Friday, 19 June 2026
No more jumps at this meeting today.
Punty's Punts
Race type: Maiden, 1200m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace with Congolian likely rolling forward, High Noon on the speed, and Yaldy Time trying to keep in touch from a decent gate
Punty read: This is a proper wet-track opener and the market's already had a nibble at a few of them. Congolian looks the natural leader, Teemoo has copped a monster tick from the market despite the form looking a bit ugly, and La Chica Bella is the one who can keep grinding if the speed gets hot. The track should suit the horse that can get in, get balanced, and keep finding - because once they start labouring in this muck, it gets pretty ugly. Yaldy Time is the one the punters will gravitate to, but at the price and with the Heavy 10, he's not exactly a gift from the racing gods.
Top 3 + Roughie ($22.50 pool)
1. Congolian (No.1) — $4.40 / $1.70 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $17.50 Each Way ($8.75W + $8.75P) — ✗ Lost, net -$17.50
Prob 26.1% | Place: 66.7% | Value: 0.74x
Why He maps right on the speed and on a rain-soaked day that matters a hell of a lot. If Toni Davies gets him to the front or the outside shoulder of the leader without burning too much petrol, he'll be hard to run down.
2. Yaldy Time (No.3) — $3.10 / $1.37 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 18.7% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.62x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. High Noon (No.9) — $6.50 / $2.25 🏆 WINNER
Bet $5.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$6.25
Prob 17.4% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 0.94x
Why He gets the sort of run where he can stalk and strike if the speed cooks off. If the front end turns into a dogfight, he's the one that'll be hanging around when the others start swimming.
Roughie: Teemoo (No.2) — $26.00 / $5.00 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 1.2% | Place: 28.4% | Value: 0.97x
Why Massive market squeeze says someone out there likes the smell of this one, and the excuses last start weren't fantasy stuff. But from barrier 9 on a heavy track after a long break, he still needs the race to fall apart a bit.
Race type: Maiden, 1200m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace with Bee Precious and Wave likely disputing the front while Rosa and Ebony Bassett tuck in behind them
Punty read: This feels like the cleanest read on the card. Bee Precious has the map, the speed, and the fresh form profile to be a real pain in the arse for the opposition. The market's liked her for a reason, and on this kind of going, a horse that can bounce and keep rolling is worth its weight in gold. Rosa is the sneaky one for the placings after a few excuses, while Ebony Bassett has been firming and looks the obvious danger if Bee Precious gets eyeballed early.
Top 3 + Roughie ($21.00 pool)
1. Bee Precious (No.7) — $2.55 / $1.30 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $9.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$9.00
Prob 26.3% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 0.73x
Why She's the one with the map and the attitude for a wet-track roll-on job. If she gets her own way in front, the others will need a broom to catch her.
2. Ebony Bassett (No.13) — $3.80 / $1.55 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $7.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$7.00
Prob 14.0% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 0.72x
Why The money has already found her and the style suits a race that might not be run at breakneck speed. She looks the logical one to finish over the top of tired legs late.
3. Rosa (No.5) — $10.00 / $2.70 🏆 2ND
Bet $5.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$8.50
Prob 11.4% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 0.71x
Why The slow starts have been killing her, but the excuses were legit and the wet track can keep her in the game longer. If she jumps cleanly, she's the sort that can hang around for a cheque.
Roughie: Mrs Flintstone (No.8) — $12.00 / $3.20 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.4% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 1.05x
Why She has the wet-track chops, but the big weight rise is the sort of thing that can turn a promising run into a faceplant. Needs the race to be softer than it looks.
Race type: Maiden, 1400m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace, with barrier 1 and barrier 3 likely being gold if they can land handy; wide runners will need luck and a decent ride
Punty read: This is the first proper head-scratcher of the day. Our Test has the inside gate and the kind of setup that can make a lot of sense in the wet, but the market's drifting him like he's got weights in his pockets. Amalthea is the one they like on top, Kit Zakat is the place player from a decent enough lane, and Onyourbike Panda is the sneaky swooper if the field strings out. This is the sort of race where you want the horse that can save ground and still keep climbing, like a bloke in a Rocky montage with a leaky pair of trainers.
