Saturday, 25 April 2026
No more jumps at this meeting today.
Punty's Punts
Race type: MAIDEN, 1100m
Map & tempo: Slow tempo; the race may turn into a sit-and-sprint, with Indi Springs carrying the load and Kneel Down the obvious beneficiary if they crawl
Punty read: This is a weird little opener, loads of market heat, plenty of money flying around, and not a lot of room for error. Indi Springs is the class act on paper and the one the market has latched onto, but the slow tempo means you can't completely write off the backmarkers if the leaders go to sleep. Kneel Down is the old grimy roughie who can absolutely nick a slice if they dawdle, and Mitaka gets the right sort of run if the speed map unravels. Infinite Vixon is the other one they've been backing like it's Christmas, but the gear changes scream 'we're trying to wake this bugger up' rather than 'this is a sure thing'.
Top 3 + Roughie ($12.00 pool)
1. Indi Springs (No.6) — $1.50 / $1.12 🏆 WINNER
Bet $12.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$6.00
Prob 39.1% | Place: 19.7% | Value: 1.04x
Why She's the natural on-pacer in a race that's been getting firmed from all angles, and if she controls it early she's the one with the race by the throat.
2. Infinite Vixon (No.5) — $4.20 / $1.50 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 20.3% | Place: 12.7% | Value: 0.84x
Why First-time gear can sharpen her up, but the market has already done the heavy lifting and there's no free lunch at this price.
3. Mitaka (No.7) — $4.70 / $1.70 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 18.3% | Place: 12.6% | Value: 1.42x
Why The draw and the map give him a sniff if the favourites get stuck in a tactical arm wrestle.
Roughie: Cool As Ted (No.2) — $24.00 / $4.80 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.4% | Place: 7.0% | Value: 2.15x
Why Lightly-raced types can surprise in these skinny maidens if the speed turns ugly and the leaders are left arguing with each other.
Race type: BENCHMARK 58, 1800m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace; enough pressure to make position count, but not a demolition derby
Punty read: This is a proper old-school country grinder where you want the horse that can travel, settle, and keep grinding. Take The Chance is the obvious one with the map, and the fact he's handy in running at 1800m matters a stack. Crown Legend has the right profile to bounce back if he can get out of the back half without burning petrol, while Railway Avenue is the ridiculous price in the race, the kind of horse that makes you squint at the form and then have a second look because the numbers just don't match the quote. Lucky Star and Devils Daughter are the two who can sit in the frame if the tempo is honest.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Take The Chance (No.5) — $4.80 / $1.75 🏆 6TH
Bet $15.00 Each Way ($7.50W + $7.50P) — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 22.7% | Place: 30.2% | Value: 1.40x
Why He's the right sort for an 1800m scrap, maps close enough, handles the trip, and gets the perfect race shape if they roll along a bit.
2. Crown Legend (No.1) — $5.00 / $1.70 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 17.5% | Place: 25.3% | Value: 1.12x
Why Drifted in the market, but the second-up profile says he's not hopeless if he can settle and get the right cart into the race.
3. Devils Daughter (No.3) — $4.90 / $1.70 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.9% | Place: 22.4% | Value: 0.94x
Why Honest as the day is long, but she'll need a genuine run of it and a bit of luck from midfield to land a blow.
Roughie: Railway Avenue (No.4) — $23.00 / $5.00 🏆 8TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.1% | Place: 20.2% | Value: 3.86x
Why Massive price for a horse with enough ability to bob up if the race turns into a war of attrition and the leaders soften each other up.
