Saturday, 20 June 2026
No more jumps at this meeting today.
Punty's Punts
Race type: BM78, 2500m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace with Fiora Blue likely rolling along; Kirkliston Blu and My Uncle Did It should land handy, while the backmarkers will be hoping the speed doesn't turn the race into a mud wrestling contest.
Punty read: This is a proper staying test and the wet ground is going to make the honest types shine. Kirkliston Blu has the right profile - consistent, fit, and the market has already shown its hand. Harsh is the favourite but he's too short for the mug around this joint, and Wuddzz is the kind of horse that can keep coming if the race falls apart late. Jaykayann is the smoky with the blinkers again, but the long way home in Heavy 10 conditions is a brutal way to earn a crust.
Top 3 + Roughie ($19.50 pool)
1. Kirkliston Blu (No.1) — $7.10 / $2.25 🏆 9TH
Bet $12.00 Each Way ($6.00W + $6.00P) — ✗ Lost, net -$12.00
Prob 14.9% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 1.29x
Why He's the one who looks built for the slog - wet form in the book, a decent draw, and the market support says the money people have had a sniff too.
2. Harsh (No.6) — $2.55 / $1.32 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.4% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.45x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Wuddzz (No.3) — $8.90 / $2.50 🏆 WINNER
Bet $7.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$11.25
Prob 13.7% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 1.48x
Why The backmarker angle is live if they overdo it up front, and the heavy stats say he's no stranger to a wet slog. He can clunk into the finish when the leaders are reaching for the oxygen.
Roughie: Jaykayann (No.4) — $10.00 / $2.60 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.2% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 1.37x
Why Blinkers again and the heavy record is tasty, but he needs the race to unfold his way. If the speed collapses, he's got a path; if not, he's just another bloke in gumboots.
Race type: Maiden Plate, 1050m
Map & tempo: Hot pace - Scooped, Trade Game and Torpedoes are likely to make this feel like a fire drill from the jump; if you don't have a plan early, you're cooked.
Punty read: This is a messy little bastard of a sprint and the Heavy 10 makes it even more brutal. Street Legal is the favourite, but he's still got to navigate a hairy map and a wide gate. Power Dancer has the right sort of profile to keep improving, Grand Millesime has the wet and class blend, and Torpedoes is the horse that can hang around long enough to pinch a place if the leaders go too hard. Et Tu Kirkliston is the classic maiden roughie - not much to trust, but enough to make you blink twice if the race gets ugly.
Top 3 + Roughie ($22.50 pool)
1. Street Legal (No.7) — $3.55 / $1.65 🏆 2ND
Bet $17.50 Each Way ($8.75W + $8.75P) — Cashed, net -$3.06
Prob 22.6% | Place: 66.7% | Value: 0.68x
Why He's the obvious class horse, but the alley and the pace mean he's not getting a picnic. Still, if he finds a slot, the others need to be good to beat him.
2. Power Dancer (No.5) — $6.35 / $2.40 🏆 8TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.3% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.36x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Torpedoes (No.17) — $7.80 / $2.75 🏆 3RD
Bet $5.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$9.50
Prob 14.3% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.98x
Why Blinkers off and the market hasn't hated him. If the tempo turns into a suicidal burn-up, he can hang on for a slice.
Roughie: Et Tu Kirkliston (No.2) — $26.00 / $5.50 🏆 6TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 3.8% | Place: 28.4% | Value: 1.41x
Why Barely any body of work, but barrier 3 in a hot maiden can be a sneaky path to the placings if he jumps and the others are busy tripping over each other.
Race type: BM80, 1200m
Map & tempo: Hot tempo with The Stalker, Jacks On Ice and From The Block likely strung out on the speed; this is exactly the sort of race where the first half looks like a highlight reel and the last 200m looks like a crime scene.
Punty read: From The Block is the one the model keeps coming back to, and you can see why - inside gate, good wet record, and he can help himself by being in the right spot. Jacks On Ice has the map but the weight trend isn't a gift, while The Stalker is the honest on-speed type who can stick around if the leaders don't go full lunatic. Komachi and Ginger Sinner are the sort of runners who can pick up the pieces if the tempo turns savage.
Top 3 + Roughie ($16.00 pool)
1. From The Block (No.10) — $3.70 / $1.60 🏆 4TH
Bet $9.50 Each Way ($4.75W + $4.75P) — ✗ Lost, net -$9.50
Prob 16.7% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.79x
Why He's got the inside run, proven heavy form, and a map that should keep him out of the worst of the traffic. In this sort of lane, that's worth its weight in beers.
