Monday, 22 June 2026
No more jumps at this meeting today.
Punty's Punts
Race type: Maiden, 800m
Map & tempo: Genuine speed with Nucleaire cutting at it; the short course pressure should be fierce and the first few across the line will have to handle the slop.
Punty read: This is exactly the sort of race that turns decent form into soup. Blue Biddy is the favourite, but the real story is whether Harry can track the pace without getting buried and whether Billabong Brave handles all the gear fiddling. Nucleaire has been heavily backed and the money says someone has seen enough to forgive the last run. In a small sprint on Heavy 10, the horse that gets the cheapest run often wins the argument before the straight even starts.
Top 3 + Roughie ($17.00 pool)
1. Blue Biddy (No.10) — $2.88 / $1.35 🏆 WINNER
Bet $5.50 Win — ✓ Won, net +$18.15
Prob 24.3% | Place: 95.0% | Value: 0.83x
Why The one they have to hold out if the map works as expected, and he's got the right sort of profile to be right in the finish despite the muck.
2. Harry (No.4) — $4.20 / $1.55 🏆 4TH
Bet $8.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$8.50
Prob 17.4% | Place: 95.0% | Value: 0.63x
Why He's been snagged by the market and the gear changes scream 'we mean business'. If he can slot in without doing extra work, he'll be there when the whips go back in the holster.
3. Billabong Brave (No.2) — $5.45 / $1.95 SCR
Bet $3.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net +$0.00
Prob 15.3% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 0.94x
Why First-time gear all over him, which is a bit of a hail Mary, but in maidens that can be the difference between never going a yard and suddenly finding a leg.
Roughie: The Fire Inside (No.13) — $18.50 / $4.40 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 3.8% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.49x
Why If the leaders cook each other and the race turns into a dogfight, he's one of the few who can poke through late and pinch a slice of the money.
Race type: Maiden, 1300m
Map & tempo: Moderate speed with a few handy types in front; the gate is everything and the race shape says the first clean run is worth its weight in beer money.
Punty read: Redaluca Girl has been knocking on the door and keeps getting the job done well enough to be in the frame. Tarrant County has been backed like the men in the shed know something, but the heavy going and the price mean we're not throwing extra chips at him. Peninhand and Moon Treaty are the sort of honest grinders that can run into the placings if the race becomes a war of attrition, and that's exactly what these country maidens on a bog can become. It's not pretty, but neither is watching your bloke get bailed up and never see daylight.
Top 3 + Roughie ($10.00 pool)
1. Redaluca Girl (No.11) — $3.45 / $1.45 🏆 2ND
Bet $10.00 Each Way ($5.00W + $5.00P) — Cashed, net -$1.50
Prob 18.7% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.94x
Why The stable's kept her rolling along nicely and she's the sort who can keep grinding when others start coughing up mud.
2. Tarrant County (No.15) — $4.40 / $1.70 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 17.3% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.07x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Peninhand (No.10) — $5.90 / $2.15 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.2% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.83x
Why Honest enough, but the heavy track and the pressure pattern make this feel like a bloke who'll run on rather than crack it open.
Roughie: Tuscanado (No.14) — $40.00 / $6.50 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 1.1% | Place: 1.0% | Value: 0.74x
Why Needs everything to fall in a heap and then some, but if the pace turns ugly and the leaders fold, he's the kind of ratbag that can sneak into the exotics.
Race type: Maiden, 1100m
Map & tempo: Moderate speed with a few pace influences; the inside-to-mid map is handy, but this is still a race where one bad kick can send you to the showers.
Punty read: Balladoran gets the nod because he should be able to settle in the right part of the race and keep producing when the others start slipping around. Thirty Degrees has the class profile and can hang around for a place, while Ruairi is the sort that punters will forgive because the form says he's not far away and the market agrees enough to keep him honest. Jack The Boss is the roughie in the sense that he can run well without actually being a bet - that's country maiden life, mate, a bit like getting invited to a barbecue and being told to bring your own snags.
Top 3 + Roughie ($17.50 pool)
1. Balladoran (No.4) — $3.25 / $1.37 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $7.50 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$7.50
Prob 25.7% | Place: 95.0% | Value: 1.01x
Why The kind of horse that can sit in the sweet spot and make the others feel like they're running uphill in a bag of wet cement.
