Sunday, 26 July 2026
No more jumps at this meeting today.
Punty's Punts
Race type: Maiden, 1400m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace, on-pace stalkers get first run at them
Punty read: This is a "find the front and don't let it breathe" maiden. Mad Spitfire is showing on-pace intent, and when a horse firms like that, you can practically hear the jockey saying, "Alright mate, we're here to play." Lord Momo has the class profile and can sit handy, while Acoustic Bubbles is your late-running nuisance for the minor money. The roughie is a drifting outsider, so if he shows up, it's chaos, if he doesn't, it's normal.
Top 3 + Roughie ($19.50 pool)
1. Lord Momo (No.3) — $2.37 / $1.14 🏆 3RD
Bet $7.50 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$7.50
Prob 27.8% | Place: 69.0% | Value: 0.78x
Why Settles well enough to pounce, and the excuse runs say he's just waiting for a clear run.
2. Mad Spitfire (No.2) — $3.75 / $1.50 🏆 5TH
Bet $7.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$7.00
Prob 27.7% | Place: 69.0% | Value: 1.00x
Why On-pace profile with market backing, should be rolling forward at the right time.
3. Acoustic Bubbles (No.7) — $5.30 / $1.72 🏆 WINNER
Bet $5.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$4.50
Prob 18.5% | Place: 56.2% | Value: 0.92x
Why Even if he's not first up, he's the type to pick them off late when the race tightens.
Roughie: Racy Rascal (No.4) — $23.00 / $3.80 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 2.5% | Place: 12.2% | Value: 0.48x
Why Roughie path is a shock speed-collapse and a lucky run, otherwise he's just too far back to rescue.
Race type: Maiden, 1100m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace, Eightyseven Lad has the door shut behind him
Punty read: This is sprint chaos, the kind where the winner is usually the one who gets to the front first and stays there like it's their mate's birthday party. Eightyseven Lad is wired for leadership, and Peanut Butter looks like the danger that keeps charging late. Our Enchantress is the sneaky type if the pace wobbles, but the main event is clear, speed to win, speed to place.
Top 3 + Roughie ($23.50 pool)
1. Eightyseven Lad (No.1) — $1.71 / $1.10 🏆 WINNER
Bet $16.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$14.40
Prob 35.2% | Place: 69.0% | Value: 0.81x
Why Blinkers and visors first up, plus the pace profile, should make it hard to peel off.
2. Peanut Butter (No.2) — $3.95 / $1.60 🏆 5TH
Bet $7.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$7.50
Prob 32.6% | Place: 69.0% | Value: 1.84x
Why Bigger value than the favourite, and if the leaders get pressured, she's right there.
3. Our Enchantress (No.9) — $12.25 / $3.10 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.7% | Place: 34.1% | Value: 0.35x
Why Heaps of work needs to happen, and she's still short on place confidence for me.
Roughie: El Alamein (No.4) — $33.50 / $4.50 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 3.0% | Place: 21.7% | Value: 0.82x
Why Needs everything to go right, and in a genuine 1100m dash, that's asking a lot.
Race type: Handicap, 1760m
Map & tempo: Slow pace, it turns into a staying question late
Punty read: Over 1760m on a slow tempo, it's all about who can keep their feet when the sprint traps disappear. God's Grin has that "sit close then grind" profile and the market's treating him like a lead pencil. Ideally can stalk and pick up the pieces, and Jayashree has the kind of consistency that can nick a place if the favourites don't stick the landing. The roughie Mystical Wisdom is the "if the race falls apart" play.
Top 3 + Roughie ($22.00 pool)
1. God's Grin (No.3) — $2.45 / $1.13 🏆 2ND
Bet $7.50 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$7.50
Prob 31.4% | Place: 69.0% | Value: 0.93x
Why Perfect for a slow-tempo grind, and he's built to hit the line with purpose.
