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Wednesday, 04 November 2026

Weather Fine
Rail "A" Course (Soil 21.6%)
Punty at Happy Valley
18.4% strike rate
160/869 winners
-18.4% ROI
across 24 meetings

Punty's Early Mail

For all of Punty's tips for Happy Valley, head to https://punty.ai/tips/happy-valley-2026-11-04

Rightio Degenerates, nine races at Happy Valley on a 26.7 degree arvo with 82 per cent humidity, and the sky has a 45% or more chance of rain at 16:00, so keep one eye on the clouds and the other on the speed maps. Race 1 and Race 8 are both going to be hot-pace bunfights, and the rest of the card is a mix of hot pace and one dead-slow sprint-out in Race 4 that will make a few punters cry. Let's get into it.

MEET SNAPSHOT

Track: Happy Valley, 1000m to 1650m card
Rail: "A" Course (Soil 21.6%)
Official going: Not given in the data pre-race (Rainfall 0mm)
Weather: Fine, 26.7°C, humidity 82%, wind 5km/h S. Rain risk 45% or more at 16:00.
Early lane guess: Unknown pre-race, watch the first two.
Tempo profile: Hot in Race 1 and Race 8, where three and five runners want the front. Moderate in Race 3 and Race 7. Genuine in Race 2, Race 5, Race 6 and Race 9. Slow in Race 4, where nobody maps to lead.
Jockeys to follow:
Zac Purton: Seven rides today, including Zeta Hedge in Race 1, Brownneedsfurther in Race 3 and Flow Water Flow in Race 7. His J@trk line is 20.3% (1636/8042) at this track, the best strike rate of any name on the card.
Karis Teetan: Nine rides, the most on the day. Mapogo leads the hot-pace fight in Race 1 and Verbier takes the lead in Race 6, and Teetan's J@trk line here is 9.5% (747/7892).
Alexis Badel: Seven rides, with Target Audience in Race 8 and Young Arrow in Race 9 both in genuine-pace fields. His J@trk line is 7.6% (317/4192), and I'd keep him on the radar for the sit-and-sprint type rides.
Stables to respect:
A S Cruz (7 runners): Comet Radiance in Race 1, Lightness Of Being in Race 3 and Outgate in Race 6 give the stable three fair chances across the card.
P F Yiu (7 runners): Flashing Fighter is my Race 8 call, Lovely Miles runs in Race 2 and Tourbillon Golfer is in Race 3, so the stable covers a few spots.
C S Shum (7 runners): Joker Orbit (Race 3), Double Money (Race 6) and Joyfield (Race 7) are the spread here, and I'm not putting money on any of them today.

Punty's take: Happy Valley has real speed in the top half of the card, and the maps tell the story. Race 1 is the one that will make or break your afternoon. Five runners map to lead, Mapogo and Spicy Spangle have to fight it out from barriers 8 and 9, and Zeta Hedge is stuck out wide from barrier 12 with nowhere to go. That's a hot pace on paper and it suits the horses sitting just off the speed. Race 8 is the same story with three on the lead and Flashing Fighter sitting handy from barrier 4. Race 2 has only Lucky Blessing on the lead, so it is a genuine-pace race but not a fight, and Telecom Power is the horse I've backed in that one despite the map working against him. Race 4 is the odd one out, a dead-slow sprint over 1650m where nobody maps to lead. That is chaos wearing a bow tie and I'll be leaving it alone in the staking.

The bankers aren't really bankers this week. Race 5 and Race 6 look more like lotteries with a bit of order, and Race 9 is the cleanest of the day if California Blitz gets his lead untroubled. Gallant Design in Race 5 is the standout name on the big bet list, but he's drawn barrier 12 in a field where the front is loose.

What it means for you: Be aggressive in Race 1 and Race 8 because the pace is so clear that the horses with a trip are getting the nod. Protect the bank in the slow races and the chaos races, where the value is real but the outcomes are all over the shop. The Big 3 Multi is a clean spread across three different races, which is how I'd like the day to start. For the Quaddie, I'm keeping the outlay wide because Races 6 to 9 are all open legs. That's a payout play, and the honest read is it needs a $5 to $10 winner somewhere to pay well.

