Saturday, 22 August 2026
No more jumps at this meeting today.
Punty's Punts
Race type: HANDICAP, 1200m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace, rail true, wind helping on-pace, so the speed can survive.
Punty read: Clear Proof looks like the type who's getting fitter with every run this time in, and on Soft she's not relying on some last-minute miracle. I like that she can hold a forward position and keep finding, because on a day where the straight has a touch of give and the wind doesn't favour deep closers, you want someone who's already working when the real sprint starts. Isawyou is the other key, she's proven at the trip and can give you a place where the tote goes quiet too early.
Top 3 + Roughie ($24.00 pool)
1. Clear Proof (No.1) — $3.45 / $1.55 🏆 WINNER
Bet $20.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$49.00
Prob 25.2% | Place: 69.0% | Value: 1.02x
Why Improving run after run, led then stuck, and she's set for a forward run without needing to be a hero.
2. Isawyou (No.16) — $4.40 / $1.72 🏆 2ND
Bet $4.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$2.88
Prob 18.8% | Place: 57.7% | Value: 0.97x
Why Drawn to race with them and Soft suits her run style, she's the safe place lever.
3. Let's Go Again (No.12) — $7.00 / $2.40 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.5% | Place: 51.7% | Value: 1.28x
Why That price says she's value, and if the leaders do their usual early work, she'll be running on.
Roughie: Twinkling Star (No.15) — $9.75 / $2.85 🏆 10TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.1% | Place: 38.2% | Value: 1.27x
Why A mid-pack type who can sneak into the money if the race doesn't fully collapse.
Race type: CHAOS_HANDICAP, 1100m
Map & tempo: Hot pace, on-pace advantage, and Soft ground means position is everything early.
Punty read: This is sprint chaos with leaders likely to keep trading punches. Mrs Goldberg is the main act, she's resuming but trialled well and has the run style to keep poking at the front. The danger is you get a messy rush and you lose the finish if you're too far back, so I'm respecting the on-paces and the ones who can slot in and stay there.
Top 3 + Roughie ($7.50 pool)
1. Mrs Goldberg (No.5) — $4.80 / $1.85 🏆 WINNER
Bet $7.50 Each Way ($3.75W + $3.75P) — ✓ Won, net +$17.44
Prob 21.5% | Place: 56.5% | Value: 1.21x
Why Trial form looks promising for a fresh run, and she rates highly to go close in a sprint where pace splits.
2. Lovecats (No.18) — $5.85 / $2.15 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.3% | Place: 40.4% | Value: 0.98x
Why Looks like she can hang in for the minors, but you're not paying for it today.
3. Tom Vegas (No.1) — $14.75 / $4.20 🏆 6TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 5.7% | Place: 19.1% | Value: 0.99x
Why Value is the angle, blinkers off first time can sharpen her into the finish in a short sprint.
Roughie: Kakoda (No.14) — $11.75 / $3.50 🏆 11TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 6.3% | Place: 20.4% | Value: 0.87x
Why If the pace gets silly and she keeps working, she's the type to snatch a place.
Race type: CHAOS_HANDICAP, 2400m
Map & tempo: Slow pace, staying race, Soft means the last 600m is where it turns.
Punty read: Over 2400m with a slow tempo, you want the horse that can keep moving without burning. Le Troisir is drawn to be there and is the kind that can turn it into a stamina sprint when others are coasting. I Park is the classic "don't laugh, it's a 2400m for a reason" play, she's outstayed rivals before and she can keep extending late.
Top 3 + Roughie ($7.50 pool)
1. Le Troisir (No.3) — $3.00 / $1.50 🏆 2ND
Bet $7.50 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$7.50
Prob 27.0% | Place: 69.0% | Value: 1.01x
Why The slow tempo suits her style, and she's built to come from the rear when the real gallop starts.
2. I Park (No.2) — $6.60 / $2.50 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.3% | Place: 36.6% | Value: 0.93x
Why The price is taking the piss a bit, she's staying fit and should run on through the line.
3. Trapalanda (No.10) — $8.80 / $2.90 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.2% | Place: 34.1% | Value: 1.12x
Why Value play if there's no quick finish, she's the type to pick them off late.
Roughie: Captain Fenkel (No.1) — $9.35 / $2.90 🏆 UNPLACED
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.0% | Place: 33.5% | Value: 1.16x
Why Went hard in the last prep, got stuck with excuses, and 2400m can reward that patience.
Race type: CHAOS_HANDICAP, 1600m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace, Soft ground, and the straight is where the leaders try to cash it in.