Top 3 + Roughie ($20.50 pool)
1. Amalthea (No.9) — $3.94 / $2.00 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $16.50 Each Way ($8.25W + $8.25P) — ✗ Lost, net -$16.50
Prob 14.8% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 0.81x
Why She draws well enough to be in the right part of the race and the wet should make things more about toughness than class flash. If she gets a clean sit, she's the one they have to beat.
2. Kit Zakat (No.8) — $6.60 / $2.75 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.8% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 0.97x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Our Test (No.1) — $9.00 / $3.40 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $4.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$4.00
Prob 12.1% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.65x
Why Inside barrier in a wet maiden is never a bad thing, and the drift has turned him into the sort of price you can forgive the market for overreacting to. If the ride is patient and the track isn't a total bog, he's right in the finish.
Roughie: Pixie Caramel (No.10) — $10.10 / $3.70 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 3.7% | Place: 35.0% | Value: 0.88x
Why She's been eased in the market and could lob near the speed, but this looks more like a place-getting path than a winning one unless the leaders completely fall in a heap.
Race type: Maiden, 1400m
Map & tempo: Slow pace, which means the horse with the best turn of foot and the least amount of traffic trouble should get every possible chance
Punty read: This is a crawl-and-kick race, and those are usually bastard hard to bet into. Brutiful Lass has the cleanest setup from barrier 2 and enough wet form to take holding off. Feint To East has the fresh-up profile and the yard behind it to be dangerous for a place, while Merkel is the nice little shout with the right trainer form and a decent on-speed stalk. Valvano is the roughie if you want to dream, but this race screams "one bad ride and you're cooked" more than it screams confidence.
Top 3 + Roughie ($19.50 pool)
1. Brutiful Lass (No.6) — $2.86 / $1.37 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $7.50 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$7.50
Prob 22.9% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 0.74x
Why Best map in the race and she's been knocking on the door often enough to be trusted when the track turns ugly. From the good gate she can sit midfield, keep the fence, and let the others do the hard work.
2. Feint To East (No.11) — $3.03 / $1.45 🏆 WINNER
Bet $7.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$9.80
Prob 14.4% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.56x
Why The fresh-up angle is there and the stable/jockey combo has enough juice to keep her honest. Needs luck from barrier 4 in a slow race, but if she gets clear running she can be right in the thick of it.
3. Merkel (No.8) — $7.35 / $2.45 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $5.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$5.00
Prob 14.4% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.73x
Why The market's been soft on her but the trainer's got the right sort of numbers and the heavy track shouldn't worry her. If the leaders dawdle, she's the one who can keep grinding into the finish.
Roughie: Valvano (No.15) — $10.70 / $3.60 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.4% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 2.02x
Why He's the sort of roughie that can sneak into the frame if the race turns into a muddled crawl and the front end stops. But the weight pattern says he's best left to the dreamers.
Race type: Maiden, 2100m
Map & tempo: Slow pace, which is a polite way of saying they'll probably walk, then sprint, then complain about the mud
Punty read: Welcome to the staying slog. Derryman is the one the market has settled on and it's not hard to see why - he's the honest, tough sort who can keep going when the race gets serious. Unusual Secret is the filly-type fresh factor with a bit of upside, Double Eagle is around the right sort of mark but not screaming out as a bet, and Cajole is the roughie if you think the speed somehow collapses into a proper war of attrition. This is where patience wins races - and where greedy punters get mugged by a horse that gets shuffled too far back.
Top 3 + Roughie ($19.00 pool)
1. Derryman (No.1) — $3.75 / $1.72 🏆 WINNER
Bet $16.50 Each Way ($8.25W + $8.25P) — ✓ Won, net +$35.48
Prob 16.0% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.86x
Why He has the staying base, the wet form, and the map to be in the race when it matters. If the tempo is as dawdling as it looks, the horse that keeps relaunching late is the one you want.
2. Double Eagle (No.14) — $5.70 / $2.25 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.9% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.90x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Unusual Secret (No.3) — $6.45 / $2.40 🏆 2ND
Bet $2.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$3.50
Prob 14.6% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 1.46x
Why Fresh horse, decent trainer setup, and a map that should keep him in touch without doing too much work. If the favourites get stuck in the mud, he's the one who can run past tired bastards late.
