Saturday, 25 April 2026
No more jumps at this meeting today.
Punty's Punts
Race type: Handicap, 1100m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo with Extremely Tempted and Lady Catalina rolling forward; a proper first-leg speed puzzle
Punty read: This is the sort of sprint where the first 300m tells you half the story. Extremely Tempted has the numbers and the natural position to be right there, but Lady Catalina is the sneaky one because the map gives her a crack if they don't go too hard early. Shalash is the kind of mare that can sit just off them and lob into the exotics, while Bangkok Hottie is the old "keep me safe if the leaders get silly" type. I Am Dirty has had a bit of market whisper behind it, but Punty's not treating that as gospel - the price tells you the ring has an opinion, not the truth. It's a race where you don't want to be a hero trying to knock over the horse with the cleanest setup just for the sake of a fancy roughie.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Extremely Tempted (No.1) — $3.85 / $1.45 🏆 3RD
Bet $15.00 Each Way ($7.50W + $7.50P) — Cashed, net -$1.50
Prob 18.6% | Place: 31.6% | Value: 0.85x
Why Finds the front end or sits right on the speed, and in a moderate 1100m affair at Randwick that's as handy as a steak sandwich at the track.
2. Shalash (No.8) — $8.30 / $2.45 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.6% | Place: 27.7% | Value: 1.55x
Why Can sit on speed and be in the right part of the race, but Punty wants a bit more certainty before getting too juicy with the wallet.
3. Bangkok Hottie (No.2) — $6.35 / $2.20 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.4% | Place: 26.0% | Value: 1.09x
Why The second-up profile is handy and the track form says it can run well, but it's not the sort of horse you go full send on in a tight sprint.
Roughie: Lady Catalina (No.7) — $13.75 / $3.50 🏆 5TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.9% | Place: 22.4% | Value: 1.96x
Why The map says she gets a cushy run near the speed; if she lands in the first three with cover, she'll be right in the fight late.
Race type: Handicap, 1400m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo; Enamorada gets the nice run, while Night Agent and Siragusa stalk the speed
Punty read: Enamorada looks the horse they all have to get past, and the market's already had a sniff. Night Agent and Siragusa are the danger runners because they don't need to do the donkey work - just sit in the slipstream and ask late. Deep Pleasure is the map horse if the front bunch isn't asked to overdo it; the kind of runner that can turn up like a bloke who didn't say much all night and then collects the TAB bonus on the way out. Valorous Power is the lunatic roughie - huge price, but the stable's having a crack and the map says it can sneak into the frame if a couple of the blowouts never show up. Open race, but not random if you read the pattern.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Enamorada (No.3) — $3.55 / $1.40 🏆 WINNER
Bet $15.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$43.50
Prob 19.1% | Place: 34.8% | Value: 0.79x
Why Maps to get the perfect stalking run and has the fitness profile to bully this bunch late if the leaders overdo it.
2. Night Agent (No.7) — $5.55 / $2.10 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 16.6% | Place: 35.4% | Value: 1.07x
Why Can sit in the right part of the race and is the obvious one if the speed doesn't go full demolition derby.
3. Siragusa (No.12) — $6.95 / $2.25 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.7% | Place: 37.1% | Value: 1.19x
Why The fit horse in the mix - not flashy, but if the leaders start blowing bubbles late, this one can roll into the finish.
Roughie: Valorous Power (No.2) — $43.50 / $6.50 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 7.9% | Place: 8.4% | Value: 4.00x
Why Tongue tie on, market talking, and if the race shape gets messy he can turn into the sort of bastard that ruins a clean exacta ticket.
Race type: Handicap, 1200m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo, but this is a proper chaos handicap - the map is bunched and the finish could look like a laundry basket
Punty read: Race 3 is exactly the sort of slot where you need a calm head and a strong liver. Wootton Lass has the best blend of position and profile, but she's not a "kill the race" type - she's a place banker in a race where the favourite can absolutely get mugged. Spice Baby and Madrina are the live ones if the pace is clean, while Cantiamo has the gear change to sharpen up but is priced like the stable's already ordered the champagne. Bravissima is the roughie that could make the stewards office smell like burnt toast if the second-up pattern turns the right way. There are enough moving parts here to make a bloke reach for the aspirin before the jump.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Wootton Lass (No.11) — $9.75 / $2.80 🏆 4TH
Bet $15.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 16.2% | Place: 32.2% | Value: 1.87x
Why Maps to sit up near the speed and the place profile is the sort of thing you can actually trust in a throw-the-kitchen-sink race.
