Sunday, 14 June 2026
No more jumps at this meeting today.
Punty's Punts
Race type: Maiden, 1200m
Map & tempo: Slow pace, and the map says the leaders get first crack before it turns into a bit of a slog
Punty read: Teelg looks the one with the clearest path through the muck - barrier blanket on, wet form already in the pocket, and a map that should keep it out of too much trouble. Old Faithful is on the pace but needs to do more than just show up, Savasteel gets a decent lane and has the sort of profile that can jump into the placings if the favourite gets clagged, and Starward has had the cash roll in like someone's seen the final scene before the movie starts. Mini Boo is the roughie if the race falls apart late, but it's still a hard watch in a Heavy 10 maiden.
Top 3 + Roughie ($20.00 pool)
1. Teelg (No.1) — $1.53 / $1.13 🏆 WINNER
Bet $15.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$9.00
Prob 46.8% | Place: 95.0% | Value: 0.95x
Why Has been knocking on the door, handles the wet, and with the barrier blanket on first time it should get the chance to do its work without getting lost in the soup.
2. Old Faithful (No.4) — $3.48 / $1.37 🏆 2ND
Bet $5.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$2.00
Prob 26.5% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 1.18x
Why Can sit on the speed and be right in the game for a long way, but the form line isn't screaming "smash me" in this ground.
3. Savasteel (No.2) — $4.75 / $1.85 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 18.3% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 1.01x
Why Gets a workable map and has enough exposed form to nick a place if the front end gets messy.
Roughie: Starward (No.8) — $19.50 / $4.60 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.2% | Place: 39.9% | Value: 0.67x
Why The money has come for it, so the stable isn't exactly hiding the thing, but it still needs the race to collapse to get into the picture.
Race type: Maiden, 1200m
Map & tempo: Slow pace, and with a few wide alleys in the mix it could turn into a position-fest
Punty read: Parading Gus is the obvious anchor - the form is there, the map is workable, and this looks like the sort of race where the better exposed horse just keeps showing up while the rest are still trying to find their feet. Next Exit is the backmarker with a hope if they overcook the tempo, Imzada can land handy and be in the fight all the way, and Queen Of The Moon is the fresh gear change play with blinkers on first time. The market is giving Lottery Link the cold shoulder, and fair enough too - drifting in a maiden on Heavy 10 is rarely the sign of a fairy tale. This is the sort of race where you want the horse with the least nonsense and the most fight.
Top 3 + Roughie ($20.00 pool)
1. Parading Gus (No.5) — $1.66 / $1.20 🏆 4TH
Bet $15.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 43.1% | Place: 66.7% | Value: 1.05x
Why Keeps knocking on the door and maps like the horse who gets the first clean crack at them.
2. Next Exit (No.9) — $4.35 / $2.00 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $5.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$5.00
Prob 18.9% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.09x
Why Wide draw means it's probably coming late, but if the leaders turn it into a scrap it can lob into the finish.
3. Imzada (No.17) — $5.95 / $2.35 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.4% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 0.86x
Why Maps up on the speed and can hang around longer than the drift suggests if it gets the right run.
Roughie: Bonnie Bouquet (No.14) — $11.25 / $3.80 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 5.4% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.51x
Why Needs a few things to go its way, but in a grinding maiden that can turn ugly late, that's how the sneaky ones sneak in.
Race type: Maiden, 1600m
Map & tempo: Slow pace, so this could become a tactical crawl before they sprint for home
Punty read: Cool Drinks is the one I want on the top line - blinkers off and the bit off as well, which says the stable wants it more relaxed and more efficient, and that can be a sneaky weapon on a wet mile. Kojak is the danger - good enough to sit in the right spot and tough enough to keep finding, especially with the trainer in decent nick at the track. Missile Away is the closer with the wet map in its favour, and Benzino has been running honest enough to keep gate-crashing the exotics from a wider alley. The market has had a sniff at Bivongi Boy and Ship Happens, but the price action alone doesn't make them heroes - the race still looks to belong to the fitter, more reliable types.
Top 3 + Roughie ($16.00 pool)
1. Cool Drinks (No.6) — $2.17 / $1.20 🏆 WINNER
Bet $12.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$25.20
Prob 32.4% | Place: 66.7% | Value: 1.10x
Why The gear changes say the stable is trying to sharpen it up, and in a race like this the one that can relax and finish off cleanly is the one you want.