2. Ideally (No.5) — $3.90 / $1.40 🏆 WINNER
Bet $10.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$4.00
Prob 20.9% | Place: 69.0% | Value: 0.98x
Why Stalks in the pocket and gets chances when runners start to stretch.
3. Jayashree (No.4) — $4.45 / $1.45 🏆 6TH
Bet $4.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$4.50
Prob 19.5% | Place: 69.0% | Value: 1.05x
Why The fitter profile, and she's one of the ones who can get momentum late.
Roughie: Mystical Wisdom (No.6) — $13.00 / $2.65 🏆 8TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.9% | Place: 21.7% | Value: 0.76x
Why Roughie needs a clear passage and a late burst, but the field's too stacked for a throwaway win.
Race type: Handicap, 1600m (C2)
Map & tempo: Slow pace, so positioning and finishing kick matter more than hero speed
Punty read: When it's slow 1600m, you want the horses that can park close without getting bottled up. Myzoom is the one leading the charge, and the race shape suits him better than most. Graceful Lass is live for the minors if she can stay within striking distance, while Lendanear is a tactical runner who can get involved early. The danger is thinking "slow pace means chaos," it doesn't, it means smarter trips win.
Top 3 + Roughie ($13.00 pool)
1. Myzoom (No.1) — $2.90 / $1.45 🏆 7TH
Bet $13.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$13.00
Prob 29.0% | Place: 52.2% | Value: 1.09x
Why Drawn for a clean run and has the class edge to keep grinding through the middle stages.
2. Graceful Lass (No.6) — $6.20 / $2.25 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.5% | Place: 56.2% | Value: 1.25x
Why A real chance — but at $2.25 the place he's not a saver, he's a punt, and that's not a price I insure at. Watching, not betting.
3. Lendanear (No.7) — $5.35 / $1.95 🏆 8TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 12.3% | Place: 53.8% | Value: 0.85x
Why Might run a race, but place confidence isn't strong enough to justify it in my lane.
Roughie: I Never Dreamed (No.9) — $12.25 / $3.30 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 6.2% | Place: 21.7% | Value: 0.99x
Why He can threaten a place if the favs wobble, but he's not where I'm putting the cash first.
Race type: Handicap, 1100m
Map & tempo: Hot pace, on-pace runners get first dibs on the finish
Punty read: This is a speed-lovers' gig. Door Buster gets the perfect profile, and he's the kind of horse you want sitting in the driver's seat rather than chasing from midfield like a drunk tourist in a museum. Science Degree is the sturdy grinder, Dreamers Never Die is there with early pressure, and Vomo Island is your "if the leaders crack" roughie.
Top 3 + Roughie ($19.00 pool)
1. Door Buster (No.7) — $3.73 / $1.65 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $5.50 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$5.50
Prob 30.0% | Place: 69.0% | Value: 1.41x
Why On-pace, maps to take control, and the market looks ready to back that kind of effort.
2. Science Degree (No.1) — $5.95 / $2.10 🏆 2ND
Bet $10.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$13.00
Prob 14.8% | Place: 68.2% | Value: 1.11x
Why Handles sprint pressure and should be in the fight late, not after it.
3. Dreamers Never Die (No.2) — $4.00 / $1.70 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $3.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$3.50
Prob 14.2% | Place: 68.2% | Value: 0.72x
Why Can keep coming through the leaders, and if the pace holds, she'll be there.
Roughie: Vomo Island (No.5) — $12.25 / $3.30 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.4% | Place: 26.8% | Value: 0.68x
Why Needs a bit of luck and a pace collapse, otherwise Door Buster and Science Degree eat him alive.
Race type: Handicap, 1200m (Bm70+)
Map & tempo: Genuine pace, but it's a "who's still standing at 100m" race
Punty read: Treble Maker is the heavy probability pick here, and the market reality says he's the one to fear. Cleanemup is the value place play, while Playing Games is a decent pocket rocket if the pace doesn't cook him. Boab Boy comes in as the roughie with a place chance, basically the sort of horse you want for your "small saver that can actually pay."