2. Spice Baby (No.13) — $6.00 / $2.20 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.4% | Place: 31.1% | Value: 1.10x
Why Honest as a brick shithouse and gets every chance to be in the finish, but the price is skinny enough to make you itchy.
3. Madrina (No.8) — $14.75 / $3.70 🏆 9TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.1% | Place: 27.2% | Value: 2.29x
Why If the race turns into a swooper's nightmare, this is the one that can get the last crack at them.
Roughie: Bravissima (No.3) — $37.50 / $6.00 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 8.4% | Place: 18.7% | Value: 3.75x
Why Second-up form says she's got a pulse, and if the race shape falls in a hole she can absolutely blow the roof off the exotic.
Race type: Handicap, 1200m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo with Midnight Dynamite advantaged, but Call Me Gorgeous and Mogul Monarch are close enough to get every chance
Punty read: Call Me Gorgeous is the market's sweetheart, but Punty's not drooling over the price - the horse has the map and the support, just not a fat enough edge to call it a steal. Mogul Monarch is the roughie with the shape to land the blow: inside gate, big market shove, and the sort of improvement profile that can make a form analyst look clever after the race. Midnight Dynamite is the one that could settle into the softest run of the lot, and Shropshire Lad is the big drifter that still has enough class to stick its head in the frame if the race turns into a grind. This is the sort of leg where the punters who go too skinny can get absolutely mugged by a horse they dismissed as "just okay".
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Call Me Gorgeous (No.9) — $2.33 / $1.30 🏆 3RD
Bet $15.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 16.4% | Place: 33.0% | Value: 0.44x
Why The market's eaten this one up and the map is tidy enough that it can sit in the right spot without burning petrol.
2. Mogul Monarch (No.3) — $9.75 / $2.60 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.7% | Place: 31.9% | Value: 1.78x
Why Drawn to do no work and the big market shove says the stable thinks it's ready to punch a hole in them.
3. Midnight Dynamite (No.2) — $6.95 / $2.15 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.8% | Place: 30.5% | Value: 1.19x
Why Blinkers off and the map says it'll be in the right lane - if the race gets leggy late, this is the one that can swipe a piece.
Roughie: Shropshire Lad (No.12) — $19.00 / $4.00 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.2% | Place: 24.3% | Value: 2.47x
Why Big drift isn't ideal, but if the speed gets honest and the leaders go soft in the middle, this bloke can launch a late run.
Race type: Handicap, 1000m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace; Straand Beauty should be right on the engine and Hay Street can sit in the winning lane
Punty read: The dash over 1000m is where the card can get bloody expensive if you overthink it. Hay Street is the one with the cleanest overall mix of form and position, and in a pure speed battle that's exactly what you want. Compensation is short but not especially sexy at the price, which is the sort of setup that makes people feel clever while their wallet quietly screams. Confidentiality is the useful type - not loud, not shiny, just the sort of horse that can nab a slice if the speed is fierce. The roughie, Confess Our Dreams, has the fresh-up angle and the trial work to make your ears prick - if the leaders overcook it, this one could absolutely come flying like a budget-version Tom Cruise in Top Gun. Straand Beauty is the live improver with the big market shove, and Punty's not blind to that at all.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Hay Street (No.15) — $4.10 / $1.37 🏆 3RD
Bet $15.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 23.5% | Place: 38.0% | Value: 1.13x
Why Maps to stalk the speed and has the right sort of profile for a Randwick dash where position is worth more than a nice story.
2. Compensation (No.12) — $2.25 / $1.22 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 18.6% | Place: 29.5% | Value: 0.49x
Why The on-pace pattern is there, but at that price you're paying for the privilege and then some.
3. Confidentiality (No.13) — $5.35 / $1.55 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.6% | Place: 29.1% | Value: 0.85x
Why Can hold a spot and get the right run, but the price says the market already knows the story.
Roughie: Confess Our Dreams (No.5) — $29.50 / $4.40 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 12.5% | Place: 24.1% | Value: 4.33x
Why Fresh, trialling well, and if the leaders turn this into a burn-up, the roughie can storm over the top like a late cameo in a Marvel movie.