2. Kojak (No.4) — $3.27 / $1.25 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 28.1% | Place: 66.7% | Value: 1.13x
Why Maps to get a lovely run and looks rock-solid for a place, but the price shape says we don't need to force the issue.
3. Missile Away (No.11) — $4.90 / $1.50 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $4.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$4.00
Prob 17.0% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 1.03x
Why The backmarker profile suits a race that could turn into a sit-and-sprint, and if they overplay the front end it'll be coming.
Roughie: Ship Happens (No.14) — $17.50 / $3.40 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 3.6% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.41x
Why Been backed a touch and can run on if they go too hard, but it's still a long shot rather than a lock.
Race type: Class 4, 1300m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace, which gives the better-performed runners the chance to sort themselves out
Punty read: Ikasara is the clear short-priced yardstick, but at this quote it's not exactly throwing cash at you with both hands. Still, it maps well and the trainer is throwing the kitchen sink at the race, so it stays the one to beat. Seneschal is the smart play underneath - tough, honest, and right in the right spot again. Desiah has the fresh money coming for it and if the speed gets honest it's a proper late threat, while Eleanor Nancy is the one punters are sniffing around from the outside alley. This is a race where the right run matters a hell of a lot more than heroic optimism.
Top 3 + Roughie ($19.00 pool)
1. Ikasara (No.1) — $1.65 / $1.22 🏆 3RD
Bet $8.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$8.00
Prob 45.1% | Place: 66.7% | Value: 0.93x
Why Has the map edge and a solid fresh profile, and in a small field that's often enough to control the whole damn story.
2. Seneschal (No.5) — $2.83 / $1.61 🏆 WINNER
Bet $7.50 Win — ✓ Won, net +$15.75
Prob 30.2% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 1.07x
Why Honest as a broken lawnmower and maps to get every chance if the favourite doesn't bolt the lids.
3. Desiah (No.7) — $4.75 / $2.25 🏆 4TH
Bet $3.50 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$3.50
Prob 18.3% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 1.08x
Why The firming horse in the race and the one who can swop late if the pace is genuine enough to suit.
Roughie: Eleanor Nancy (No.9) — $12.75 / $4.92 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 7.1% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 1.13x
Why The market likes it and the move isn't a joke, but from the gate it still needs things to fall its way.
Race type: Class 2, 1400m
Map & tempo: Slow pace, so the horse that gets the soft run and finishes best should have every chance
Punty read: Jam Packed is the top pick and it's no surprise - honest, fit, and gets the sort of map where the jockey can keep the thing humming without burning petrol. Red Code is the speed horse but from that alley it has to be pretty sharp to control the whole show, and Kozak Prince is the rail-drawn grinder who can sit in the furniture and keep punching late. Techna has the first-time blinkers on and that's always worth respecting on a wet day, because sometimes the gear change is the difference between "just there" and "bloody hell, where did that come from?" Zouslayer is the roughie worth a glance, but the stable needs the race to split perfectly.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Jam Packed (No.5) — $3.10 / $1.55 🏆 6TH
Bet $15.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 27.8% | Place: 60.0% | Value: 1.11x
Why Maps to get the right run, is fit enough to handle the slog, and keeps finding enough to win the race.
2. Red Code (No.7) — $2.08 / $1.30 🏆 5TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 27.8% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.74x
Why The raw speed is there, but the draw and the wet deck make it a bit of a knife-edge ride.
3. Kozak Prince (No.4) — $5.40 / $2.45 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 16.2% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 1.13x
Why Draws well enough to save ground and has the kind of profile that keeps it in the finish when others are blowing.
Roughie: Zouslayer (No.11) — $12.00 / $4.20 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.7% | Place: 40.0% | Value: 1.50x
Why If the race gets messy and a few of the shorter ones go looking for oxygen, this is the one that can sneak into the picture late.
Race type: Handicap, 1000m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace, which means the first 400m is going to matter a hell of a lot
Punty read: This is the closest thing to a drag race on the card, and Point Vega looks the machine to beat even though the price is a bit skinny for comfort. Spirit Of Barty has the map and the form to sit right on it, while La Bella Boom is the better-value play who can keep rolling through the line if the speed cooks the front-runners. Miss Funny Honey is another live one to have in the eye-line, and the rough end of the race has genuine interest with Mishani Extreme and Over Draft if the leaders go hammer and tongs. Heavy 10 1000m races can be a complete bastard - one bad step and you're done, one clean hop and you're in the money.