2. Jacks On Ice (No.5) — $4.75 / $1.85 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.8% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.90x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Komachi (No.1) — $13.75 / $3.70 🏆 10TH
Bet $6.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$6.50
Prob 5.0% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 0.89x
Why The draw is a massive help and he has the sort of wet-track profile that can sneak a place if the race opens up late.
Roughie: Ginger Sinner (No.4) — $10.50 / $3.20 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.3% | Place: 60.0% | Value: 1.52x
Why Honest type, good enough form, and if the leaders are chopping each other to bits, he'll be there to gobble up the crumbs.
Race type: BM68, 1600m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace with Pierroplane likely to roll along; Zentorno and Orlova sit back and wait, which is exactly the sort of setup where the backmarkers can get a sniff if the tempo's honest.
Punty read: The market has absolutely latched onto Orlova, but I'm not keen enough to follow that money at the price. Zentorno is the better horse for the shape of the race and the heavy footing, while Pierroplane is the sneaky place play if he gets his own rhythm out front. Darci Lane won on debut and looks the sort who might keep improving, but this is a far cry from a soft little maiden win - it's now a proper hands-on trial in the slop.
Top 3 + Roughie ($18.00 pool)
1. Zentorno (No.1) — $4.50 / $1.75 🏆 5TH
Bet $11.50 Each Way ($5.75W + $5.75P) — ✗ Lost, net -$11.50
Prob 16.1% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.94x
Why Best map of the day if the leaders get rolling, and he can reel them in late with the tailwind giving him a bit of a tow.
2. Posh Diamante (No.7) — $3.75 / $1.50 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 16.1% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.79x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Pierroplane (No.5) — $11.50 / $3.30 🏆 2ND
Bet $6.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$24.05
Prob 9.3% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 1.40x
Why If he gets a soft lead or a cheap enough sit, he can hang on for a cheque. The wet won't scare him and the map gives him a fighting chance.
Roughie: Darci Lane (No.3) — $12.50 / $3.40 🏆 6TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.1% | Place: 95.0% | Value: 2.30x
Why One start, one win, which is always enough to make a punter start believing in fairy dust. But this is a much tougher ask, so he's more a "watch the future" type than a smash-and-grab.
Race type: C2, 1100m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace with Liselle's Luck likely to cart them along; Queen Christine, Moonraker and Justacclaim all have a bit of tactical speed and should be in the first wave.
Punty read: Queen Christine looks the cleanest play in a race where a few are sniffing around without looking bulletproof. Kalasec has the drift, which is never ideal, but the wet track gives him a chance if he can find a lane. Justacclaim is the value place type with the first-time gear changes, while The Journo is the roughie with the freshest legs and enough class to make a nuisance of himself if he handles the first-up task.
Top 3 + Roughie ($16.00 pool)
1. Queen Christine (No.12) — $4.85 / $2.00 🏆 6TH
Bet $9.50 Each Way ($4.75W + $4.75P) — ✗ Lost, net -$9.50
Prob 15.3% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 0.97x
Why She's got the right blend of form, track suitability and race shape, and the heavy ground shouldn't unsettle her. Good solid anchor.
2. Kalasec (No.3) — $7.45 / $2.50 🏆 8TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.0% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.36x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Justacclaim (No.6) — $8.35 / $2.90 🏆 3RD
Bet $6.50 Place — ✓ Won, net +$12.35
Prob 11.4% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.24x
Why First-time gear, decent wet profile, and the stable can have them ready in these sorts of races. Looks a sneaky place horse with upside.
Roughie: The Journo (No.10) — $12.00 / $3.80 🏆 5TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 5.7% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.89x
Why First-up after a break, which is always a bit of a lottery, but the gear change and the market drift make him interesting enough to keep in the back pocket.
Race type: 64 Hcp, 1500m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace with France's Boy expected to press on; Maxildo and Wind Rush should keep it honest, while No Mans Land gets the sort of race where a grinding run late can pay dividends.
Punty read: This is one of those races where the bog will expose the pretenders. No Mans Land is the one the model is happy to back to keep finding, especially with the race shape and the wet. Maxildo is a sneaky runner but the no-bet tag tells the story - good chance, wrong price. Wind Rush is the sort of horse you respect without loving, and Holmes is the roughie for the brave souls who want to bet on a drift and a prayer.
Top 3 + Roughie ($30.00 pool)
1. Maxildo (No.5) — $8.15 / $2.90 🏆 4TH
Bet $15.00 Each Way ($7.50W + $7.50P) — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 13.0% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.29x
Why Big enough price to make him interesting, but not enough to force the issue. He's got the talent, just not the cleanest betting shape.