Punty's staked horses are Loving Vibes (Race 1), Telecom Power (Race 2), Quick Contribution (Race 4), Verbier (Race 6), Flashing Fighter (Race 8) and Ace Champion (Race 9). Everything else is on the board for colour and for watching, not for the bank.

PUNTY'S BIG 3 + MULTI

These are the three bets the day leans on.

1 - Gallant Design (Race 5, No.2) — $12.00
Why Drawn barrier 12 in a field with a loose front, but he's the top-ranked runner in Race 5 and the horse I'd least want to see sitting out the finish if the speed fades.
2 - Loving Vibes (Race 1, No.1) — $7.00
Why Gets a sit from barrier 7 in a hot-pace race where five want the front, and last start he ran 5th at Sha Tin over 1200m, which is honest form for this grade.
3 - Telecom Power (Race 2, No.10) — $4.00
Why Sits midfield from barrier 4 and his 2nd at Conghua Turf last start is the freshest run in that field. The shape works against him, so I'm not pretending it doesn't.
Multi (all three to win): $10 × 336.00 = $3360.00

Race 1 – Cleveland Hcp

Race type: Class 5, 1000m
Map & tempo: Hot pace on the map, with five runners to lead: Mapogo (barrier 8), Spicy Spangle (barrier 9), Zeta Hedge (barrier 12), Lean Master (barrier 6) and Iconical (barrier 3). Mapogo and Spicy Spangle are the two most likely to fight for the front, and Zeta Hedge is drawn wide and has to cross the field to get there. That fight suits horses that can sit just behind it, and Loving Vibes from barrier 7 is exactly that horse. Mapogo from the front needs everything to go his way.
Punty read: Loving Vibes is the bet and the reason is simple. He settles handy in a race where the front is going to be cooked, and the map factor says the shape helps him. He's 8kg up on his last start, which I'll take as a sign the weight is not going to bother him. Spicy Spangle at barrier 9 has a strong track record and his strike rate at this track is 20 starts for 2 wins, but he's in the fight at the front so he's a danger to himself. Always My Folks from barrier 4 sits on pace and is the one I'd respect if the front pair burn out. Solar River is the roughie from the back, he needs the speed to collapse and the closers to come.

Top 3 + Roughie ($10.50 pool)

1. Loving Vibes (No.1) — $7.00 / place tote
Bet $10.50 Each Way ($5.25W + $5.25P), collects $36.75 plus the tote place dividend if it wins, the tote place dividend if it only places
Prob 18.2% | Place: 40.2% | Value: 1.27x
Why Handy from barrier 7 in a hot-pace race, and he's had six placings on good ground from 20 starts without a win there, so I'm not going mad about him. Nichola Yuen is steady at this track and the trainer's Happy Valley strike rate is strong.
2. Always My Folks (No.7) — $4.00 / place tote
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.5% | Place: 31.1% | Value: 0.54x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Spicy Spangle (No.5) — $9.00 / place tote
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.4% | Place: 33.4% | Value: 1.21x
Why Track form is 20 starts for 2 wins, he'll be leading or close to it, and the hot pace is a double-edged sword for him.

Roughie: Solar River (No.11) — $11.00 / place tote
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.1% | Place: 23.7% | Value: 1.00x
Why He's drawn wide from barrier 11 and needs the front pair to cook each other, after which his last-start sectionals (L400 fastest) show he can run late. If the speed collapses at the 600m, he's the one swooping.

Race 2 – Cannon Hcp

Race type: Class 5, 1650m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace, but only one horse maps to lead, Lucky Blessing from barrier 1, uncontested on the map. Super Sicario from barrier 10 and Our Lucky Glory from barrier 7 are the only pressure, so the field isn't going to be run into the ground. Telecom Power sits midfield from barrier 4 and the shape is against him, but a clean run behind a slow-ish lead can still land him. The back markers in Lovely Miles, Gor Gor and Prince Alex are the ones the pace hurts most, so they need the front to fall away.
Punty read: Telecom Power is the bet. The shape is against him because he's midfield in a race where the speed is not dangerous, but what wins it anyway is form and closing sectionals. His last start was a 2nd at Conghua Turf over 1200m, his L600 is fastest and time is fastest, and he's won at this track before (1 win from 31 starts, with six placings). The warning is his 0 wins from 2 at 59-60kg, so we want the weight to suit. Super Sicario is the roughie from on the speed, and if Lucky Blessing gets only light pressure he can stay in the race at the 1650m mark.