2. Thirty Degrees (No.10) — $3.75 / $1.55 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $6.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$6.50
Prob 18.3% | Place: 66.7% | Value: 0.98x
Why Honest, battle-hardened, and looks the right type to be rattling home late when the tempo starts to hurt.
3. Ruairi (No.16) — $4.95 / $1.90 🏆 3RD
Bet $3.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$3.15
Prob 18.2% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 1.17x
Why The market's trimmed him, and on this ground that usually means he's got the right sort of engine to keep churning.
Roughie: Jack The Boss (No.8) — $13.75 / $3.60 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 5.5% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.84x
Why If the inside runners get tangled and the race opens right up, he can run into a slice from the back end.
Race type: Class 1, 1600m
Map & tempo: Genuine speed with a leader in Himeros; the mile on a wet deck should punish the ones who overcook it early and reward the horses that can sit just off the fumes.
Punty read: Exorbitant Miss is the one that looks best placed to handle the conditions and still find enough at the end, even if the map doesn't hand her a soft cuddle. The Confidante is the danger because the pace should give him every chance to stalk and pounce. Himeros is a hard watch at the price and Compadre is the sort of horse that can surprise when the race falls into his lap, but this is not the race to get too cute. It's a mile slog, not a karaoke contest - if you don't stay, you're gone.
Top 3 + Roughie ($18.50 pool)
1. Exorbitant Miss (No.10) — $2.68 / $1.30 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $9.50 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$9.50
Prob 18.8% | Place: 39.9% | Value: 0.66x
Why She's fit enough, classy enough, and the sort who can keep her feet when the others are turning to soup.
2. The Confidante (No.7) — $4.95 / $1.75 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $9.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$9.00
Prob 17.4% | Place: 35.0% | Value: 1.12x
Why Maps to get a perfect run just off the speed, which is exactly where you want to be when the leaders start folding like a deck chair.
3. Himeros (No.14) — $8.85 / $2.60 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 12.5% | Place: 33.9% | Value: 1.44x
Why Can take them a long way if left alone, but on this ground and at this price he's more of a watch than a wager.
Roughie: Compadre (No.5) — $9.35 / $2.50 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 12.5% | Place: 33.9% | Value: 1.52x
Why If he gets the right trail and the favourite gets out of its lane, he's the sort that can sneak into the finish and ruin a few multis.
Race type: Benchmark 58, 800m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace with Too Darn Lovely and Taormina Sailor the main speed players; in a four-runner sprint, position is half the battle and the rest is pure nerve.
Punty read: Too Darn Lovely is the banker, full stop. In a little race like this, you either trust the obvious or you spend the afternoon trying to explain why you backed a 4-horse field and still got it wrong. Broken Wings and Torendosetta can run well enough, but the favourite looks the one with the cleanest script. It's like the Avengers showing up and the other three blokes are just hoping to get a speaking line.
Top 3 + Roughie ($13.50 pool)
1. Too Darn Lovely (No.2) — $1.85 / $1.25 🏆 4TH
Bet $8.50 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$8.50
Prob 46.1% | Place: 66.7% | Value: 1.04x
Why Drawn sweet, maps sweet, and should have enough zip to control the race or sit right on the throttle.
2. Taormina Sailor (No.3) — $3.95 / $2.05 🏆 WINNER
Bet $5.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$7.50
Prob 18.7% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 0.91x
Why Honest enough, but the little field means there's nowhere to hide and not enough juice in the price.
3. Broken Wings (No.7) — $4.40 / $1.95 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 18.7% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 1.01x
Why Can run on if the favourite overdoes it, but the setup screams 'watch and enjoy' more than 'empty the wallet'.
Roughie: Torendosetta (No.10) — $4.90 / $2.30 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 16.5% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.99x
Why The danger if Too Darn Lovely ever blinks, but in a four-runner knife fight she needs the race to turn weird.
Race type: Benchmark 66, 1300m
Map & tempo: Moderate speed with a few forward types and a couple of backmarkers trying to swoop from the moon; the leaders should get their chance, but the closing pair can still lob if the speed is honest.
