Sunday, 14 June 2026
No more jumps at this meeting today.
Punty's Punts
Race type: Maiden, 1000m
Map & tempo: Genuine speed, with Regal Vanguard expected to roll forward and Tennessee Spirit likely right on the speed from barrier 1
Punty read: This is a wet-track dash where the first wave is going to matter heaps. Deadly Force is the horse with the class and the jumpout polish, and Craig Williams is the bloke you want when the track gets ugly. Tennessee Spirit has the map to be right there, but the inside can be a trap if the fence gets chewed up. Inspiring is the each-way player: fresh enough, handled softly by the market, and the gear changes say the stable is trying to wake the bugger up.
Top 3 + Roughie ($10.50 pool)
1. Deadly Force (No.2) — $1.70 / $1.05 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $7.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$7.00
Prob 43.9% | Place: 95.0% | Value: 1.00x
Why Excellent jumpout form and a huge market push - if he brings that to raceday, he can simply outclass these.
2. Tennessee Spirit (No.13) — $3.00 / $1.22 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 29.4% | Place: 95.0% | Value: 0.76x
Why Maps to be in the fight from the jump, but the price is skinny and the place div is deadset too short to get involved.
3. Inspiring (No.4) — $6.45 / $1.45 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $3.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$3.50
Prob 17.2% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.34x
Why Fresh legs, gear changes, and market respect - if the race gets messy, he can be the one still coming at them late.
Roughie: Regal Vanguard (No.7) — $23.00 / $3.50 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 3.9% | Place: 35.0% | Value: 0.72x
Why Needs the race to fall apart, but if the speed starts folding in the mud he can run into a place cheque.
Race type: Maiden, 1300m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace, with Jimmy Beans and the stalking types getting the best of the setup
Punty read: Proper betting race. Jimmy Beans is the logical shorty, but it's not a race where you blindly smash the favourite like a pub joker on grand final day. Powering Away has the right shape to keep improving, Swift Endorsement can sit in the right spot and keep grinding, and Forrest Gump is the old head back from the paddock - talented, yes, but still a bit of a trust exercise after a long spell.
Top 3 + Roughie ($16.50 pool)
1. Jimmy Beans (No.3) — $1.93 / $1.17 🏆 2ND
Bet $6.50 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$6.50
Prob 39.9% | Place: 66.7% | Value: 1.11x
Why Resumes with a lovely profile, gets Craig Williams, and the map says he should be right in the sweet spot.
2. Powering Away (No.4) — $4.90 / $1.70 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $6.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$6.50
Prob 16.2% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.05x
Why Ran on solidly first-up and looks like the sort who keeps improving with racing.
3. Swift Endorsement (No.6) — $10.50 / $2.70 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $3.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$3.50
Prob 9.3% | Place: 39.9% | Value: 1.13x
Why Interference and a slow getaway knocked him around last time; if he gets a cleaner run, he can definitely bob up.
Roughie: Forrest Gump (No.2) — $10.10 / $2.70 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.6% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.68x
Why The new stable angle is interesting, but he's a first-up watch rather than a blind dive-in.
Race type: Maiden, 1590m
Map & tempo: Slow pace, and the leaders have a handy tactical edge
Punty read: This is a chess match on a bog. Goodness is the obvious class horse, but 1590m on a Heavy 10 with a slow tempo can get ugly fast if they dawdle. She's Astunnerarch gets the right sort of race if they don't crawl too much, Meka Vibe has excuses and can go on with it once he gets clear air, and Upcoming is the market mover you can't ignore entirely. If this turns into a grind, the horse that travels best without spending petrol early will be the one laughing.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Goodness (No.9) — $1.26 / $1.09 🏆 5TH
Bet $15.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 49.9% | Place: 66.7% | Value: 0.93x
Why Best horse in the race, full stop. The only question is whether the price is too skinny to get the heart racing.
2. She's Astunnerarch (No.11) — $6.55 / $2.15 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 17.8% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.40x
Why Solid enough, but Punty's view is the value sits more in the shape of the race than a chase on this one.