Top 3 + Roughie ($21.00 pool)
1. Treble Maker (No.12) — $2.33 / $1.30 🏆 WINNER
Bet $5.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$6.65
Prob 27.1% | Place: 69.0% | Value: 0.83x
Why Backmarker-to-burst profiles win when the pace is genuine, and he looks ready to pounce late.
2. Cleanemup (No.8) — $4.50 / $1.80 🏆 4TH
Bet $8.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$8.50
Prob 18.5% | Place: 59.6% | Value: 1.09x
Why Consistent trip type, should slot in and find the line when they spread out.
3. Playing Games (No.7) — $5.10 / $1.95 🏆 2ND
Bet $6.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$6.17
Prob 14.3% | Place: 69.0% | Value: 0.96x
Why Midfield with a good finish, the sort of horse that cashes place money when it gets busy.
Roughie: Boab Boy (No.2) — $9.30 / $2.85 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $1.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$1.00
Prob 12.0% | Place: 59.6% | Value: 1.47x
Why Can run on underneath, especially if the leaders start to trade blows.
Race type: Handicap, 1200m (C2)
Map & tempo: Moderate pace, but this field screams "someone goes early and everyone else guesses"
Punty read: Morf is the one I want to keep safe, because he's got the profile to be on the pace without getting stranded. Dancewithme is the obvious danger, Alebrije sits in that "not far off" band that can be deadly on the right day, and Silent Amarda is the place pocket specialist. Deeply Rooted is the roughie, but you're only in for the story if the race turns into a late-running parade.
Top 3 + Roughie ($20.50 pool)
1. Morf (No.1) — $6.20 / $2.25 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $10.00 Each Way ($5.00W + $5.00P) — ✗ Lost, net -$10.00
Prob 19.4% | Place: 69.0% | Value: 1.54x
Why On-pace enough to control the race, and the value says you're not paying overs for the privilege.
2. Dancewithme (No.2) — $3.80 / $1.65 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 16.9% | Place: 69.0% | Value: 0.82x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Alebrije (No.4) — $9.05 / $2.90 🏆 WINNER
Bet $10.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$19.95
Prob 11.7% | Place: 52.4% | Value: 1.36x
Why If the pace skews, she's one of the first to capitalise from a good spot.
Roughie: Deeply Rooted (No.3) — $12.50 / $3.80 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 6.3% | Place: 29.0% | Value: 1.01x
Why Needs a big run and a clear late gap, and this sort of field can shut the door fast.
Race type: Handicap, 1400m (Bm58+)
Map & tempo: Genuine pace, then it's about who can stick around when the speed starts to fade
Punty read: Friar's Legacy is your main character tonight. She's on-pace and the form profile fits, so you get a runner who should be in the right part of the track when the race gets physical. Five Down is the place and hedge horse, Across Generations is the value place threat with the big drift shape, and Gondrinkin has enough structure to get involved if the leaders don't finish each other off. High Precision is your roughie, but she's more "if it all goes wrong" than "bet with confidence."
Top 3 + Roughie ($23.50 pool)
1. Friar's Legacy (No.3) — $2.79 / $1.45 🏆 WINNER
Bet $8.50 Win — ✓ Won, net +$15.21
Prob 33.3% | Place: 69.0% | Value: 1.20x
Why Pace suits, draw suits, and she looks like she's been primed for this type of run.
2. Five Down (No.7) — $2.57 / $1.37 🏆 11TH
Bet $10.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$10.00
Prob 15.8% | Place: 69.0% | Value: 0.52x
Why Great for a place dividend, especially if the top pick needs a breather in the run.
3. Across Generations (No.8) — $9.50 / $3.00 🏆 3RD
Bet $5.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$10.00
Prob 13.7% | Place: 69.0% | Value: 1.68x
Why Biggish price still has a place floor, and when pace holds, she can sneak into it.