Punty read: Apache Jack is the one I want on top because he gets the map and the sort of tempo that lets him stay in the fight without being forced to do silly things early. Cumnock is the price horse who can grind into the money if the track turns into a stamina test, while Extreme Merger and Mrs Bull are the sort of ones you can respect without wanting to mortgage the house. Wolf Club is the roughie who can clatter into the exotics if the race falls apart, but he's not the sort I'm rushing to throw in the trolley.
Top 3 + Roughie ($10.50 pool)
1. Apache Jack (No.8) — $4.90 / $1.85 🏆 3RD
Bet $7.50 Each Way ($3.75W + $3.75P) — Cashed, net -$0.38
Prob 17.2% | Place: 39.9% | Value: 1.09x
Why Drawn to get the right run, sharp enough to matter, and the sort of map horse you want when the track is chewing boot leather.
2. Extreme Merger (No.12) — $3.38 / $1.40 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 17.2% | Place: 37.6% | Value: 0.75x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Cumnock (No.2) — $8.90 / $2.45 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $3.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$3.00
Prob 12.3% | Place: 39.9% | Value: 1.43x
Why Wet-ground grinder who can keep bowling along when the others start looking for the esky.
Roughie: Wolf Club (No.5) — $9.90 / $2.70 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.9% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.28x
Why If the front-end gets cooked and the race turns into a drag race in mud, he's the one who can make the loudest late noise.
Race type: Benchmark 58, 1100m
Map & tempo: Genuine speed with My Crown likely to roll forward and plenty of pace pressure around him; this is a proper 1100m scrap where the winners are usually the ones who get the cleanest sit.
Punty read: Rothgate gets the nod because he maps like a horse that can camp just off the speed and get the first crack when the race starts to unravel. City Gold Speed has been supported and the money says they've seen something, but the heavy track and awkward pattern make him a bit of a watch. Midnight Rabble and Line Of Law can land in the placings if the speed collapses, though this feels more like a race where the winner emerges from the least bad trip rather than some magical burst from nowhere. Think The Mandalorian, but with mud - the helmet stays on and the clean run wins.
Top 3 + Roughie ($10.50 pool)
1. Rothgate (No.1) — $4.95 / $1.95 🏆 3RD
Bet $10.50 Each Way ($5.25W + $5.25P) — ✓ Won, net +$6.82
Prob 16.0% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.05x
Why Maps beautifully to stalk the speed and should get every opportunity if the leaders start cooking themselves.
2. City Gold Speed (No.8) — $3.72 / $1.60 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.1% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.69x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Midnight Rabble (No.11) — $4.10 / $1.75 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.1% | Place: 35.0% | Value: 0.77x
Why Can finish off okay, but he's the sort you want in the quartet, not necessarily as a straight bet.
Roughie: Line Of Law (No.2) — $14.00 / $3.70 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 5.6% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.04x
Why If the front-runners go too hard and the track turns the race into a survival trial, he's the one who can charge home late.
Race type: Benchmark 58, 1100m
Map & tempo: Genuine speed with Adviser likely to take up the running; a dozen or so chances, a few nasty gates, and enough moving parts to make your head hurt before the race even jumps.
Punty read: Invincible Salex is the one I'm happiest to trust in the final leg because he gets the right shape of race and can sit in that sweet spot just behind the heat. Battle Reign has a legit claim if the race gets messy, while Hanuman and Adviser are there to make life difficult for anyone trying to play it safe. This is the sort of race where one cleanly-ridden horse beats four better-looking ones because the bog does what the bog does. If this race were a movie, it'd be Mad Max with more yelling and less petrol.
Top 3 + Roughie ($10.50 pool)
1. Invincible Salex (No.2) — $6.35 / $2.35 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $10.50 Each Way ($5.25W + $5.25P) — ✗ Lost, net -$10.50
Prob 13.7% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.13x
Why The map gives him a proper crack, and the race shape should let him land in the right lane when it matters.
2. Battle Reign (No.11) — $7.35 / $2.50 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.7% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.30x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Hanuman (No.7) — $3.98 / $1.75 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.1% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.57x
Why There's enough talent there to go close, but the setup is more 'possible' than 'punt of the day'.