2. Wind Rush (No.6) — $5.55 / $2.15 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.0% | Place: 33.9% | Value: 0.88x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. No Mans Land (No.12) — $6.65 / $2.40 🏆 11TH
Bet $15.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 13.0% | Place: 63.7% | Value: 1.05x
Why He maps to keep chipping away and the wet should make him feel right at home. This looks the strongest race-shape play on the card.
Roughie: Holmes (No.2) — $15.25 / $4.40 🏆 6TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 6.5% | Place: 39.9% | Value: 1.20x
Why On his day he can run a race, but the price is chunky enough and the form is patchy enough that I'd rather not go fishing in that particular puddle.
Race type: BM68, 1800m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace, which means the race may not be a burn-up but still enough pressure to sort the pretenders from the genuine stayers.
Punty read: Em Sixty is the one the card wants to lean on, but the heavy track and the moderate tempo make this a proper chess game. Our Sassy Lady is too short for mine given the shape and the price, while Peta's Heart is the one I'd rather be on for a place because the blinkers first time can sharpen her up. Exalted Fire is the roughie with a bit of wet-day grit, and Longer Route is the one who can keep finding if they go a touch too hard early and the leaders are gasping at the last.
Top 3 + Roughie ($19.50 pool)
1. Em Sixty (No.1) — $4.95 / $2.00 🏆 8TH
Bet $12.50 Each Way ($6.25W + $6.25P) — ✗ Lost, net -$12.50
Prob 16.6% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.09x
Why He's fit, he's honest, and he gets the right sort of run in a race where a few others might flatten out late.
2. Our Sassy Lady (No.8) — $3.38 / $1.62 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.6% | Place: 39.9% | Value: 0.66x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Peta's Heart (No.11) — $7.45 / $2.60 🏆 WINNER
Bet $7.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$11.20
Prob 11.9% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 1.18x
Why Blinkers first time is the sort of move that can wake a horse up on a day like this. Nice place play with upside.
Roughie: Exalted Fire (No.2) — $10.00 / $3.30 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.7% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 1.55x
Why Massive heavy-track record and enough class to make a mess of this if the race turns into a late slog. The price says roughie, the wet says keep him honest.
Race type: BM64, 1050m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace with Refreshing out in front and a few others pressing on; this is a rapid-fire sprint where a good jump and a clean path matter a hell of a lot.
Punty read: Howl is the one I want on top because the map suits and the wet form isn't a horror show. Orthies is the market horse but the price has gone too short for the risk, Hooked On Wealth is a respectable runner but not a bet at the number, and Squad is the roughie with enough place juice to be annoying if the speed cooks itself. Mesrour is the sneaky one not far away from the action either, but the model has spoken and we're not arguing with the spreadsheet gods.
Top 3 + Roughie ($10.50 pool)
1. Howl (No.1) — $6.55 / $2.35 🏆 5TH
Bet $10.50 Each Way ($5.25W + $5.25P) — ✗ Lost, net -$10.50
Prob 13.9% | Place: 54.9% | Value: 1.19x
Why Ideal sort of draw for a 1050m dash on a wet track, and he knows how to handle a scrap.
2. Orthies (No.4) — $4.85 / $2.00 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.9% | Place: 43.3% | Value: 0.88x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Hooked On Wealth (No.7) — $4.75 / $1.95 🏆 6TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.3% | Place: 28.4% | Value: 0.70x
Why Honest as the day is long, but not a betting proposition at that price in a race that can turn to mush in a blink.
Roughie: Squad (No.5) — $19.75 / $5.00 🏆 13TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.7% | Place: 60.4% | Value: 1.20x
Why If the whole thing turns into a speed collapse, he can flash into the placings. That's the path - not the likely script, but the path.
Race type: 68 Hcp, 1200m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace with Hot Strut likely to ensure they go at a fair clip; Mongolian Gobi should get every chance to sit on the speed and keep the others at arm's length.
Punty read: Mongolian Gobi is the right favourite to be on - in form, maps well enough, and the market has already accepted he's the bloke to beat. Attain is the value runner with the kind of profile that says "don't let me get rolling", Major Rumble is the cosy rail run type who can nick a place, and Extinguish is the roughie with a giant place profile if the race gets messy. Miso is the one I keep side-eyeing for exotics because he's got the class to be a pest.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.50 pool)
1. Mongolian Gobi (No.5) — $3.65 / $1.62 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $11.00 Each Way ($5.50W + $5.50P) — ✗ Lost, net -$11.00
Prob 17.4% | Place: 58.7% | Value: 0.78x
Why The form is sharp, the map is sound, and he looks the right horse to have as your anchor in the last.