Punty read: Puntin looks like the one who can sit in the right spot and keep improving without needing the perfect run. King Of The Sea is second-string danger because she's got the credentials and the ability to stick around, and The Creator is in the mix if the pace stretches early. On Soft 6 at 1600, it's a game of momentum, if you lose it, you pay.
Top 3 + Roughie ($12.00 pool)
1. Puntin (No.9) — $6.55 / $2.25 🏆 2ND
Bet $12.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$12.00
Prob 13.8% | Place: 47.0% | Value: 1.10x
Why Great value with the right running style for a pacey mile, can be in the fight turning for home.
2. King Of The Sea (No.1) — $2.15 / $1.20 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 31.5% | Place: 69.0% | Value: 0.82x
Why Short enough that it's more "place cover" than win bet, but he's still a live threat.
3. The Creator (No.2) — $7.55 / $2.45 🏆 6TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.3% | Place: 40.3% | Value: 1.04x
Why Consistency and timing, if they go along, she can slice through for a money finish.
Roughie: Barking Mad (No.14) — $10.50 / $2.85 🏆 8TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.8% | Place: 40.3% | Value: 1.51x
Why Proper roughie angle if the middle of the field starts to lift and the pace holds on a touch.
Race type: DO NOT REORDER, Open 2000m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace, 2000m means they're not sprinting but they're still running.
Punty read: This race is about who gets the right run without being forced into the worst part of the track. Thebudgiesmugla is the standout because she's dropping back to where she can be effective and she has the quality to take advantage when the leaders flatten. Boniface is the danger, she looked like she hit a pocket and got through it late last start.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Thebudgiesmugla (No.2) — $4.55 / $1.50 🏆 4TH
Bet $15.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 27.6% | Place: 69.0% | Value: 1.45x
Why Classy stayer fresh for this drop, and when the tempo is genuine, she's got options.
2. Boniface (No.5) — $2.37 / $1.12 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 31.1% | Place: 69.0% | Value: 0.85x
Why Price is tight, you'd rather not be paying overs on the win line.
3. So You Are (No.9) — $4.50 / $1.45 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 19.4% | Place: 66.7% | Value: 1.01x
Why Could be around the money but it's not screaming value in the win or place band.
Roughie: Belvedere Boys (No.8) — $25.00 / $3.70 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 2.6% | Place: 12.2% | Value: 0.76x
Why If the race bunches up late and he gets a clear finishing run, he's the loose unit at a price.
Race type: CLEAR_FAV, 1100m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace, on-pace advantage, and Soft ground means speed holds more than people think.
Punty read: Apocalyptic is the one I want in this kind of sprint, she maps forward and if the pace is there, she can turn it into a continuation line. Savvy Hallie is the other big threat because she's proven and can match the tempo, while Prima Bella is the "don't dismiss" stalker. In sprints on Soft, losing 2 lengths early is a sin.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Apocalyptic (No.2) — $2.41 / $1.40 🏆 3RD
Bet $15.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 39.9% | Place: 69.0% | Value: 1.10x
Why Resuming with intent, the sprint map suits and she's built to carry that speed to the line.
2. Savvy Hallie (No.1) — $3.62 / $1.72 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 27.9% | Place: 59.3% | Value: 1.16x
Why She's live as hell, but the win-only setup makes her more of a watch and hope.
3. Prima Bella (No.6) — $5.85 / $2.50 🏆 WINNER
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.6% | Place: 34.1% | Value: 0.97x
Why Price looks fair enough but today's win money goes to the top map horses.
Roughie: Gatwick (No.9) — $9.25 / $3.30 🏆 6TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 8.1% | Place: 19.1% | Value: 0.85x
Why More for the trifecta fantasy if the pace pattern turns and he's still in it at the 100m.
Race type: TRIO, 1200m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace, lots of horses can be midfield in Soft but the first 300m decides everything.
Punty read: Pembrey is the main danger because he's likely to be prominent and this field won't have the luxury of sitting too far off. Agrarian Girl and Cherry Bomshell are the other two big characters, and this is one of those races where a fast start can turn into a fast finish for the right filly. If the pace is true, the front end usually gets first dibs.
Top 3 + Roughie ($18.00 pool)
1. Pembrey (No.2) — $4.30 / $1.65 🏆 WINNER
Bet $14.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$46.20
Prob 19.8% | Place: 58.5% | Value: 1.00x
Why Resuming and going for it, Deagon trial type, and she has the tempo map for the winning finish.
