Monday, 22 June 2026
No more jumps at this meeting today.
Punty's Punts
Race type: Maiden, 1500m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo - Incremental gets the perfect sit, Col Du Tourmalet and Pacific Mick will be handy, and Caribbean Thunder has to negotiate the debutant riddle from out wide
Punty read: This is a "who gets the right run" sort of maiden. Incremental looks the one to beat because he maps beautifully and doesn't need to be a superstar to win this. Col Du Tourmalet has the gear switch to sharpen him up and the blinkers could do the trick, but he's no gift at the price. Pacific Mick is the old-fashioned on-speed type that can hang around the money if the track is playing fair, while Caribbean Thunder is the wild one - plenty of gear on, market nibbles, but you don't want to mortgage the house on a first starter in a soft-track maiden unless you're feeling very brave and slightly irresponsible.
Top 3 + Roughie ($20.00 pool)
1. Incremental (No.4) — $1.68 / $1.22 🏆 2ND
Bet $15.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 47.1% | Place: 95.0% | Value: 0.98x
Why He gets the right tempo, the right map, and he's the one with the class edge in a race where a lot of these blokes are still learning how to tie their shoes.
2. Col Du Tourmalet (No.3) — $3.95 / $1.55 🏆 WINNER
Bet $5.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$4.50
Prob 19.1% | Place: 60.0% | Value: 1.15x
Why The blinkers go on and that can wake a horse up in a hurry; if the pace gets muddled and he gets rolling from a handy spot, he can absolutely be in the finish.
3. Pacific Mick (No.6) — $6.55 / $2.10 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 16.9% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 0.81x
Why First-up blinkers in a moderate-speed maiden is the sort of setup that can either make you look clever or like you've been huffing race-day fumes.
Roughie: Caribbean Thunder (No.2) — $12.75 / $3.50 🏆 5TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.1% | Place: 39.9% | Value: 1.56x
Why The market's had a sniff, the stable knows how to ready one, and if the debutant can travel without acting like a busted shopping trolley, he can pinch a cheque.
Race type: Class 1, 1200m
Map & tempo: Genuine speed with One More Bout rolling forward, Tough As Stone suited in the speed picture, and Brass Monkeys trying to make barrier 1 pay from a map that isn't exactly kind
Punty read: This is a good old-fashioned 1200m scrap where the right horse can make the right run look easy. Tough As Stone is the one the formbook and the map both lean to, but Brass Monkeys has been backed and has enough consistency to be dangerous if he gets the fence working for him. Bulla Vinaka is the mud-and-grind type who can lob into the race without being flashy, while Malinga Missile is the sneaky "don't let the drift fool you" runner - he's been forgotten, but the stable might be trying a fresh angle. One More Bout is the roughie with the map sting in his tail, but he's up against it on recent evidence.
Top 3 + Roughie ($20.00 pool)
1. Tough As Stone (No.2) — $2.15 / $1.25 🏆 WINNER
Bet $15.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$17.25
Prob 40.0% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 1.04x
Why He's got the early toe to sit in the right spot and the race shape looks tailor-made for a horse who can press the button when the pressure lifts.
2. Brass Monkeys (No.1) — $3.62 / $1.70 🏆 2ND
Bet $5.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$7.00
Prob 17.5% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 0.77x
Why The money's come for him and you can see why - solid enough form, blinkers off, and he can tuck in along the rail without burning the house down.
3. Bulla Vinaka (No.4) — $6.40 / $2.40 🏆 5TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.3% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.11x
Why The soft track and the race tempo can help him hang around, and he's the type who doesn't need the race run to suit perfectly to bob up late.
Roughie: One More Bout (No.7) — $12.25 / $4.00 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.9% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.72x
Why He'll be right up there trying to control things, but if he burns too much petrol early he'll be a sitting duck late - still, in this game, pace can make a liar out of everyone.