Top 3 + Roughie ($16.50 pool)
1. Point Vega (No.1) — $1.73 / $1.12 🏆 4TH
Bet $8.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$8.00
Prob 27.8% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 0.63x
Why The map says it can get rolling from the front and, if it jumps cleanly, it's hard to see many crossing it.
2. Spirit Of Barty (No.10) — $3.70 / $1.30 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 27.8% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 1.35x
Why Comes through the right sort of runs and has the speed to be right in the hunt from the jump.
3. La Bella Boom (No.5) — $6.20 / $1.60 🏆 2ND
Bet $8.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$7.65
Prob 14.8% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 1.21x
Why The price says it's a touch under the radar, but the map and the wet-track grind make it a serious player.
Roughie: Mishani Extreme (No.7) — $23.00 / $3.90 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 3.8% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.15x
Why The late market nibble is worth respecting, and if the speed collapses it can absolutely pinch a place.
Race type: OPEN Handicap, 1000m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace, with Tiger Tie likely to light the fuse
Punty read: Tectonic Plate is the top pick even after the nose roll comes off, and that tells you the stable wants it a bit freer and a bit sharper. Oberoi Princess and Heartoni both deserve plenty of respect in a hot little sprint where the tempo should be proper race-day stuff, and Tiger Tie is the one the map wants to control if it can hold the rail and roll. Maximum Output is the wild card - firming in the market and looks the sort of horse that can easily blow the race apart if the leaders go too hard. This is one of those "blink and you'll miss the finish" jobs.
Top 3 + Roughie ($20.00 pool)
1. Tectonic Plate (No.3) — $3.45 / $1.40 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $14.00 Each Way ($7.00W + $7.00P) — ✗ Lost, net -$14.00
Prob 16.1% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 0.74x
Why Good enough to sit right in the first wave, and the gear tweak says they want a bit more zip from the thing.
2. Oberoi Princess (No.8) — $5.20 / $1.85 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 16.0% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 1.12x
Why The map is fine and the recent form says it's not here for a picnic, but we're not doubling up for the sake of it.
3. Tiger Tie (No.5) — $5.20 / $1.85 🏆 4TH
Bet $6.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$6.00
Prob 14.2% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 0.99x
Why Can take up the running and keep turning the screw, which is a bloody handy trick over 1000m on a wet deck.
Roughie: Maximum Output (No.2) — $10.50 / $3.20 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.1% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 1.28x
Why The market's had a look, and if it puts in a clean one from the alley it's the sort that can crash the party.
Race type: Benchmark 60, 1800m
Map & tempo: Slow pace, with Cansort and Rocked getting the nicest map assists on paper
Punty read: Bodhran is the class horse on top, but the wide gate means it'll need a bit of luck early to avoid covering extra ground like it owes the track money. Cansort has the pace advantage and looks right in the fight, Ninjitzou is the honest on-pace type who can hang around for a slice, and Double Whammy is the roughie that looks dangerous if they go too hard and the race becomes a late-day grind. Makamae is the other one with some interest in the exotics, while Good Philly has the price action from the AI layer and still couldn't be considered a throw-in. This one should be a proper test of who can keep finding after the three-quarter pole.
Top 3 + Roughie ($10.50 pool)
1. Bodhran (No.1) — $4.45 / $1.90 🏆 3RD
Bet $10.50 Each Way ($5.25W + $5.25P) — ✓ Won, net +$2.10
Prob 15.6% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 0.93x
Why Has the class to stack up and the heavy-track form is there, but the gate means it has to be ridden with a bit of patience.
2. Cansort (No.8) — $6.90 / $2.45 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.2% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.31x
Why The map gives it a nice enough run to keep grinding, and the price makes it a sneaky one for the exotics.
3. Ninjitzou (No.9) — $4.75 / $1.95 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.2% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.90x
Why Honest enough on-pace runner, but in a race that can get messy late it's not screaming place-safe.
Roughie: Double Whammy (No.3) — $10.25 / $3.20 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.6% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.32x
Why If the tempo gets lumpy and the leaders pinch each other's heads off, this backmarker can come charging home over the top.