Roughie: Cajole (No.8) — $10.40 / $3.50 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 5.0% | Place: 28.4% | Value: 0.71x
Why Proper sneaky wet-track roughie. If they crawl early and then wind it up, he gets the sort of race where a backmarker can slice through and make a liar out of everyone.
Race type: Benchmark 75, 2100m
Map & tempo: Slow pace, so the horses with tactical speed and staying ability should get the first crack at it
Punty read: This is the race where class meets mud and has a wrestling match. Quid is the safest sort of anchor because he can hold a spot and keep turning up, while Danjuro has the fresh profile and enough ability to make trouble if the race doesn't turn too tactical. Overdraft is the place horse that gets the right shape if they don't go too hard early, and Semper Magico is the roughie who can swoop if the leaders crawl the first half and the track starts favouring the outside. The old cliche says wet tracks find out the weaklings - and this race might do exactly that.
Top 3 + Roughie ($16.00 pool)
1. Quid (No.6) — $4.10 / $1.80 🏆 4TH
Bet $9.50 Each Way ($4.75W + $4.75P) — ✗ Lost, net -$9.50
Prob 16.5% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 0.94x
Why Honest as the day is long, handles the heavy, and maps to sit right where he needs to be. In a race with no real pressure upfront, that consistency is gold.
2. Danjuro (No.9) — $7.30 / $2.75 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.8% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.26x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Overdraft (No.10) — $6.35 / $2.40 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $6.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$6.50
Prob 14.6% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.28x
Why Big drop in weight and a map that keeps him in the fight. If the race turns into a grind rather than a sprint home, he's absolutely one of the right ones.
Roughie: Semper Magico (No.4) — $11.40 / $3.70 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 5.8% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.92x
Why The roughie's path is obvious - if the pace is even softer than expected and he gets dragged into the race late, he can rattle home. But he's more a ticket saver than a wallet saver.
Race type: Benchmark 65, 1200m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace with Our Sassie Anne likely doing the early donkey work and a few of these wanting to sit in the first half
Punty read: This is the first proper speed puzzle of the day. Great Escape has the class and the right sort of recent pattern to be the horse they have to beat, Brigit is the tough wet-ground type that can keep humming along, and Chart The Stars is the one who can improve sharply if he gets a clean run after the drift. Amazing Son is the roughie with the right sort of excuse profile, but this race looks like one of those sprints where the winner is simply the one that gets the cleanest trip without having to chase the leaders through a wall of muck.
Top 3 + Roughie ($10.00 pool)
1. Great Escape (No.3) — $2.68 / $1.37 🏆 3RD
Bet $4.50 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$4.50
Prob 14.8% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.56x
Why He's got the recent form, the distance fit, and enough wet-track ability to be right in the fight if the map behaves. If he gets a comfy run just behind the speed, he's the one they all have to catch.
2. Brigit (No.7) — $5.90 / $2.25 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.5% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.12x
Why A real chance — but at $2.25 the place he's not a saver, he's a punt, and that's not a price I insure at. Watching, not betting.
3. Chart The Stars (No.6) — $7.30 / $2.70 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $5.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$5.50
Prob 11.0% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 1.26x
Why He's drifted enough to make the room nervous, but the form line isn't hopeless and the heavy ground won't scare him. From barrier 13 he needs luck, but if he sees daylight at the right time he's the one who can finish best.
Roughie: Amazing Son (No.4) — $9.30 / $3.20 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 8.8% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.17x
Why Plenty of excuses last time and the heavy track could bring his best version out if he gets a soft enough run. Still, he's more the "could bolt in" sneaky than the one I'd want to hang the day on.
Race type: Benchmark 75, 1400m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace with a few wanting the front but not enough to turn it into a burn-up from the jump
Punty read: This one is sneaky good. Renovations is the sort of horse I want on top because the map gives him a real shot to sit handily and the wet won't worry him. Eizus is the obvious market player, but barrier 13 in a wet 1400 is no picnic, and Sevenayes can be the one to savage the place money if the race isn't run too fast. Catherinenz is the roughie if you want to go fishing in the deep end, but this looks like a race where the clean run matters more than the flashy quote.