Top 3 + Roughie ($9.00 pool)

1. Telecom Power (No.10) — $4.00 / place tote
Bet $9.00 Each Way ($4.50W + $4.50P), collects $18.00 plus the tote place dividend if it wins, the tote place dividend if it only places
Prob 17.5% | Place: 33.1% | Value: 0.70x
Why Sectionals say he finishes well, his form is fresh with a 2nd last start, and I'm happy with that even though the shape doesn't love him.
2. Monta Frutta (No.2) — $3.00 / place tote
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.4% | Place: 27.6% | Value: 0.31x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Prince Alex (No.11) — $2.00 / place tote
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.1% | Place: 22.7% | Value: 0.18x
Why Backmarker from barrier 2 who needs a sustained pace to get into the finish, and his 4 wins from 49 career starts say he can finish.

Roughie: Super Sicario (No.6) — $10.00 / place tote
Bet Tracked
Prob 9.2% | Place: 23.2% | Value: 0.92x
Why He's on the speed from barrier 10 with Lucky Blessing a bit of a mystery at the front, and a lead that isn't pressed means his closing time comes into play.

Race 3 – Gloucester Hcp

Race type: Class 4, 1200m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace with two on the lead, Island Buddy (barrier 2) and Tourbillon Golfer (barrier 4), so they are likely to share the front rather than fight. Dan Attack and Master Champion sit just behind, and the midfield runners like Brownneedsfurther have to wait for the gaps. Lightness Of Being from barrier 11 has to work wide to cross the field.
Punty read: There is no stake on this race. The top-ranked runner is Brownneedsfurther, drawn barrier 9 and hurt by a moderate pace on the map, but he has a strong record with Zac Purton (combo 20.4% from 111 rides together) and a placing record of 2-3-2 from 14 career starts. He's the one to watch. Island Buddy is the on-pace danger if the lead is shared cleanly. Tourbillon Golfer will be on the front with Island Buddy, so the two of them will make the early tempo.

Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)

1. Brownneedsfurther (No.1) — $9.00 / place tote
Bet $15.00 Each Way ($7.50W + $7.50P), collects $67.50 plus the tote place dividend if it wins, the tote place dividend if it only places
Prob 16.9% | Place: 46.1% | Value: 1.52x
Why The top of my list, but the price doesn't leave room for a stake on the day. Zac Purton's strike rate here is the reason he's on my radar.
2. Island Buddy (No.4) — $2.00 / place tote
Bet Tracked
Prob 12.4% | Place: 34.2% | Value: 0.25x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Tourbillon Golfer (No.6) — $4.00 / place tote
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.2% | Place: 38.1% | Value: 0.41x
Why Sits on the lead with Island Buddy, and his 4th at Conghua Turf last start is a fair run.

Roughie: Podium (No.12) — $10.00 / place tote
Bet Tracked
Prob 7.7% | Place: 26.8% | Value: 0.77x
Why Midfield from barrier 10, and his L600 and L400 are both fastest on the card. If the early speed sets up a late run, he has the closing gear to make ground.

Race 4 – East Point Hcp

Race type: Class 4, 1650m
Map & tempo: Slow pace, with nobody on the map to lead, and Amazing Award from barrier 7 is the likeliest to find the front. Gazeley and Quick Contribution sit midfield, and the back-half runners need cover. That makes this a sit-and-sprint race where the middle of the field has to find a way through.
Punty read: Quick Contribution is the bet, and I'm happy to say the shape is against him because he's midfield in a slow race. What wins it anyway is that he's been a horse that finishes through the field, with a 2nd at Happy Valley 1200m last start and a sectional that's fastest at the 400m. His record in the first-up role is 4 starts for 3 seconds, and that's the kind of consistent placing I'd want in a race like this. Amazing Award is on the front in a slow race and he's the danger, Gazeley is the one who can run late from the midfield.