Race type: CLASS 1, 1800m
Map & tempo: Slow tempo; tactical race, and the right rider at the right moment will matter plenty
Punty read: Annoint has the form line that reads like a bloke who's been paying the bills every week, and he gets first crack despite not being the flashiest on the map. Damascus Calling is the one the market has kept nibbling at, and you can see why, if he gets a clean back-half run, he'll be flashing home when the leaders are gasping. Mr Crowning Moment is the tasty roughie, because the map can help and the price lets you dream a bit without needing to mortgage the ute. Celeman Zor comes in with the blinkers, but the one-run sample says you're still playing with hope rather than certainty there.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Annoint (No.1) — $4.50 / $1.60 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $15.00 Each Way ($7.50W + $7.50P) — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 21.7% | Place: 29.4% | Value: 1.22x
Why He's the most reliable sort in the field and the one that can keep grinding when the race turns into a tactical wrestle.
2. Damascus Calling (No.2) — $4.90 / $1.70 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 19.1% | Place: 27.0% | Value: 1.17x
Why The market support is there and the back-half run looks the right style if they don't dawdle too badly.
3. Mr Crowning Moment (No.6) — $14.00 / $3.70 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.3% | Place: 23.0% | Value: 2.69x
Why He's the sort that can swoop late if they stack them up and the race becomes a procession for the run-on horses.
Roughie: Heeza Steve (No.8) — $17.00 / $4.00 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.3% | Place: 16.7% | Value: 2.20x
Why Needs a bit of luck, but if the tempo is gluey and he gets the right tow into it, he can run a cheeky race at a number.
Race type: MAIDEN, 1400m
Map & tempo: Slow pace; the race should favour the horse that can park up handy and kick when asked
Punty read: Che Ole is the obvious horse to beat and the one the market has basically pinned its hopes on. The reason is simple: barrier 2, handy map, strong enough form, and a pace setup that shouldn't let too many excuses creep in. Prince De Vega is the obvious danger if he can hold a spot without getting trapped on the wrong side of the split, while Take A Day Off and Street Force are the value types who can bob up if the leader gets into a dogfight or the race becomes a bit of a slopfest late. Captainthunderbolt is the roughie with a sniff if he gets the right run, but he's not exactly the bloke you'd trust to pay the mortgage.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Che Ole (No.8) — $1.80 / $1.17 🏆 6TH
Bet $15.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 30.8% | Place: 56.1% | Value: 0.79x
Why The map is a gift, the race shape is soft, and he looks the one that can stalk and pounce without needing a miracle.
2. Take A Day Off (No.6) — $8.45 / $2.25 🏆 9TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.5% | Place: 33.7% | Value: 1.15x
Why He's the sort that can clunk up late if the favourite gets too comfy in front and the race turns into a war of attrition.
3. Street Force (No.9) — $10.50 / $2.50 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.0% | Place: 32.6% | Value: 1.01x
Why Blinkers not the story here, the story is a runner who can sit off the speed and gobble up the crumbs if the leaders overdo it.
Roughie: Captainthunderbolt (No.2) — $14.00 / $3.30 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 7.1% | Place: 19.4% | Value: 1.21x
Why Needs a clean ride and a bit of luck, but if he lands one-off the fence and the race gets messy, he's not the worst smokey in the world.
Race type: BENCHMARK 82, 1100m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace; this should be properly run, and that usually separates the pretenders from the real deal
Punty read: This is the race where you want a horse that can handle pressure and still finish with a bit of dash. Panic gets the perfect draw and the right sort of run, but the price is short enough that you're paying for the privilege. The interesting bit is the chasing pack, Champers Girl, Scopics and Ravalli all have the sort of profile that can come at them if the front line gets busy. Lady Shenanigans is the roughie with some sneaky upside if they go hard from the jump and she's the one flying home late. This is very much a 'don't overthink it, but don't get greedy' kind of sprint.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Panic (No.2) — $2.26 / $1.37 🏆 WINNER
Bet $15.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$21.00
Prob 26.2% | Place: 14.7% | Value: 0.75x
Why The barrier is a beaut and the tempo should put him in the catbird seat if he's good enough to hold the line.