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 1,4,2 / 5,9,17 / 6,4,11 / 1,5,7 (81 combos x $0.25 = $20.00) -- 25% flexi
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 5,7,4 / 1,10,5,11 / 3,8,5,2 / 1,8,9,3,14 (240 combos x $0.21 = $50.00) -- 21% flexi
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 6 / 1 / 5 / 1 / 3 / 1 (1 combos x $2.00 = $2.00) -- 200% flexi
The day's multi leans on three win legs across the card.
1 - Teelg (Race 1, No.1)✓ Won — $1.53
2 - Parading Gus (Race 2, No.5)✗ — $1.66
3 - Ikasara (Race 4, No.1)✗ — $1.65
Meeting Stats
Selections
Punty's Early Mail
Rightio Loose Units, Sunshine Coast is serving up a proper Heavy 10 mud bath today with the rail out +7m, and that usually means the swoopers need a bit of luck while the ones up on the speed have to earn every bloody inch.
MEET SNAPSHOT
Track: Sunshine Coast, 1000m-1800m card
Rail: +7m Entire
Official going: Heavy 10 (expected to play honest-to-slogging, with position and fresh legs mattering more than pretty form lines)
Weather: Mostly sunny, 20°C, humidity 73%, wind 13km/h E (watch for the track to chop up and any lane bias as the day rolls on)
Early lane guess: Middle-to-off-the-fence should be the sweet spot once it gets cut up
Tempo profile: A mixed bag - the sprint races should roll along, but a few of the maidens look like tactical crawl-fests where map position will do the heavy lifting
Jockeys to follow:
Jake Bayliss, all over the card on live chances like Savasteel, Seneschal and Kozak Prince; he keeps landing in the right spots.
Ben Thompson, aboard a stack of key rides, including Ikasara, Red Code and Tectonic Plate, and he's right in the thick of the main chances.
Michael Rodd, gets the important sits on Parading Gus and Cool Drinks; if there's a smooth run to be had, he's the bloke who can nick it.
Stables to respect:
S W Kendrick (3 runners), has live chances through Old Faithful, Seneschal and Maximum Output, and this mob always turns up with intent.
J R Bayliss (3 runners), Savasteel, Kozak Prince and Ship Happens give this yard a real foothold on the day.
Chris & Corey Munce (3 runners), Tiger Tie, Oberoi Princess and Techna keep them in the game across the sprint lanes.
Punty's take:
This is one of those Sunshine Coast meetings where the form guide can get dragged through a hedge and left for dead if you're not reading the mud properly. Heavy 10 with the rail out +7m usually means you want horses with a bit of race fitness, a bit of grunt, and a map that doesn't leave them bailed up like they're stuck in a rush-hour M7 pile-up. The maidens early are a grind, but there's a bit of pattern to it: the ones with some exposed form and a decent wet-track action keep bobbing up, while the shiny first starters and boom-ish blow-ins can get found out in a hurry.
The market has had a good sniff at a few runners too - Starward, Desiah, Eleanor Nancy, Techna and Maximum Output all deserve a look because the smoke isn't coming from nowhere. But on a day like this, not every bit of money is gospel. Some of those movers are genuine, some are just the old "bookie feels it in the back pocket" treatment. The real story is that the shorter races are going to reward horses that jump, hold a spot and keep trucking when the track gets greasy. If they overdo it early, the swoopers will be coming home like Aragorn in the last battle.
Race 6 to Race 8 look like the juicy parts of the card - speed, pressure, and a few horses who know how to handle the sting out of the ground. Race 1 to Race 3 are more about survival than style. In other words: don't get all romantic about one flashy run on a dead patch of turf and start behaving like a mug punter who's just discovered sunscreen. Keep your ammo for the races where the map and the wet form line up.
What it means for you:
The game plan is simple: keep the early races tight, respect the obvious anchors, and don't go fishing for miracles in the muddy maiden slop unless the price is making you smile. The favourites are a mixed bag - some are deserved, some are too skinny, and a couple are wearing the "short enough to make you nervous" jacket. That means the value lives in the horses who can either hold a map edge or keep finding under pressure.
Where you can get aggressive is the races with clearer tempo and proper wet-track suitability. Where you need to protect is the weird old tactical affairs where one bad jump leaves you cooked. The best multi spine is built around the reliable types, not the sexy roughies. If you're shopping for value, the place and each-way lines are doing a bit of the heavy lifting today, especially in the races where the track is going to punish anything that's half a length off the speed and half asleep at the wheel.