Top 3 + Roughie ($9.00 pool)

1. Quick Contribution (No.10) — $6.00 / place tote
Bet $9.00 Each Way ($4.50W + $4.50P), collects $27.00 plus the tote place dividend if it wins, the tote place dividend if it only places
Prob 15.7% | Place: 36.3% | Value: 0.94x
Why Five placings from 16 career starts with no win, the kind of horse who finishes in the money and is good for a place. The slow pace is a worry but the closing speed is the reason.
2. Amazing Award (No.7) — $7.00 / place tote
Bet Tracked
Prob 15.1% | Place: 27.8% | Value: 1.06x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Gazeley (No.8) — $12.00 / place tote
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.5% | Place: 26.9% | Value: 1.26x
Why Two seconds at Happy Valley over 1650m, which is the trip here, and his price is big enough to be interesting.

Roughie: Viva Firecracker (No.6) — $9.00 / place tote
Bet Tracked
Prob 8.4% | Place: 21.9% | Value: 0.76x
Why Midfield from barrier 9, and a slow pace that helps a closer if the front pair stop when they should keep going. Her only win came over 1200m and she's had a rough run through the back of the field.

Race 5 – The Ant Digital Technologies Cup

Race type: Class 4, 1200m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace with Mr Desira the only horse mapped to lead, from barrier 4. Lunar Dash from barrier 5 and Synergy In Action from barrier 11 are the pressure, so Mr Desira will be scrapping for the front but not fighting for it. Gallant Design from barrier 12 has to work to cross the field and that is the one tough bit of the shape.
Punty read: There's no stake on this race. Gallant Design is the top-ranked runner, but he's drawn barrier 12 and has to come from midfield. His time is fastest last start and he's a 2nd at Sha Tin over 1200m, so the run is there even from a bad draw. Mr Desira is the on-pace speed you'd watch. Solid Car is the one who could run late from midfield if the early pace is genuine.

Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)

1. Gallant Design (No.2) — $12.00 / place tote
Bet $15.00 Each Way ($7.50W + $7.50P), collects $90.00 plus the tote place dividend if it wins, the tote place dividend if it only places
Prob 21.6% | Place: 56.5% | Value: 2.59x
Why The horse at the top of my list, but his price and draw keep him off the staking sheet. He's the one I'd least want to see sitting out the finish.
2. Mr Desira (No.1) — $4.00 / place tote
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.6% | Place: 46.8% | Value: 0.58x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Solid Car (No.4) — $9.00 / place tote
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.0% | Place: 32.6% | Value: 0.90x
Why Time rank 2 on the sectionals and a 1st at Sha Tin over 1400m last start-ish, and he's a closer who might pick up the pieces.

Roughie: Alabama Song (No.12) — $10.00 / place tote
Bet Tracked
Prob 4.5% | Place: 17.7% | Value: 0.45x
Why On the speed from barrier 10 but he's been on the bottom of the form for a while, so he's the long-shot you take if the front runners cook themselves.

Race 6 – Gloucester Hcp

Race type: Class 4, 1200m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace with Verbier the only leader from barrier 6, uncontested on the map. Friends Of Shajing from barrier 5 and Crossborderdude from barrier 9 are the nearest pressure, and Outgate from barrier 10 has to work wide. The shape suits the leader, and the back markers in Double Money and Healthy Healthy need the front to come back.
Punty read: Verbier is the bet, and the shape helps him. He's the only horse mapped to lead in a genuine-pace race, he ran 1st at Happy Valley over 1200m last start, and his sectionals are fastest across the board. He's 7kg down from his last start, which the form notes as best at heavier weights, so I'll accept that as a small question. Storming Dragon from barrier 3 is the danger from midfield, and Crossborderdude is the roughie who can run into the 400m if the lead is shared.

Top 3 + Roughie ($10.50 pool)

1. Verbier (No.12) — $6.00 / place tote
Bet $10.50 Each Way ($5.25W + $5.25P), collects $31.50 plus the tote place dividend if it wins, the tote place dividend if it only places
Prob 14.7% | Place: 41.0% | Value: 0.88x
Why He's the only leader with the right trip, and last start he won at Happy Valley over 1200m with the fastest sectionals on the card.
2. Storming Dragon (No.1) — $3.00 / place tote
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.8% | Place: 51.2% | Value: 0.41x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Kwai Chung Talents (No.11) — $4.00 / place tote
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.9% | Place: 36.9% | Value: 0.44x
Why Midfield from barrier 4 and two wins at Happy Valley and Sha Tin in the last three starts, so he's the one who can stay in the finish.