Race type: Benchmark 94, 1800m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo; Zaphod gets the nice stalking ride while Black Run and Rotagilla keep the race honest
Punty read: Zaphod is the sort of horse that sneaks under the guard because he doesn't scream superstar, but the map, the trip and the fitness say he's right in the mix. Black Run is the big-price danger - the kind of runner that looks like a drifter but has the right race shape to bob up if the leaders don't make it a slog. Rotagilla is the sneaky one from the middle, while Our Gold Hope and Fernao are the rough-end of the ledger that can annoy a few exotics if things get weird. This looks like a race where the first three home may not be the first three in the betting, which is exactly the kind of bastard race Punty likes to nick off punters in. The favourite Thrice has the support, but Punty's not sold on the price.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Zaphod (No.2) — $6.65 / $2.20 🏆 7TH
Bet $15.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 18.8% | Place: 14.0% | Value: 1.47x
Why Rock-solid middle-distance type who's fit, maps well and gets the kind of run that wins races like this.
2. Black Run (No.3) — $26.50 / $5.00 🏆 11TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.7% | Place: 11.1% | Value: 4.27x
Why Big drift, sure, but the horse has enough ability to be a proper pain in the arse if the tempo is even.
3. Rotagilla (No.13) — $7.50 / $2.30 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 12.4% | Place: 10.2% | Value: 1.09x
Why Looks the type to get every chance with a decent midfield run and a clean lane to launch.
Roughie: Redstone Well (No.5) — $38.50 / $6.00 🏆 8TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.4% | Place: 8.1% | Value: 4.27x
Why If the pace gets ugly and the leaders start gasping, this one can turn a bad day into a headache for everyone else.
Race type: Handicap, 1500m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo with Cristal Clear and Hellsing likely to control the rhythm from handy spots
Punty read: This is the race where the market and the model are having a proper stoush. Hellsing is the shortener, but Punty's not chomping at the bit to back it as if it's a free square - Cristal Clear has the class and the map to put his hand up, and Depth Of Character is the obvious fresh horse with upside. Maison Louis is the massive roughie that can make the exotics pay if it gets the right run fresh, and Kintyre is the honest old bastard that never seems to be too far away from the action. Caboche is the dark horse on the back of the money, and if it actually turns that support into form, a few heads will be scratching. This is the race that can break a quaddie if you get too cute, or pay you if you had the nerve to stick with your own read instead of following the pub talk.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Cristal Clear (No.1) — $4.15 / $1.55 🏆 3RD
Bet $15.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 18.9% | Place: 37.4% | Value: 0.93x
Why The class runner with the right trip and enough map help to make the favourite sweat.
2. Depth Of Character (No.3) — $11.00 / $3.00 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.7% | Place: 28.2% | Value: 1.78x
Why Fresh horse, strong form line, and the kind of runner that can storm home if the speed isn't a killer.
3. Hellsing (No.10) — $3.75 / $1.50 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.7% | Place: 34.8% | Value: 0.60x
Why The market's got the right idea that it can win, but Punty wants a better return than that for the privilege.
Roughie: Maison Louis (No.2) — $28.50 / $5.00 🏆 6TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 12.3% | Place: 29.0% | Value: 4.14x
Why Resuming with enough upside to be filthy dangerous if the stable has him wound up and the race falls apart late.
Race type: Handicap, 1600m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo; Fiddlers Green and Uzziah get the map help while Poisen Point and Crossbow are looking for the late chop-out
Punty read: Nobler is the market favourite, but the value says "walk away slowly" unless you really like paying overs for a decent profile. Fiddlers Green is the one punters have latched onto and with good reason - the stable's had a sniff, the horse maps okay and the money has been serious. Uzziah is the middle-ground horse that can sit in the right spot and punish the ones who overcommit too early, while Poisen Point and Crossbow are the late swoopers who can absolutely make life miserable if the leaders go too hard. King Pedro is the cheeky roughie that can nick a place if the race turns into a stamina test. This is the sort of mile where the front half of the field can run you a story about "class", while the back half actually tells the truth in the last 200m.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Fiddlers Green (No.5) — $4.10 / $1.75 🏆 4TH
Bet $15.00 Each Way ($7.50W + $7.50P) — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 15.4% | Place: 36.1% | Value: 0.74x
Why The market has already come for it and the map says it's not going to be buried in a hopeless spot.
2. Poisen Point (No.16) — $10.25 / $3.10 🏆 6TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 12.9% | Place: 31.5% | Value: 1.56x
Why The late run is real, and if the leaders start wobbling this one can swoop into the picture.
3. Uzziah (No.1) — $8.95 / $2.80 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 12.1% | Place: 29.8% | Value: 1.27x
Why Handy map, good trip, and enough class to be right there if the race isn't run at a suicidal clip.