3. Meka Vibe (No.2) — $9.55 / $2.80 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.7% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.84x
Why Held up last time and wasn't disgraced; if the tempo turns to mush, he can clatter home for a slice.
Roughie: Spietata (No.4) — $17.00 / $4.00 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.4% | Place: 35.0% | Value: 0.51x
Why Freshened and honest, but you'd need the race to fall into her lap.
Race type: Maiden, 2000m
Map & tempo: Slow pace, with the top few trying to control things without overcooking it
Punty read: Thunderbolt Way is the one they'll all be trying to get past, but $1.52 on a Heavy 10 over 2000m is not exactly free money from the gods. Reel Raider keeps finding the line and looks the right sort of grinder, Trickemezi gets blinkers first time which could sharpen him up a fair bit, and Jirachi/Deadly Devil are the rough place types if the race turns into a war of attrition. This is a staying slog where the best horse still matters, but so does who can handle the mud and not go through the gears like a broken lawnmower.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Thunderbolt Way (No.7) — $1.52 / $1.12 🏆 WINNER
Bet $15.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$12.00
Prob 47.1% | Place: 66.7% | Value: 0.99x
Why He maps well, he stays, and he looks the benchmark - simple as that.
2. Reel Raider (No.11) — $3.00 / $1.30 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 30.8% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 1.32x
Why Honest grinder with the right sort of profile for a wet 2000m; if the favourite fluffs a line, this bloke is ready to pounce.
3. Trickemezi (No.8) — $4.65 / $1.75 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 16.9% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.24x
Why Blinkers on first time is a proper little poke in the ribs; could improve sharply if that wakes him up.
Roughie: Deadly Devil (No.1) — $42.50 / $6.50 🏆 5TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 1.2% | Place: 28.4% | Value: 0.36x
Why Has excuses and can run a cheeky place if the race falls in a heap, but that's about the size of it.
Race type: BM62, 2000m
Map & tempo: Slow pace, with Silver Pledge, Batoka Chief and Brillantezza the ones who may get the best track position
Punty read: Brillantezza is the class horse and the deserved short one, but this isn't a picnic march through a Sunday market - it's a wet 2000m BM62 where the grinders can have their say. Call Me Rhonda has a lovely wet-day profile and the market has already noticed, Star Blazer is the honest stay-on type, and Batoka Chief's been punted into a better price after that last-start win. This is a race where the map and stamina matter more than the fashion parade.
Top 3 + Roughie ($17.50 pool)
1. Brillantezza (No.10) — $2.38 / $1.25 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $6.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$6.00
Prob 32.3% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 0.99x
Why The class edge is obvious, and if she handles the gluey deck, she'll be right in the finish.
2. Call Me Rhonda (No.14) — $5.00 / $1.75 🏆 4TH
Bet $6.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$6.50
Prob 13.9% | Place: 39.9% | Value: 0.90x
Why Loves the heavy, gets into the race well, and the wet form says she's not here to make up numbers.
3. Star Blazer (No.2) — $9.55 / $2.45 🏆 WINNER
Bet $5.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$13.00
Prob 11.3% | Place: 39.9% | Value: 1.39x
Why Honest as the day is long, and with the race shape likely to get a bit ugly, he can keep grinding into the placings.
Roughie: Silver Pledge (No.5) — $14.75 / $3.40 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.6% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 0.87x
Why Better for further into the prep, but the mud and the map keep him in the conversation.
Race type: BM62, 1590m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace, with Ollandia Beach and the on-pacers set to get first crack
Punty read: This one is a proper banana peel. Ollandia Beach has the map, Super Paradise is the freshened wet-track bugger with a bounce-back profile, and Shyamalan is the best of the value types with the right sort of race shape. Sly Cascata is the sneaky swooper if they overdo it up front, and Tel Aviv is one of those sneaky ones the market hasn't fully embraced. Don't be shocked if the drifter is the one that hovers around longer than expected - heavy-track races love making mugs of us all.