Top 3 + Roughie ($18.00 pool)
1. Renovations (No.6) — $5.90 / $2.25 🏆 4TH
Bet $12.00 Each Way ($6.00W + $6.00P) — ✗ Lost, net -$12.00
Prob 13.8% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.95x
Why Maps beautifully enough to be right there when they straighten, and he's got the wet-ground profile to keep digging. This is the sort of setup where a horse can look plain on paper and still be the right one.
2. Eizus (No.9) — $4.90 / $2.00 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.8% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.93x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Sevenayes (No.1) — $13.75 / $4.40 🏆 3RD
Bet $6.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$20.40
Prob 4.6% | Place: 34.5% | Value: 0.90x
Why The place play is the move because she's got enough grunt to hang around, and the inside gate gives her a crack at the right run. If the favourites get trapped wide, she's the one that can sneak into the money.
Roughie: Catherinenz (No.10) — $10.70 / $3.80 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.7% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.78x
Why The sort of roughie that can surprise if the race is run at the wrong tempo and the on-pacers start swatting at the ground. But the market hasn't exactly missed her for no reason.
Race type: Restricted 60, 1600m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace with The Finnster and Tukituki likely to roll forward and set the shape
Punty read: This is a mile race with enough depth to ruin a nap. Don's Legacy is the one I want on top because he gets a workable map, the heavy track should suit, and the market favourites look a touch skinny for what they've actually got to prove. Perfect Pete is a handy enough horse but he's been overbet for what he's bringing, Tukituki is a shortie with a bad smell about the way the map has fallen, and Eagle Rock is the proper roughie if the leaders get into a wrestle and overdo it. This is the classic "one horse gets the soft run while the others are busy being clever" race.
Top 3 + Roughie ($13.00 pool)
1. Don's Legacy (No.3) — $3.71 / $2.25 🏆 WINNER
Bet $13.00 Each Way ($6.50W + $6.50P) — ✓ Won, net +$25.74
Prob 11.0% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.81x
Why He maps to land in the sweet spot and the wet should blunt the edge of the flashier types. If he gets cover and a bit of room in the straight, he's the one that can finish the job.
2. Perfect Pete (No.5) — $3.21 / $2.00 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.6% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.96x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Tukituki (No.2) — $3.98 / $2.35 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.0% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.03x
Why Short enough, but the map and the wet don't do him any favours and he's got enough risk baked into the run. If he gets his own way in front he can make a liar out of us, but I don't want to be fighting the tape at that price.
Roughie: Eagle Rock (No.4) — $16.25 / $4.40 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 3.4% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.91x
Why If the speed gets messy and the leaders start cooking each other, he's the one that can swoop out of the pack. Big price, nice place profile, and a proper path to getting into the finish if the race collapses late.
Race type: Restricted 60, 1600m
Map & tempo: Slow pace, which usually means the race is won by the horse that doesn't get itself buried in traffic
Punty read: Last race on a heavy track is where the gremlins come out. Pinker gets the nod because the map and the wet both give him a serious chance to be the one rolling home when the others are paddling. Rio Grande is the obvious danger, but the quote says he's already been crunched to the point where you're paying for the privilege, and Rithim is a lovely place play if you want the safer profile with the right sort of wet-ground fitness. Riomosa is the roughie with the big overlay and the kind of run style that could throw a late scare into the favourites if the tempo crawls and he gets clear air at the right time.
Top 3 + Roughie ($18.00 pool)
1. Pinker (No.2) — $3.55 / $1.60 🏆 2ND
Bet $12.50 Each Way ($6.25W + $6.25P) — Cashed, net -$1.88
Prob 16.4% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 0.81x
Why Barrier 1 in a slow-run mile is handy if the ride is patient, and he's got enough wet-track know-how to finish the day off well. The map gives him a very real chance to get the last crack at them.
2. Rio Grande (No.5) — $3.45 / $1.55 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 16.4% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.78x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Rithim (No.11) — $5.90 / $2.20 🏆 4TH
Bet $5.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$5.50
Prob 14.5% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.18x
Why The map is workable and he's the kind of horse that can sit in the right spot without having to burn too much energy. In the wet, that's the sort of setup that can turn into a proper finish.
Roughie: Riomosa (No.3) — $10.20 / $3.30 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.5% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.35x
Why The roughie's path is clean enough: if they go steady early and he gets clear running late, he can absolutely belt home into the minors. Needs a tidy ride, but the ingredients are there.