Roughie: High Precision (No.2) — $23.00 / $4.40 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 3.3% | Place: 19.1% | Value: 0.99x
Why Backmarker has to find an absurd late seam, and most days that seam never appears.
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 3,2,7,1 / 1,2,9 / 3,4,5 / 6,7,1,9 (144 combos x $0.24 = $35.00) -- 24% flexi
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 7,3,1,2 / 12,7,8,2 / 1,2,4,3 / 3,7,8 (192 combos x $0.18 = $35.00) -- 18% flexi
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 3 / 1 / 7 / 12 / 1 / 3 (1 combos x $2.00 = $2.00) -- 200% flexi
The day's multi leans on three win legs across the card.
1 - Eightyseven Lad (Race 2, No.1)✓ Won — $1.71
2 - God's Grin (Race 3, No.3)✗ — $2.45
3 - Friar's Legacy (Race 8, No.3)✓ Won — $2.79
Meeting Stats
Selections
Punty's Early Mail
Rightio Loose Units, Kalgoorlie on a Good 4 with the rail True, sun out, and the sort of firm footing where the front two or three can get away with murder. It's one of those days where you want to be close enough to smell the saddle cloth, because letting them go is how you end up watching your tickets slowly become kindling.
Today's card has a clear spine, Race 2 into Race 3 into Race 8, and if you build your betting around that rather than trying to "find a winner" in every race like some sort of bored mall cop, you'll stay sane. The values are there, the chaos is there too, but we're steering the boat with the compass.
MEET SNAPSHOT
Track: Good 4, 1100m to 1760m card
Rail: True
Official going: Good 4 (expected to play Speed vs Class, front runners hold advantage)
Weather: Mostly sunny, 14C, humidity 35%, wind 25km/h NNW (watch for cold gusts that make it feel way nippier than it is)
Early lane guess: on-pace rails and midfield stalkers
Tempo profile: mix of genuine pace and slow grinders, but once they hit the straight it's all about who's still got skin on
Jockeys to follow:
Rocky Cheung: consistently sits on speed in these races, and when he's on a map, he looks the part.
Ms Lucy Fiore: often makes the right decisions early, and her horses are usually there when the race gets serious.
Austin Galati: tends to back up with solid finishing runs, especially when the pattern suits.
Stables to respect:
P J Fernie (6 runners): shows up a lot with horses that run their race, especially in these middle-distance handicaps.
P D Tapper (7 runners): knows how to place a runner close enough to benefit from the pace, and the gears often do the job.
Brett Drury (4 runners): when the market takes a breath and then commits, his runners are usually the ones you notice.
Punty's take:
Race 1 is a maiden where the story is simple, the on-pace runner with the firming market and the kinder draw gets first crack at the flag, then the rest are fighting for positions in the shed. I'm not getting cute, I'm taking the race for what it is: a speed map race with class upgrades sprinkled through the field.
Race 2 through Race 4 is a proper "either they've got it or they haven't" stretch, and I want to be protected with place value as much as possible. You'll see a couple of horses that look like winners in slow-motion, but the ones that jump with intent and keep straight running are the ones that bank the money.
And Race 8, that's your payoff race. It's a 1400m handicap where pace is real, the front markers are dangerous, but the race also gives you a runner that's been sitting on the edge waiting for the gap to appear. If you nail the Big 3 spine, Race 8 is where you cash the cheque and feel like the main character from a good sports movie.
What it means for you:
Be aggressive in the races where the pace is clear and the market is backing intent. That's where win bets make sense and where place bets are basically the grown-up version of "hopium with receipts." If the horse is drifting like it's late for work, you protect yourself, you don't chase.
Use the lanes for the multis if you're going near quaddies or Big 6s, but don't go full degenerate cowboy and widen everything. Your best chance at a hit is keeping the early legs tight, then letting one or two chaos legs carry the dividend potential.
I'm building this like a deck of cards, strong spine first, then value second, then chaos only where it actually fits the map. Gamble smart, laugh harder, and if you miss, at least it'll be a proper story.