Top 3 + Roughie ($11.00 pool)
1. Ollandia Beach (No.2) — $4.70 / $1.95 🏆 2ND
Bet $7.00 Each Way ($3.50W + $3.50P) — Cashed, net -$0.17
Prob 15.3% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.94x
Why Good recent form, a handy draw, and a race shape that should let her lob in the right spot.
2. Super Paradise (No.1) — $5.90 / $2.20 🏆 5TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.0% | Place: 39.9% | Value: 1.08x
Why Proven wet tracker with a good fresh profile, but the market isn't offering enough love to add a second punch.
3. Shyamalan (No.3) — $6.70 / $2.35 🏆 10TH
Bet $4.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$4.00
Prob 14.0% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 1.23x
Why The best value in the race - the map is against the others a bit and this bloke can gobble them up if the speed is honest enough.
Roughie: Black Frost (No.4) — $15.00 / $4.00 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.5% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.88x
Why Needs a few things to go right, but the form isn't hopeless if they overcook the tempo.
Race type: BM62, 1170m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace, with Shelly's Legacy advantaged and the speed not likely to be a mad burn
Punty read: This is the race where the market's been chucking darts at the wall. Beau Strada gets the right map and can sustain a run, Triple Triple has the heavy track on his side, and Forever With Ned is the one who'll be trying to keep them honest from close enough. Tessatori is the roughie with the gear tweaks who can sneak into the finish if things pan out, while Shelly's Legacy and Tallingas Indirose are the market rippers that make this race feel like it could spit out a weird result. It's a wet sprint where one bad step can ruin your day and one good run can make you look like a genius.
Top 3 + Roughie ($10.50 pool)
1. Beau Strada (No.14) — $4.55 / $1.70 🏆 8TH
Bet $10.50 Each Way ($5.25W + $5.25P) — ✗ Lost, net -$10.50
Prob 16.6% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.97x
Why Maps well, has the right kind of weight setup, and this looks like a race where being handy without overdoing it is gold.
2. Triple Triple (No.6) — $5.95 / $2.10 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.7% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.12x
Why Heavy-track credentials are there, and if the pace gets even slightly pressure-cooked he can be right in the finish.
3. Forever With Ned (No.13) — $2.91 / $1.32 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.7% | Place: 39.9% | Value: 0.55x
Why Short enough to be annoying and not short enough to be a gift - that's a no from me, boss.
Roughie: Tessatori (No.11) — $10.75 / $3.00 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.7% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.61x
Why The gear change is interesting and the bloke can run a cheeky race if the tempo and track line up.
Race type: BM62, 1000m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace, with Turnaquid and Flying D'amore the ones likely to get a nice run
Punty read: Final race and it's a speed mash. Steamy Mist gets the map from the good draw and can be right on the bunny, Done Leavy is short but a bit thin for my liking, Stupendo is the one who screams value if the fresh-up run lets him improve, and Turnaquid has been backed like a bloke who found the cheat codes. Eamonn's Memory and Da Nang Star have ability, but both have enough quirks to make you sweat bullets. This is the sort of 1000m slog where a clean jump and a good lane can save a horse's life.
Top 3 + Roughie ($16.00 pool)
1. Steamy Mist (No.8) — $3.92 / $1.55 🏆 3RD
Bet $9.50 Each Way ($4.75W + $4.75P) — Cashed, net -$1.90
Prob 16.4% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 0.84x
Why Draws to do no work, can sit handy, and if the heavy chop turns this into a survival test, that's exactly the sort of profile you want.
2. Done Leavy (No.10) — $3.35 / $1.45 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 16.0% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 0.70x
Why Short enough but not a bet for me at this price; he'll need plenty to go right in a race that could get chaotic.
3. Stupendo (No.3) — $8.90 / $2.60 🏆 10TH
Bet $6.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$6.50
Prob 11.8% | Place: 46.3% | Value: 1.38x
Why Fresh-up profile and a decent enough map - the sort of horse who can slip into the money if the race turns into a scrap.