Roughie: King Pedro (No.9) — $15.00 / $3.90 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.6% | Place: 24.6% | Value: 1.88x
Why Honest enough to be in the finish if he gets the right cart into the race; not the worst blowout if a couple of others stink it up.
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 1,8,2,7,15 / 3,7,12,5,2 / 11,13,8,6,2 / 9,3,2,12,7 (625 combos x $0.13 = $80.00) -- 13% flexi
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 15,12,13,5 / 2,3,13,11,5 / 1,3,10,2,11 / 5,16,1,9,13,19 (600 combos x $0.11 = $65.00) -- 11% flexi
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 11 / 9 / 15 / 2 / 1 / 5 (1 combos x $2.00 = $2.00) -- 200% flexi
The day's multi leans on three win legs across the card.
1 - Enamorada (Race 2, No.3)✓ Won — $3.55
2 - Hay Street (Race 5, No.15)✗ — $4.10
3 - Cristal Clear (Race 7, No.1)✗ — $4.15
Meeting Stats
Selections
Punty's Early Mail
Rightio Loose Units, Randwick's serving up a Good 4 with a rail out and a bit of a crosswind - not a total minefield, but it's not one of those dead-set picnic meetings either. There's enough speed on the card to keep the shape honest, and a few of the shorties are wearing the "back me at your own peril" tag like a bad NRL jersey sponsor. The money's been hammering a few, but Punty's not here to kiss the favourite's arse - we're here to find the spots where the map, the class, and the market all shake hands.
MEET SNAPSHOT
Track: Randwick, 1000m-1800m card
Rail: +10m 1000m-W/Post, +8m Remainder
Official going: Good 4 (expected to play fair-to-on speed, with horses able to stalk and pounce)
Weather: Mostly sunny, 22°C, humidity 63%, wind 11km/h W (watch for the light crosswind nudging wide runners)
Early lane guess: Slight lean to on-pace runners and anything drawing to hold a spot; wide swoopers will need luck and tempo
Tempo profile: Plenty of moderate races, but the sprint legs should still sort the field out quickly enough that map position matters
Jockeys to follow:
Jason Collett - keeps landing on the right horse in the right race, and he's got a stack of live rides from powerful yards
Tyler Schiller - if he gets cover and a tow into it, he can make the difference in the middle-distance legs
Rachel King - always worth respecting at Randwick when the map gives her a chance to land in the first four
Stables to respect:
Annabel & Rob Archibald (6 runners) - live across the program and dangerous when the money rolls in
C J Waller (8 runners) - proper deep team, plenty of horses that know how to find a lane
Bjorn Baker (5 runners) - when the market supports one of his, it's usually there for a reason
Punty's take: This card's got a classic Randwick flavour: a couple of sprints where the map can make or break you, then the middle-distance races where class and fitness start throwing punches. The rail isn't shoved right on the fence, so I'm not expecting a full-blown bias freakout, but the horses that can settle handy without burning petrol should get every possible chance. That makes the on-speed types in Races 1, 4, 5 and 8 pretty appealing - think less "last man standing", more "who gets the right run at the right time". The market's already had a crack at a few - Cristal Clear, Straand Beauty, Black Run, Caboche - so we know the stable hands are pinging the ring hard.
The real story is the split between the races you can actually map and the ones where you need to survive the chaos. Race 3 and Race 6 are the sort of buggers where you want a bit of cover and a bit of value, because the numbers are bunched and the late swoopers can turn the picnic into Mad Max. Race 7 is the one where the favourite looks beatable at the price, and that's where the day can really light up if the roughie rolls into the frame. Don't get sucked into thinking the biggest drifter is automatically cooked, though - sometimes the bagman is just taking a breath and sometimes the horse is absolutely toast. Your job is to separate the two, not follow every ruckus like it's the final scene in Gladiator.
What it means for you: Play the meeting like a bloke who wants to survive the early chaos and then strike where the shape is cleanest. The short-course races are where barriers and tactical speed matter most, so don't get romantic about backmarkers if they're going to be bailed up and left staring at a wall of tails. In the middle legs, you want horses with a decent turn of foot and a genuine pattern, not just a sexy form string and a prayer. The exotics are live where the top three are tight and the race shape is open - that means box them where the market hasn't nailed the order, and keep the directional stuff for the races where one horse maps to get the perfect sit. And for the love of all things holy, use the place lines when the horse is short enough but the setup says "could get beaten but still hit the frame" - that's where the smart money lives today.