Race type: Maiden, 1100m
Map & tempo: Slow tempo, which is always a sneaky trap in maiden sprints - if they dawdle, the on-speed types get first crack and the swoopers are left chasing air like they're in a bad action movie
Punty read: This is one of those races where the early pace could turn the whole thing into a tactical chess match. Divine Timing is the natural leader-type and the cross-over nose band says the stable wants him to focus and do his job. Home Missile and Monocru are the ones with enough quality to capitalise if the race turns into a late scramble, while Thronebound is the honest type who keeps showing up and probably deserves another look. Charon is the one the market has sniffed, with the tongue tie first time and a firming ticket, but he's not being asked to carry the whole shop here.
Top 3 + Roughie ($11.00 pool)
1. Divine Timing (No.11) — $3.27 / $1.30 🏆 WINNER
Bet $8.50 Each Way ($4.25W + $4.25P) — ✓ Won, net +$13.17
Prob 24.8% | Place: 66.7% | Value: 0.79x
Why He can control the race if he lands cleanly, and in a crawl-and-sprint affair that's worth its weight in gold-plated betting tickets.
2. Home Missile (No.8) — $3.35 / $1.35 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 19.2% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 0.77x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Monocru (No.12) — $5.15 / $1.65 🏆 8TH
Bet $2.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$2.50
Prob 17.8% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 0.69x
Why The backmarker profile is handy if they overdo the early work, and he's the sort who can mow a few down if the tempo finally wakes up.
Roughie: Denise's Gal (No.7) — $14.75 / $3.30 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 5.3% | Place: 35.0% | Value: 0.96x
Why The gear change and the market whisper say they're trying to sharpen her up, but she'd still need the race to fall apart a touch to get the chocolates.
Race type: Maiden, 1300m
Map & tempo: Moderate tempo with Fortythreebeans and Corio Willow the big map beneficiaries, while Reinczech and Harlem Tickle are the ones who can fill the frame if the favourite gets cluttered up
Punty read: This is the race where you don't want to get cute. Fortythreebeans has been smashed in betting, draws to do no work, gets a nose roll, and has the kind of profile that says "just back me and move on". Reinczech is the interesting newcomer with the ear muffs on - if the penny drops, he can be right in the mix. Corio Willow maps perfectly and is the sort of horse that can nag into the finish when the leaders start looking at each other, while Harlem Tickle is the classic rough exotics bloke: good enough to frighten the placegetters, but punting him on the nose feels like asking for a slap across the face.
Top 3 + Roughie ($20.50 pool)
1. Fortythreebeans (No.3) — $1.31 / $1.03 🏆 WINNER
Bet $6.50 Win — ✓ Won, net +$2.05
Prob 50.3% | Place: 95.0% | Value: 0.91x
Why He's got the map, the market, and the right race shape - if this thing gets beaten, the steering wheel's fallen off.
2. Reinczech (No.4) — $8.20 / $1.75 🏆 3RD
Bet $10.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$7.50
Prob 11.8% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.20x
Why First-time ear muffs on a debutant can be the spark, and in a soft-track maiden this is exactly the sort of horse that can sneak into the placings without showing too much early swagger.
3. Corio Willow (No.9) — $11.00 / $2.15 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $4.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$4.00
Prob 11.8% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 1.12x
Why The map is pure honey for her - she should get every chance to camp in the right spot and have the last crack when the whips come out.
Roughie: Harlem Tickle (No.10) — $11.00 / $2.05 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.8% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.96x
Why Quietly the sneaky one if the race gets messy late; he's got enough go-forward to sit in the right lane and enough stamina to pick up the pieces.
Race type: Benchmark 58, 1500m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace but a proper scrap - Own Them, Jalmari, Ken'ker and Think I'm Irish are all in the same postcode, and if they go at each other early this becomes a dig-in-your-heels sort of race
Punty read: Here's your headache race of the day. This is the sort of 1500m benchmark where one horse can look a beauty on paper and still get burped out of the wrong part of the run. Own Them is the one with the best blend of map and soft-track experience, though the weight rise isn't exactly a picnic. Jalmari is the real "could be the one" horse if the race shape lands right, but that barrier says you'll probably need a bit of luck and a decent call from the hoop. Think I'm Irish has the right profile to run on and probably deserves to keep punching, while Hinune is the roughie with a few smoke signals around him if the blinkers can wake him up. This is not the race to be a mug punter in - you'll get punished for falling in love with a shiny price.