Roughie: Crossborderdude (No.5) — $9.00 / place tote
Bet Tracked
Prob 7.8% | Place: 27.1% | Value: 0.70x
Why On the speed from barrier 9 and he has to cross the field, but his place record (3 placings from 10 starts) is the reason I'd keep him on the list.

Race 7 – Jaffe Hcp

Race type: Class 3, 1650m
Map & tempo: Moderate pace, with Do Your Part (barrier 2) and Stormi (barrier 7) the two on the lead. Corleone from barrier 12 has to work wide to get across, and Flow Water Flow from barrier 9 sits at the back needing cover. The shape is not clearly suiting anyone, which is what makes this a race to watch rather than a bank.
Punty read: There's no stake on this race. The top-ranked runner is Flow Water Flow, drawn barrier 9 and well backed to win, but he's a back marker in a moderate race so the trip is the question. Zac Purton is the rider and his combo with J J Size is at 23% from 522 rides together. Do Your Part is on the lead and the danger if the pace doesn't push. Rising Phoenix from midfield is the one who can run into the finish.

Top 3 + Roughie ($15.00 pool)

1. Flow Water Flow (No.5) — $9.00 / place tote
Bet $15.00 Each Way ($7.50W + $7.50P), collects $67.50 plus the tote place dividend if it wins, the tote place dividend if it only places
Prob 15.0% | Place: 35.5% | Value: 1.35x
Why Back marker from barrier 9 with sectionals that show he runs on. He's the horse on the card I'd most like to see hit the line at a better price.
2. Do Your Part (No.8) — $2.00 / place tote
Bet Tracked
Prob 14.1% | Place: 33.2% | Value: 0.28x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. Rising Phoenix (No.7) — $10.00 / place tote
Bet Tracked
Prob 12.1% | Place: 26.1% | Value: 1.21x
Why Midfield from barrier 10 with a 2nd at Happy Valley over 1650m last start, and the fastest time sectional in his last run.

Roughie: Corleone (No.4) — $12.00 / place tote
Bet Tracked
Prob 10.3% | Place: 26.2% | Value: 1.24x
Why He's on the pace from barrier 12 and needs to be able to cross, but his 1st at Conghua Turf over 1200m is a reminder he can win from the same kind of trip.

Race 8 – Causeway Bay Hcp

Race type: Class 3, 1200m
Map & tempo: Hot pace with three on the lead: Live Wire (barrier 1), Matters Most (barrier 5) and Notthesillyone (barrier 10). Notthesillyone is drawn wide and has to work to cross, which puts pressure on the front and leaves the sit open for the on-pace runners. Flashing Fighter from barrier 4 is the horse who gets the trail behind the fight, and the shape helps him.
Punty read: Flashing Fighter is the bet. He sits handy behind a hot pace that will cook the front runners, and the map says it suits him. He won last start at Happy Valley over 1200m and he's 2 wins from 4 career starts with both wins on good ground. He's a 2-0-0 on good and a 2-0-0 first-up, so the form lines are strong. Live Wire is on the lead and the danger if the speed doesn't burn out. Target Audience from barrier 11 is the one who needs the pace to fall apart to get into the finish.

Top 3 + Roughie ($10.50 pool)

1. Flashing Fighter (No.6) — $4.00 / place tote
Bet $10.50 Each Way ($5.25W + $5.25P), collects $21.00 plus the tote place dividend if it wins, the tote place dividend if it only places
Prob 17.0% | Place: 54.4% | Value: 0.68x
Why Handy from barrier 4 in a hot-pace race, last start a 1st at Happy Valley over 1200m, and he's won both starts on good ground.
2. Target Audience (No.2) — $11.00 / place tote
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.2% | Place: 37.2% | Value: 1.45x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. God Of Pi (No.1) — $8.00 / place tote
Bet Tracked
Prob 13.1% | Place: 34.0% | Value: 1.05x
Why On the pace from barrier 8 and a 1st at Sha Tin over 1200m last start, with a sectional time that is fastest on the card.

