grunt has been smashed in the market, which tells you the stable is up to something. The roughie is Changing Guard, but he's more of a "needs it to go right" than a "bet the kid's school shoes" play.

Top 3 + Roughie ($18.00 pool)

1. Moonwalk (No.9) - $3.00 / $1.45
Bet $12.50 Each Way ($6.25W + $6.25P), return $18.75 (wins) / $9.06 (places)
Prob 17.6% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 0.73x
Why Best overall profile in the race, and if he gets enough cover early, his finish can be the one that cleans them up.

2. Dominatus (No.7) - $4.00 / $1.75
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.5% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 0.86x
Why The market likes him, the map is workable, and he looks the sort who can sit in the sweet spot and make himself hard to chase down.

3. Glanced (No.8) - $5.00 / $2.00
Bet $5.50 Place, return $11.00
Prob 15.5% | Place: 64.1% | Value: 1.08x
Why He's got the tactical speed to stay in the race from a decent enough spot, and that matters plenty when the straight starts to test the lungs.

Roughie: Changing Guard (No.2) - $19.00 / $4.60
Bet Tracked
Prob 3.7% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.98x
Why A bit of a grinder who'll need the right tempo and a clean passage, but if the race gets rough and a few of the locals fluff their lines, he can sneak into the money.

Race 7 - The Leader's Lair

Race type: Handicap, 1300m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace; Azabelle looks to roll, but this is the sort of race where the best horse can still win even from a tricky setup
Punty read: Mighty Hosanna is the horse with the best engine, full stop, even if the map isn't handing him a red carpet. Western Jet is the obvious one but barrier 12 is a proper headache and the price has no generosity in it, so that's a no from me at that juice. Bannered has been backed like the stable expects a big run from barrier 1, and Mantua has been one of the big market movers for good reason - if they overdo it up front, he's the one with the late punch. Perfect Sister is the roughie with the gear change angle if you want one for the lob.

Top 3 + Roughie ($18.00 pool)

1. Mighty Hosanna (No.2) - $3.70 / $1.50
Bet $11.50 Each Way ($5.75W + $5.75P), return $21.28 (wins) / $8.62 (places)
Prob 24.8% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 1.21x
Why He's the class runner and if he gets even a half-decent run, the others will need to be brave to hold him out.

2. Western Jet (No.4) - $2.30 / $1.25
Bet Tracked
Prob 17.7% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 0.54x
Why The horse to beat on raw ability, but the price is skinny and the barrier is a pain in the backside, so we let someone else cop the shorty tax.

3. Bannered (No.5) - $6.50 / $2.20
Bet $6.50 Place, return $14.30
Prob 15.6% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.34x
Why The inside gate, the market support and the map all scream "danger", and he's the sort who can box-seat the race and nick a cheque.

Roughie: Perfect Sister (No.10) - $26.00 / $5.00
Bet Tracked
Prob 3.9% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 1.35x
Why The gear change is interesting and if the race turns into a pace meltdown, she can burst into the frame at a stupid price and make the regulars look ordinary.

Race 8 - The Last Rattle

Race type: Handicap, 1300m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace; So Much Serenity is likely to take them along, but the big question is which runner gets the soft enough run to unleash late
Punty read: This is a proper final-leg headache. Sisu Spirit has the map and the market support, Media Mogul has copped the cash too, and So Much Serenity is the leader who could pinch it if they let him roll. Spirited Strike is the roughie with the upside if the speed burns hot enough. It's wide open enough that you'd rather have a beer and a prayer than a single mortal certainty.

Top 3 + Roughie ($18.00 pool)

1. Sisu Spirit (No.2) - $4.20 / $1.80
Bet $11.50 Each Way ($5.75W + $5.75P), return $24.15 (wins) / $10.35 (places)
Prob 14.8% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 0.86x
Why The market has found him, he's got the right sort of tactical map, and he should get every chance to sit in the first wave.

2. Media Mogul (No.5) - $4.20 / $1.80
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.0% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 0.82x
Why He'll be prominent and the money says someone knows, but from barrier 3 he still needs to make the race on his terms.

3. So Much Serenity (No.10) - $5.50 / $2.15
Bet $6.50 Place, return $13.97
Prob 14.0% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 1.07x
Why The map isn't perfect but if he gets an easy time in front, he can be the one they can't run down.

Roughie: Spirited Strike (No.3) - $9.00 / $3.00
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.6% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.45x
Why Strong closing profile, decent draw and enough upside to upset the apple cart if the leaders turn it into a dogfight.

SEQUENCE LANES - SINGLE OPTIMISED TICKET

EARLY QUADDIE (R1-R4)

Smart: 8,3,9,4 / 5,11,9,10 / 9,2,10,8 / 1,3,2,4 (256 combos x $0.31 = $80.00) -- 31% flexi
Two tight-ish maidens and two race shapes that should sort themselves out. Still a decent bit of coverage, so it's solid without being a full-blown plunge.

QUADDIE (R5-R8)

Smart: 8,1,2,5 / 9,8,7,4 / 4,2,5,12 / 2,10,5,3 (256 combos x $0.25 = $65.00) -- 25% flexi
This is the hairy one - four legs with enough moving parts to make a saint swear. Entertainment ticket first, serious collect second.

BIG 6 (R3-R8)

Smart: 9 / 1 / 8 / 9 / 2 / 2 (1 combos x $2.00 = $2.00) -- 200% flexi
Skinny as a rake and basically a novelty collect. If you want the rollercoaster, here you go; if you want sanity, buy a sandwich instead.

NUGGETS FROM THE TRACK

1 - Barrier and track position are king in the shorties
Pinjarra Scarpside Good 4 sprints, especially 1200m and 1300m, are all about not getting trapped in the cheap seats. The runners drawing well and landing handy have a massive practical advantage over the ones who need five things to go right and a miracle from the steward.

2 - The market is telling a story, but not the whole story
Bannered, Mantua, Miss Finkmeyer, Ton Of Grunt, Sisu Spirit - plenty of cash has come for a few of them. That's useful, but only if the map and the race shape back it up. If the horse is being backed but still has to run around the outside of the earth, that money can disappear faster than a schooner in summer.

3 - The day is built for a few place bets and a couple of tactical each-ways
That's not cowardice, that's survival. On cards like this, the place bet is often the cleaner play when the race is tight and the map matters. It's the racing equivalent of wearing a seatbelt before the smash, not after.

FINAL WORD FROM THE SICKO SANCTUARY

This is a proper Punty card - a few anchors, a few sweaty legs, and enough market movement to keep the ratbags awake. Stick to the spine, trust the map, and don't get dragged into paying overs for shorties just because they look shiny in the racebook. Gamble Responsibly.