2. Agrarian Girl (No.3) — $4.95 / $1.80 🏆 8TH
Bet $4.00 Place — ✗ Lost, net -$4.00
Prob 22.5% | Place: 63.8% | Value: 1.31x
Why Might be slightly off on win value, but she's got the staying power to run into the placings.
3. Cherry Bomshell (No.1) — $5.05 / $1.85 🏆 10TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.5% | Place: 47.0% | Value: 0.86x
Why Keep safe, but the place-only lane is safer than win-only at the current price shape.
Roughie: Global Goal (No.7) — $10.00 / $2.90 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.9% | Place: 36.6% | Value: 1.29x
Why If the race bunches up late, her finishing kick is the kind that steals places and maybe more.
Race type: MID_FAV, 1200m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace, Soft ground, on-pace can keep its head, but midfield runners who time it get paid.
Punty read: Campione D'italia is the one I'm trusting to keep rolling forward, because at 1200m on Soft 6 you want someone who can absorb the work early and still be there when the real sprint begins. Soothsayer is the danger if she can stay involved and not get stuck behind traffic. Matcha Latte is the place angle, she's the kind to keep coming.
Top 3 + Roughie ($24.00 pool)
1. Campione D'italia (No.8) — $3.60 / $1.45 🏆 7TH
Bet $20.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$20.00
Prob 27.0% | Place: 69.0% | Value: 1.15x
Why Perfect race pattern, forward run and Soft suits her, she should be right in the fight.
2. Soothsayer (No.9) — $3.73 / $1.52 🏆 2ND
Bet $4.00 Place — ✓ Won, net +$2.08
Prob 22.4% | Place: 67.5% | Value: 0.98x
Why She's competitive enough for place, and the pace should keep her in range.
3. Matcha Latte (No.7) — $6.55 / $2.05 🏆 3RD
Bet Tracked
Prob 12.5% | Place: 44.5% | Value: 0.96x
Why Looks like a money chance for the stalk-and-stay, but not today's win value.
Roughie: Infancy (No.5) — $15.00 / $3.10 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.7% | Place: 17.8% | Value: 0.83x
Why She needs the right tempo and clear space late to turn into a surprise top-three.
Race type: DOMINANT, 1400m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace, but Autumn Glow's the one who can keep control and still accelerate.
Punty read: Autumn Glow is the class line here and the race shape is built for her. She's on-pacer friendly and she's got the kind of acceleration that turns 1400m into a straight sprint from the 600m mark. Sheza Alibi is the main value threat for places and Aeliana is the long-shot minor if the pace melts weird.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Autumn Glow (No.8) — $1.79 / $1.09 🏆 WINNER
Bet $15.00 Win — ✓ Won, net +$11.85
Prob 55.8% | Place: 69.0% | Value: 1.11x
Why Pace advantage plus Soft adaptability, she's built to keep finding when others start to drift.
2. Sheza Alibi (No.14) — $3.48 / $1.25 🏆 2ND
Bet Tracked
Prob 24.1% | Place: 69.0% | Value: 0.93x
Why Short-ish for win today, but she's a strong place-type if you're chasing trifecta points.
3. Aeliana (No.9) — $17.00 / $2.75 🏆 11TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.6% | Place: 29.0% | Value: 0.88x
Why Place watch in case the race gets run differently than expected.
Roughie: Lady Shenandoah (No.12) — $23.50 / $3.60 🏆 4TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 2.9% | Place: 19.1% | Value: 0.75x
Why If there's enough chaos up front and she gets room to wind up, she can sneak into the minors.
Race type: PLACE_LEVERAGE, 1200m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace, 1200m sprint, midfield trips decide who can keep momentum late.
Punty read: Hidrix is the place leverage star because he's got the profile to run into the money even if the pace gets busy, and that softens the risk. Columbia Blue is your win try, he's consistent and can close off a midfield run. Call Me Gorgeous is there as a watch, but I'm not paying for win-only at this price shape.
Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)
1. Columbia Blue (No.1) — $4.55 / $1.90 🏆 9TH
Bet $15.00 Win — ✗ Lost, net -$15.00
Prob 21.2% | Place: 65.2% | Value: 1.17x
Why He quickened late last time, and at 1200m you only need one clean moment to crack it.
2. Hidrix (No.11) — $7.55 / $2.65 🏆 5TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.1% | Place: 53.8% | Value: 1.39x
Why The win price might be a touch short on value, but he's made to slot into the placings.
3. Call Me Gorgeous (No.7) — $3.75 / $1.70 🏆 8TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 17.9% | Place: 57.7% | Value: 0.82x
Why It's too short for the value angle today, you'd rather your cash be elsewhere.