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 9,8,1,7 / 6,11,8,15 / 1,14,3,8 / 6,10,9,4 (256 combos x $0.16 = $40.50) -- 16% flexi
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 3,6,7,4 / 9,6,10,2 / 5,3,2,6 / 2,5,11,3 (256 combos x $0.16 = $40.50) -- 16% flexi
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 1 / 6 / 3 / 6 / 3 / 2 (1 combos x $60.48 = $60.48) -- 6048% flexi
The day's multi leans on three win legs across the card.
1 - Bee Precious (Race 2, No.7) — $2.55
2 - Brutiful Lass (Race 4, No.6) — $2.86
3 - Quid (Race 6, No.6)✗ — $4.10
Meeting Stats
Selections
Punty's Early Mail
Rightio Loose Units, Woodville's copped a proper mud bath and this card looks like a test of whether your horse can handle a slog or whether it's going to slide around like Bambi on a beer floor. Heavy 10, true rail, showers hanging around, and enough wind to make the straight feel like a bloody council drain. This isn't a day for pretty form figures and fairy floss; this is a day for wet trackers, riders with patience, and punters who can smell where the speed is before the rest of the room wakes up.
MEET SNAPSHOT
Track: Woodville, 1200m-2100m card
Rail: True
Official going: Heavy 10 (expected to play like a punishing slog with the best runners being the ones who handle the chop and keep finding under pressure)
Weather: Showers, 13°C, humidity 79%, wind 18km/h SW (watch for more rain, gusty conditions, and a track that could get uglier as the day rolls on)
Early lane guess: True rail early, but with the rain hammering and the track already deep, the better ground may drift off the fence as the card wears on
Tempo profile: A mixed bag. Race 1 and Race 2 have genuine pressure, Race 4 and Race 10 look painfully slow, Race 5 is a staying crawl, and the quaddie legs are a real "one wrong step and you're stuffed" sort of affair
Jockeys to follow:
Kavish Chowdhoory, gets a key steer on Bee Precious and Rithim; when he lands one in the right spot on a heavy track, he can make them dangerous late.
Jack Taplin, on Quid and a couple of live chances; solid in the saddle and not afraid to roll the dice when the map suits.
Kelly Myers, plenty of important rides across the card, and she's got the sort of mounts that can nick a race if the tempo falls her way.
Stables to respect:
K T Myers (5 runners), Bee Precious, Quid and the others are all live enough to matter, especially with the heavy ground playing to tactical horses.
Robbie Patterson (3 runners), Yaldy Time, Rosina Veloce and a couple of others have enough ability to make a mess of things if the race shape helps.
Ms I Kelly (3 runners), Rosa, Aliyana Belle and Peppery are the kind of mares that can keep plugging through muck and give you a run for your money.
Punty's take: This meeting's got a bit of Mad Max about it. Not the shiny, chrome-and-neon version - the ugly, dust-in-your-teeth one where everyone is just trying to keep the wheels on. Race 1 and Race 2 set the tone: there is speed, but there's also enough wet-track shape to make the leaders dangerous if they get an easy time. Bee Precious is the sort of horse you can build a day around, while Congolian and Quid are the honest grinders who'll keep themselves in the fight when others are going backwards like they're late for a funeral.
The middle of the card is where the chaos merchants live. Races 3, 5, 7, 8 and 9 are the sort of races that make grown punters stare at the sky and contemplate becoming a chess player. There are wide gates, fresh horses, drifters everywhere, and enough "held up" excuses in the notes to fill a small paperback. That's where the value sneaks out of the cracks - not by finding perfection, but by finding the horse most likely to get the least-unlucky run.
What it means for you: Keep it simple and keep it wet-track smart. Bank the horses with map advantage and proven slog form, and don't fall in love with shorties that haven't got the mud blood. There's a strong case to be a bit more aggressive early with Race 2, Race 4 and Race 6, then tighten the belt for the quaddie legs where the track and tempo can turn a solid opinion into a busted ticket in about 12 seconds.
If you're playing exotics, don't get greedy in the ugly races - cover the obvious shape, then move on. This isn't the day to try and solve every puzzle with a pencil stub and a prayer. It's the day to stay in the lane, back the right mud-runners, and let the others do the dumb stuff.