Top 3 + Roughie ($18.00 pool)
1. Own Them (No.1) — $7.75 / $2.30 🏆 5TH
Bet $11.50 Each Way ($5.75W + $5.75P) — ✗ Lost, net -$11.50
Prob 13.9% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.33x
Why He gets a workable map, handles the soft, and this is the sort of race where a horse that can sit midfield and keep grinding can absolutely mug the flashy types.
2. Jalmari (No.3) — $7.20 / $2.35 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.9% | Place: 39.9% | Value: 1.23x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Think I'm Irish (No.7) — $6.75 / $2.30 🏆 4TH
Bet $6.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$6.50
Prob 13.9% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.16x
Why Honest as the day is long, and if the race turns into a slog he's one of the blokes you'll still be looking at late.
Roughie: Hinune (No.5) — $13.75 / $3.50 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.7% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.79x
Why The blinkers again are the little nudge that says connections are trying to squeeze a bit more out of him; if the race gets ugly, he can sneak into the minors.
Race type: Benchmark 58, 2145m
Map & tempo: Slow tempo, which usually means the race turns into a test of patience and timing - Reel Crystal is the one likely to be in the sweet spot, while the others have to manage the rhythm and the rise in weight
Punty read: This is a grind, not a sprint. Reel Crystal has the fitness, the map, and the right sort of form to be the horse they all chase, but the price is skinny enough that you want to know exactly why you're on. Justifiably is the one with enough class to be there when it counts, especially with the blinkers off and visors on - if the stable thinks that'll settle him, that matters. My Greek God is the value shout: awkward draw, yes, but the soft ground and the staying trip can turn the race into a war of attrition, which is where this bloke can keep chipping away like a bloke sanding a deck in winter. It Is To Be is the roughie with the staying profile, but the weight rise says he needs the stars to line up.
Top 3 + Roughie ($16.50 pool)
1. Reel Crystal (No.6) — $2.65 / $1.35 🏆 WINNER
Bet $7.50 Win — ✓ Won, net +$12.38
Prob 23.2% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 0.78x
Why He maps to travel well in a race that should be run at a crawl, and if he can keep the rhythm he looks the one with the cleanest path to victory.
2. My Greek God (No.1) — $9.45 / $2.80 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.9% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.43x
Why A real chance — but at $2.80 the place he's not a saver, he's a punt, and that's not a price I insure at. Watching, not betting.
3. Justifiably (No.2) — $7.25 / $2.40 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $9.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$9.00
Prob 11.9% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.10x
Why The gear change is worth a look and he has enough staying ability to make life hard for the ones who weaken late.
Roughie: It Is To Be (No.3) — $11.00 / $3.30 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.6% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.34x
Why If this turns into a pure stamina contest and the tempo stays sleepy, he can hang around long enough to nick a cheque.
Race type: Benchmark 66, 1300m
Map & tempo: Genuine speed with Tommy Flyer likely to roll forward, Ronny Rock Art the big market mover with a tricky draw, and Butterfly Style / Tiger Town poised to get their chance if the leaders overcook it
Punty read: This is the race where the bookies can make or lose a few dinners. Tommy Flyer is the reliable type who keeps finding, and if the speed doesn't get silly he's the obvious one to beat. Butterfly Style is the honest on-pace operator who can absorb pressure and keep coming, while Win The Day is the sort who can jump into the frame if the tempo is honest and the rail isn't a death trap. Tiger Town is the roughie with the swooper's road map - if they go too hard, he can come charging late like the credit card bill after a big Saturday. Ronny Rock Art has had a monster shove in the market, but barrier 14 in a genuine pace race is a nasty little assignment.
Top 3 + Roughie ($10.50 pool)
1. Tommy Flyer (No.6) — $4.70 / $1.70 🏆 7TH
Bet $8.00 Each Way ($4.00W + $4.00P) — ✗ Lost, net -$8.00
Prob 16.2% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 0.96x
Why The map and the soft form line up well enough that he gets every chance to stick his nose out when it matters.
2. Butterfly Style (No.3) — $5.60 / $2.00 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.3% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.01x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Win The Day (No.11) — $5.35 / $2.05 🏆 5TH
Bet $2.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$2.50
Prob 14.3% | Place: 60.0% | Value: 0.96x
Why Honest and adaptable, and if the pace is genuine enough he can stalk them into the race without doing too much early work.