2. Champers Girl (No.7) — $6.50 / $2.85 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 20.3% | Place: 12.0% | Value: 1.67x
Why She's the one who can stalk the burn-up and take advantage if they turn it into a proper 1100m dogfight.
3. Scopics (No.5) — $4.90 / $2.30 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 17.6% | Place: 10.7% | Value: 1.09x
Why The price says respect, the map says sit close, and if the leaders go too hard he's right in the mix to finish over the top.
Roughie: Lady Shenanigans (No.3) — $12.00 / $4.40 🏆 6TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.2% | Place: 6.5% | Value: 1.55x
Why If this thing turns into a genuine burn-up and the on-speed types knock each other around, she's the sort that can be landing late like a villain in the last act of a soap opera.
Race type: CLASS 4, 1400m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace; lots of moving parts, plenty of chances for a horse to get the right or wrong run
Punty read: This is the bastard leg of the day. Wal's Angels is the one with the best overall shape, but the race is messy enough that you can make a case for half the field if you're in a generous mood after a couple of coffees. Blow In is the smoky if the pressure rises and the backmarkers get a drag into it, Deepwater Artist is the map horse with the cleanest lane, and Noises is the one with the gear tweak that might wake him up just enough to ruin your afternoon if you leave him out. A Boy Named Soo and Unreal Expectation are the next layer of cover, and if you're not wide enough here, you're basically asking for trouble.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Wal's Angels (No.6) — $5.00 / $2.00 🏆 WINNER
Bet $15.00 Each Way ($7.50W + $7.50P) — ✓ Won, net +$48.75
Prob 16.7% | Place: 37.4% | Value: 1.08x
Why Handy enough to be in the right spot, and the race shape should let her get every possible chance.
2. Deepwater Artist (No.4) — $4.60 / $1.85 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.5% | Place: 35.4% | Value: 0.92x
Why The map says yes, the price says maybe, and the only real knock is that she looks a touch short for the job.
3. Blow In (No.1) — $10.00 / $3.00 🏆 6TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.1% | Place: 30.9% | Value: 1.69x
Why If they overcook it, he's the one who can come late and steal the chocolates when the others are flailing.
Roughie: Noises (No.7) — $15.00 / $3.90 🏆 5TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.6% | Place: 27.7% | Value: 2.25x
Why Gear changes can be a blessing in disguise, and if they spark him up just enough, he's the sort that can blow up a wide-open race.
Race type: CLASS 1, 1200m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace; enough speed to keep it honest, but not so much that it turns into a full-blown demolition
Punty read: Stormy Swey is the one with the fresh gear and the best upside in the race, and I like that the map isn't trying to trap him. Leila Belle is the spicy mare who can absolutely pay you if she gets the right run, while The Contractor and Trooper are the short ones the market will lean on. Heapy's Legacy is the big roughie and I wouldn't be shocked if he outruns a few of the better fancied ones if the race gets compressed and they start turning it into a slog. French Harp is the other sneaky one if he gets out at the right time.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Stormy Swey (No.7) — $7.50 / $2.05 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $15.00 Each Way ($7.50W + $7.50P) — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 20.9% | Place: 37.9% | Value: 2.03x
Why The fresh winkers can light him up, and the shape of the race gives him a proper crack at running over the top of them.
2. Leila Belle (No.8) — $16.00 / $3.40 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 17.7% | Place: 33.9% | Value: 3.66x
Why Massive price for a mare who can absolutely lob into the finish if the speed is genuine and the leaders start to feel it.
3. The Contractor (No.1) — $3.35 / $1.30 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 17.5% | Place: 33.6% | Value: 0.76x
Why Honest and hard to knock, but the market has already made him a bit of a TAB trophy.
Roughie: Heapy's Legacy (No.4) — $14.00 / $3.10 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.5% | Place: 22.3% | Value: 1.90x
Why If they get rolling and the leaders don't get a picnic, he's the sort that can sneak into the finish at a fat number.