Roughie: Annie's Rose (No.10) — $13.00 / $3.70 🏆 7TH
Bet Tracked
Prob 5.8% | Place: 21.7% | Value: 0.92x
Why Needs a bit of help in the run and a pace shape that lets her finish off strongly.
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 3,1,6,2 / 9,14,10 / 2,5,7 / 2,1,6 (108 combos x $0.46 = $50.00) -- 46% flexi
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 2,7,3 / 8,5,9 / 8,14,9 / 1,10,11,9 (108 combos x $0.46 = $50.00) -- 46% flexi
That's the ticket as I struck it — the legs below are exactly what ran, no rewriting history.
Smart: 2 / 2 / 2 / 8 / 8 / 1 (1 combos x $2.00 = $2.00) -- 200% flexi
The day's multi leans on three win legs across the card.
1 - Thebudgiesmugla (Race 5, No.2)✗ — $4.55
2 - Apocalyptic (Race 6, No.2)✗ — $2.41
3 - Autumn Glow (Race 9, No.8)✓ Won — $1.79
Meeting Stats
Selections
Punty's Early Mail
Rightio Loose Units, Randwick on a Soft 6 with the rail true, sunny and about as gentle as a Sat arvo pub chat. This is the sort of day where the speed does the heavy lifting up front, but the right type can still sweep late if they get a clear run. If you're backmarkers today, you better have a decent excuse and a plan, because the wind is lightly favouring the on-pace crew, especially up the straight.
My spine for the day is simple, the Big 3 are doing the heavy carrying in their races and I'm building the multi around that. After that, it's all about place leverage, because with Soft ground and a tempo that can stretch a field, the winners are gold… but the runners who hit the line are where your money starts to come back. We'll do it race-by-race, then slam you with quaddie lanes, nuggets, and a final bit of sicko wisdom from the couch.
What it means for you: be aggressive in the races that map for the front runners and where the market's price is actually reasonable. Be smarter than a punter with a memory like a sieve in the tricky ones, especially where there's a genuine speed bias and the closers might be doing extra work just to keep contact.
MEET SNAPSHOT
Track: Soft 6, 1200m-2400m card
Rail: True
Official going: Soft 6 (expected to play on-pace)
Weather: Sunny, 17°C, humidity 55%, wind 7km/h WNW (watch for on-pace help up the straight)
Early lane guess: Keep it simple early, save your chaos for the middle Quaddie legs
Tempo profile: Moderate to genuine, with Soft ground meaning speed still matters, but runs are a touch more forgiving for those stalking
Jockeys to follow:
Dylan Gibbons: gets horses into play early and doesn't waste many chances when the pace is there.
Kerrin McEvoy: often the difference between "nearly" and "bang" when they go for the line.
Tommy Berry: class rider who can turn a tough run into a money run with timing.
Stables to respect:
John Thompson (3 runners): this crew improves through the prep and they don't miss with wet-track intent.
Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter (3 runners): crafty campaigners, the way they set up is always worth a look.
C J Waller (4 runners): they're strong when races shape into pace scenarios, watch their runners stay in the hunt.
Punty's take: Randwick on Soft 6 is a funny beast. The leaders can still win, and with the wind lightly helping them, you can ride the front with confidence if the horse has the right draw and the right pattern. But the other half of the story is interference and traffic, because Soft ground magnifies that "got checked, lost momentum" stuff. Today you don't need luck every race, you just need it once where it matters.
Race 1 sets the tone, it's got that "improving horse, wet-adapted, and the pace isn't cooked" vibe. Race 2 is a proper chaos handicap, so you're betting the class and the trial build-up, not just the headline favourite. Race 3 is a staying test, and with a slow tempo, the best finisher will look like a magician, but you still need the right positioning early because Soft tracks punish being too far back.
Then Race 9, that Winx Stakes style spotlight race, where one horse looks like she's built for the meeting and the rest are chasing scraps. That kind of race is where you back like a grown-up, not like a gambler who's already told his mates "I'm due".
What it means for you: I'm leaning into Place in most of the day, because Soft ground plus Randwick pace patterns means fourth and fifth are fighting for survival while the best horses run through the line. Win is fine when the horse is doing everything right and the price is still fair, but where market support is shaky or the race shape is busy, Place is your best mate.
In the tricky ones, use the roughie route only when the pace story makes sense. If the horse needs a miracle from the back, it's a pass from me unless there's a proven wet/track fit. Where you see my picks paired with "on-pace" or a smart stalking position, that's where you press the button.