Roughie: Tiger Town (No.16) — $10.80 / $3.30 🏆 8TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.4% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.27x
Why If the speed gets ugly, he's the one swooping late when the others are already holding on with their teeth.
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 3,4,9,10 / 1,7,3 / 6,2,1,3 / 6,3,11,16 (192 combos x $0.13 = $25.00) -- 13% flexi
The day's multi leans on three win legs across the card.
1 - Incremental (Race 1, No.4)✗ — $1.68
2 - Tough As Stone (Race 2, No.2)✓ Won — $2.15
3 - Fortythreebeans (Race 4, No.3)✓ Won — $1.31
Meeting Stats
Selections
Punty's Early Mail
Rightio Loose Units, Goulburn's serving up a Soft 6 with the rail out 7m and that's the sort of card where the map matters more than the bloke in the pub who's had three schooners and reckons he can "see the winner". We've got a couple of standouts, a few shorties with a few nerves, and enough chaos in the middle and late races to keep the degenerates honest.
MEET SNAPSHOT
Track: Goulburn, 1200m-2145m card
Rail: +7m Entire
Official going: Soft 6 (expected to play a touch tactical early, then fair if the track chops out)
Weather: Partly cloudy, 11°C, humidity 68%, gusty enough to keep the anoraks on (watch for cold air, a bit of sting in the ground, and the odd late track niggle)
Early lane guess: Slight on-pace lean early, but don't get married to the rail all day
Tempo profile: A mixed bag - Race 3 looks like a crawl, Race 5 and Race 7 are proper speed puzzles, and the quaddie has one banker and three "hold your breath" legs
Jockeys to follow:
Braith Nock - gets the key leg-ups on Incremental and Home Missile, and he's got that handy provincial touch where he doesn't waste a stride
Ms Alysha Collett - lands on a few the market respects, and she can put a horse in the right spot without turning it into a rodeo
Jean Van Overmeire - honest hoops with a good feel for these tactical soft-track races, especially when there's a bit of pressure up front
Stables to respect:
Annabel & Rob Archibald (5 runners) - multiple live chances across the card, and their types are finding the right races with the right maps
Scott Collings (3 runners) - has a couple of runners being backed and a sneaky one or two that fit the shape of their races
Matthew Smith (2 runners) - two types who look suited by the soft ground and the staying/middle-distance grind
Punty's take:
This meeting has got a bit of a "last man standing" vibe about it. Goulburn on a Soft 6 with the rail out is rarely a day for heroes charging home from the car park - you want the horse that can sit handy, breathe easy, and keep finding when the pressure goes on. That's why Race 4 jumps off the page as the banker: Fortythreebeans has the map, the market, and the kind of profile that says "these are my conditions, thanks very much".
But the rest of the card is more like trying to pick your way through a scene from Mad Max. Race 5 is messy as all hell, Race 7 has a genuine speed battle, and even the maidens have a few head-scratchers with gear changes and market moves flying around. The market is latching onto a few of them - Fortythreebeans, Divine Timing, Sahara Splash, Ronny Rock Art - but not every shove is gospel. Some of these are being backed because they deserve it, others because the punters have seen a blinkers change and gone feral like it's the last pie at the MCG.
What it means for you:
Don't come in here swinging at everything like a drunk uncle at trivia. This is a day to lean into the races where the map is clean and the horse has a reason to win, then protect yourself where the card turns ugly. Race 4 is your anchor. Race 2 and Race 6 are the "professional" races where the right play is to back the horse with the best blend of form, map, and softness handling. Race 5 and Race 7 are where you keep the stakes sensible and let the place plays do some of the heavy lifting.
If you're playing the quaddie, treat it like a celebration ticket, not a mortgage application. One banker, one decent anchor, and two legs where you can survive the rough weather. On the straight win bets, the game plan is simple: don't force unders where the value's gone missing, and don't ignore a horse just because it's not sexy. Goulburn loves a horse that can keep rolling when the pressure comes on - think old-school Rocky, not a fireworks display.