Roughie: Young Emperor (No.5) — $12.00 / place tote
Bet Tracked
Prob 7.2% | Place: 25.9% | Value: 0.87x
Why Midfield from barrier 12 with a hot pace that might set up a late run, and his 3 wins from 19 starts show he can finish if the front pair fall over.

Race 9 – Causeway Bay Hcp

Race type: Class 3, 1200m
Map & tempo: Genuine pace with California Blitz the only leader from barrier 3, uncontested on the map. Symbol Of Strength (barrier 2) and Fortune Link (barrier 10) are the nearest pressure, and All Out For Six from barrier 7 is on the speed too. Ace Champion from barrier 5 sits back, and the shape is against him, but a genuine pace lets him run down the leaders from the back.
Punty read: Ace Champion is the bet. Back on the map, the shape is against him, but his form says he can win from the back anyway. He's three wins in a row, with the last three starts all wins (1st at Happy Valley over 1200m, 1st at Sha Tin over 1200m, 1st at Happy Valley over 1200m). He's 3kg up on the last start, which is the thing to watch, but the form is the reason. Symbol Of Strength is the on-pace danger from barrier 2, and Young Arrow from midfield is the one who runs on late.

Top 3 + Roughie ($10.50 pool)

1. Ace Champion (No.1) — $5.00 / place tote
Bet $10.50 Each Way ($5.25W + $5.25P), collects $26.25 plus the tote place dividend if it wins, the tote place dividend if it only places
Prob 16.6% | Place: 45.0% | Value: 0.83x
Why Three straight wins to start the season, with the last two at Happy Valley and Sha Tin, and a closing run that is hard to argue with even from barrier 5.
2. Symbol Of Strength (No.2) — $2.00 / place tote
Bet Tracked
Prob 12.7% | Place: 41.0% | Value: 0.25x
Why The top pick's each-way already covers the place angle here — doubling up is paying twice for the same insurance. Tracked instead.
3. California Blitz (No.10) — $3.00 / place tote
Bet Tracked
Prob 11.0% | Place: 41.5% | Value: 0.33x
Why Uncontested lead from barrier 3 with a 2-4-4 record over 19 starts. If he gets his soft lead, he's the one setting the tempo.

Roughie: Young Arrow (No.11) — $11.00 / place tote
Bet Tracked
Prob 7.3% | Place: 25.5% | Value: 0.80x
Why Midfield from barrier 11, and his sectionals show a time-fastest run. He needs the front to fall apart and the late speed to show, which is exactly what a genuine pace can give him.

SEQUENCE LANES

QUADDIE (R6–R9)

Smart: 1,12,11,5 / 5,8,4,7 / 6,2,1,5 / 1,10,2,11 (256 combos x $0.3125 = $80.00) -- 31.2% flexi
Punty's take: Four open legs and no banker in the lot, so this is a wide ticket with an $80 outlay to match. The flexi is 31.2%, which is a real play but lean on entertainment, and it needs a $5 to $10 winner somewhere to pay well.

NUGGETS FROM THE TRACK

1 - Weight is the story for two of the warnings
Solar River has a WARNING for 0 wins from 2 at 60-61kg, and Runjeet is 0 wins from 3 at the same weights. Loving Vibes is 8kg up from his last start, and his form says he's best at lighter weights, so the weight question is one to keep an eye on.

2 - Zac Purton and Brownneedsfurther have a track record
Brownneedsfurther goes out with Zac Purton and D J Hall, and their combo is 20.4% from 111 rides together. The trip is the thing, not the name.

3 - The bridesmaid of Happy Valley
Quick Contribution has 16 starts for 0 wins, 5 seconds and 3 thirds, which is the bridesmaid of the card. He's been close enough to kiss the trophy and nowhere near lifting it, and that's exactly why he's in the staking for the place.

FINAL WORD FROM THE SICKO SANCTUARY

Half the card is a speed fight and the other half is a dead-slow sprint where nobody wants to lead, so keep your head, back your staked picks and don't go chasing the chaos with money you need. The bridesmaid in Race 4 might finally kiss the trophy, and if she doesn't, I'll be the first to tell you I told you so.

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