Roughie: Adviser (No.3) — $10.75 / $3.40 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 6.5% | Place: 33.9% | Value: 0.91x
Why Could pinch it if he gets loose in front and the others are too busy looking at each other.
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 10,4,2 / 11,15,10 / 4,10,16,8 / 10,7,14,5 (144 combos x $0.17 = $25.00) -- 17% flexi
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 2,3,7 / 8,12,2,5 / 1,8,11,2 / 2,7,11,3 (192 combos x $0.17 = $32.00) -- 17% flexi
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 4 / 10 / 2 / 8 / 1 / 2 (1 combos x $2.00 = $2.00) -- 200% flexi
The day's multi leans on three win legs across the card.
1 - Balladoran (Race 3, No.4) — $3.25
2 - Exorbitant Miss (Race 4, No.10) — $2.68
3 - Too Darn Lovely (Race 5, No.2)✗ — $1.85
Meeting Stats
Selections
Punty's Early Mail
Rightio Loose Units, Narromine's serving up a Heavy 10 and the sort of card that can make a smart punter look like a genius or a total goose in the space of one bad stride. We've got 8 races, a stack of scratchings, and enough mud on the track to give Shrek the shits. The early races are proper scramble-town, but once the card settles into the middle legs, the map starts doing the heavy lifting and a few of these leaders and handy sitters get their chance to strut.
MEET SNAPSHOT
Track: Narromine, 800m to 1600m card
Rail: +4m 900m-300m; True Remainder
Official going: Heavy 10 (expected to play like a survival test with inside-to-mid lanes favoured early)
Weather: Partly cloudy, 14°C, humidity 56%, wind 11km/h S (watch for a bit of sting out of the track but not enough to bail you out)
Early lane guess: Inside and midfield lanes should be the happy place early; wide runs in the sprints could be a proper tax
Tempo profile: Plenty of genuine speed in the shorties, then a few races where the pressure drops and the map matters more than the stopwatch
Jockeys to follow:
Ms Jess Del Frari(a1.5/52kg), gets light claims and keeps landing on runners who can roll along or control the speed
Jake Pracey-Holmes, all over the better maps, and he's got a couple of live rides where the button can be pushed at the right time
Ms Anna Weatherlake(a3/52kg), the claim is handy on a bog, and she's on enough chances to matter
Stables to respect:
Brett Thompson (11 runners), has runners everywhere and a few of them are right in the mix
Ms M Harrison (4 runners), the stable can prick a few ears when the money arrives and the map suits
Kylie Kennedy (4 runners), not here to muck about, with a couple who can nick a result if the race opens up
Punty's take: This meeting feels like a wet-weather pub brawl: a few clean maps, a few horses slipping over their own shoelaces, and a heap of punters getting seduced by prices that look sexy but are actually trouble with a capital T. The first three races are where the chaos merchants live - maidens on a Heavy 10 are a cruel joke, like trying to do a sprint in thongs through a car wash. But the middle of the card gives us a couple of proper anchors: Race 4 has a fit, classy sort that can handle the slog, Race 5 is a little four-horse mug's game with a clear banker, and Race 7/8 turn into one of those races where the late move on the tote can tell you more than half the form guide.
The key is not getting seduced by every roughie with a cute price tag. On this deck, the map and the mud form are worth their weight in gold coins, and a few of these runners have been backed like the stable boys have doubled down on their lunch money. When the market leans in, I lean in - but when a horse is drifting like a busted dinghy in the harbour, I'm not pretending I'm smarter than the ring. That's how you end up funding someone else's holiday in Bali.
What it means for you: Keep the early mail tight and practical. Races 1 to 3 are the kind of legs where you want to protect yourself, not try to win the Brownlow. Race 5 is your cleanest banker, so it's the spine of the day and the best place to get aggressive if you're having a swing. The quaddie and Big 6 are entertainment with a side of pain unless the heavy track throws up a few surprises, so don't go full Spaceballs and blast the whole bank on the notion that chaos somehow equals value.
If you're playing the straight bets, stick to the horses with a clear map edge, the right gear tweaks, and a genuine reason to improve on wet ground. If you're chasing exotics, only play the pre-built lanes and treat the wide legs like they owe you money - because they probably do. The day should reward patience, not greed. Get the bank rolling early, then let the mud do the rest.