Sequence legs are the picks-engine's authoritative choice, rendered from the persisted ticket.
Smart: 8,6,9,3 / 2,7,5 / 6,4,1,7,10 / 7,8,1,5 (240 combos x $0.21 = $50.00) -- 21% flexi
The day's multi leans on three win legs across the card.
1 - Indi Springs (Race 1, No.6)✓ Won — $1.50
2 - Che Ole (Race 4, No.8)✗ — $1.80
3 - Panic (Race 5, No.2)✓ Won — $2.26
Meeting Stats
Selections
Punty's Early Mail
Rightio Loose Units, Bathurst rolls in on a Soft 5 with the rail true, the sun poking its head out, and a stack of money already flying around like everyone's trying to pay off the bloke at the bagman before lunch. It's the sort of card where the map matters, the market is having a proper whack, and a few of these sprints could turn into trench warfare if they go too hard early.
MEET SNAPSHOT
Track: Bathurst, 7 race card
Rail: True
Official going: Soft 5 (expected to play fair-to-onspeed, with the rail usable early)
Weather: Mostly sunny, 18°C, humidity 60%, wind 1km/h SSE (watch for a gently tightening track and inside lanes holding up early)
Early lane guess: Fence-to-one-off lane early should be fine; don't get marooned back in the ruck
Tempo profile: A mix of crawl-and-sprint races with a couple of proper pressure jobs; Race 5 and Race 7 look the most honest, while Race 1 and Race 3 could turn tactical in a hurry
Jockeys to follow:
Jake Pracey-Holmes, keeps popping up on live chances and knows how to ride a map, not just a form line
Clayton Gallagher, handy booking across a few key runners; when he gets the right horse in the right spot, he can make a race look easy
Ms Ellen Hennessy, has a few roughies and leaders in the book; if one of hers gets a soft time, it's worth a look
Stables to respect:
Rob Potter (2 runners), has a couple with map appeal and market support; the yard looks ready to play
S I Singleton (3 runners), multiple live players and a couple of genuine speed-angle runners
M D Griffith (2 runners), the stable has key plays in races that should suit a sensible ride and a clean trip
Punty's take:
This is one of those Bathurst cards where the track can fool you if you get too romantic about backmarkers. Soft 5, true rail, and mostly sunny means it's not a bog, so the leaders and handy types get first rights to the post, especially in the shorter races. If they can control the tempo, they'll be hard to run down; if they overcook it, the swoopers get their moment like the last scene in a Tarantino flick.
The market has been absolutely beavering away in Race 1, Race 5 and Race 7, and that usually tells you the locals and the smart money have had their coffees. Some of the shorties are genuine, some are just expensive, and that's where the fun starts. You're not looking for the prettiest horse here, you're looking for the one that maps cleanly, handles the surface, and doesn't need everything to go right like a Marvel sequel with too many characters.
A couple of stables have proper business on their hands today too. Rob Potter, S I Singleton and M D Griffith all have runners that can shape the meeting, and the jockey bookings are decent enough to keep the edge on the thing. The trick is not to chase every firming runner like a mug at a closing TAB window, some of these moves make sense, some are just smoke. We're here for the ones that can actually win, not the ones that look good on a drift graph.
What it means for you:
Keep your feet on the ground in the races where the favourite is skinny and the map is messy. Race 4 and Race 5 are the sort of deals where the top pick makes sense, but you don't want to be chucking the house at them like you're playing blackjack in Vegas after three schooners. The better money is in the races where the pace story is clear and the right horse gets the right run.
Use the place/each-way angle where the price and map give you a cushion, and let the exotics do the heavy lifting only when the shape is right. Race 6 is the chaos goblin of the day, Race 7 has enough on-speed pressure to make it lively, and Race 1 looks like a market brawl with a tactical sting in the tail. That's where the value lurks, not in blindly backing the shortest quote, but in backing the horse that can actually control its own destiny.