Roughie: Turnaquid (No.9) — $9.10 / $2.70 🏆 5TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.0% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.78x
Why The gear changes and the strong support say plenty, but the race still needs to fall his way.
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 2,13,4 / 3,4,2,6,19 / 9,11,2 / 7,11,8 (135 combos x $0.26 = $35.00) -- 26% flexi
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 10,8,14,2 / 2,1,3,5 / 14,6,13,11 / 8,10,9,3 (256 combos x $0.25 = $65.00) -- 25% flexi
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 9 / 7 / 10 / 2 / 14 / 8 (1 combos x $2.00 = $2.00) -- 200% flexi
The day's multi leans on three win legs across the card.
1 - Deadly Force (Race 1, No.2) — $1.70
2 - Jimmy Beans (Race 2, No.3)✗ — $1.93
3 - Goodness (Race 3, No.9)✗ — $1.26
Meeting Stats
Selections
Punty's Early Mail
Rightio Loose Units, Wangaratta's serving up a Heavy 10 with the true rail, 57 scratchings, and enough muck on the deck to make this card feel like a Mad Max sequel with silk caps. The sprints are going to be a shove-and-slog job, the middle races are proper punting puzzles, and the staying stuff will punish any mug who thinks class alone gets you home.
MEET SNAPSHOT
Track: Wangaratta, 1000m-2000m card
Rail: True Entire Circuit
Official going: Heavy 10 (expected to play power-sapping, with early position a big plus in the shorter races)
Weather: Partly cloudy, 11C, humidity 77%, wind 7km/h WSW (watch for gusts and a surface that chops out late)
Early lane guess: True rail on a Heavy 10 - inside to middle lanes should be the sweet spot early, but don't get married to the fence if it starts to turn to porridge
Tempo profile: Genuine in the sprints, more tactical through the middle, and a proper stamina test late
Jockeys to follow:
Craig Williams, rides Jimmy Beans and Goodness; the bloke's timing in these wet-day puzzles is always a weapon
Damien Thornton, gets on the right sort of stalkers and grinders; looks well placed on Reel Raider and Tessatori
Billy Egan, has a stack of live rides and keeps finding the right horse in these tough races
Stables to respect:
A & S Freedman (3 runners), Deadly Force, Jimmy Beans and Goodness are all well found and the market has been sniffing around the right ones
Ben Brisbourne (5 runners), plenty of live cover across the card, especially the wet-track types that can keep punching late
Andrew Dale (3 runners), Super Paradise and Eamonn's Memory are both in races where their map and wet-track credentials matter
Punty's take: This is one of those meetings where the form guide's already got mud splashed all over it before the first one even jumps. Wangaratta on a Heavy 10 usually rewards horses that can hold a spot early in the sprints and then keep coming when the track turns to soup. That's why the short-course races are all about map and intent, while the 1590m/2000m stuff is a proper lungs-and-grit gig.
The market's also been doing a fair bit of work for us. Deadly Force, Jimmy Beans, Call Me Rhonda, Batoka Chief, Tallingas Indirose and a few others have all had serious money, which tells you the yards aren't mucking around. But there are also a couple of drifters that smell a bit like trouble - the sort of runners the ring is quietly letting go while the smart money piles into the ones with the right setup. That's the sort of meeting where you don't want to get stubborn.
What it means for you: Don't be a hero in the first couple of maidens. The smart play is to lean into the horses with map, wet-track handle and a bit of market push behind them. In the sprints, being up near the speed matters; in the staying races, you want something that won't fold like a camping chair when the pressure goes on.
Race 1 looks like the early banker zone if Deadly Force brings the jumpout swagger, but Race 2 and Race 5 are the proper betting races where you can actually make a score if the map falls your way. Race 4 is a quaddie anchor, Race 6 is a muck-up, and Race 7 is the sort of leg that can either make you grin like a loon or make you chew the arm off the couch. Play the day like a bloke who knows the track is wet, not like one who wants to pretend it's a firm 4 in spring.