2. Attain (No.7) — $6.15 / $2.30 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.4% | Place: 39.9% | Value: 1.15x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Major Rumble (No.9) — $7.45 / $2.40 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet $4.50 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$4.50
Prob 12.5% | Place: 34.5% | Value: 1.14x
Why Barrier 1 on a heavy straight is the sort of setup that can make a punter look like a genius if he gets the right slices.
Roughie: Extinguish (No.8) — $14.75 / $3.90 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 5.6% | Place: 65.5% | Value: 1.01x
Why He's the one who can rattle home if the pace gets spicy and the leaders wobble. Not the likeliest, but definitely the sort you keep in the exotics bin.
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 7,5,17,4 / 10,5,4,9 / 7,1,3,5 / 12,3,6,10 (256 combos x $0.31 = $80.00) -- 31% flexi
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 5,12,6,2 / 1,11,8,2 / 1,4,13,2 / 5,7,9,8 (256 combos x $0.31 = $80.00) -- 31% flexi
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 1 / 12 / 5 / 1 / 1 / 5 (1 combos x $2.00 = $2.00) -- 200% flexi
The day's multi leans on three win legs across the card.
1 - Kirkliston Blu (Race 1, No.1)✗ — $7.10
2 - Street Legal (Race 2, No.7)✗ — $3.55
3 - From The Block (Race 3, No.10)✗ — $3.70
Meeting Stats
Selections
Punty's Early Mail
Rightio Loose Units, Morphettville on a Heavy 10 is a proper boggy bastard today - the sort of card where the horses need to be able to breathe through their ears and the punter needs a stiff drink before race 1. We've got genuine and hot early tempo everywhere, a bit of tailwind up the straight to help the swoopers, and a rail that should keep the first half of the day fair before the track starts asking questions like it's in a hostile job interview.
MEET SNAPSHOT
Track: Morphettville, 1050m to 2500m card
Rail: +2m 1200-600, True Remainder
Official going: Heavy 10 (expected to play like a slog where stamina, balance and wet-track nous matter most)
Weather: Shower or two, 12°C, humidity 82%, wind 11km/h SSE (watch for late chop in the straight and a surface that will get stingy)
Early lane guess: Middle-to-out in the straight; fence may be okay early, but don't get precious if they fan wider late
Tempo profile: Plenty of genuine pace early, with a few races set up for the speed to get cooked and the closers to come over the top
Jockeys to follow:
Todd Pannell, keeps finding the right spot when the race shape turns to chaos, and he's gold when everyone else is rowing the boat the wrong way
Ms Brooke King(a3/50.5kg), the claim is handy as hell on a wet day, and she's got a stack of live rides across the card
Campbell Rawiller, clean hands, good judgement, and the sort of hoop who can save a horse a length without looking like he's trying to be a hero
Stables to respect:
R & C Jolly (5 runners), got a few wet-day types and a couple that map to sit close enough to the speed without burning petrol
Michael Hickmott (5 runners), always worth a sniff when the map is hot and the horse is in the right class lane
Will Clarken (4 runners), has the sort of runners that can handle a slog, and the market has already had a decent crack at a few of them
Punty's take: This meeting is going to separate the honest grinders from the pretenders real quick. On a Heavy 10, form lines from dry tracks can look like they were written by a drunk intern, so I'm leaning hard into wet-track records, horses with balance under pressure, and riders who can keep the thing rolling without overcooking it. In the sprints, the map is king - but in the staying races, the horse that gets through the ground and keeps lengthening matters more than the fancy ratings. It's a bit Mad Max out there, except the road is brown and the engines are horses.
The punters who get into trouble today will be the ones falling in love with shiny favourites that are unders and can't handle a bog. If a horse has been heavily backed and the map makes sense, I'm prepared to respect the money. If it's been steaming in but the barrier, weight or wet form screams "nah mate", I'll happily swing the axe. The lane from 1200m to 600m should still be decent enough early, but once they fan into the straight, the tailwind gives the swoopers a sniff and the track will start asking for proper lungs.
What it means for you: Don't go bonkers early and spray the bank on every shorty that looks pretty on paper. This is a day for disciplined plays: each way where the horse has place meat on the bone, place bets when the winning price is a bit skinny, and a few exotics only where the model has already done the heavy lifting. If you're looking for a day to get clever with roughies, this ain't the one - most of the longshots have to find a very specific race shape to get home, and today's bog makes that a mug punter's hobby if you get greedy.
The better plays are the ones that can either lead and kick or stalk in the right lane and keep finding. In races where the speed is hot and the track is tiring, I'm happy to side with the horse that maps to get the right run rather than the one that looks best in a dry-field replay. Treat the sequence bets like entertainment with a brain - tight where you've got a real leg-in, wider only where the race is a proper raffle. That way you give yourself a shot without getting speared by the wet-track gremlins.